Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

"Eerie Echo" of Pre-Lehman: Is Contagion from Europe Coming to the U.S.?
If Greece exits the eurozone the fallout could be "Lehman on steroids."

By Bob Stokes
6/12/2012 4:45:00 PM

As credit risk increases in Europe, the outcome may dwarf the Lehman shock wave. How can you protect your portfolio in a downward spiral of deflation? Every investor needs to know the answer to this question...

Filed Under: banks, conquer the crash, credit default swaps, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, eurozone, Lehman Brothers, soverign debt crisis, subprime lending, world central banks

Category: U.S. Economy

"Dow 15,000": You CAN Judge A Trend By Its Cover
The "magazine cover indicator" is not to be overlooked

By Nico Isaac
2/14/2012 5:00:00 PM

You can judge market sentiment in more ways than one. For example, cover pages of popular periodicals can give you a glimpse of the prevailing mood in the market. When a financial trend is so strong, or in force for so long -- or both -- that it makes the cover, the trend is usually fully acted upon, and therefore close to a reversal. Here at Elliott wave International, we've often used this phenomenon to help us gauge how extreme market sentiment has become -- and therefore, how close is the market in question to a reversal.

Filed Under: bull market, Chinese markets, credit crisis, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, housing prices, Lehman Brothers, Magazine Cover Indicator, Shanghai Composite Index, social mood

Category: Stocks

Goldman Sachs: Wall Street's "Queen Bee" Gets Stung
EWI foresaw the turn in Goldman's fate from invincible to embattled

By Nico Isaac
10/21/2011 2:45:00 PM

Few mainstream commentators anticipated Goldman Sachs' recent decline. Yet it's hard to blame them, because they simply aren't equipped to anticipate trend changes. Most of the time they simply extrapolate the previous trend into the future. Goldman has been a Wall Street powerhouse for decades -- so why would that ever change?

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, Bear Stearns, credit crisis, Elliott wave, Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers

Category: U.S. Economy

The Euro: Down, Down, Down?
With a Greek default looming larger by the hour, the world is suddenly concerned for the euro's future

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/16/2011 5:45:00 PM

Lots of recent news stories discuss the euro's plight -- but you didn't come here for the news. You came here looking for an Elliott wave insight into the crisis. You should know that although wave analysis is a contrarian method, there is one point in the Elliott wave pattern when the Elliott wave perspective matches that of the mainstream. It's called "the point of recognition"...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, European Union (EU), euro, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, forex trading, Greek debt, Lehman Brothers, safe haven

Category: Currencies

The Euro and the Greek Bailout
Discussions of the euro's "fundamentals" may tickle your brain, but they can get you "stuck" when you need to anticipate the trend

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/14/2011 11:15:00 AM

On June 13, Standard & Poor’s lowered its credit rating for Greek debt -- again. Given this background, everyone wants to know, "What's next for the euro?" But while it may tickle the brain to look for answers in the "fundamentals," they can get you "stuck" when it comes to anticipating the trend. Here's why...

Filed Under: economic depression, Elliott wave, euro, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex trading, Greek debt, Lehman Brothers, Swiss franc, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies

Greece: Europe's Lehman Brothers?
Could Greece suffer the same bailout refusal as Lehman?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/3/2011 6:00:00 PM

When the financial crisis hit hard in the fall of 2008, the Federal Reserve Bank made the now-infamous decision to refuse to bail out the Wall Street giant, Lehman Brothers. Today, the eurozone authorities are losing patience with Greece.

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, Irish debt crisis, Lehman Brothers, risk appetite, Sovereign Debt, Swiss franc, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis

Category: European Markets

Goldman Sachs Company Charged With Fraud: Who Could Have Guessed? Part II
The firm's history suggests its vulnerability in periods of negative social mood.

By Editorial Staff
4/20/2010 12:15:00 PM

In the November 2009 issue of Elliott Wave International's monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, co-editors Steven Hochberg and Peter Kendall published a careful study of Goldman Sachs company history -- and made a sobering forecast for its future. In this special three-part series, we are releasing the entire Special Report to you. Here is Part II; please come back later this week for Part III.

Filed Under: Goldman Sachs, Robert Prechter, Morgan Stanley, Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, AIG

Category: Stocks

Goldman Sachs Company Charged With Fraud: Who Could Have Guessed? Part I
The firm's history suggests its vulnerability in periods of negative social mood.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2010 3:00:00 PM

In November 2009, Elliott Wave International's monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast published a careful study of Goldman Sachs' history -- and made a grim forecast for the firm's future. In this special three-part series, we will release the entire Special Report to you. Here is Part I; come back next week for Parts II and III.

Filed Under: Goldman Sachs, Warren Buffett, U.S. Treasuries, Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Wall Street

Category: Stocks

The Weakest Link
Let’s address a key point that most mainstream analysts seem to have missed.

By Jason Farkas
12/1/2009 2:30:00 PM

With all the talk about the end of the Great Recession, I continually ask myself the following questions: Am I just being a pessimist for believing in a deflationary depression? Am I a fool to fight those who make the rules: Congress, the Fed and the Treasury? So, let’s address a key point that most mainstream analysts seem to have missed...

Filed Under: Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

Trouble in Dubai: Another "Lehman Brothers"?
Did Lehman failure cause the financial crisis? Not if you look at it from an Elliott wave perspective.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/27/2009 12:00:00 PM

Friday morning (November 27) brought troubling news from Dubai. This begs the question: Could this be this year's "Lehman Brothers" event? As we all know, mainstream financial pundits have almost universally blamed the 2008 Wall Street meltdown on Lehman's bankruptcy. Is Dubai this year's "Lehman"?

Filed Under: Lehman Brothers, Wall Street

Category: Stocks

Will Gold Provide Shelter From The Storm?
The not-so safety of “safe haven” thinking

By Nico Isaac
9/23/2008 5:00:00 PM

As the stock market continues its violent 400-point swings back and forth, one question floods the minds of investors across the country: Where is a secure place to park my money, besides the floor boards? And, like a broken record, the conventional wisdom repeats, “Gold, gold, gold…”  Are they right?

Filed Under: gold futures, Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, AIG, safe haven

Category: Gold and Silver

Stock Market ‘Carnage’ Continues
Is this what an “Averted” crisis looks like?

By Nico Isaac
9/17/2008 5:00:00 PM

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down some 800 points over the past three days (Sept. 15-17). Monday alone was its sixth steepest drop EVER, at 504 points. How does the recent sell off in stocks fit into the big picture AND does that picture contain the etchings of a wee cub, or a mature adult?

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Lehman Brothers, bailouts

Category: Stocks

U.S. Dollar vs. Euro: “Risk of a Sudden Revaluation”
We are in an environment where the dollar could suddenly appear less attractive.

By Jim Martens, Senior Currency Strategist
9/17/2008 4:30:00 AM

Have forex traders lost confidence in the idea that the U.S. was ahead of the rest of the world in regard to bad news – and now it’s leading the way back, away from the edge of recession? Or have they lost faith in the way the U.S. does business? And if it’s the latter, does it mean they have lost faith in the capitalist way of life? And what could that mean for the U.S. dollar? Here are some thoughts from Elliott Wave International’s Senior Currency Strategist

Filed Under: Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, U.S. dollar, euro

Category: Currencies

Today is Not Like 1929! No, It's Worse

By Editorial Staff
9/12/2008 3:00:00 PM

Now, with the Dow in decline and the current problems with Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Lehman on the front pages, more people may want to know exactly what Bob Prechter has forecast for the U.S. economy.

Filed Under: Fannie Mae, Lehman Brothers, great depression, 1929 Stock Market Crash, market crash, Bear market, South Sea Bubble

Category: Classic Prechter

Lehman Brothers: Beep, Beep, Beep, Beeeeee.....

By Nico Isaac
9/10/2008 7:15:00 PM

In hindsight, it may appear more-than-obvious that Lehman was next in the line of Wall Street firms going from “the good life” to life support. But what about before? The public was oblivious all the way up to the red-flashing LEH ticker tape...

Filed Under: Lehman Brothers, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley

Category: U.S. Economy

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© 2013 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.