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Sugar Futures: Simple Move Makes for Big Changes
A violation of even one of Three Rules of Elliott can have dire implications for a market's trend.

By Morgan Lee
Tue, 17 Jun 2008 18:30:00 ET
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Never underestimate simplicity. Simple can be beautiful, powerful, and in the case of Elliott Wave International's June 17 Daily Futures Junctures, “awesome.”
 

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, EWI's Daily Futures Junctures delivers to you the best opportunity in commodity markets. What will be tomorrow's "best"? Subscribe risk-free to find out.
 
The entire foundation of the Elliott Wave Principle is based on three simple rules:
 
1) Wave 2 can never exceed the origin of Wave 1
2) Wave 3 can never be the shortest wave
3) Wave 4 may never end in the territory of Wave 1
 
Simple? Absolutely. And these simple rules can be enough to produce Elliott wave counts – or alter them if the market evidence changes – as EWI's own Jeffrey Kennedy shows his readers in the June 17 DFJ.
 
In Chart 1 [seen below], what I was previously labeling wave (4) has move into the price territory of wave (1). As you know, this violates one of the three cardinal rules of the Wave Principle.

This simple fact alerted Jeffrey that something big was occurring in Sugar and prompted him to make a sizable change in his previous analysis on this market – a market that he highlighted previously both in his June 13 Weekly Wrap-Up and the June Monthly Futures Junctures. 

It’s important because it set the stage for what I believe will be a month’s-long advance… 

To find out what this rules violation means for Sugar in the days and months ahead, and to learn about Jeffrey's exact new price targets for Sugar, read the June 17 Daily Futures Junctures online now – risk-free, as always.

Tags: sugar, futures

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.