Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Growing Debt Accelerates Worldwide Economic Contraction
Big asset manager calls for 60% chance of global recession in the next 3-5 years.

By Bob Stokes
6/12/2013 4:30:00 PM

A big asset management firm says recessions come about every six years, and global debt has increased since the recession that began in 2007. So the firm has raised its estimate of a worldwide recession to over 60% in the next 3-5 years. But much of the world already appears to be facing economic challenges. Robert Prechter argues that "recession" is not the right word to describe the state of the global economy.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, BRIC, CNBC, credit crisis, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, emerging markets, European debt crisis, Indian markets, liquidity, Robert Prechter, Shanghai Composite Index, Sovereign Debt, Wall Street, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


BRIC Currencies: The Brazilian Real
Is the currency set to strengthen against the U.S. dollar?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/17/2013 8:30:00 PM

At Elliott Wave International, we apply Elliott wave analysis to more than 40 global markets. While the major ones usually steal the spotlight, the insights you gain by applying the method to the markets that don't normally make the headlines are worth seeing. Take the Brazilian real, for example...

Filed Under: BRIC, currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, forex, U.S. dollar

Category: Global Markets


5 Years After the Peak, Is China Set to Sink -- or SOAR?
What Elliott waves said about China's past -- and what they are saying NOW about its future.

By Nathaniel Williams
10/19/2012 6:15:00 PM

You may have noticed that when the U.S. Presidential candidates'aren't blasting each other, they hammer China. Both Mr. Obama and Mr. Romney want to "get tough" on China. The Obama administration recently backed up its rhetoric by blocking a Chinese company from building a wind farm near a Navy base.
 
But even beyond U.S. political mudslinging, China can't seem to catch a break.

Filed Under: BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment strategy, sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


Asian-Pacific Stocks: Don't Get Too Comfortable
Egypt, Israel and Turkey: This month's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast also includes forecasts for those markets

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/29/2012 5:30:00 PM

It's always darkest before the dawn, goes the saying. Yet if that's true, then wouldn't the opposite be just as true? "Asian Stocks Head for Biggest Gain This Year on Europe Progress‎," reported the June 29 San Francisco Chronicle. How much longer will we see "sunny" headlines like this one? The latest, July issue of our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast shows you what no one else does...

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, buy and hold, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Indian markets, investment strategy, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index

Category: Asian Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: To Sell -- or Not To Sell?
That is the question... you may be asking yourself after the big selloff in May. We believe you'll find your answer here.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/1/2012 9:00:00 PM

Quick: Name the tallest skyscraper in the world. Yes: Burj Khalifa in Dubai. How about the world's tallest tower? The Eiffel Tower, you say? No. It's the new Skytree that's just opened in Tokyo. The Japanese aren't alone in their desire to reach for the sky. In Jakarta, the developers of the $2b Signature Tower “think that this is the right moment for building the tower,” too. Why would an investment newsletter like ours talk about tall towers, you ask? Because almost all of the world's tallest buildings have famously appeared only at a certain point in the stock market's Elliott wave pattern.

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment strategy, safe haven, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: DON'T "Sell in May and Go Away"?
The Asia-Pacific region broke this old rule more than once. What about 2012?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/4/2012 5:45:00 PM

At the 2nd annual Social Mood Conference in April, one speaker delivered an interesting insight: Every year, stock market returns in May-October average only about 50% of the returns in November-April. Important information, yes -- but did you realize that May-October in 2003, 2007 and 2009 were great periods to hold Asian-Pacific equities? What about 2012, you may wonder?

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment strategy, Nikkei, Shanghai Composite Index, stock indexes, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Indonesia: How Elliott Wave Analysis Turned BULLISH When Few Dared. Part I
EWI's Asian-Pacific stock market analyst explains the unique benefits of Elliott wave analysis for emerging market investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/26/2012 3:15:00 PM

Today, you truly have the world at your fingertips. It’s easier than ever for you to get exposure to global markets, especially given the explosion in ETFs. But how do you decide which market is most worthy of your attention? And how do you know if your forecasting source is qualified and objective? With that in mind, I sat down with EWI's Mark Galasiewski, a monthly contributor to the "Asian-Pacific Stocks Section" of our Global Market Perspective.

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, buy and hold, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment decisions, investment strategy, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, stock indexes, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Global Markets


April is Half-Way Over. What Will the 2nd Half Bring?
With more than 50 charts on 50 pages, Global Market Perspective is the most comprehensive source of independent, insightful global Elliott wave analysis you'll ever find

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2012 3:45:00 PM

At the start of April, few investors anticipated any trouble ahead. March ended strong, and the majority of financial pundits and investors we convinced that April would also not disappoint. That one-sided bullishness was one (of many) reason why on March 30, the April issue of our comprehensive Global Market Perspective issued these warnings to subscribers...

Filed Under: AEX, AIG, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, euro, eurozone, FTSE, Indian markets, investment decisions, investment strategy, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Swiss Market Index (SMI), Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Global Markets


Invest in Hong Kong, Australia, China? Then See Why Waves in Pakistani and Cambodian Stocks Matter to YOU
Inside EWI's April 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/30/2012 6:15:00 PM

It's been three years since March 2009, when our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast turned bullish on the Asian-Pacific region. Most emerging markets in Asia have since then continued to support that bullish view: Many regional stock indexes have advanced in the impulsive Elliott wave pattern we expected. Of course, markets do go through periods of regress. How soon should you expect one to begin -- if at all? The April 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast gives you a specific answer on page 1.

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, emerging markets, financial forecast, Indian markets, momentum, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis, volume

Category: Asian Markets


Asian-Pacific Stocks: The Trend IS Your Friend -- But How Do You Know When the Trend Might END?
PLUS, Special Section: Apple, Inc. (AAPL), the Global Bellwether -- all inside EWI's March 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/4/2012 11:30:00 AM

Here's a question that any stock market investor wants answered: How do you know when a rally (or decline) may end? If you look to the economy for an answer, you'll likely be disappointed. Just think back to mid-2007, when the economy was strong -- but, out of the blue, the stock market began a decline that became a crash. Conversely, recall how bad the economy was in March 2009 -- right when stocks hit bottom and began a three-year rally. What's the alternative, then?

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, bull market, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, Indian Rupee, investment strategy, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Asian Markets


Asian-Pacific Stocks: Are the Bull Markets Over?
Inside EWI's October 2011 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/7/2011 11:45:00 PM

At the start of this year, EWI's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast pointed to a trendline break in Bangladesh’s Dhaka General Index and said it was probably the first of many such events that would unfold in 2011 throughout Asia. The May issue added other emerging Asian bull markets that were likely to fall next. Just as forecast, one by one the region’s dominoes have continued to topple this year...

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, BRIC, diversification, Elliott Wave trading, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


As the U.S. Bear Roared, Asian Markets Soared. Will History Repeat Itself?
Inside EWI's September 2011 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/2/2011 5:00:00 PM

During the 16-year-long U.S. bear market in 1966-1982, the DJIA suffered several major declines and ultimately lost 14%. Over the same period, Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 389% and India’s stock market gained 233%. Hong Kong and Singapore achieved even bigger gains. How can that be, you ask -- don't all global stocks move pretty much in unison?

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, technical indicators

Category: Asian Markets


Asian-Pacific Stocks: Not Immune to Debt Crises Shock Waves, Yet Following Their Own Path
Inside EWI's August Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/5/2011 7:00:00 PM

Most investors erroneously assume that global markets all move in unison. Consider the facts...

Filed Under: BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott Wave trading, Nikkei, SENSEX, sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, terrorist attacks

Category: Asian Markets


Focus on Japan, Vietnam and China
Plus 14 more regional stock indexes and sub-indexes -- all inside the new, June issue of EWI's monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/3/2011 5:45:00 PM

Why focus on Japan, Vietnam and China in the weeks ahead, you ask? Editor Mark Galasiewski shows you the answer on the first few pages of the June Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast -- namely, the Elliott wave pattern in these countries' respective stock indexes. There is more...

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, authoritarianism, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, safe haven, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


Asian-Pacific Markets: Average Peak Gain +182%
(Since EWI Turned Bullish on the Region on March 23, 2009)

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/10/2011 4:45:00 PM

Here's what EWI's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast Interim Report told subscribers on March 23, 2009: "In the March 2009 issue of The Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, we showed how pattern, price, time and sentiment considerations were pointing to the end of multi-month, five-wave declines in most major Asian-Pacific indexes by late March. In most cases, those lows have likely been achieved." Since then Asian-Pacific stocks have had a very good run indeed...

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, BRIC, bull market, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical indicators, terrorist attacks

Category: Asian Markets


Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain (PIGS): Cracks in the European Union
Cracks in the European Union are getting alarmingly obvious.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/8/2009 2:00:00 PM

Some of the weakest European countries have their own acronym, which runs counter to the positive overtone of the BRIC economies (Brazil, Russia, India and China). They are collectively called the PIGS (Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain). Each of these economies has problems, but none more so than Greece. And here's why you and other investors should care.

Filed Under: BRIC

Category: European Markets


BRIC Goes Bust?
Brazil, Russia, India, China – what a difference bear market makes.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/11/2009 3:30:00 PM

A couple of years ago, the economic tilt the world had held for the past 50 years seemed to be changing: Quietly, the balance of commercial power was shifting. BRIC was the reason – an acronym for Brazil, Russia, India and China, a powerful new alliance. Well, here we are, three years later, and BRIC is not what it used to be...

Filed Under: BRIC, emerging markets

Category: Stocks


Russia: A Classic Elliott Retracement
Ratings Services: Late Again

By Alan Hall
12/10/2008 4:00:00 PM

On December 8 of this week -- almost nine months after the RTSI peak -- Standard & Poor’s cut Russia’s debt rating, the first such downgrade since 1999. This makes you wonder: what help is a ratings service that identifies risk after the fact?

Filed Under: Ralph Nelson Elliott, BRIC

Category: U.S. Economy



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