Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Europe: The ONE Economic Comparison That Must Not Be Named... Was Just Named
The Continent is now teetering on the edge of a "Japan-style" deflation. Here's our take on it.

By Nico Isaac
9/29/2014 8:45:00 PM

The economic scenario that must not be named -- "Japan-style Deflation" has been uttered in reference to Europe. From the very beginning, Elliott Wave International foresaw that this day would come, despite the efforts of central banks.

Filed Under: bailouts, Bank of England, central banks, charts, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, forecasts, inflation, Interest Rates, world central banks

Category: European Markets


(Video) U.S. Deflation is Only a Few Time Zones Away
A Look at Deflation in Europe

By Bob Stokes
7/24/2014 3:45:00 PM

The financial media rarely talks about deflation. But, if history is set to repeat, the word will eventually dominate conversations. See a chart that should concern everyone in the U.S.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of England, central banks, deflation, Elliott wave, eurozone, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) The Leaning Tower of Europe's Economy
Two amazing charts show you how interest rate cuts and government bailouts have failed to prop up the pillars of economic growth

By Nico Isaac
6/2/2014 5:15:00 PM

In 2008, Europe's economy came crashing down. Ever since, the EU's monetary engineers have been trying to stabilize the sinking consumer foundation and sliding banking sector. Yet, take a look at these two charts.

Filed Under: bailouts, Bank of England, banks, charts, consumer price index, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, Interest Rates, video

Category: European Markets


British FTSE 100: “Chaotic”? Hardly
How a classic Elliott wave pattern warned you of a rally – and a top – in the FTSE

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/30/2014 5:30:00 PM

British stocks have had a jolly rough year so far. Put more bluntly, they’ve been a pain in the arse for investors. (Pardon my French.) This chart tells you why...

Filed Under: Bank of England, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, european markets, European Union (EU), FTSE, technical analysis

Category: European Markets


EURUSD: First, a New High for 2014, Then – a Crash!
The euro was destined to rise AND fall “with or without the news” from central banks – see the charts below to understand why

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/9/2014 6:00:00 PM

What a week. On Thursday (May 8) the euro hit a new high  for 2014 against the U.S. dollar. But the gains didn’t hold: Soon after EURUSD reversed and fell hard. Why? We’ll give you two explanations...

Filed Under: Bank of England, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, trade targets, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Understanding Gold's Bear Market from an Elliott Point of View
Fundamental analysis could not prepare for the steepest gold price drop in 32 years

By Nico Isaac
12/17/2013 4:45:00 PM

When even Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke says that he cannot understand the price fluctuations in gold, who do you turn to? Elliott wave analysis. Check out this chart of spot gold near its 2011 high and read what EWI's analysts had to say at the time.

Filed Under: Bank of England, Gold, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


Elliott Wave Analysis: Pound for Pound
GBP/USD surged on Wednesday after a Bank of England statement. But there is more to the story.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/13/2013 5:15:00 PM

At a recent office meeting here at EWI headquarters to discuss computer system upgrades, one of our intraday forex analysts made this humble request: "Could we have a feature that tells us tomorrow’s closing numbers for each market?" Ha ha.

Filed Under: Bank of England, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, financial forecast, forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, investor psychology, sterling, technical analysis, trade targets

Category: Currencies


Hey, FTSE 100 Pundits, Take a (Rate) Hike
Many believe that there’s a consistent correlation between a rise in bank rates and a fall in the Footsie – but it’s not so

By Nico Isaac
8/15/2013 6:45:00 PM

When the FTSE 100 plunged in its biggest single-day drop in two months on August 15, the usual experts looked no further than the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street, otherwise known as the Bank of England. More specifically, when the Bank of England increases interest rates, the Footsie falls; ergo, a rate cut triggers a FTSE rally. Right?

Filed Under: Bank of England, europe, european markets, financial forecast, FTSE, Interest Rates, monetary policy

Category: European Markets


(Video) Huge Sell-Off in FTSE 100: What a Third Wave Looks Like
Third waves are the strongest and fastest parts of a five-wave Elliott wave sequence.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/15/2013 4:45:00 PM

To those familiar with Elliott wave analysis, the phrase "worst intraday fall" sounds like a third wave -- the strongest and fastest part of a five-wave Elliott wave impulse.  Watch this free video to understand more about the FTSE’s sharp drop on August 15.

Filed Under: Bank of England, Bear market, DAX, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, european markets, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis, trade targets

Category: European Markets


UK Banks: Back on Solid Ground?
Our chart of the FTSE 350 Banks Index is only the beginning of the discussion

By Nico Isaac
6/7/2013 3:15:00 PM

In May 2013, Britain's top five banks announced that they will meet capital levels required by the Bank of England without having to sell shares. "This is confirmation that the capital debate is over," began one news source. "The funding problem in the UK is over." So, are they right?

Filed Under: Bank of England, banks, Elliott wave, europe, financial forecast, FTSE

Category: European Markets


"Latter-Day Gatsbys" Push Hamptons Home Rental Prices Toward $1 Million
Today's financial trend comes "once in centuries."

By Bob Stokes
5/28/2013 5:00:00 PM

Some economic commentators say the housing market has bottomed, and the recent rise in residential real estate market activity is a sign of the turnaround. But the renewed strength in real estate is no surprise. Financial history shows that real estate prices tend to trend more-less with the stock market. The question is: Where are we in the trend of financial assets? Consider Robert Prechter's perspective ...

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, all the same market theory, Bank of England, CNBC, economic indicators, Elliott wave, great depression, history, home sales, housing prices, market forecasts, stock indexes

Category: U.S. Economy


Does More Monetary Stimulus Mean Higher Gold Prices? (Update)
Central bank charts of gold prices & stimulus initiatives since Sept. 2011 set the record straight

By Nico Isaac
2/7/2013 12:15:00 PM

I recently discussed the widespread belief that monetary stimulus from global central banks is to gold prices what doping is to Lance Armstrong's cycling speed. Stop the money printing and low interest rates, and you significantly slow down gold's gains. The mainstream notion was again alive and well on Feb. 7, the day of the European Central Banks' latest policy meeting. In the hours leading up to the event, the rumor meter tipped in favor of further vigilance and "opened the door to another rate cut." 

Filed Under: Bank of England, banks, central banks, european central bank, Gold, monetary policy, quantitative easing, stimulus package, Traders, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


GBP/USD Bears: Time to Watch the Market Very Closely
Elliott wave patterns in cable are flashing a warning signal

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/5/2013 4:00:00 PM

GBP has been falling, and so has GBP/USD, the sterling-dollar exchange rate known to forex traders as "cable." This chart from our Currency Specialty Service puts this year's drop in perspective.

Filed Under: Bank of England, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, sterling, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Does More Monetary Stimulus Mean Higher Gold Prices?
Central bank charts of gold prices & stimulus initiatives since Sept. 2011 set the record straight

By Nico Isaac
1/30/2013 5:45:00 PM

Ask any mainstream economist worth his or her salt about the relationship between central bank monetary policy and precious metals, and you'll probably hear something like: Stimulus is to gold prices what doping is to Lance Armstrong's cycling speed. Stop the money printing and low interest rates, and you significantly slow down gold's gains. Are they right? Is there a correlation between monetary easing and rising gold prices?

Filed Under: Bank of England, central banks, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, Interest Rates, monetary policy, quantitative easing, stimulus package, Traders, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


Europe's Return of Risky Debt: Sign of Hope or Dangerous Omen?
EWI's new, November European Financial Forecast highlights the resurgence of a risky debt -- and its implications for the region

By Nathaniel Williams
11/12/2012 1:30:00 PM

By all accounts, the economic and financial realities in Europe seem dire. Yet if you look at the behavior of some credit traders in Europe, you'd never know it. Is their new-found optimism toward risky debt a sign of hope -- or a dangerous omen?

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, Elliott wave, eu, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt

Category: European Markets


Europe in November: Bye, Bye Bear-die?
Inside EWI’s latest, November European Financial Forecast…

By Nico Isaac
11/2/2012 5:00:00 PM

For 4 years, the European economy has been shrouded in the darkness of recession. But now, according to the mainstream experts, tangible "rays of hope" that the worst is finally behind the Continent are finally shining through. For example...

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, FTSE

Category: European Markets


European Bulls & Bears at an Impasse: Who Will Take the Next Move?
Inside EWI's new, October 2012 European Financial Forecast...

By Nico Isaac
10/5/2012 5:45:00 PM

If Europe's finanical landscape were a chess board, the 2 opposing players -- a bull and a bear -- would be at a seeming stalemate. So, do we have a draw? The brand-new October 2012 European Financial Forecast says -- absolutely not...

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


Global Economies and World Financial Markets: How the Big Disconnect Will End
Find out what happens when the two meet

By Bob Stokes
9/5/2012 3:45:00 PM

Will the disconnect between global economies and financial markets continue? EWI believes the answer is "no." Overleveraged financial markets will suffer the fate of overleveraged global economies. Keep in mind: The next financial crisis may start outside of America, so more than ever you need to... 
 
 

Filed Under: all the same market theory, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, CAC40, DAX, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Elliott wave, emerging markets, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, european markets, financial forecast, Greek debt, Indian markets, market crash, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nikkei, S&P 500, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis, Taiwan index, U.S. STOCK MARKET, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


Deflationary Forces Hard at Work in the United Kingdom
Why Great Britain has "very weak demand" for consumer loans

By Bob Stokes
8/10/2012 2:15:00 PM

So much is uniquely British. But the United Kingdom has at least one thing in common with many other countries: a developing economic deflation. Around the globe, many nations have stagnant economies. In Great Britain, the economy is...
 

Filed Under: Bank of England, Conquer the Crash, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, european central bank, european markets, housing prices, soverign debt crisis

Category: European Markets


What's a Central Bank To Do?
What if the ECB has an ace up its sleeve, and the next round of stimulus FINALLY does the trick?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/1/2012 12:15:00 PM

With so much focus on the hopes of further economic stimuli by central banks, it's important to consider what difference (if any) the already HUGE amount of economic stimulus has made. Let's look at Europe.

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, Ben Bernanke, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, golden ratio, Interest Rates, International Monetary Fund (IMF), monetary policy, quantitative easing, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets



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