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Nikkei 225: Why the May 2013 Crash Was Just a Correction
The triangle interpretation of the price action since May 2013 has served Elliott wave investors well for seven months.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/6/2014 4:15:00 PM

Before it dropped 7.3% on May 22, 2013 -- “one of its worst single-day declines in decades (WSJ) -- the Nikkei 225 was up 50.3% on the year, and up 12.7% in May alone. By the time the carnage was over, the Nikkei had fallen from near 16,000 to near 12,500 -- all in a matter of about three weeks. Yet, as dire as it looked at the time, here is why it became clear to us that the crash was only part of a correction.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Bank of Japan, bull market, Elliott wave, Nikkei, technical analysis, trade targets

Category: Asian Markets


Israel and Iran: Leaving the Dark Days Behind
See the chart that shows how these nations are more similar than they think

By Editorial Staff
12/20/2013 3:15:00 PM

The deeply rooted distrust between Israel and Iran continues to divide these two Middle Eastern nations. But they are more similar than they think, in terms of social mood and the Wave Principle.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Elliott Wave Principle, social mood, socionomics

Category: Asian Markets


Nikkei 225: Upside Breakout or a Head Fake?
Prices move northward from a triangle formation

By Bob Stokes
11/12/2013 3:30:00 PM

Japan's Nikkei 225 turned in a strong Nov. 12 session with prices trying to break free from a congested trading range. Is this the breakout that bulls have been waiting for?

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chris Carolan, Elliott wave, Nikkei

Category: Asian Markets


Super Swoon in the Shanghai Composite Index
Soaring interest rates did not kick the bottom out from under China's stock market

By Nico Isaac
6/24/2013 5:30:00 PM

On the evening of June 23, stargazers across the globe beheld the aptly named Supermoon. The largest (i.e., closest to the earth) full moon of the year emitted a bright, pinkish glow to also earn the nickname Strawberry moon. The next morning on June 24, stock gazers took in a similar spectacle: a Superswoon in Asian stock markets that emitted a similarly bright, reddish glow across the board

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chinese markets, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


The Nikkei's Massive Plunge: Get a More Satisfying Explanation
The Nikkei's price charts have been telling the whole story all along – if you could see it

By Nathaniel Williams
5/23/2013 6:00:00 PM

Here's what we said in early May: "The [Nikkei] has continued advancing on lower momentum and volume than seen earlier in the rally. In addition, sentiment as measured by the Nikkei 225 Daily Sentiment Index, remains near elevated levels that have coincided with significant tops in the past. Thus, our main indicators are signaling that the rally since late 2012 is near its end." So, what happened? On May 23, the Nikkei dropped more than 7%.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Elliott Wave Principle, Nikkei

Category: Asian Markets


Australia's Banking Boom: Knock on Wood
How Elliott wave analysis -- not luck -- propelled the ASX 200's rally to five-year highs

By Nico Isaac
5/6/2013 6:00:00 PM

In April 2013, use of the 'b' word -- as in "bubble" showed up in a surprising region of the world: the Australian banking sector. Turns out that major Aussie lenders have enjoyed a powerful upswing since the start of the year. As a recent Wall Street Journal article wrote: "It's astonishing given the size of Australia, its population, economy and banking system, relative to other countries like the US, China, Japan and the UK."

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, banks, credit crisis, Elliott wave, financial forecast

Category: Asian Markets


Why China's Stock Market Defied the Fundamentals
See how the fundamentals failed -- while the Elliott waves prevailed -- in China

By Nathaniel Williams
3/5/2013 9:15:00 AM

If you follow fundamental analysis, then you may remember that financial, economic and geopolitical events -- along with pessimistic forecasts -- seemed deeply ominous for Chinese markets in late 2012. Yet in the midst of a near-unanimous chorus of bears, one voice went against the grain with a starkly different message...

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chinese markets, Chris Carolan

Category: Asian Markets


See the 'Bearish Opportunity' Forecast that Preceded Malaysia's Recent 4 Percent Plunge
Here’s how The Asian-Pacific Short Term Update anticipated the drop

By Nathaniel Williams
1/24/2013 10:30:00 AM

When Malaysian stocks plummeted 4.4% in two days, mainstream financial analysts immediately cast about for an explanation. But before the plunge -- and before the media's after-the-fact blame game -- EWI's Asian-Pacific Short Term Update anticipated the developing storm. Here's how ...

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chris Carolan

Category: Asian Markets


Asian-Pacific Stocks: The MANY Surprises Directly Ahead
Inside EWI's October 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/5/2012 5:45:00 PM

Anywhere you go, most investors are conditioned to believe that bad news -- be that bad economy, a threat of war, or any other turmoil -- are bad for the stock market. Conversely, the same investors believe that the absence of negative factors is bullish for stocks. That is exactly why so many investors will be surprised by the stock market trends in the Asian-Pacific region in the weeks ahead. See, from an Elliott wave perspective...

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Asian Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: On the Edge
South Africa and Peru: Our new, August Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast also gives you forecasts for these two emerging markets

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/30/2012 5:45:00 PM

"Australian and Japanese stocks have arrived at crucial junctures... Other Asian-Pacific stock markets have arrived at similar crossroads. What happens in the region’s markets in the next several weeks should determine the trend over the next several months and even beyond." That's the opening paragraph of our latest August Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast. And here are some specifics...

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index

Category: Asian Markets


Wave Analysis vs. Fundamentals: Which Anticipated the 12% Plunge in China's Shanghai Composite?
Two views before the drop, but only one was right

By Nathaniel Williams
7/27/2012 10:15:00 AM

Think back to early May: China's Shanghai Composite was near its 2012 highs -- and at a critical crossroads. Where would it go next?

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chinese markets, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


See the "Most Powerful Wave Pattern" Unfold in Real Time
The Asian-Pacific Short Term Update forecasted a "potential massive third-wave rally" at multiple degrees of trend

By Nathaniel Williams
6/7/2012 12:30:00 PM

It's exciting to recognize that a third wave is forming on a price chart; even more exciting when it's a third of a third of a third wave. Confusing? See this price chart of the Russian ruble, and it will all become clear.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chris Carolan, Elliott Wave trading, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: DON'T "Sell in May and Go Away"?
The Asia-Pacific region broke this old rule more than once. What about 2012?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/4/2012 5:45:00 PM

At the 2nd annual Social Mood Conference in April, one speaker delivered an interesting insight: Every year, stock market returns in May-October average only about 50% of the returns in November-April. Important information, yes -- but did you realize that May-October in 2003, 2007 and 2009 were great periods to hold Asian-Pacific equities? What about 2012, you may wonder?

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment strategy, Nikkei, Shanghai Composite Index, stock indexes, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Indonesia: How Elliott Wave Analysis Turned BULLISH When Few Dared, Part II
EWI's Asian-Pacific stock market analyst explains the unique benefits of Elliott wave analysis for emerging market investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/2/2012 2:00:00 PM

This is Part II of my interview with EWI's Mark Galasiewski, a monthly contributor to the "Asian-Pacific Stocks Section" of our Global Market Perspective -- a comprehensive, 50-page monthly publication for global investors. -- Mark, you use Elliott wave analysis as your chosen forecasting method. Why Elliott? Why not just watch the news like most investors do? -- Mark Galasiewski: Well, the example I already showed you...

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, Greek debt, Indian markets, Indian Rupee, investment strategy, Korean Won, Nikkei, risk management, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Singapore Dollar, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Global Markets


3 Market Tops in Asia: See Wave Analysis Work in Real Time
The Wave Principle gives you the how and the why behind Asian markets

By Nathaniel Williams
3/15/2012 5:45:00 PM

When Bangladesh's Dhaka General Index completed a five-wave impulsive advance from its 2009 low and then plunged below the uptrend line that had supported its advance from its 2009 low, EWI's analyst hypothesized that the event marked the start of another topping process in the region.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, emerging markets

Category: Asian Markets


See Japan's Nikkei Follow the Elliott Wave Script for 2 Months
The Asian-Pacific Short Term Update kept readers ahead of the Nikkei's price swings

By Nathaniel Williams
2/29/2012 7:30:00 PM

Like every other form of financial forecasting, the Wave Principle is about probabilities, not certainties. But with this clear example, you can see how practical and actionable Elliott wave analysis can be for your trading.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chris Carolan, Keltner channels

Category: Asian Markets


VIDEO: What Is the Probability for an Upside Move in India's S&P Nifty Index?
And what you can watch to confirm this hunch

By Paul DeBoer
1/18/2012 8:00:00 PM

In this 3-minute video excerpt from the Jan. 3 Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, analyst Chris Carolan explains the affect the rupee has on the S&P Nifty Index and what it may indicate for the intermediate term.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chris Carolan, currency, Indian markets, Indian Rupee

Category: Asian Markets


Explosive Move in Asia: See the Wave Principle in Action
A case of seeing the forest (waves) rather than the trees (fundamentals)

By Nathaniel Williams
11/23/2011 3:00:00 PM

While the financial media focus on explaining why the markets move, they can miss the real market story. See how the Wave Principle caught an impending move in the rupee.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Indian Rupee

Category: Asian Markets


Hang Seng's Worst Quarter in 10 Years: Can You Stay Ahead of the Trend?
Equip yourself to ride the near-term trends that others miss in Asian-Pacific markets

By Nathaniel Williams
10/3/2011 2:15:00 PM

It's official: Asian-Pacific stocks just had their worst quarter since 2008. Yet some markets' woes are even more staggering: like Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index, which sealed its worst quarter in a decade. It's been difficult for traders to navigate these stormy seas of market volatility. That's why you should have a co-pilot on board...

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chris Carolan, Nikkei, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Singapore Dollar

Category: Asian Markets


Korean Won, Singapore Dollar, and Indian Rupee: Feels Like 2008 Again?
See the charts from the Asian-Pacific Short Term Update

By Andrea Dibben
9/30/2011 3:15:00 PM

EWI's Asian-Pacific Short Term Update editor Chris Carolan warned his subscribers ahead of time that Elliott wave patterns were pointing to a sharp rally in the U.S. dollar against Asian currencies.

Filed Under: currency, Chris Carolan, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Korean Won, Singapore Dollar, Indian Rupee, Asia Dollar Index

Category: Asian Markets


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.