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(Video, 2:43 min.) Little-Known Indicator That Alerts You to the Fed's Next Move
The Fed's watching unemployment to time its first rate hike in six years. You can watch this.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/16/2014 5:30:00 PM

While the Fed is watching jobs, you can follow this indicator - one that has a long history of anticipating changes in the Fed's interest rates policy. See for yourself.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), fundamental analysis, Interest Rates, investment decisions, investment strategy, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:38 min.) Looming Municipal Crisis: Debt Piled Too High to Pay Back?
Former lieutenant governor of New York: Expect more Detroits

By Bob Stokes
9/15/2014 3:15:00 PM

Many cities and states have been on a borrowing and spending binge for years. One former lieutenant governor says the chickens are about to come home to roost. Do you hold the "riskiest" bonds among popular government issues?

Filed Under: Conquer the Crash, debt, Elliott wave, municipal bonds, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:21 min.) Despite the Fed's Massive Stimulus, Inflation is Still Low: Why?
U.S. inflation rate is well below 2%

By Bob Stokes
9/4/2014 3:45:00 PM

Central banks in the U.S. and Europe have gone all out to inflate. Even so, economies on both sides of the Atlantic remain in a rut. Inflation rates are well below the targeted 2%. The reason can be summed up in just two words.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, eurozone, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 2:58 min.) Subprime Automobile Loans Double Since 2010
Credit card issuers also pursue risky borrowers

By Bob Stokes
9/3/2014 3:15:00 PM

Subprime mortgage loans nearly doomed the economy during the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The lessons from that scary time were never learned. Two major sectors of the economy are now fervently pursuing subprime borrowers. Among finance companies, risky loans have doubled since 2010.

Filed Under: credit crisis, debt, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 2:52 min.) Don't Fall for the Strong U.S. GDP Number: Here's Why
When the economy is strong, so is the stock market. Right? Well, not exactly

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/28/2014 3:45:00 PM

The second quarter U.S. GDP has just been revised upward from 4% to 4.2%. That's a very impressive number. And everyone knows that when the economy is strong, so is the stock market... Except, it’s not exactly true.

Filed Under: bull market, Elliott wave, gross domestic product (GDP), S&P 500, technical analysis, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:17 min.) Big U.S. Banks: "Something is Very Wrong"
Stanford professor believes reserve requirements for banks are too low

By Bob Stokes
8/27/2014 3:30:00 PM

Overleveraged banks could send the economy into another financial crisis. That's the message of a Stanford finance professor who's been on a mission to get banks to raise their reserve levels. She says "something is very wrong" with the banking industry.

Filed Under: banks, Conquer the Crash, credit crisis, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 2:52 min.) Why the Fed is Less of a "Hero" Than People Think
"The Fed’s brilliance does not determine the market; the social mood behind the market determines the Fed’s brilliance."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/22/2014 5:00:00 PM

The view that "the Federal Reserve Bank are heroes who saved the economy" is very common today. But you may be surprised to know that HOW the investment public views the Fed depends on what the stock market is doing. Watch.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, social mood, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:06 min.) Student Loan Bubble: The Next Economic Implosion?
Student loan delinquencies have nearly doubled since early 2009

By Bob Stokes
8/21/2014 4:30:00 PM

Student loan debt has risen more than five-fold since 2003. This Mt. Everest of debt is promoted and backed by the government -- just like sub-prime mortgages prior to the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Will the student loan bubble be the next economic disaster? 

Filed Under: debt, economic indicators, Elliott wave

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:51 min.) "You can’t pull switches on a crowd. It pulls switches on you."
Have the economists learned from their mistakes during the financial crisis six years ago?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/20/2014 5:00:00 PM

Paul Krugman, the New York Times columnist and Nobel Laureate in Economics, wrote a thoughtful article in September 2009 titled, "How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?" Here is an excerpt that is very relevant for today.

Filed Under: Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment strategy, investor psychology, market forecasts, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:26 min.) "For the Love of God" and Luxury: A Look at a Time-Tested Indicator
Investors should be wary of the "luxury wave"

By Bob Stokes
8/14/2014 3:00:00 PM

From Tulip Mania in the 1600s to the market top in 2007, extremes in the pursuit of luxury have accompanied every financial peak. Learn what's happening in 2014.

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Here's How to Know When the Fed Might Raise Interest Rates
Watching the unemployment rate to see when the Fed may act? There is a better indicator

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/5/2014 9:00:00 PM

The Fed is concerned about a "significant underutilization of labor resources." So, the thinking goes, stronger job growth is when the Fed will move on the rates. Perhaps. But there is one other Fed indicator worth paying attention to.

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Interest Rates, stock indexes, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) 4% GDP Growth -- And "The Age-Old Story of Easy Credit"
Subprime lending is ba-ack!

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/30/2014 4:30:00 PM

"The age-old story of easy credit" is in the middle of another chapter. Once again, lenders and borrowers believe that the future is bright enough for the easy money to be paid back. You may ask, what’s wrong with such optimism?

Filed Under: credit crisis, credit rating, debt, debt crisis, Elliott wave, subprime lending, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) When Do “Wealth Disparity” Alarms Ring the Loudest?
As the “wealth gap” debates rage, new study shows a big slide in the net worth of a typical U.S. household

By Bob Stokes
7/28/2014 2:45:00 PM

A new study shows that the net worth of the typical U.S. household has taken a big slide -- while the rich have grown richer. But did you know that wealth disparity alarms often coincide with major financial tops? Consider 1929, 2000 and 2007. 

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic indicators, Elliott wave, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) U.S. Deflation is Only a Few Time Zones Away
A Look at Deflation in Europe

By Bob Stokes
7/24/2014 3:45:00 PM

The financial media rarely talks about deflation. But, if history is set to repeat, the word will eventually dominate conversations. See a chart that should concern everyone in the U.S.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of England, central banks, deflation, Elliott wave, eurozone, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Today's Housing Price Trend is "Strikingly Similar" to the 1920s
Beware the rebound in U.S. home prices

By Bob Stokes
7/23/2014 3:45:00 PM

In the housing sector, yesterday's buyer's market has morphed into today's seller's market. Beware of the partial recovery in housing prices. Today's real estate trend is "strikingly similar" to the 1920s.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, foreclosures, home sales, housing prices, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Why the Fed's Inflationary Policy Has Proven Impotent
Money velocity slows sharply

By Bob Stokes
7/16/2014 3:30:00 PM

Central banks control monetary policy but they cannot drive investor psychology. That's why the economy continues to struggle after five-plus years of unprecedented stimulus. The deflationary psychology to come will have historically dire consequences.

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Query the Financial Past to Glimpse the Economic Future
Why the glowing jobs report was no surprise

By Bob Stokes
7/7/2014 4:00:00 PM

Market bulls are raving about the better-than-expected jobless figure. They see market prices headed higher -- much higher. Learn why they have "cause and effect" backwards. 

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, U.S. STOCK MARKET, unemployment, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Elusive Recovery for Big Retail: Will Your Favorite Store Soon Close?
Fewer customers shop at the world's largest retailer

By Bob Stokes
6/30/2014 2:45:00 PM

Revenue and customer traffic are down at the nation's largest retailer. Other big-name retailers are closing stores. All the while, the stock market may have been forming a unique long-term pattern.

Filed Under: consumer spending, economic indicators, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Is That Deflation Knocking on the Door?
The U.S. economy contracts way more than "expected"

By Bob Stokes
6/25/2014 4:30:00 PM

Financial optimism remains elevated even as the U.S. economy suffers its worst contraction since 2009. Now, EWI sees evidence that an even bigger economic shift is afoot.

Filed Under: consumer confidence, economic indicators, Elliott wave, gross domestic product (GDP), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Part II: The Fed, GDP & Economy: What’s Elliott Wave International’s View?
Why the Fed has not been the answer

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/19/2014 10:30:00 AM

Another eye-opening clip from a new, 55-minute, in-depth workshop EWI's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg delivered at the Las Vegas MoneyShow in May. Watch.

Filed Under: debt, debt downgrade, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, steve hochberg, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


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© 2014 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.