Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

USDJPY: How Much Higher Will It Go?
You've heard that the Japanese yen is doomed. Now see what Elliott waves are saying.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/9/2013 4:00:00 PM

"Yen Weakens Beyond 99 per Dollar for First Time Since May 2009," said an April 8 headline. True, USDJPY, the dollar-yen exchange rate and a popular forex pair, has been on fire -- for months. This chart shows you just how huge the rally in the U.S. dollar -- and the weakness in the yen -- have been...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy

Category: Currencies


USDJPY: Putting the News Into Elliott Wave Context
The Japanese yen has just gotten stronger. Will it last?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/12/2013 11:15:00 PM

Like most traders, you probably watch market news closely. But wave analysis helps you put the news in the right context. Take the drop in USDJPY on March 12...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy

Category: Currencies


A Real-Time Montage of a Developing Global Deflation
Is the global economy headed for the German economic experience of 1928-1932?

By Bob Stokes
3/1/2013 5:45:00 PM

There's mounting evidence that deflationary forces are at work in the global economy. However, many financial observers remain focused on elevated equity prices and inflation. EWI's Global Market Perspective points to Germany's 1929-1932 economic experience as an example of what global economies could soon face. Get the full real-time economic story as it unfolds in the Asian-Pacific, Europe and the United States.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, CNBC, conquer the crash, deflation, economic indicators, eurozone, inflation, recession, Walmart

Category: Global Markets


USD/JPY: An Elliott Wave Insight

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/13/2013 5:45:00 PM

USD/JPY has been volatile this week, ahead of the G20 finance ministers' summit in Moscow on Friday and Saturday (Feb. 15-16). There are two ways to know what to expect from USD/JPY over the next few days.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, Fibonacci, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Japanese Yen: Fall No More?
Is the long rally in USD/JPY finally ending, if JPY indeed takes the upper hand?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/18/2013 5:00:00 PM

These are many convincing reasons why the JPY "should" get stronger -- thus pushing USD/JPY, the dollar/yen exchange rate, lower. But we've seen markets brazenly ignore the apparent sound logic of "the fundamentals" many times. Here's why that happens...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


USD/JPY Falls -- And Elliott Waves See It Coming a Mile Away
Wave analysis has an uncanny ability to warn of big forex market moves before the news

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/15/2013 11:00:00 PM

On Monday, January 14, the Japanese yen rose from a 2-1/2-year low against the U.S. dollar, sending USD/JPY sharply lower. According to one news source, "investors took profit." Fair enough -- a perfectly good explanation of past market action based on an important event. But that's where the Elliott wave approach is different.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


How the Psychology of Deflation Becomes Entrenched
A lesson from Japan

By Bob Stokes
12/18/2012 5:00:00 PM

The economic slowdown in the United States has not been nearly as long as Japan's. Yet, Elliott Wave International contends that the U.S. is in the early stages of a deflationary trend. Deflationary psychology is already apparent.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, conquer the crash, consumer spending, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, history, Robert Prechter, supply and demand, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Asia-Pacific Stocks: Great Expectations
Inside EWI's November 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/2/2012 5:15:00 PM

As November begins, the Asian-Pacific region stands at an interesting Elliott wave juncture. It offers a broad range of stock price patterns, thus a broad range of expectations. On the one hand, already-bullish trends in Southeast Asian should continue higher, well above their 2010 and 2011 highs. On the other hand, other regional markets are already at their 2010 and 2011 highs. Still others need further declines before they reach an intermediate-term low. Discover all the details in the November 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast.

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


Asian-Pacific Stocks: The MANY Surprises Directly Ahead
Inside EWI's October 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/5/2012 5:45:00 PM

Anywhere you go, most investors are conditioned to believe that bad news -- be that bad economy, a threat of war, or any other turmoil -- are bad for the stock market. Conversely, the same investors believe that the absence of negative factors is bullish for stocks. That is exactly why so many investors will be surprised by the stock market trends in the Asian-Pacific region in the weeks ahead. See, from an Elliott wave perspective...

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Asian Markets


Why 0% Interest Rates Will Not Kick-Start the U.S. Economy
A lesson in economics from Japan

By Bob Stokes
9/6/2012 4:45:00 PM

Japan is a recent case study in deflation, a sluggish economy and historically low interest rates. In fact, short-term yields in the world's third largest economy have been negative. Is the U.S. headed for a similar fate, or a 1929-1932 type of rapid deflationary crash?...

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, CNBC, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Interest Rates, Nikkei, Robert Prechter

Category: U.S. Economy


Global Economies and World Financial Markets: How the Big Disconnect Will End
Find out what happens when the two meet

By Bob Stokes
9/5/2012 3:45:00 PM

Will the disconnect between global economies and financial markets continue? EWI believes the answer is "no." Overleveraged financial markets will suffer the fate of overleveraged global economies. Keep in mind: The next financial crisis may start outside of America, so more than ever you need to... 
 
 

Filed Under: all the same market theory, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, CAC40, DAX, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Elliott wave, emerging markets, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, european markets, financial forecast, Greek debt, Indian markets, market crash, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nikkei, S&P 500, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis, Taiwan index, U.S. STOCK MARKET, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: The Tale of "Two Asias"
Inside EWI's September 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/31/2012 8:15:00 PM

Most investors are conditioned to believe that global stocks move in unison. That's not the case. For example...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: On the Edge
South Africa and Peru: Our new, August Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast also gives you forecasts for these two emerging markets

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/30/2012 5:45:00 PM

"Australian and Japanese stocks have arrived at crucial junctures... Other Asian-Pacific stock markets have arrived at similar crossroads. What happens in the region’s markets in the next several weeks should determine the trend over the next several months and even beyond." That's the opening paragraph of our latest August Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast. And here are some specifics...

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index

Category: Asian Markets


USD/JPY: First Up, Then Down...Where to Next?
Why the latest move in dollar-yen had more to do with Elliott waves than the Bank of Japan.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/12/2012 6:00:00 PM

On July 12, the Bank of Japan was expected to keep rates unchanged at 0.1% -- and it did. That's not the interesting part -- the interesting part is what USD/JPY, the U.S. dollar-yen exchange rate, did before and after the announcement. 

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, Japanese yen, online trading, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy

Category: Currencies


Asian-Pacific Stocks: Don't Get Too Comfortable
Egypt, Israel and Turkey: This month's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast also includes forecasts for those markets

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/29/2012 5:30:00 PM

It's always darkest before the dawn, goes the saying. Yet if that's true, then wouldn't the opposite be just as true? "Asian Stocks Head for Biggest Gain This Year on Europe Progress‎," reported the June 29 San Francisco Chronicle. How much longer will we see "sunny" headlines like this one? The latest, July issue of our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast shows you what no one else does...

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, buy and hold, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Indian markets, investment strategy, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index

Category: Asian Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: To Sell -- or Not To Sell?
That is the question... you may be asking yourself after the big selloff in May. We believe you'll find your answer here.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/1/2012 9:00:00 PM

Quick: Name the tallest skyscraper in the world. Yes: Burj Khalifa in Dubai. How about the world's tallest tower? The Eiffel Tower, you say? No. It's the new Skytree that's just opened in Tokyo. The Japanese aren't alone in their desire to reach for the sky. In Jakarta, the developers of the $2b Signature Tower “think that this is the right moment for building the tower,” too. Why would an investment newsletter like ours talk about tall towers, you ask? Because almost all of the world's tallest buildings have famously appeared only at a certain point in the stock market's Elliott wave pattern.

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment strategy, safe haven, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


Europe's Financial Fiasco: Migrating to the United States?
History may repeat itself

By Bob Stokes
5/29/2012 4:00:00 PM

About a year before the October 1929 crash, net capital inflows fell in several European countries. In other words: European economies began to deteriorate before the Great Depression began in the U.S. Is history repeating itself?...

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, bloomberg, credit crisis, credit default swaps, debt ceiling, debt downgrade, deflation, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, great depression, Greek debt, housing prices, recession, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis

Category: Global Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: DON'T "Sell in May and Go Away"?
The Asia-Pacific region broke this old rule more than once. What about 2012?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/4/2012 5:45:00 PM

At the 2nd annual Social Mood Conference in April, one speaker delivered an interesting insight: Every year, stock market returns in May-October average only about 50% of the returns in November-April. Important information, yes -- but did you realize that May-October in 2003, 2007 and 2009 were great periods to hold Asian-Pacific equities? What about 2012, you may wonder?

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment strategy, Nikkei, Shanghai Composite Index, stock indexes, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Indonesia: How Elliott Wave Analysis Turned BULLISH When Few Dared, Part II
EWI's Asian-Pacific stock market analyst explains the unique benefits of Elliott wave analysis for emerging market investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/2/2012 2:00:00 PM

This is Part II of my interview with EWI's Mark Galasiewski, a monthly contributor to the "Asian-Pacific Stocks Section" of our Global Market Perspective -- a comprehensive, 50-page monthly publication for global investors. -- Mark, you use Elliott wave analysis as your chosen forecasting method. Why Elliott? Why not just watch the news like most investors do? -- Mark Galasiewski: Well, the example I already showed you...

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, Greek debt, Indian markets, Indian Rupee, investment strategy, Korean Won, Nikkei, risk management, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Singapore Dollar, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Global Markets


India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Indonesia: How Elliott Wave Analysis Turned BULLISH When Few Dared. Part I
EWI's Asian-Pacific stock market analyst explains the unique benefits of Elliott wave analysis for emerging market investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/26/2012 3:15:00 PM

Today, you truly have the world at your fingertips. It’s easier than ever for you to get exposure to global markets, especially given the explosion in ETFs. But how do you decide which market is most worthy of your attention? And how do you know if your forecasting source is qualified and objective? With that in mind, I sat down with EWI's Mark Galasiewski, a monthly contributor to the "Asian-Pacific Stocks Section" of our Global Market Perspective.

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, buy and hold, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment decisions, investment strategy, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, stock indexes, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Global Markets


Get Your Free Email Newsletters

Simply pick what interests you and enter your email address:


Challenge the way you think about investing with The EWI Independent

Dig deeper into the world of Elliott wave trading via Trading the Waves

Get the week's can't-miss articles and free resources from The EWI Weekly Select

Get the latest from our sister organization, the Socionomics Institute
We respect your privacy. TRUSTe

Latest Articles
Categories and RSS
Press Room
Browse Recent Media Articles that Mention EWI or Feature EWI Analysts
As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.

© 2013 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.