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(Podcast, 9:32 min. -- iTunes' Top 10 for April!) A Bullish Ghost Inhabits Market Sentiment
"This time it's different" are the four words that often mark the end of a major trend. Listen.

By Editorial Staff
4/23/2015 1:45:00 PM

When do you know the past is about to repeat itself? In the stock market that time comes when you hear phrases like "This time it's different," or, like today's "New Normal." Get the full story in the new free podcast from our Pop Trends, Price Culture.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, market cycles, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, sentiment, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:20 min.) Just How Bullish Is the Latest Move by China’s Central Bank?
Learn about the one factor central banks too often overlook when they push policy levers

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/22/2015 5:00:00 PM

Lending and borrowing are lifeblood of today’s economy. So the fact that China is making more money available for lending seems like a step in the right direction. Except, making money available is not everything -- here's why.

Filed Under: central banks, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, inflation, Interest Rates, liquidity, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing

Category: Stocks


Why Stock Investors Should Watch the Junk Debt-to-Treasury Debt Spread
A time-tested indicator stands at an important juncture

By Bob Stokes
4/17/2015 3:30:00 PM

A narrow yield spread between junk debt and comparable U.S. Treasuries indicates economic confidence. Conversely, a widening spread means that investors are growing more risk-averse. This can be bad news for the stock market. Learn more …

Filed Under: Elliott wave, junk bonds, treasury yields

Category: Stocks


(Podcast, 9:19 min. -- iTunes' Top 10 for April!) A Bad Call and Busted Career, Reconsidered
Some VERY relevant (for today's investors) reflection on the career of “the greatest economist the U.S. has ever produced"

By Editorial Staff
4/16/2015 4:15:00 PM

“The uptrend in stocks reflects the sound fundamentals of a new economy based on new technologies.” -- What year do you think this quote is from? Late 1990s? 2007? Today? No. Listen.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, great depression, market crash, market forecasts, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:23 min.) Mergers & Acquisitions Go to Manic Levels
Fading aftereffects of the 2007-2009 financial crisis

By Bob Stokes
4/10/2015 3:00:00 PM

Corporate boardroom confidence has rarely been stronger. Mergers-and-acquisitions volume in 2015 is on pace to be the second highest on record. See a chart that shows just how dramatically the trend can change.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investor psychology, mania, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 2:55 min.) What Happens When Equity Fund Managers Shun Cash?
Stock mutual fund managers are nearly fully invested

By Bob Stokes
4/8/2015 3:15:00 PM

Money managers are nearly fully invested in the stock market. An eerily similar setup was in place just three months before the 2007 market top. Take a look at this chart …

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investor psychology, S&P 500, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:36 min.) Longest Stretch of Market Optimism Since 1987
Money manager: "I don't see signs of euphoria in the stock market"

By Bob Stokes
4/2/2015 3:00:00 PM

The S&P 500 index just notched nine winning quarters in a row. Yet many investment professionals see no signs of euphoria. This chart indicates otherwise.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investor psychology, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - FRUP

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:18 min.) A Telling Sign of the Market's Precarious Perch
U.S. corporations have high hopes for their own shares

By Bob Stokes
3/25/2015 3:00:00 PM

U.S. corporations have doubled the amount of their stock buybacks from a year ago. Learn why this development should serve as a neon warning to investors.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, General Motors (GM), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:15 min.) Why Falling Prices Really Are a Mixed Blessing
First crude oil, now milk. Are stocks next?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/23/2015 6:00:00 PM

Crude oil isn't the only market to plunge recently. Milk prices are also down -- by a third! As with crude, at first it sounds like great news. But as we've shown on these pages before, falling prices -- which is one of the effects of deflation -- are not all for the good. Here's why.

Filed Under: crude oil, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:31 min.) What Do the World's Tallest Buildings and Famous Works of Art Have in Common?
Masterpieces of market timing

By Bob Stokes
3/12/2015 4:00:00 PM

The stock market rally just turned six years old. Prices remain near record highs. Yet two historical indicators suggest caution. Learn more.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


Why Alibaba's Rally Went Ali Bye-Bye
A beautiful example of Elliott wave analysis keeping investors on the right side of major turns

By Nico Isaac
3/6/2015 4:45:00 PM

When the Alibaba IPO debuted last September, it was widely touted as being "worth the risk." Today, BABA shares stand 30% below their November 2014 peak. What happened?

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Elliott wave, forecasts, fundamental analysis, history, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, long-term trend, market forecasts, sentiment, technology

Category: Stocks


(Interview, 6:30 min.) Yes, NASDAQ Is at 5000 -- But Let's Dig A Little Deeper
Technology stocks are all the rage again... get an expert's opinion on how sustainable the rally really is

By Editorial Staff
3/5/2015 3:00:00 PM

In this new interview, Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst, Steve Hochberg, gives you his latest insights on the NASDAQ, which recently rallied above 5000 for the first time since the year 2000.

Filed Under: financial forecast, interview, Nasdaq Composite, steve hochberg, video

Category: Stocks


(Video, 2:36 min.) Here's What Stock Market Bulls Might Be Overlooking
A growing economy is not necessarily bullish -- see for yourself

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/2/2015 5:00:00 PM

On Feb. 27, the 4th quarter U.S. GDP was revised downward to 2.2%. "U.S. stock markets shrugged off the revision" -- after all, the conventional wisdom says that as long as the economy is growing, so is the stock market. Except, it’s not exactly true.

Filed Under: consumer confidence, Elliott wave, gross domestic product (GDP), U.S. STOCK MARKET, unemployment, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 2:27 min.) Stocks: It's All Been Done Before
"...the ‘plumber and barber sentiment index‘ is near an all-time high"

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/26/2015 2:15:00 PM

There's a lot of bullishness out there. And "when nearly all investors are bullish, they tend to view the stance as conservative, because, after all, everyone is doing it. This is even true for professional investors..." We're not the only ones noticing this uber-optimism.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Goldman Sachs, investment decisions, investment strategy, sentiment, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 2:58 min.) Does Nasdaq 5000 Make Sense This Time?
A portfolio manager on the Internet bubble then vs. now

By Bob Stokes
2/24/2015 3:00:00 PM

After 15 years, the Nasdaq has returned to the lofty level of the Internet bubble days. One money manager says the tech-heavy index now sports stronger fundamentals vs. March 2000. But will stellar earnings send the Nasdaq higher?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investor psychology, Nasdaq Composite, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:12 min.) Why Cash Ain't Trash, And Other Suddenly Popular Ideas
Radical notions like "cash is king" are suddenly starting to resonate with the mainstream

By Nico Isaac
2/19/2015 1:45:00 PM

Driving in my car the other day, I heard an ad on the radio that, I thought, did a good job of summarizing the state of our economy "on the ground," so to speak, where the real, everyday people are trying to make it work. It went like this...

Filed Under: cash, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, safe haven, U.S. dollar, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:17 mins.) What an Unhealthy Market Looks Like
Fractures open in the stock market

By Bob Stokes
2/18/2015 4:00:00 PM

In a healthy bull market, most sectors participate in the trend. When key sectors turn down even as the broad market rises, the uptrend is at risk. Investors would do well to pay attention to such a splinter.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:21 mins.) Why the Stock Market Remains Historically Overvalued
Market sentiment today shows the most extreme optimism since 1987

By Bob Stokes
2/10/2015 3:00:00 PM

Even after a six-year uptrend, investor optimism has remained historically elevated. Do the stock market's valuation measures point to an approaching top?

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured, volatility

Category: Stocks


(Video, 4:09 min.) Deflation: Why the Fed Has Been Losing the Battle
"The ultimate drivers of inflation and deflation are human mental states that the Fed cannot manipulate."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/29/2015 5:30:00 PM

Despite six years of record-low interest rates; three rounds and five years of the Fed's QE; $4 trillion of "new money injected into the economy" -- despite all that, inflation in the U.S. remains well below the Fed's target. Why?

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


Stocks: Prepare to Expect the Unexpected
Most investors WANT to prepare for unexpected trend changes. They just don't know how.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/28/2015 5:00:00 PM

Much of the public must already assume that cheap gas is here to stay. Never mind that anyone who is old enough to drink remembers that in their lifetime, a gallon of regular cost as little as $1.00 and as much as $5.00. Gas prices fluctuate -- just like stocks.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, S&P 500, U.S. STOCK MARKET, volatility

Category: Stocks



© 2015 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.