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Look to the Skies for Signs of a Financial Peak
The skyscraper indicator sends a signal in the United States and China

By Bob Stokes
8/30/2013 2:45:00 PM

Financial history shows that the world's tallest skyscrapers are often constructed near major financial peaks. With that in mind, consider one big construction project in New York City and another in China.

Filed Under: Chinese markets, commercial real estate, economic indicators, Elliott wave, long-term trend, sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Global Markets


Pop Quiz: Find the Earthquake on this Stock Chart
Market rationality versus irrationality

By Bob Stokes
8/12/2013 5:15:00 PM

Many investors believe that a devastating natural disaster would send a nation's stock market into a tailspin. But recent history shows that such a shock has only a short-term effect on equity prices. See if you can identify on a market chart when a major earthquake devastated a country in South America.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, history, long-term trend, market forecasts, stock indexes

Category: Global Markets


Major Contractions Coming to an Economy Near You
The IMF revises downward its global economic growth outlook – we’re not surprised

By Bob Stokes
7/10/2013 5:30:00 PM

All the king’s horses and all the king’s men – and all the financial stimulus by governments around the globe -- appear to be falling short of the hoped-for results, namely, robust economic growth. A recent International Monetary Fund downward revision of world economic growth is no surprise to Elliott Wave International. Learn why you can expect more downward revisions in the months ahead.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, central banks, Chinese markets, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, european markets, International Monetary Fund (IMF), quantitative easing, Shanghai Composite Index, Sovereign Debt, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Global Markets


Growing Debt Accelerates Worldwide Economic Contraction
Big asset manager calls for 60% chance of global recession in the next 3-5 years.

By Bob Stokes
6/12/2013 4:30:00 PM

A big asset management firm says recessions come about every six years, and global debt has increased since the recession that began in 2007. So the firm has raised its estimate of a worldwide recession to over 60% in the next 3-5 years. But much of the world already appears to be facing economic challenges. Robert Prechter argues that "recession" is not the right word to describe the state of the global economy.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, BRIC, CNBC, credit crisis, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, emerging markets, European debt crisis, Indian markets, liquidity, Robert Prechter, Shanghai Composite Index, Sovereign Debt, Wall Street, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


The Growing Case for Global Deflation
Prepare for a major worldwide economic contraction.

By Bob Stokes
4/24/2013 4:30:00 PM

The evidence for global deflation continues to build. Consider the recent plunge in the prices of commodities and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). Plus, the International Monetary Fund recently warned that ...

Filed Under: commodities, crude oil, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Gold, inflation, International Monetary Fund (IMF), silver, stock indexes, Treasury bonds

Category: Global Markets


A Real-Time Montage of a Developing Global Deflation
Is the global economy headed for the German economic experience of 1928-1932?

By Bob Stokes
3/1/2013 5:45:00 PM

There's mounting evidence that deflationary forces are at work in the global economy. However, many financial observers remain focused on elevated equity prices and inflation. EWI's Global Market Perspective points to Germany's 1929-1932 economic experience as an example of what global economies could soon face. Get the full real-time economic story as it unfolds in the Asian-Pacific, Europe and the United States.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, CNBC, conquer the crash, deflation, economic indicators, eurozone, inflation, recession, Walmart

Category: Global Markets


Europe: The Epicenter of a Global Economic Earthquake
Will economic optimism be dashed once again?

By Bob Stokes
2/22/2013 4:45:00 PM

A big economic story can go underreported for only so long. Eventually it will show up in mainstream news headlines – a likely case in point is the euro zone's developing deflationary trend. The evidence suggests that Europe could be the epicenter of the next global economic earthquake.

Filed Under: bailouts, brian whitmer, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, Robert Prechter, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


Global Deflation: Protect Your Wealth from What the Majority Do Not Expect
Shield your wealth before trusted facilities close their doors

By Bob Stokes
2/15/2013 4:15:00 PM

Last month the economy of the United States unexpectedly shrank by 0.1% in the fourth quarter. Deflationary forces are affecting more than just the American markets. In fact, they're even stronger across the pond. The euro zone's accelerating economic contraction should serve as a warning sign to anyone who believes the global economy is on the road to recovery. Opportunities to protect your wealth will close shut once a deflationary trend is well underway. Learn how to access safe storage facilities for your assets.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, all the same market theory, currency, deflation, European debt crisis, eurozone, great depression, gross domestic product (GDP), history, Robert Prechter, safe haven, Sovereign Debt

Category: Global Markets


European Markets Crumble: Were You Surprised or Prepared?
Conventional financial analysts were caught off guard by the volatility. European Short Term Update subscribers anticipated it.

By Nathaniel Williams
2/8/2013 3:30:00 PM

It's easy to extrapolate present trends into the future. But it's not helpful, mainly because trends change. It's much harder -- and yet more helpful -- to peek around the corner to see what's next. Elliott wave analysis equips you to do that, which can sometimes yield fruit in abundance. Check out this video about European stock markets.

Filed Under: CAC40, europe, european markets, European Union (EU)

Category: Global Markets


The Most Noteworthy Takeaway from the 2013 World Economic Forum
A perfumed outlook doesn't mean the economy passes the smell test

By Bob Stokes
1/29/2013 5:30:00 PM

Harsh economic realities versus the disconnected and extreme economic optimism at Davos should serve as an alarm. But the World Economic Forum is not the only place where economic optimism is in overdrive. Get an independent perspective on global markets and economies.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, CNBC, debt crisis, economic indicators, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, International Monetary Fund (IMF), sentiment

Category: Global Markets


BRIC Currencies: The Brazilian Real
Is the currency set to strengthen against the U.S. dollar?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/17/2013 8:30:00 PM

At Elliott Wave International, we apply Elliott wave analysis to more than 40 global markets. While the major ones usually steal the spotlight, the insights you gain by applying the method to the markets that don't normally make the headlines are worth seeing. Take the Brazilian real, for example...

Filed Under: BRIC, currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, forex, U.S. dollar

Category: Global Markets


ECB's Bond-Buying Program: The Answer to Europe's Debt Crisis?
Read Global Market Perspective to find out whether investors' faith in the bailout fund will be rewarded

By Nathaniel Williams
11/19/2012 4:15:00 PM

Now that even skeptical German politicians seem to believe that the ECB's unlimited bond-buying program will work, it's time to find out if this bailout plan will succeed better than previous plans.

Filed Under: bailouts, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone

Category: Global Markets


"Are Emerging Markets the Way to Go Right Now?"
You'll find answers to this and many other questions in Prechter's new, 36-minute video Elliott Wave Theorist

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/24/2012 7:00:00 PM

At EWI's Message Board, we get great questions from readers every day. Here's one: Emerging markets are being touted as the next wave of opportunity. An Oct. 21 Wall Street Journal article, for example, has reported that Northern Trust Corp., which has $749b under management, says it's time to "lighten up on the U.S. and put more money into emerging-market stocks." The risks are higher, but so are the returns, goes the thinking. What do you make of this new trend?

Filed Under: diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment strategy, investor psychology, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Global Markets


Middle East Fears Rage, Yet Israeli Stocks Rise -- Why?
Conventional analysts can’t understand why -- but from the Elliott wave perspective, it makes complete sense

By Nathaniel Williams
10/9/2012 10:30:00 AM

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's recent ominous speech to the United Nations -- and the underlying fragility of geopolitical relationships in the region -- should have cast a dark, bearish shadow over Israeli stock markets. But Israel's Tel Aviv 100 has risen more than 4% since then. What's behind the move? 

Filed Under: fundamental analysis, social mood

Category: Global Markets


Global Economies and World Financial Markets: How the Big Disconnect Will End
Find out what happens when the two meet

By Bob Stokes
9/5/2012 3:45:00 PM

Will the disconnect between global economies and financial markets continue? EWI believes the answer is "no." Overleveraged financial markets will suffer the fate of overleveraged global economies. Keep in mind: The next financial crisis may start outside of America, so more than ever you need to... 
 
 

Filed Under: all the same market theory, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, CAC40, DAX, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Elliott wave, emerging markets, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, european markets, financial forecast, Greek debt, Indian markets, market crash, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nikkei, S&P 500, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis, Taiwan index, U.S. STOCK MARKET, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


Do Bans on Short Selling Work? See for Yourself
One look at a chart -- and the answer is clear

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/9/2012 7:30:00 PM

When panic and fear grip the market, the authorities try their best to stop the bleeding. Their go-to move is to ban short selling of stocks -- a popular speculation method practiced by traders who believe stocks should fall further. To help stop the current wave of the crisis, the eurozone financial authorities have banned short selling, too. Writes our August Global Market Perspective...

Filed Under: AEX, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, FTSE, investment strategy, short selling

Category: Global Markets


(Video) ECB and BOE: Why Quantitative Easing Won't Work
Watch minute 2:20 of this free webinar clip for a very vivid answer

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/20/2012 5:00:00 PM

Today's magic bullet for fighting the ongoing global economic troubles are the monetary stimulus and quantitative easing programs enacted by the major central banks. Will all these programs work? Probably not. Why? Watch minute 2:20 of this webinar clip recorded by our European analyst Brian Whitmer for a very vivid answer.

Filed Under: Bank of England, debt crisis, european central bank, European debt crisis, Interest Rates, monetary policy, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Global Markets


Q&A: EWI's Take on Europe's Debt Crisis, Part II
Will the symptoms of Europe's debt crisis continue to spread?

By Nathaniel Williams
7/12/2012 1:30:00 PM

At the end of the interview, the German financial blogger asks what kind of asset classes should investors hold should the world slide into a full-blown economic depression? 

Filed Under: banks, brian whitmer, euro, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone

Category: Global Markets


Q&A: EWI's Take on Europe's Debt Crisis, Part I
Analyst Brian Whitmer discusses whether Europe's new bailout plans have a future

By Nathaniel Williams
7/6/2012 11:15:00 AM

First question in this Q&A: When we had our last conversation, you predicted the euro to be the weakest among all paper currencies. Did you have a crystal ball?

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Principle, euro, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone

Category: Global Markets


The British Economy is Falling Down: "Depressed by Extreme Uncertainty"
Consumer prices falling down, falling down...

By Bob Stokes
6/21/2012 2:00:00 PM

Recession is the official economic label. However, depression is the word that best describes the state of the British economy. In a June 14 speech, Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said...

Filed Under: Bank of England, central banks, credit crisis, deflation, economic depression, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, FTSE, quantitative easing

Category: Global Markets


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.