Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Understanding Gold's Bear Market from an Elliott Point of View
Fundamental analysis could not prepare for the steepest gold price drop in 32 years

By Nico Isaac
12/17/2013 4:45:00 PM

When even Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke says that he cannot understand the price fluctuations in gold, who do you turn to? Elliott wave analysis. Check out this chart of spot gold near its 2011 high and read what EWI's analysts had to say at the time.

Filed Under: Bank of England, Gold, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


Elliott Wave Analysis: Pound for Pound
GBP/USD surged on Wednesday after a Bank of England statement. But there is more to the story.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/13/2013 5:15:00 PM

At a recent office meeting here at EWI headquarters to discuss computer system upgrades, one of our intraday forex analysts made this humble request: "Could we have a feature that tells us tomorrow’s closing numbers for each market?" Ha ha.

Filed Under: Bank of England, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, financial forecast, forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, investor psychology, sterling, technical analysis, trade targets

Category: Currencies


Hey, FTSE 100 Pundits, Take a (Rate) Hike
Many believe that there’s a consistent correlation between a rise in bank rates and a fall in the Footsie – but it’s not so

By Nico Isaac
8/15/2013 6:45:00 PM

When the FTSE 100 plunged in its biggest single-day drop in two months on August 15, the usual experts looked no further than the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street, otherwise known as the Bank of England. More specifically, when the Bank of England increases interest rates, the Footsie falls; ergo, a rate cut triggers a FTSE rally. Right?

Filed Under: Bank of England, europe, european markets, financial forecast, FTSE, Interest Rates, monetary policy

Category: European Markets


(Video) Huge Sell-Off in FTSE 100: What a Third Wave Looks Like
Third waves are the strongest and fastest parts of a five-wave Elliott wave sequence.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/15/2013 4:45:00 PM

To those familiar with Elliott wave analysis, the phrase "worst intraday fall" sounds like a third wave -- the strongest and fastest part of a five-wave Elliott wave impulse.  Watch this free video to understand more about the FTSE’s sharp drop on August 15.

Filed Under: Bank of England, Bear market, DAX, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, european markets, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis, trade targets

Category: European Markets


UK Banks: Back on Solid Ground?
Our chart of the FTSE 350 Banks Index is only the beginning of the discussion

By Nico Isaac
6/7/2013 3:15:00 PM

In May 2013, Britain's top five banks announced that they will meet capital levels required by the Bank of England without having to sell shares. "This is confirmation that the capital debate is over," began one news source. "The funding problem in the UK is over." So, are they right?

Filed Under: Bank of England, banks, Elliott wave, europe, financial forecast, FTSE

Category: European Markets


"Latter-Day Gatsbys" Push Hamptons Home Rental Prices Toward $1 Million
Today's financial trend comes "once in centuries."

By Bob Stokes
5/28/2013 5:00:00 PM

Some economic commentators say the housing market has bottomed, and the recent rise in residential real estate market activity is a sign of the turnaround. But the renewed strength in real estate is no surprise. Financial history shows that real estate prices tend to trend more-less with the stock market. The question is: Where are we in the trend of financial assets? Consider Robert Prechter's perspective ...

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, all the same market theory, Bank of England, CNBC, economic indicators, Elliott wave, great depression, history, home sales, housing prices, market forecasts, stock indexes

Category: U.S. Economy


Does More Monetary Stimulus Mean Higher Gold Prices? (Update)
Central bank charts of gold prices & stimulus initiatives since Sept. 2011 set the record straight

By Nico Isaac
2/7/2013 12:15:00 PM

I recently discussed the widespread belief that monetary stimulus from global central banks is to gold prices what doping is to Lance Armstrong's cycling speed. Stop the money printing and low interest rates, and you significantly slow down gold's gains. The mainstream notion was again alive and well on Feb. 7, the day of the European Central Banks' latest policy meeting. In the hours leading up to the event, the rumor meter tipped in favor of further vigilance and "opened the door to another rate cut." 

Filed Under: Bank of England, banks, central banks, european central bank, Gold, monetary policy, quantitative easing, stimulus package, Traders, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


GBP/USD Bears: Time to Watch the Market Very Closely
Elliott wave patterns in cable are flashing a warning signal

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/5/2013 4:00:00 PM

GBP has been falling, and so has GBP/USD, the sterling-dollar exchange rate known to forex traders as "cable." This chart from our Currency Specialty Service puts this year's drop in perspective.

Filed Under: Bank of England, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, sterling, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Does More Monetary Stimulus Mean Higher Gold Prices?
Central bank charts of gold prices & stimulus initiatives since Sept. 2011 set the record straight

By Nico Isaac
1/30/2013 5:45:00 PM

Ask any mainstream economist worth his or her salt about the relationship between central bank monetary policy and precious metals, and you'll probably hear something like: Stimulus is to gold prices what doping is to Lance Armstrong's cycling speed. Stop the money printing and low interest rates, and you significantly slow down gold's gains. Are they right? Is there a correlation between monetary easing and rising gold prices?

Filed Under: Bank of England, central banks, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, Interest Rates, monetary policy, quantitative easing, stimulus package, Traders, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


Europe's Return of Risky Debt: Sign of Hope or Dangerous Omen?
EWI's new, November European Financial Forecast highlights the resurgence of a risky debt -- and its implications for the region

By Nathaniel Williams
11/12/2012 1:30:00 PM

By all accounts, the economic and financial realities in Europe seem dire. Yet if you look at the behavior of some credit traders in Europe, you'd never know it. Is their new-found optimism toward risky debt a sign of hope -- or a dangerous omen?

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, Elliott wave, eu, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt

Category: European Markets


Europe in November: Bye, Bye Bear-die?
Inside EWI’s latest, November European Financial Forecast…

By Nico Isaac
11/2/2012 5:00:00 PM

For 4 years, the European economy has been shrouded in the darkness of recession. But now, according to the mainstream experts, tangible "rays of hope" that the worst is finally behind the Continent are finally shining through. For example...

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, FTSE

Category: European Markets


European Bulls & Bears at an Impasse: Who Will Take the Next Move?
Inside EWI's new, October 2012 European Financial Forecast...

By Nico Isaac
10/5/2012 5:45:00 PM

If Europe's finanical landscape were a chess board, the 2 opposing players -- a bull and a bear -- would be at a seeming stalemate. So, do we have a draw? The brand-new October 2012 European Financial Forecast says -- absolutely not...

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


Global Economies and World Financial Markets: How the Big Disconnect Will End
Find out what happens when the two meet

By Bob Stokes
9/5/2012 3:45:00 PM

Will the disconnect between global economies and financial markets continue? EWI believes the answer is "no." Overleveraged financial markets will suffer the fate of overleveraged global economies. Keep in mind: The next financial crisis may start outside of America, so more than ever you need to... 
 
 

Filed Under: all the same market theory, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, CAC40, DAX, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Elliott wave, emerging markets, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, european markets, financial forecast, Greek debt, Indian markets, market crash, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nikkei, S&P 500, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis, Taiwan index, U.S. STOCK MARKET, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


Deflationary Forces Hard at Work in the United Kingdom
Why Great Britain has "very weak demand" for consumer loans

By Bob Stokes
8/10/2012 2:15:00 PM

So much is uniquely British. But the United Kingdom has at least one thing in common with many other countries: a developing economic deflation. Around the globe, many nations have stagnant economies. In Great Britain, the economy is...
 

Filed Under: Bank of England, conquer the crash, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, european central bank, european markets, housing prices, soverign debt crisis

Category: European Markets


What's a Central Bank To Do?
What if the ECB has an ace up its sleeve, and the next round of stimulus FINALLY does the trick?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/1/2012 12:15:00 PM

With so much focus on the hopes of further economic stimuli by central banks, it's important to consider what difference (if any) the already HUGE amount of economic stimulus has made. Let's look at Europe.

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, Ben Bernanke, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, golden ratio, Interest Rates, International Monetary Fund (IMF), monetary policy, quantitative easing, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


The European Economy: Game Over -- OR -- Play Till It Wins?
Inside our new, August 2012 European Financial Forecast

By Nico Isaac
7/27/2012 4:15:00 PM

Europe's 2-year long economic Whac-A-Mole game continues. Central banks across the Continent use their giant "mallets" of bond buybacks, rate cuts, and bailouts to hit ONE crisis over the head -- only to have another one savagely pop up in the opposite corner. So, will Europe's monetary authorities be able to "whack" all the reoccurring "moles" before their time runs out?

Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, euro, euro stoxx 50, european central bank, European debt crisis, FTSE, International Monetary Fund (IMF), quantitative easing, safe haven, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


(Video) ECB and BOE: Why Quantitative Easing Won't Work
Watch minute 2:20 of this free webinar clip for a very vivid answer

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/20/2012 5:00:00 PM

Today's magic bullet for fighting the ongoing global economic troubles are the monetary stimulus and quantitative easing programs enacted by the major central banks. Will all these programs work? Probably not. Why? Watch minute 2:20 of this webinar clip recorded by our European analyst Brian Whitmer for a very vivid answer.

Filed Under: Bank of England, debt crisis, european central bank, European debt crisis, Interest Rates, monetary policy, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Global Markets


EUR/USD Falls, But Don't Blame the European Central Bank
The ECB did reduce the key interest rate to a record low 0.75% -- but that's NOT why the euro weakened on July 5

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/6/2012 12:15:00 AM

On July 5, the European Central Bank reduced interest rates to .75%, a record low. In theory, that makes euro-denominated assets less attractive to investors. Hence the drop in the value of the euro against the U.S. dollar to a 1-month low on July 5th, said the pundits. Except that, the ECB rate cut was not why EUR/USD fell that day.

Filed Under: Bank of England, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, forex, forex trading, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Will Europe's Economic Wildfire Finally Be Contained?
Inside our new, July 2012 European Financial Forecast...

By Nico Isaac
6/29/2012 6:00:00 PM

The raging inferno of soaring bond yields and plunging stock markets has been spreading across Europe, jumping from Greece to Portugal to Spain to Italy. But according to the mainstream experts, there is one way to snuff out the flames: fly rescue planes over the blaze and dump emergency lending, low interest rates, and monetary policy from the skies above. And from the ashes, new growth will emerge. So, are they right?

 

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, central banks, DAX, debt crisis, debt downgrade, diversification, Elliott wave, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, inflation, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


The British Economy is Falling Down: "Depressed by Extreme Uncertainty"
Consumer prices falling down, falling down...

By Bob Stokes
6/21/2012 2:00:00 PM

Recession is the official economic label. However, depression is the word that best describes the state of the British economy. In a June 14 speech, Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said...

Filed Under: Bank of England, central banks, credit crisis, deflation, economic depression, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, FTSE, quantitative easing

Category: Global Markets


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.