Elliott Wave International - Expert Financial Market Forecasting

S&P: Much Ado About... 5.5 Percent The time to get excited about this rally was probably back in March. by Vadim Pokhlebkin 11/20/2009 5:15:00 PM When the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied above 10,000 in mid-October, it understandably got a lot of attention from Wall Street and Main Street. But the time to get excited about this rally was back in March. Investors who waited until the economy improved enough to give them confidence to buy stocks again did so just as the rally slowed to a virtual halt. Filed Under: Robert Prechter, DJIA, s&p, bull market Category: Stocks

Commodities Feast of Opportunities: Dig In by Alexandra Lienhard 11/20/2009 4:30:00 PM As you wait for that frozen turkey to thaw, there's plenty of time to indulge in the analytical "feast" that awaits you regarding the world's largest commodity markets. Elliott Wave International's chief commodity analyst Jeffrey Kennedy sets the commodity table with mouth-watering insight in his just-published November Monthly Futures Junctures. Filed Under: cocoa, commodites, Corn, lean hogs, orange juice, soybean, sugar Category: Commodities

Bonds: How Will They Do in a Deflation? by Susan C. Walker 11/20/2009 3:45:00 PM Investors got burned twice over the past few years: first it was the drop in the stock market, then in commodities in 2008. So now they are piling into bonds. How will that turn out? Filed Under: bonds, depression, deflation Category: Classic Prechter

Why Your FDIC-Backed Bank Could Fail by Editorial Staff 11/20/2009 2:15:00 PM The following analysis by Bob Prechter is excerpted from the free Club EWI report, Discover the Top 100 Safest U.S. Banks. With 130 bank failures expected by the end of this year, we hope you’ll find this information more valuable than ever. Filed Under: Club EWI Category: Classic Prechter

Gold and the Dow: The exceptions, or the rule? Nothing is more perilous for an investor than to think exceptions are the rule by Robert Folsom 11/19/2009 5:15:00 PM Alas, too much enthusiasm based on too little evidence is common to ALL bubbles, big or small. So here's where it gets tangible: Gold prices have recently pushed to all-time highs, the Dow Industrials to a new yearly high. But gold and the Dow have done this ALONE, as in NO other equity indices or commodities have followed... Filed Under: Category: Stocks

China's Bull: Don't Rest On Its Economic Laurels Don't bet on China's "strong economic fundamentals" to save its stock market. by Nico Isaac 11/19/2009 1:45:00 PM To many, China's recent economic data suggests their bull market is here to stay: The 3rd quarter 2009 saw a 16% leap in industrial production and retail sales, and a strong rise in GDP to 8.9%... Does that sound familiar? IT SHOULD. Just two years ago, China's economic numbers were similarly strong. Yet do you remember what Chinese stocks did in 2007? Take a look at this chart -- it's a good remind that economic growth is NOT what drives the stock market. Filed Under: china, Shanghai Composite, chinese stocks, bull market, industrial production, retail sales, GDP Category: Stocks

14,700 Americans disclose offshore accounts; how will Swiss markets react? IRS v UBS by R. Ian Forrest 11/19/2009 11:30:00 AM As of yesterday's deadline, it looks like US citizens decided that keeping a numbered account in a private bank is more scary than paying taxes. Switzerland's economy is highly dependent on financial services, and an estimated one-third of all offshore accounts are held there. Sounds like doom for the Swiss Market Index (SMI), right? Filed Under: Switzerland, smi, UBS, IRS, Europe, Tax, banking Category: European Markets

The Hidden Engine of the Eugenics Movement A history lesson in social control by Alan Hall 11/18/2009 2:15:00 PM The eugenics movement began during a bull market in the late 1800s. At first, it gained respect among many in the upper and educated classes with the premise that the human race can improve itself by controlling who can procreate. But like a societal version of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde, a later succession of bear markets morphed eugenics into a rationale for genocide. Filed Under: Eugenics movement, socionomics, overpopulation, climate change, environmentalism, waves of social mood Category: Cultural Trends

VIDEO: How Social Mood Trends Define Popular Culture by Neil Beers 11/17/2009 4:30:00 PM In the following two clips from The Socionomics Institute's documentary History's Hidden Engine,you'll see clearly that extremes in popular cultural trends coincide with extremes in stock prices, since they peak and trough coincidentally in their reflection of the popular mood. Filed Under: social mood, social trends, socionomics, music, movies, Disney, popular culture Category: Cultural Trends

U.S. Dollar "Flies": A Blip or Start of Something Big? Bernanke wants to ensure strong dollar; Trichet concurs. What do Elliott wave patterns say? by Vadim Pokhlebkin 11/17/2009 2:30:00 PM The Fed's chairman Bernanke said on Monday they were watching currencies markets to "help ensure that the dollar is strong"; the ECB's Trichet said that Bernanke's statement was "very important." Apparently, forex traders interpreted both comments as bullish for the dollar... but if you've been watching the EUR/USD's Elliott wave patterns, you didn't have to wait for the morning news to tell you that. See this chart... Filed Under: Bernanke, Trichet, u.s. dollar, euro, forex, foreign exchange, Currencies Category: Currencies

Impulses, Corrections, And An Explosive Rally For One Major Market by Nico Isaac 11/17/2009 1:15:00 PM Today we are going back to the basics and reviewing the two modes of Elliott wave developement: the impulsive (or "motive") and corrective pattern. Learn to tell these two forms apart, and the rest is a "walk" in the technical "park." Filed Under: Commodities, impulse, correction, third wave Category: Commodities

It's Not Science Fiction, Isaac, it's Socionomics by Neil Beers 11/17/2009 1:00:00 PM In the 1940s, renowned science fiction writer Isaac Asimov began writing a trilogy of novels called the Foundation Series. Asimov’s protagonist discovers and develops “psychohistory,” a mathematical science that statistically predicts the general course of future events for large groups of people. As it turns out, Asimov’s idea was actually science, minus the fiction. In the 1930s, a decade prior to Asimov's initial Foundation stories, Ralph Nelson Elliott made a discovery that became key to the development of socionomics, a new science of social prediction. Filed Under: socionomics, socionomist, wars, social mood, Isaac Asimov, psychohistory Category: Cultural Trends

General Motors Corp. No More: Foreseeable Fate by Nico Isaac 11/16/2009 4:15:00 PM General Motors has just issued its first public income statement since emerging from the ashes of bankruptcy four months ago. The results for the "New GM"? Well, mixed... All of which is to say, "Old GM" -- the former icon of American manufacturing -- is no more. Filed Under: General Motors Corp., General Motors Company, New GM, Old GM, GM Co. Category: Economy

Key To Trading Success: Ignore Nature's Laws? by Editorial Staff 11/13/2009 7:30:00 PM The following is excerpted from Robert Prechter’s Independent Investor eBook. The 75-page eBook is a compilation of Prechter’s writings that challenge conventional financial market assumptions. You may download the eBook, free. Filed Under: Club EWI Category: Classic Prechter

Oil's Recent Selloff Defies One Kind of Logic (CHART) ... And obeys another by Nico Isaac 11/13/2009 4:00:00 PM Just when you think you've got a handle on the way certain fundamentals affect the market of your choice -- POOF! The rules change. Take, for example, the supposed set-in-stone logic that prices of crude oil rise when two things happen: The U.S. dollar loses and gold gains. As recently as late October 2009 -- with oil prices soaring to their highest level for the year -- this correlation was a constant mainstay of the mainstream financial media. Here, the following news sources from the time... Filed Under: Crude oil, oil, Energy, u.s. dollar, Gold Category: Energy

Cross-Straits Negotiations and the TAIEX: What's Next for Taiwan? by R. Ian Forrest 11/13/2009 3:30:00 PM Will closer ties to China improve or impair Taiwan's economy? Are the best years passed or yet to come? Is it time to get in or out of the TAIEX? What's next for the NTD? What can recent news items can tell us about what's most likely to happen next? Filed Under: Taiwan, TAIEX, Asia-Pacific Category: Asian Markets

Hyperinflation Worries Laid to Rest, Part II There is one major difference between Zimbabwe and the U.S. by Jason Farkas 11/13/2009 11:30:00 AM In Part II of this article, EWI's Jason Farkas explains further why hyperinflation in the U.S. is likely not something we should worry about over the next few years -- and what signs to look for when it does become a real threat. Filed Under: Robert Prechter, conquer the crash, inflation, hyperinflation, deflation, deficit spending, Zimbabwe, quantitative easing Category: Economy

Cocoa: Has the Commodity Star Lost Its Luster? by Nico Isaac 11/12/2009 3:00:00 PM This time last month, cocoa prices were sweeter than a Hershey bar dipped in honey. To wit: In mid October, the market was orbiting its highest level in 30 years. And, according to the mainstream financial experts, a perfect bullish fundamental storm was set to blow the roof off of cocoa's upside limits. Filed Under: Commodities, cocoa, futures Category: Commodities

Hyperinflation Worries Laid to Rest, Part I There is one major difference between Zimbabwe and the U.S. by Jason Farkas 11/12/2009 1:30:00 PM The situation in the U.S. situation is different from bouts with hyperinflation in Argentina, Mexico and Brazil. It also seems reasonable to examine hyperinflation in another nation -- Zimbabwe -- in order to answer a few important questions... Filed Under: Robert Prechter, conquer the crash, inflation, hyperinflation, deflation, deficit spending, Zimbabwe Category: Economy

VIDEO (Forex): Often, Basic Elliott Is All You Need "Simple" can be powerful. by Vadim Pokhlebkin 11/10/2009 3:15:00 PM Every Friday, Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens records a weekly video for the subscribers of his intensive Currency Specialty Service. In the one you are about to watch, Jim explains how the same basic pattern that R.N. Elliott discovered back in the 1930s is often all you need to make forecasts -- for the EUR/USD, in this example. Filed Under: eur/usd, Elliott Category: Currencies

S&P: Much Ado About... 5.5 Percent The time to get excited about this rally was probably back in March.

Gold and the Dow: The exceptions, or the rule? Nothing is more perilous for an investor than to think exceptions are the rule

China's Bull: Don't Rest On Its Economic Laurels Don't bet on China's "strong economic fundamentals" to save its stock market.

14,700 Americans disclose offshore accounts; how will Swiss markets react? IRS v UBS

The Hidden Engine of the Eugenics Movement A history lesson in social control

U.S. Dollar "Flies": A Blip or Start of Something Big? Bernanke wants to ensure strong dollar; Trichet concurs. What do Elliott wave patterns say?

Oil's Recent Selloff Defies One Kind of Logic (CHART) ... And obeys another

Hyperinflation Worries Laid to Rest, Part II There is one major difference between Zimbabwe and the U.S.

Hyperinflation Worries Laid to Rest, Part I There is one major difference between Zimbabwe and the U.S.

VIDEO (Forex): Often, Basic Elliott Is All You Need "Simple" can be powerful.

S&P: Much Ado About... 5.5 Percent
The time to get excited about this rally was probably back in March.

Gold and the Dow: The exceptions, or the rule?
Nothing is more perilous for an investor than to think exceptions are the rule

China's Bull: Don't Rest On Its Economic Laurels
Don't bet on China's "strong economic fundamentals" to save its stock market.

14,700 Americans disclose offshore accounts; how will Swiss markets react?
IRS v UBS

The Hidden Engine of the Eugenics Movement
A history lesson in social control

U.S. Dollar "Flies": A Blip or Start of Something Big?
Bernanke wants to ensure strong dollar; Trichet concurs. What do Elliott wave patterns say?

Oil's Recent Selloff Defies One Kind of Logic (CHART)
... And obeys another

Hyperinflation Worries Laid to Rest, Part II
There is one major difference between Zimbabwe and the U.S.

Hyperinflation Worries Laid to Rest, Part I
There is one major difference between Zimbabwe and the U.S.

VIDEO (Forex): Often, Basic Elliott Is All You Need
"Simple" can be powerful.