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(Video) Why Europe’s Consumer Recovery Story is Just an Illusion
And “the man behind the curtain” is the European Central Bank

By Nico Isaac
4/14/2014 4:00:00 PM

If there's one thing I've learned, it's that the human mind is made of pliable stuff, willing to bend, time and again, to believe the impossible. How many people believe, for instance, that monetary policy can reverse the course of economic decline -- even though no such power is actually proven to exist?

Filed Under: bailouts, eu, euro, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Interest Rates, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


(Video) The Crisis in Ukraine: What’s Next?
Social mood is another term for the shared inclination of a society. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine is a dramatic example of social mood in action.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/3/2014 4:30:00 PM

For 3 years, Russia’s stock market has been drifting lower. Here is why that’s important to the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia.

Filed Under: authoritarianism, Bear market, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, emerging markets, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, investment strategy, social mood, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


Rome: Will Italy's "Eternal City" Go Bankrupt?
"Rome has wasted money for decades"

By Bob Stokes
2/28/2014 6:15:00 PM

The last time Rome, Italy faced financial collapse was during the days of Nero. Now, some 2000 years later, the Eternal City stares at the possibility of bankruptcy. However, the financial alarm bells are also ringing in other parts of Europe. 

Filed Under: brian whitmer, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, European Union (EU)

Category: European Markets


Should You Count on Ireland's Comeback? See This Chart First
The European Financial Forecast tells you whether Ireland's rebound is a symbol of success -- or of complacency

By Nathaniel Williams
1/9/2014 2:15:00 PM

Not that long ago, Ireland was an epicenter of Europe's debt crisis. Now, it is hailed as a symbol of success. But are things in Ireland really that rosy?

Filed Under: brian whitmer, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Irish debt crisis

Category: European Markets


The Chart Shows Why European Central Bank Is Losing Fight with Deflation
Greece reports highest deflation since monthly records began – and there is more to the story

By Bob Stokes
12/31/2013 3:45:00 PM

The European Central Bank recently slashed its main refinancing rate, but almost no one wants the virtually free money. See a chart that shows the failure of the ECB's cheap credit policy.

Filed Under: deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, Greek debt, soverign debt crisis

Category: European Markets


Protect Your Portfolio from European Sovereign Debt
The SafeWealth Group offers secure physical storage

By Bob Stokes
12/9/2013 4:15:00 PM

Europe's major banks have loaded up on sovereign debt. This will not end well. Take steps to prepare for Europe's next debt crisis.

Filed Under: banks, conquer the crash, European debt crisis, personal finance, risk management, Robert Prechter, safe banks, safe haven, Sovereign Debt

Category: European Markets


U.S. Bank Depositors: Pay Attention to Fragile European Banks
European Union bank depositors may face losses in 2015

By Bob Stokes
11/15/2013 4:00:00 PM

The European Union's debt crisis persists as the Continent's finance ministers grapple about what to do with the EU's fragile banks. Bank depositors in Europe could face losses in 2015. U.S. bank depositors will do well to pay attention and prepare.
 

Filed Under: banks, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), Robert Prechter, Sovereign Debt

Category: U.S. Economy


Deflation Soon to Grab Attention in the European Union
Four European nation's show a long slide in consumer prices

By Bob Stokes
11/6/2013 1:15:00 PM

Europe's lack of respect for deflation will soon be transformed into rapt attention. Inflation is already at its lowest level since November 2009.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, eurozone

Category: European Markets


Eurozone's Descent Down the Financial Rabbit Hole
European Union business activity disappoints in October

By Bob Stokes
10/24/2013 5:30:00 PM

Disappointing business activity and falling tax receipts are just two economic factors that dog the European Union's growth prospects. See two charts that help explain Europe's slide into deflation.

Filed Under: debt, deflation, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, eurozone

Category: European Markets


Eurozone Deflation: Ignore At Your Own Risk?
Deflation manifests as a contraction in the amount of outstanding debt

By Bob Stokes
9/26/2013 3:00:00 PM

Elliott Wave International believes that the next financial crisis will be more severe than what occurred from 2007 to 2009, and, indeed, could surpass the severity of the Great Depression. Learn why a chart that shows the European Union's rate of total credit growth is a warning sign.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, banks, credit crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Deflation Will Take the Majority by Surprise
Google searches offer an insightful glimpse into economic expectations

By Bob Stokes
7/23/2013 5:30:00 PM

The last thing on the minds of most people is deflation. It’s easy enough to determine that with a quick quiz -- and that quiz is found in the just-published Elliott Wave Theorist. In this July-August Theorist, Robert Prechter uses Google searches to make a point about deflation. Here's what those searches reveal ...

Filed Under: deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, inflation, Robert Prechter, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy


The June Funk in Europe's Junk Bond Market
How our analysis prepared for the selloff.

By Nico Isaac
7/15/2013 5:45:00 PM

Q1 of 2013. At the time, investor interest in all things high-yielding was moving at a swifter clip than Stephen Strasburg's fastball. But then came June. Europe's junk bond market strikes out as high-yield bond issuance goes from a record inflow to a record outflow. And, the cost of insuring European corporate bonds against losses embarks on a five-week-long uptrend -- its longest rising streak in two years.

 

Filed Under: europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, Greek debt, junk bonds, world central banks

Category: European Markets


Major Contractions Coming to an Economy Near You
The IMF revises downward its global economic growth outlook – we’re not surprised

By Bob Stokes
7/10/2013 5:30:00 PM

All the king’s horses and all the king’s men – and all the financial stimulus by governments around the globe -- appear to be falling short of the hoped-for results, namely, robust economic growth. A recent International Monetary Fund downward revision of world economic growth is no surprise to Elliott Wave International. Learn why you can expect more downward revisions in the months ahead.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, central banks, Chinese markets, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, european markets, International Monetary Fund (IMF), quantitative easing, Shanghai Composite Index, Sovereign Debt, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Global Markets


Growing Debt Accelerates Worldwide Economic Contraction
Big asset manager calls for 60% chance of global recession in the next 3-5 years.

By Bob Stokes
6/12/2013 4:30:00 PM

A big asset management firm says recessions come about every six years, and global debt has increased since the recession that began in 2007. So the firm has raised its estimate of a worldwide recession to over 60% in the next 3-5 years. But much of the world already appears to be facing economic challenges. Robert Prechter argues that "recession" is not the right word to describe the state of the global economy.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, BRIC, CNBC, credit crisis, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, emerging markets, European debt crisis, Indian markets, liquidity, Robert Prechter, Shanghai Composite Index, Sovereign Debt, Wall Street, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


Cyprus Banking Bailout: Costs Rise, Heads Roll
The officials and experts who didn't see the crisis coming were supposed to prevent it in the first place.

By Nico Isaac
4/16/2013 5:00:00 PM

The cost of the Cyprus bailout seems to get bigger every week. It has gone from 10€ to 17€ and now to 23€ billion euros. What's more, recent reports say the island nation will need a bigger bake sale to raise the necessary funds to foot the growing bill. On April 12, rumors swirled that the European Central Bank will force Cyprus to liquidate half-a-billion dollars of its gold reserves.

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, central banks, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, eurozone, financial forecast

Category: European Markets


How to Protect Your Physical Safety in a Bad Economy
What you don't know can hurt you.

By Bob Stokes
4/9/2013 4:45:00 PM

In a time of economic turmoil, what you know can be as important as what you have. Your possessions can decline in value or be lost altogether, but your knowledge cannot be taken away. You can use what you know to protect what you have. Evidence suggests that many Americans fail to grasp this basic truth. Staying ahead of the crowd begins by reading. As for what to read, few topics are as important as protecting your finances and your physical safety -- and that's what can matter most during a severe economic downturn.

Filed Under: conquer the crash, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, safe haven, soverign debt crisis, stock indexes

Category: U.S. Economy


Forex: Don't Write Off The Euro Just Yet
"We all know the euro is going lower," is today's popular sentiment. Yet Elliott waves suggest there is hope for the euro yet.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/28/2013 4:00:00 PM

Despite the "success" of the Cyprus bailout, the sentiment towards the euro zone currency, the euro, has been negative. EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate, fell to a new low for 2013. But while "everyone knows the euro is going lower," read this recent tweet by EWI's senior currency strategist...

Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, European debt crisis, eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Every Big Economic Collapse Has a First Domino
When will the dominoes begin to tumble, or has it already begun?

By Bob Stokes
3/26/2013 4:45:00 PM

Financial history shows that every major credit boom is followed by a credit bust. The latest round of financial headlines remind us that unsustainable debt is crippling Europe. In the U.S., heavy debt burdens have put local and state governments in deep financial trouble. Federal debt rapidly approaches $17 trillion. What will be the first financial domino to fall?

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, banks, Ben Bernanke, bloomberg, central banks, debt, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, gross domestic product (GDP), Interest Rates, monetary policy, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, soverign debt crisis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Cyprus, the Euro – and Elliott Waves
How will the forex market react to the details of the Cyprus bailout plan when the agreement is finally reached?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/22/2013 4:45:00 PM

Right now, the number one forex story is the banking crisis in Cyprus. Cyprus is part of the European Union, so it shares the euro with the rest of the EU. We could speculate on how the outcome of the bailout deal might affect the euro, but our forte is wave analysis and other supporting technical indicators. So let's take a look.

Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Has the European Central Bank Defeated the Sovereign Debt Crisis Once and For All?
A three-paneled chart reveals whether the critical precondition for recovery, consumer borrowing, is underway in Europe.

By Nico Isaac
3/21/2013 5:15:00 PM

The conventional wisdom would have to agree. Every polled financial pundit from here to the Hellenic Republic insists that – while not totally out of the woods – the worst of the eurozone economic crisis is in the rearview. The universally recognized date for the Continent’s exact turning point is July 2012. That’s when European Central Bank President Mario Draghi tossed his tie over his shoulder to verbally put the naysayers in their place

Filed Under: central banks, debt crisis, euro, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, liquidity, soverign debt crisis

Category: European Markets


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.