Sociologists, historians, and even psychologists have long studied the when and why of major wars. Their theories range from economics to demographics to resources to religion to lust for empire.
Such explanations offer some insight regarding some wars -- yet none is universal enough to apply to most of history's major wars.
Once again, this is where socionomics steps forward and offers unrivaled insight. The cover story in the just-published issue of The Socionomist is titled
What Socionomics Says About the Timing of the Next World War
Put simply, major wars tend to follow a pattern -- a visual trend you can see and understand. And this issue of The Socionomist will indeed show you that long-term pattern, yet from there we go much deeper. Our analysis of past social mood includes a forecast of how future social mood is likely to drive war in the years to come. Consider:
- Can anything reduce military spending? "No" is the reflexive reply for many people, who see the defense budget much as they once saw real estate. To wit: Both always go up. Yet just as the public's view of real estate had to change, so too must its view of military spending. What's more, the revised views of spending and real estate will have the very same catalyst.
- Active-duty soldiers have contributed more donations to one particular presidential candidate than to all the other candidates combined. You likely will be shocked to discover which candidate this is.
- Anyone in the U.S. who follows news has heard and read about the prospect of cyberwar with China. But are you aware of how China sees a cyberthreat from the U.S.? The Socionomist spells out when such opposing viewpoints "often come to blows..."
- The rapidly developing technology that's cheap, inconspicuous, highly effective and poised to become a flashpoint in the battle between authoritarians and non-authoritarians.
- Remember the Stuxnet virus, which severely hindered Iran's nuclear program (as described in the Nov. 2010 Socionomist)? The source code for this powerful computer worm is now publicly downloadable. The Socionomist tells you how.
- Which type of terrorism describes every terrorist plot in the West since 2009? The Socionomist spells out both the answer and its critical impact on our collective future.
- The multi-century chart which can show you -- at a literal glance -- when major wars do and do not happen. Subscribe to The Socionomist and you'll be one of the relative few individuals who see this exclusive chart in print for the first time.
Here's what else you'll discover in the current Socionomist:
Society's Growing Fascination with Patterns of Social Behavior
Is prime-time television flirting with Elliott Waves? When a lead character says "the universe is made up of precise ratios and patterns," and the show's trailer includes Fibonacci spirals, we find it flirtatious indeed. Read our take on the Fox television series Touch for yourself.