Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Dollar-Yen In a Freefall: 6-min Video Shows You Why
The sell-off in USDJPY is making headlines -- and here is our take on it

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/6/2014 2:00:00 PM

The sell-off in dollar-yen, or USDJPY, has been in the news a lot. “USDJPY Takes Out Stops, Plunges Under 101: Drags Stocks To New Lows,” said a Zero Hedge headline yesterday. (Japan’s Nikkei fell another 4.2% today.)

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Bear market, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy, video, volatility

Category: Currencies


USDJPY: Is the High in Place?
The “triangle” Elliott wave pattern in the U.S. dollar relative to the Japanese yen turned us bullish back in October.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/7/2014 4:30:00 PM

Here is a quote from our October 2013 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast: "Relative to the Japanese Yen, the U.S. dollar is near the end of a correction that should lead to a strong push higher." Now please take a look at this chart... 

 

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy

Category: Currencies


Nikkei 225: Why the May 2013 Crash Was Just a Correction
The triangle interpretation of the price action since May 2013 has served Elliott wave investors well for seven months.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/6/2014 4:15:00 PM

Before it dropped 7.3% on May 22, 2013 -- “one of its worst single-day declines in decades (WSJ) -- the Nikkei 225 was up 50.3% on the year, and up 12.7% in May alone. By the time the carnage was over, the Nikkei had fallen from near 16,000 to near 12,500 -- all in a matter of about three weeks. Yet, as dire as it looked at the time, here is why it became clear to us that the crash was only part of a correction.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Bank of Japan, bull market, Elliott wave, Nikkei, technical analysis, trade targets

Category: Asian Markets


USD/JPY: "An Ideal Setup"
The Japanese yen is likely presenting us with a major opportunity

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/25/2013 4:45:00 PM

After hitting a low on October 25, USD/JPY has moved higher. Our forex-focused Currency Specialty Service has been tracking the move in real time. In one of his October 25 intraday updates, the editor Jim Martens showed this 5-minute USD/JPY chart...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy

Category: Currencies


Meet USD/JPY, the Superstar of the Forex Show

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/5/2013 6:30:00 PM

What used to be a $4-trillion-a-day market is now a $5.3-trillion-a-day one. A new Bank for International Settlements survey found that...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


USD/JPY Falls Leading Up to Bank of Japan Meeting on Thursday
The consensus is that the BOJ won’t be offering any extra stimulus.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/7/2013 5:00:00 PM

On Tuesday (August 6), when USD/JPY was trading above 98, our Currency Specialty Service analysts assessed the developing Elliott wave pattern and made the following forecast...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, Japanese yen, stimulus package, technical indicators, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Major Contractions Coming to an Economy Near You
The IMF revises downward its global economic growth outlook – we’re not surprised

By Bob Stokes
7/10/2013 5:30:00 PM

All the king’s horses and all the king’s men – and all the financial stimulus by governments around the globe -- appear to be falling short of the hoped-for results, namely, robust economic growth. A recent International Monetary Fund downward revision of world economic growth is no surprise to Elliott Wave International. Learn why you can expect more downward revisions in the months ahead.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, central banks, Chinese markets, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, european markets, International Monetary Fund (IMF), quantitative easing, Shanghai Composite Index, Sovereign Debt, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Global Markets


Growing Debt Accelerates Worldwide Economic Contraction
Big asset manager calls for 60% chance of global recession in the next 3-5 years.

By Bob Stokes
6/12/2013 4:30:00 PM

A big asset management firm says recessions come about every six years, and global debt has increased since the recession that began in 2007. So the firm has raised its estimate of a worldwide recession to over 60% in the next 3-5 years. But much of the world already appears to be facing economic challenges. Robert Prechter argues that "recession" is not the right word to describe the state of the global economy.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, BRIC, CNBC, credit crisis, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, emerging markets, European debt crisis, Indian markets, liquidity, Robert Prechter, Shanghai Composite Index, Sovereign Debt, Wall Street, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


USDJPY: How Much Higher Will It Go?
You've heard that the Japanese yen is doomed. Now see what Elliott waves are saying.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/9/2013 4:00:00 PM

"Yen Weakens Beyond 99 per Dollar for First Time Since May 2009," said an April 8 headline. True, USDJPY, the dollar-yen exchange rate and a popular forex pair, has been on fire -- for months. This chart shows you just how huge the rally in the U.S. dollar -- and the weakness in the yen -- have been...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy

Category: Currencies


USDJPY: Putting the News Into Elliott Wave Context
The Japanese yen has just gotten stronger. Will it last?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/12/2013 11:15:00 PM

Like most traders, you probably watch market news closely. But wave analysis helps you put the news in the right context. Take the drop in USDJPY on March 12...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy

Category: Currencies


A Real-Time Montage of a Developing Global Deflation
Is the global economy headed for the German economic experience of 1928-1932?

By Bob Stokes
3/1/2013 5:45:00 PM

There's mounting evidence that deflationary forces are at work in the global economy. However, many financial observers remain focused on elevated equity prices and inflation. EWI's Global Market Perspective points to Germany's 1929-1932 economic experience as an example of what global economies could soon face. Get the full real-time economic story as it unfolds in the Asian-Pacific, Europe and the United States.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, CNBC, Conquer the Crash, deflation, economic indicators, eurozone, inflation, recession, Walmart

Category: Global Markets


USD/JPY: An Elliott Wave Insight

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/13/2013 5:45:00 PM

USD/JPY has been volatile this week, ahead of the G20 finance ministers' summit in Moscow on Friday and Saturday (Feb. 15-16). There are two ways to know what to expect from USD/JPY over the next few days.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, Fibonacci, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Japanese Yen: Fall No More?
Is the long rally in USD/JPY finally ending, if JPY indeed takes the upper hand?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/18/2013 5:00:00 PM

These are many convincing reasons why the JPY "should" get stronger -- thus pushing USD/JPY, the dollar/yen exchange rate, lower. But we've seen markets brazenly ignore the apparent sound logic of "the fundamentals" many times. Here's why that happens...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


USD/JPY Falls -- And Elliott Waves See It Coming a Mile Away
Wave analysis has an uncanny ability to warn of big forex market moves before the news

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/15/2013 11:00:00 PM

On Monday, January 14, the Japanese yen rose from a 2-1/2-year low against the U.S. dollar, sending USD/JPY sharply lower. According to one news source, "investors took profit." Fair enough -- a perfectly good explanation of past market action based on an important event. But that's where the Elliott wave approach is different.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


How the Psychology of Deflation Becomes Entrenched
A lesson from Japan

By Bob Stokes
12/18/2012 5:00:00 PM

The economic slowdown in the United States has not been nearly as long as Japan's. Yet, Elliott Wave International contends that the U.S. is in the early stages of a deflationary trend. Deflationary psychology is already apparent.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Conquer the Crash, consumer spending, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, history, Robert Prechter, supply and demand, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Asia-Pacific Stocks: Great Expectations
Inside EWI's November 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/2/2012 5:15:00 PM

As November begins, the Asian-Pacific region stands at an interesting Elliott wave juncture. It offers a broad range of stock price patterns, thus a broad range of expectations. On the one hand, already-bullish trends in Southeast Asian should continue higher, well above their 2010 and 2011 highs. On the other hand, other regional markets are already at their 2010 and 2011 highs. Still others need further declines before they reach an intermediate-term low. Discover all the details in the November 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast.

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


Asian-Pacific Stocks: The MANY Surprises Directly Ahead
Inside EWI's October 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/5/2012 5:45:00 PM

Anywhere you go, most investors are conditioned to believe that bad news -- be that bad economy, a threat of war, or any other turmoil -- are bad for the stock market. Conversely, the same investors believe that the absence of negative factors is bullish for stocks. That is exactly why so many investors will be surprised by the stock market trends in the Asian-Pacific region in the weeks ahead. See, from an Elliott wave perspective...

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Asian Markets


Why 0% Interest Rates Will Not Kick-Start the U.S. Economy
A lesson in economics from Japan

By Bob Stokes
9/6/2012 4:45:00 PM

Japan is a recent case study in deflation, a sluggish economy and historically low interest rates. In fact, short-term yields in the world's third largest economy have been negative. Is the U.S. headed for a similar fate, or a 1929-1932 type of rapid deflationary crash?...

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, CNBC, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Interest Rates, Nikkei, Robert Prechter

Category: U.S. Economy


Global Economies and World Financial Markets: How the Big Disconnect Will End
Find out what happens when the two meet

By Bob Stokes
9/5/2012 3:45:00 PM

Will the disconnect between global economies and financial markets continue? EWI believes the answer is "no." Overleveraged financial markets will suffer the fate of overleveraged global economies. Keep in mind: The next financial crisis may start outside of America, so more than ever you need to... 
 
 

Filed Under: all the same market theory, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, CAC40, DAX, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Elliott wave, emerging markets, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, european markets, financial forecast, Greek debt, Indian markets, market crash, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nikkei, S&P 500, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis, Taiwan index, U.S. STOCK MARKET, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: The Tale of "Two Asias"
Inside EWI's September 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/31/2012 8:15:00 PM

Most investors are conditioned to believe that global stocks move in unison. That's not the case. For example...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets



© 2014 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.