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by
Nico Isaac
11/16/2009 4:15:00 PM
General Motors has just issued its first public income statement since emerging from the ashes of bankruptcy four months ago. The results for the "New GM"? Well, mixed... All of which is to say, "Old GM" -- the former icon of American manufacturing -- is no more.
Filed Under:
General Motors Corp., General Motors Company, New GM, Old GM, GM Co.
Category:
Economy
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by
Jason Farkas
11/13/2009 11:30:00 AM
In Part II of this article, EWI's Jason Farkas explains further why hyperinflation in the U.S. is likely not something we should worry about over the next few years -- and what signs to look for when it does become a real threat.
Filed Under:
Robert Prechter, conquer the crash, inflation, hyperinflation, deflation, deficit spending, Zimbabwe, quantitative easing
Category:
Economy
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by
Jason Farkas
11/12/2009 1:30:00 PM
The situation in the U.S. situation is different from bouts with hyperinflation in Argentina, Mexico and Brazil. It also seems reasonable to examine hyperinflation in another nation -- Zimbabwe -- in order to answer a few important questions...
Filed Under:
Robert Prechter, conquer the crash, inflation, hyperinflation, deflation, deficit spending, Zimbabwe
Category:
Economy
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by
Nico Isaac
11/6/2009 7:15:00 PM
Almost everywhere I look in the mainstream financial media, I see story after story celebrating the end of the worst U.S. recession since the 1930's AND start of an all-out recovery to a brighter, smarter-for-the-pain bull market. "The grimmest days are now behind us," begins a November 5 BBC report. "All that talk of a return to the thirties now seems fanciful."
Filed Under:
us economy, GDP, recovery, unemployment, finance, credit crisis
Category:
Economy
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by
Nico Isaac
10/23/2009 3:45:00 PM
In case your name happens to be "Gilligan" (first mate of the marooned S.S. Minnow), allow me to break the news to you: According to the mainstream financial experts, the U.S. banking sector has officially been rescued from worst credit crisis since the Great Depression. If this sounds familiar, there's good reason...
Filed Under:
banking sector, Philadelphia Banking Index, KBW Index, credit crisis
Category:
Economy
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by
Jason Farkas
10/21/2009 1:45:00 PM
An increasingly loud chorus of investors expects the imminent demise of the US dollar and US Treasuries. They also expect that an exploding monetary base and the US’s structural problems will lead to massive inflation. This opinion may prove to be correct in the very long run, but evidence continues to mount that deflationary will come first.
Filed Under:
us dollar, Us treasuries, inflation, deflation, prechter, forex, emerging markets, derivatives, high-frequency trading, terrorism
Category:
Economy
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by
Robert Folsom
10/20/2009 1:30:00 PM
The new chapters allow Bob to spell out his unique arguments for deflation, and a lot more. He proves that every market offers a story, if you know where to look and how to tell it -- that is Bob's exceptional gift. No financial story could be more compelling than the stock market's manic climb to the 2007 peak, and the second includes an entire chapter to tell it. If you think you remember this period, wait till you read his description...
Filed Under:
prechter
Category:
Economy
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by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/8/2009 3:30:00 PM
The word on the street is, the U.S. dollar is rapidly depreciating, so investment in the U.S. Treasuries defies common sense. You would think that would prompt foreign governments such as China and Saudi Arabia to stop investing in U.S. securities? But instead of selling their depreciating dollar-denominated assets, they are buying more. Here's why, says EWI's Bill Fox…
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, china, saudi arabia, U.S. Treasuries, inflation, deflation, prechter
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/6/2009 5:00:00 PM
On October 6, the Reserve Bank of Australia surprised the global financial community with a .25% interest rate hike. Only 1 in 20 surveyed economists expected it. But if conventional economists would simply plot central banks’ decisions on a chart of bond yields, they would make a "shocking" discovery that could save them a lot of surprises...
Filed Under:
Reserve Bank of Australia, rba, interest rates, economic recovery, u.s. treasury bill, Federal Reserve
Category:
Economy
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by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/5/2009 6:15:00 PM
On October 1, the U.S Treasuries zoomed upward as the DJIA saw its first material decline in six months. In percentage terms, the Dow's decline was insignificant -- yet bonds had one of their best single-day rallies since the summer low. Why is this important? Here's why...
Filed Under:
inflation, disinflation, deflation, prechter, elliott wave, Fed
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/21/2009 8:45:00 PM
If you keep up with international news, you may have seen this picture on Britain's dailymail.co.uk on September 16. The story said: "The biggest and most secretive gathering of ships in maritime history lies at anchor east of Singapore. Never before photographed, it is bigger than the U.S. and British navies combined but has no crew, no cargo and no destination..."
Filed Under:
Baltic Dry Index, dax, ftse, cac, china, India, Australia
Category:
Economy
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by
Nico Isaac
9/15/2009 11:30:00 AM
This day -- September 15, 2009 -- marks the one-year anniversary of Lehman Brothers' collapse, the largest bankruptcy in U.S. history. More than "one for the history books," this event goes down as the "weekend Wall Street died" and re-emerged as Zombieland -- the bleak home to once booming financial firms gone bust, feeding off the lifeblood of federal bailout money.
Filed Under:
credit crisis, financials, banking sector, Citigroup, Wall Street, bank industry
Category:
Economy
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by
Jeff Reckseit
9/10/2009 5:30:00 PM
One need only glance at the front page of the local newspaper for a sense of how things are. The Baltimore Sun recently featured an above-the-fold article which said that the median size of a new single-family home was smaller for the first time in 14 years.
Filed Under:
stock indices, Currencies, Commodities, housing market, yard sale, recovery
Category:
Economy
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by
Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall
8/28/2009 5:45:00 PM
EWI Message Board Editor Vadim Pokhlebkin reports that he is getting a lot of questions from readers who want to know how we “can be bearish when the economy is improving. Most are from new subscribers – and, clearly, they are confused,” Vadim writes.
Filed Under:
sentiment
Category:
Economy
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by
Nico Isaac
8/26/2009 4:45:00 PM
This past Sunday, Aug. 23, my esteemed colleague and chief market analyst here at EWI Steven Hochberg (we call him "Steve" at the office) gave a powerful speech at the 30th Annual San Francisco Money Show. I tagged along to hand out complimentary reading material to his guests.
Filed Under:
San Francisco Money Show, us economy, housing market, credit, bottom
Category:
Economy
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by
Nico Isaac
8/17/2009 4:30:00 PM
Filed Under:
us banking sector, banking crisis, bottom
Category:
Economy
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by
Jeff Reckseit
8/16/2009 3:45:00 PM
Unemployment figures are improving. The housing market is showing signs of life. The stimulus package seems to be working. And the Fed maintains that the downturn appears to have hit bottom. So what’s not to like?
Filed Under:
Hyper-inflation, deflation, housing market, stimulus package, recovery
Category:
Economy
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by
Nico Isaac
8/7/2009 5:00:00 PM
Is it time to pin on those Whip Inflation Now buttons once again? According to many mainstream experts, the answer is YES. They're leading the charge for a "WIN 2" campaign in the United States, and filling the financial airwaves with references to the 1970's oil crisis, wage freezes, and wheelbarrows full of cash.
Filed Under:
U.S. inflation, inflation, deflation, housing market
Category:
Economy
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by
Nico Isaac
7/31/2009 4:00:00 PM
In theory, credit-rating agencies are to companies what Kelley Blue Book is to cars. In reality, however, this is not the case with credit-rating agencies. So often, a rating service will assign unit "x" a good-to-excellent grade -- only to find it cast into the "JUNK"-yard soon after. Case in point: Ambac...
Filed Under:
bond insurers, Ambac, Downgrade
Category:
Economy
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by
Jeff Reckseit
7/31/2009 2:45:00 PM
Hundreds of thousands have lost their homes. Millions have lost their jobs. And yet when you read and hear the “news”, you could get the impression that this “slow-down” is a mere inconvenience.
Filed Under:
depression, recession, stay-cation, corporate earnings, property prices
Category:
Economy
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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