by
Nico Isaac
9/4/2008 7:45:00 PM
The number one flaw of mainstream financial analysis is its tendency to show-up late to a market’s price action. It’s a lot like jumping out from behind the couch and yelling “Surprise!” at a birthday party – hours after the guest of honor has already arrived. Even then, the “gifts” of wisdom they bring to the table are often inconsistent and even inaccurate. Take, for instance, these former news stories regarding Corn...
Filed Under:
Corn, Commodities, oil prices, the dollar
Category:
Commodities
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by
Jeffrey Kennedy, Senior Commodities Analyst
9/3/2008 3:30:00 PM
A common question from EWI subscribers is: "On an unlabeled price chart, how do you identify the start of the Wave pattern?"
That's a good question, and is exactly the kind that Senior Commodities Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy loves to answer. His passion is teaching, and every month Jeffrey's Monthly Futures Junctures presents a lesson in technical analysis via his "Trader's Classroom." This excerpt, edited for brevity, comes from an old favorite: "How Do You Know If You Have the Right Wave Count?"
Filed Under:
Commodities, Futures Junctures, Jeffrey Kennedy, Wave Counts, Labelling
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
8/28/2008 7:30:00 PM
According to the mainstream experts, corn, wheat, and soybeans are the Three Huskateers, with prices in each market abiding by the original motto: “All for one and one for all.” One look at our powerful close-up of prices in the three grain markets over the last two decades, AND the truth might surprise you...
Filed Under:
Commodities, futures, Corn, wheat, soybeans, Grains
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
8/25/2008 4:45:00 PM
It’s official: The five-year long Commodity boom has gone from white-hot to white-not. To wit: since the start of July 2008, the futures markets have seen more jaw-dropping free falls than the Beijing Olympics diving competition...
Filed Under:
Commodities, oil, Gold, Silver, Corn, CRB, us dollar, bubble
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
8/21/2008 5:15:00 PM
If financial markets are well-oiled machines that react mechanically to outside events, it stands to reason -- If you master the system, there’s no way to go wrong. In actuality, the story is quite different, as the recent action in COCOA makes plain...
Filed Under:
Commodities, cocoa, us dollar, greenback, futures
Category:
Commodities
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by
Euan Wilson
8/20/2008 2:45:00 PM
If you have watched a few episodes of the hit TV series House, you know there is a specific formula for each episode. The gifted but fiercely independent doctor must find the answer to a medical mystery before the show's end — a total of 43 minutes. However, until that time, Dr. House and his team make any number of right and wrong moves, yet each one serves to reach the final, correct diagnosis.
An Elliott Wave technician's job works much the same way: not every Wave Count unfolds as expected. Yet even if you get off track, a mistaken forecast can still reveal the bigger story, as new facts flow in from the market.
Filed Under:
Dr. House, Jeffrey Kennedy, soybeans, Commodities, Futures Junctures
Category:
Commodities
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by
Euan Wilson
8/12/2008 10:15:00 AM
It's mid-August, which means the kids will soon be back in school. If you recall any of your returning days to class, perhaps the memory is how smooth and easy it was, with little schoolwork beyond a simple quiz. But the markets only take off on weekends and federal holidays -- so an investor shouldn't find the Pop Quiz question in the headline too demanding, especially since we'll provide the answer now, to wit: After a five-wave impulse move (in either direction) come a three wave corrective move.
Filed Under:
Commodities, impulse wave, corrective wave, technical analysis, Futures Junctures
Category:
Commodities
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by
Gary Grimes
8/8/2008 5:00:00 PM
With chapter titles like “Should You Invest in … Bonds, Real Estate, Precious Metals, Collectibles, Cash,” Robert Prechter’s New York Times best seller, Conquer the Crash, is the ultimate “How To Do,” “What To Do” and “Should You Do” guide for investors.
Filed Under:
Real Estate, politics, bonds, collectibles, Stocks, speculation, debt, Commodities, Crude oil, cash, prechter
Category:
Classic Prechter
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by
Nico Isaac
8/7/2008 4:30:00 PM
One of the biggest flaws of fundamental analysis is its tendency to present a multitude of outside factors for a given market --- All of which have conflicting implications. Case in point: The bullish, bearish, bullish, bearish news items regarding the Coffee market. Read the full story...
Filed Under:
Commodities, futures, coffee
Category:
Commodities
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by
Euan Wilson
8/7/2008 2:45:00 PM
When it comes to foolishness, Shakespeare always gets straight to the point -- which brings to mind the work it usually takes to get the point of most financial media "analysis," because it's so often overwhelmed by useless chaff. And sadly, wheat is no exception
Filed Under:
wheat, Futures Junctures, Commodities, Prices
Category:
Commodities
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by
Euan Wilson
8/5/2008 5:30:00 PM
The financial media is very fond of linking a given market's price action to other stuff that happened in the same day -- but seldom do they explain why. First prices fall hard "as rain and cooler weather improved prospects for crops" -- and second, this one-day action is part of a 30% decline in corn over the past five weeks. But what about the first four weeks of that price decline, which included a shortage of rain and hotter-than-usual temperatures?
Filed Under:
Corn, Commodities, Price Action, Futures Junctures, Rain, Crops, Historic Prices
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
7/31/2008 5:30:00 PM
It’s another typical day in Grand Commodity Station, where passengers step aboard two very different “trains” of opportunity: The "F" or fundamental line, and the "EW" or Elliott Wave line. Their destination: Soybean Meal. Find out which one makes it to their destination on time...
Filed Under:
Commodities, soybean meal, soymeal, futures
Category:
Commodities
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by
Euan Wilson
7/29/2008 5:45:00 PM
Successful investing is never born of disarray, as any experienced trader will tell you. That's why an effective methodology for trading will include effective rules. So, when a commodity's price action does the unexpected, coherent rules to govern your analysis and actions can be the difference between a big loss and a small one.
Filed Under:
Corn, Wave Principle, Commodities, Futures Junctures, Forecasts
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
7/24/2008 4:15:00 PM
July 11, 2008 was the unofficial D-Day for the Crude Oil market. “D” -- as in, DOWN. From that most recent peak, oil prices have plummeted more than $20, to a two-month low. The real shocker: On that date, a perfect fundamental bullish storm SHOULD HAVE sent crude prices to the moon...
Filed Under:
Crude oil, Energy, oil, futures, Commodities, orange juice
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
7/23/2008 5:30:00 PM
News Flash: crude oil AND sugar prices are about as synchronized as a dolphin and a duck-billed platypus. And, nothing makes this reality more clear than recent historical data comparing the two markets. Get the full story in today's Futures Focus...
Filed Under:
sugar, futures, Commodities, Crude oil
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
7/17/2008 5:30:00 PM
On Thursday, July 17, Coffee prices were about as perky as a lump of dry coal. By day’s end, the market had plunged to its lowest level in over a month. After reading today's Futures Focus, you'll see why the big move down was no surprise to Elliott Wave International's premier near-term commodity service...
Filed Under:
coffee futures, Commodities, Crude oil, coffee
Category:
Commodities
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by
Euan Wilson
7/17/2008 10:00:00 AM
"A bullish key reversal occurs when prices make a new low below the previous price range, but close above the previous day's close." An important reversal just happened in Wheat. But just how important? EWI's Jeffrey Kennedy has the answers.
Filed Under:
wheat, Corn, Commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, Jeffrey Kennedy, Commodity
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
7/14/2008 4:30:00 PM
At last, the most highly anticipated birth around has finally taken place -- and no, I’m not talking about Brangelina’s twins (born: July 13). Elliott Wave International’s senior commodity analyst Jeffrey Kennedy has just delivered the brand-new July 2008 Monthly Futures Junctures -- a 12-page, hale and hearty publication that screams “Opportunity” into these and many more markets:
Filed Under:
Commodities, brangelina, futures, coffee, cocoa, sugar, Corn, soybeans, Crude oil
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
7/10/2008 5:30:00 PM
The biggest problem with fundamental analysis is its uncanny ability to point out trends that have long since been in place. Basically, it’s the equivalent of yelling “SURPRISE!” to the birthday man/woman of honor hours after he/she has already shown up to the surprise party. See what we mean with regard to the recent action in Orange Juice...
Filed Under:
orange juice futures, Commodities, futures, o.j., greening disease, feeder cattle
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
7/3/2008 5:15:00 PM
Celebrate the Fourth of July Holiday weekend early with the brand-new July 3 Daily Futures Junctures “Weekly Wrap-up” edition. In this explosive publication, editor Jeffery Kennedy sets off two dozen fireworks of opportunity in these (and more) key markets: Cocoa, O.J., Soybeans, Lumber, Pork Bellies.
Filed Under:
Commodities, cocoa, soybeans, lumber, pork bellies, orange juice, futures
Category:
Commodities
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