Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

The Most Noteworthy Takeaway from the 2013 World Economic Forum
A perfumed outlook doesn't mean the economy passes the smell test

By Bob Stokes
1/29/2013 5:30:00 PM

Harsh economic realities versus the disconnected and extreme economic optimism at Davos should serve as an alarm. But the World Economic Forum is not the only place where economic optimism is in overdrive. Get an independent perspective on global markets and economies.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, CNBC, debt crisis, economic indicators, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, International Monetary Fund (IMF), sentiment

Category: Global Markets


Market Insight: EUR/USD Completes a Textbook Elliott Wave Triangle
Watch Elliott waves -- and other technical analysis indicators -- in action as the markets trade

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/27/2012 8:15:00 PM

November 27, Jack Martin, intraday forex analyst for EWI's Currency Specialty Service"Every week, we see triangles on the intraday charts, both bullish and bearish. They are quite common as 4th waves, and usually signal the end of a 5-wave movement is approaching -- after the final "thrust" to new highs sets the stage for a correction. On November 26..."

Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, euro, eurozone, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, technical analysis, trading lessons

Category: Currencies


Market Insight: EUR/USD Falls. Is the Euro Rally Over?
Elliott wave analysis helps you know the trend before the news

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/26/2012 5:00:00 PM

Right now, forex traders the world over are waiting for the outcome of two events deemed -- by fundamental analysts -- to be very important for the next move in the U.S. dollar and the euro: the "fiscal cliff" negotiations in the United States and the meeting of European finance chiefs on a new aid measure for Greece. At the other end of the analytical spectrum...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, Fibonacci, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, technical indicators, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Europe's Return of Risky Debt: Sign of Hope or Dangerous Omen?
EWI's new, November European Financial Forecast highlights the resurgence of a risky debt -- and its implications for the region

By Nathaniel Williams
11/12/2012 1:30:00 PM

By all accounts, the economic and financial realities in Europe seem dire. Yet if you look at the behavior of some credit traders in Europe, you'd never know it. Is their new-found optimism toward risky debt a sign of hope -- or a dangerous omen?

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, Elliott wave, eu, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt

Category: European Markets


Global Economies and World Financial Markets: How the Big Disconnect Will End
Find out what happens when the two meet

By Bob Stokes
9/5/2012 3:45:00 PM

Will the disconnect between global economies and financial markets continue? EWI believes the answer is "no." Overleveraged financial markets will suffer the fate of overleveraged global economies. Keep in mind: The next financial crisis may start outside of America, so more than ever you need to... 
 
 

Filed Under: all the same market theory, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, CAC40, DAX, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Elliott wave, emerging markets, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, european markets, financial forecast, Greek debt, Indian markets, market crash, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nikkei, S&P 500, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis, Taiwan index, U.S. STOCK MARKET, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


VIDEO: Why We Turned Bullish on Swiss SMI Index on May 16
Simple Elliott wave analysis does the trick

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/24/2012 7:15:00 PM

This year, Swiss stocks followed the old investment adage "sell in May and go away to a T: In May, The SMI saw some of the biggest declines in months. And yet that was precisely the point when our own European Short Term Update turned bullish on the SMI. Watch this video for more.

Filed Under: diversification, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, Greek debt, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Swiss franc, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


EUR/USD: New 2-Year Low -- And Why That Shouldn't Surprise Anyone
Elliott wave analysis told you that "the EUR is likely staring at a new low for the year" 5 days before Spain's bailout news

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/23/2012 4:45:00 PM

This is a reprint of an article EWI's Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens wrote on July 18. Read it to understand why it wasn't the news from Spain that is behind the euro's latest drop.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, euro, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Crude Oil: A 4% Intraday Selloff To Remember
How EWI's Energy Specialty Service uses objective Elliott wave analysis to stay in front of crude oil's biggest intraday moves

By Nico Isaac
7/23/2012 4:30:00 PM

There has been a boatload of fundamental reasons to explain why crude oil prices took a 4.1% intraday plunge on Monday, July 23 But, as today's investigation into the move makes plain, crude oil's recent sell off was an Elliott wave affair, not a fundamental one.

Filed Under: commodities, CRB index, crude oil, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, Greek debt, Traders

Category: Energy


Forecasting a 20% Rise in Greece: See Elliott Wave Analysis Work in Real Time
How Elliott wave analysis can help you navigate Europe's treacherous waters -- often with astounding results

By Nathaniel Williams
7/20/2012 3:30:00 PM

How did our analysts decide that Greece's stock market would head up in June, when most everyone thought it would dive on the economy's problems? Here's a good example of how Elliott wave analysis keeps investors ahead of the game in European markets.

Filed Under: european markets, eurozone, Greek debt

Category: European Markets


What to Expect During the Coming Debt Collapse
Entire nations will likely default, learn what to do now

By Bob Stokes
7/10/2012 3:30:00 PM

Most of us can grasp how individuals, companies and even municipalities can go bankrupt. It's less easy to conceive how a nation can default on its obligations. But history proves that nation's can default on their debt. Learn what Elliott Wave International expects next...     

Filed Under: conquer the crash, credit crisis, debt crisis, debt downgrade, deficit, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott Wave Theorist, great depression, Greek debt, history, junk bonds, municipal bonds, soverign debt crisis, U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


Will This Week's EU Summit Save EUR? Here's How to Know the Trend in Advance
Leave the guesswork about the new European summit to others

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/25/2012 5:15:00 PM

EUR/USD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and the world's most actively traded forex pair, today stands well below the June 17 high of $1.2743. If the euro rises tomorrow, you may read in the news that the market has turned optimistic about the outcome of the new EU meeting...but there is a much more objective way to identify the EUR/USD trend -- right now.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, European debt crisis, eurozone, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, online trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, trade targets, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


EUR/USD: What Will the Weekend "Euro Referendum" Bring?
It's come down to the wire for the euro...next week should be interesting

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/15/2012 3:15:00 PM

Some are calling the Sunday Greek elections "a referendum on the euro." And the fears are that Greece's vote may send shock waves throughout the eurozone and the financial world. You may be surprised, but in highly emotional moments like these, Elliott wave pattern in market price charts get particularly clear...

Filed Under: debt crisis, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, eurozone, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, U.S. dollar, volatility

Category: Currencies


European Debt Crisis: "Imagine the Worst and Double It"
Just how will the sovereign debt crisis end?

By Bob Stokes
6/15/2012 3:00:00 PM

The Italian and Spanish economies are in shambles as borrowing costs have skyrocketed for both countries. And now front and center is Greece. But how about the endgame for the entire European Union?...

Filed Under: credit default swaps, deflation, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, soverign debt crisis

Category: Global Markets


Europe's "Flight to Safety" Now Boarding: Fasten Your Seatbelts!
We've got Europe covered with a brand-new European Financial Forecast AND exclusive June 11 webinar

By Nico Isaac
6/4/2012 6:00:00 PM

The financial infrastructure of Europe continues to collapse under the magnitude-10 debt earthquake reeling across its continent. The "stay and fight" mindset of investors is finally giving way to a full-blown "flight to safety." So, when will the coast be clear to return? On page 5 of the latest, June 2012 June European Finanical Forecast, our "return manifesto" couldn't be clearer: "Europe's real economic recovery will begin when 3 main conditions occur..." Get the full story today.

Filed Under: banks, brian whitmer, CAC40, central banks, DAX, debt, debt crisis, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, socionomics

Category: European Markets


Europe's Financial Fiasco: Migrating to the United States?
History may repeat itself

By Bob Stokes
5/29/2012 4:00:00 PM

About a year before the October 1929 crash, net capital inflows fell in several European countries. In other words: European economies began to deteriorate before the Great Depression began in the U.S. Is history repeating itself?...

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, bloomberg, credit crisis, credit default swaps, debt ceiling, debt downgrade, deflation, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, great depression, Greek debt, housing prices, recession, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis

Category: Global Markets


Position Yourself for the Rest of "Conquer the Crash"
The earlier you prepare, the better

By Bob Stokes
5/17/2012 5:30:00 PM

To this day, I wonder why Robert Prechter's book Conquer the Crash has not been more widely recognized. It described in advance much of what happened in the 2008 financial crisis. Learn what Prechter is saying now...

Filed Under: banks, Bob Prechter, conquer the crash, debt crisis, debt downgrade, deflation, economic depression, Elliott Wave Theorist, Greek debt, market crash, market forecasts

Category: U.S. Economy


U.S. Dollar Wins Huge, Euro Gets Slaughtered
The euro is almost 600 pips lower against the dollar -- and counting

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/15/2012 9:15:00 PM

Today, EUR/USD, the exchange rate between the euro and U.S. dollar -- and also the world's most-traded forex market -- fell to near $1.27, a low not seen since January. Just two weeks ago, it stood almost 600 points (or pips, in forex lingo) higher. What if someone asked you back in April -- before this month's news from Europe -- where the euro would trade in May? For many forex traders, the answer would be...

Filed Under: debt crisis, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, European debt crisis, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, online trading, sentiment, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Indonesia: How Elliott Wave Analysis Turned BULLISH When Few Dared, Part II
EWI's Asian-Pacific stock market analyst explains the unique benefits of Elliott wave analysis for emerging market investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/2/2012 2:00:00 PM

This is Part II of my interview with EWI's Mark Galasiewski, a monthly contributor to the "Asian-Pacific Stocks Section" of our Global Market Perspective -- a comprehensive, 50-page monthly publication for global investors. -- Mark, you use Elliott wave analysis as your chosen forecasting method. Why Elliott? Why not just watch the news like most investors do? -- Mark Galasiewski: Well, the example I already showed you...

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, Greek debt, Indian markets, Indian Rupee, investment strategy, Korean Won, Nikkei, risk management, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Singapore Dollar, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Global Markets


The Spain Downgrade and Contagion: Just How Much Risk?
Has the threat ratcheted up a notch (or two)?

By Bob Stokes
4/27/2012 4:00:00 PM

Shortly after the fourteenth European debt crisis summit concluded and there was an "extraordinary shift from negativity to optimism," the November 2011 Global Market Perspective flatly said "The current level of unpayable debt is too big to bail." Yet financial journalists and many of the economists they interview have been busy talking about rising markets and recovering economies. Some were even saying that Europe's debt crisis was "under control." It seems not...

Filed Under: debt downgrade, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Short Term Update, soverign debt crisis

Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Heading For a Long-Term Recovery, Or Relapse?
Inside the new, April 2012 European Financial Forecast...

By Nico Isaac
3/30/2012 6:30:00 PM

Let's hear it for European equities. The major stock markets across the pond saw their best first-quarter winning streak since 2006. And while many experts are waiting to see how the markets deal with Europe's austerity measures -- the April 2012 European Financial Forecast lets the cat out the bag: "European Stocks Have Already Signaled" their next move. Take note, because this is what it feels like to watch history in the making.

Filed Under: AEX, banks, CAC40, DAX, debt, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, inflation, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


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© 2013 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.