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by
Nico Isaac
1/22/2010 4:30:00 PM
In just two short trading days (January 21 and 22) oil prices have gone from boiling to toiling. Crude fell more than 4% to land at its lowest level in one month. According to the mainstream experts, one main factor is to blame for turning the blue skies in oil gray: A doubly-bearish January 21 Energy Information Administration (EIA, for short) report revealing these two details:
Filed Under:
Crude oil, oil, Energy
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
12/14/2009 4:30:00 PM
I'll cut right to the chase: On Monday, December 14, crude oil prices fell below the psychologically important $70/per barrel mark to close at a fresh, two-month low. It was the market's ninth consecutive down day and the longest losing streak since 2001. As for what caused crude's bearish beating -- the mainstream experts cited one main factor...
Filed Under:
Energy, Crude oil, oil
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
11/13/2009 4:00:00 PM
Just when you think you've got a handle on the way certain fundamentals affect the market of your choice -- POOF! The rules change. Take, for example, the supposed set-in-stone logic that prices of crude oil rise when two things happen: The U.S. dollar loses and gold gains. As recently as late October 2009 -- with oil prices soaring to their highest level for the year -- this correlation was a constant mainstay of the mainstream financial media. Here, the following news sources from the time...
Filed Under:
Crude oil, oil, Energy, u.s. dollar, Gold
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
10/28/2009 5:30:00 PM
There are some jobs out there where having a split-personality would seem to actually improve your work performance. What got me thinking about that was the recent Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde-like collage of news headlines regarding the presumed relationship between crude oil and equities.
Filed Under:
Energy, Crude oil, crude, oil
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
10/13/2009 2:30:00 PM
Over the last three months, crude oil prices have acted like a dog with a shock collar around its neck. One minute it's barreling up a hill at warp speed straight for the mailman at the top of the driveway. And then... ZAP! It's jolted by an invisible electric fence and sent scampering right back down to the place it started. Talking numbers: the market has been range bound between $75 and $65 per barrel.
Filed Under:
Crude oil, oil, Energy
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
8/10/2009 3:00:00 PM
Most of the time, reading the mainstream news articles on a certain financial market is like watching some "Laurel and Hardy" comedy skit of errors. Picture it: The pair attempt to break into a house. Laurel goes in first through a window, which falls shut before Hardy can get through. Then, Laurel walks outside the front door to let Hardy in, only to have it lock on them both...
Filed Under:
Crude oil, oil, Energy
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
7/20/2009 3:30:00 PM
According to mainstream economic thought -- fundamentals are to financial markets what tire pressure is to a Tour de France bicycle racer. To wit: Inflated (i.e. positive) news makes it easier for a market to soar up those steep mountain hills (i.e. price charts). AND, deflated (i.e. negative) news makes prices fall behind and struggle to climb.
Filed Under:
Crude oil, peak oil, oil, Energy
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
7/10/2009 6:15:00 PM
I'm sorry, but there are only three possible ways a person could NOT know about the "demand crisis of 2009" long since underway in the energy smarkets. To wit: One, said person was born yesterday. Two, said person thinks "Crude" is the name of a Norwegian Heavy Metal band. Or three, said person lives on planet Mars
Filed Under:
Crude oil, crude, oil, Energy, demand
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
6/3/2009 5:15:00 PM
According to the financial mainstream, fundamentals are to markets what the moon is to the ocean's tides: Negative data drive prices down and ebbing out; while positive data draw them up and advancing in. Here's the problem: Tides don't regularly shrug-off or ignore the lunar pull. If they did, no one in their right mind would ever go swimming in such unpredictable waters...
Filed Under:
Crude oil, oil, Energy
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
4/21/2009 5:15:00 PM
On Monday April 20, two main events took top billing in the financial press: the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 290 points. And, oil prices suffered their biggest-single day drop in over three months. According to the mainstream experts, the first event was directly related to the second. One look at our chart and you'll see why this notion is not true.
Filed Under:
Crude oil, oil futures, dow jones industrial average, u.s. stock market, Energy
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
2/17/2009 4:45:00 PM
Back in mid-2008, with crude oil prices setting an all-time record high above $100 per barrel, Main Street said: an economic slump would continue to pump UP oil. NOW, with crude prices at a five-year low, those same experts blame the global economic recession for the market's woes. Any questions?
Filed Under:
Crude oil, crude, Energy
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
1/23/2009 5:45:00 PM
On January 19, 2009, Morgan Stanley joined a rapidly growing fleet of big-name banks that have traded mortgage loans for oil liners. Idea being: Buy in bulk now, while oil prices stand at a five-year low, AND sell later this year, when a supposed "perfect storm" of fundamentals reignites a bull run in crude.
Filed Under:
Crude oil, morgan stanley, Energy, crude, oi
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
11/19/2008 4:15:00 PM
Fact: When crude oil prices were rocketing to never-before-seen heights back in July 2008, the mainstream pundits saw no end to the red-hot winning streak in black gold. Find out how our analysts saw the oil market cross the "line in the sand" from bull-to-bear beforehand...
Filed Under:
Crude oil, oil, Energy, Stocks
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
11/11/2008 12:15:00 PM
On Tuesday, November 11, crude oil plunged 5%-plus to its lowest level in 20 months. Below $60 per barrel is a far cry from the $300 oil forecasts delivered by the mainstream experts this summer. See how one "brave analyst" called the end of crude's uptrend before the powerful slide began.
Filed Under:
Crude oil, Energy, oil, peak oil
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
10/8/2008 4:00:00 PM
According to mainstream financial wisdom, when the plane of the U.S. economy runs out of fuel and starts hurtling toward the earth’s surface, one of the few markets said to provide a parachute of safety is … Oil. Problem is, over the last four months, said parachute has failed to open.
Filed Under:
crude oi, oil, Energy, Commodities, dow jones industrial average
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
9/30/2008 4:15:00 PM
If ever there was a time for the cause-and-effect logic of conventional economic wisdom to play out in the real world, September 2008 was it. And Crude Oil was the market.
Filed Under:
Crude oil, Energy, Ike, Gas Crisis, oil war, dow jones industrial average
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
8/26/2008 4:30:00 PM
The energy in-crowd spends more time watching changes in climate patterns than Al Gore. Their main goal: Spot “bullish” storm activity in oil producing regions that could damage supply and therefore, spark a rise in prices. Problem is, hurricane activity means hooey to oil's overall trend...
Filed Under:
Crude oil, oil, hurricane, gustav, Energy
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
8/6/2008 5:15:00 PM
Public (Economic) Enemy Number One -- the soaring oil market -- has been caught. The damage from its record-smashing rally contained. From their all-time July 11, 2008 peak, crude prices have plunged to a three-month low. One day before the FALL, our Specialty Service Energy Outlook acknowledged the market's downside potential...
Filed Under:
Crude oil, Energy, oil fall, geopolitical unrest
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
7/24/2008 4:15:00 PM
July 11, 2008 was the unofficial D-Day for the Crude Oil market. “D” -- as in, DOWN. From that most recent peak, oil prices have plummeted more than $20, to a two-month low. The real shocker: On that date, a perfect fundamental bullish storm SHOULD HAVE sent crude prices to the moon...
Filed Under:
Crude oil, Energy, oil, futures, Commodities, orange juice
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
7/16/2008 4:45:00 PM
In the end, fundamental analysis masks the true “sound” of a market’s underlying trend. In the case of oil: The most recent selloff in crude kicked off on July 11. One day earlier, on July 10, EWI's Energy Specialty Service acknowledged the downside potential in the market’s near-term future...
Filed Under:
Crude oil, Energy, oil, economic woes
Category:
Energy
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The Mania Chronicles
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 With 700 pages and a large, 8-1/2" x 11" format, it's only a "book" in name. In fact, it's an encyclopedic reference that covers every twist and turn of the rise and (initial) fall of the historic financial bubble - all observed and anticipated in real time via The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and The Elliott Wave Theorist. |
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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