Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Market Insight: DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2014 4:45:00 PM

After last week’s hard sell-off in stocks -- and this week's rally (so far) -- you are probably wondering what's next. Who isn't, right? Here is a quick insight from our intraday service for traders, which focuses solely on the DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks

(Video) Beware the Flood of Initial Public Offerings
Party like it's 1999

By Bob Stokes
3/21/2014 5:00:00 PM

On a quarterly basis, U.S. initial public offerings reached a record high in Q3 of 2013, and many more are scheduled to price. Is this like 1999 all over again?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investment strategy, investor psychology, mania, Nasdaq Composite, technical analysis, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - FRUP

Category: Stocks

The 80/20 Trade: Pounce Like a Cat
Patience can be rewarding

By Bob Stokes
3/4/2014 5:00:00 PM

You must ambush high confidence trades. Long-time professional trader and teacher Dick Diamond says patience is vital before the ambush.  I talked to Diamond about his famous 80/20 trade ... 


Filed Under: Dick Diamond, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Fibonacci, investor psychology, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), online trading, oscillators, Relative Strength Index (RSI), risk management, stochastics, successful traders, technical indicators, Traders, trendlines, VIX

Category: Trading Lessons

Charts Tell the Truth About Financial Markets
Prechter presents his findings about U.S. markets with 15 charts

By Bob Stokes
12/3/2013 4:45:00 PM

Robert Prechter presents his findings about U.S. markets with 15 charts. Read descriptions of six of those charts and see all 15 risk-free.

Filed Under: consumer price index, CRB index, Elliott Wave Theorist, Gold, Nasdaq Composite, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks

Nasdaq’s Trading Halt: Complexity Now, Emotionalism Later

By Susan C. Walker
8/26/2013 10:30:00 AM

For a larger perspective on trading halts, see what Robert Prechter wrote in his business best seller, Conquer the Crash – You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression in this excerpt.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Nasdaq Composite, Traders

Category: Classic Prechter

NASDAQ's 15% Drop in 2000: a Snapshot of Market History or a Picture of its Future?
Is increased stock market volatility just ahead?

By Bob Stokes
3/27/2013 5:15:00 PM

From March to April 2000, the NASDAQ declined 15%. Many investors bought the dip in the months after the peak, but it was only the beginning of a larger decline. In the 2000-2002 price plunge, the technology-heavy index lost a whopping 78%. Do investors today have a similar mindset to the prevailing market psychology of 2000? Recent sentiment measures say "Yes."


Filed Under: Bear market, buy and hold, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, history, investor psychology, market crash, Nasdaq Composite, Robert Prechter, sentiment, VIX, volatility

Category: Stocks

Formidable Resistance Remains for the NASDAQ
Why a NASDAQ price barrier may not be broken

By Bob Stokes
2/8/2013 5:15:00 PM

The NASDAQ Composite has barely advanced in the past 10 months, despite an extremely bullish sentiment. The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast called attention to the upper trendline of a parallel price channel in April 2012, and that upper trendline has remained a barrier to a NASDAQ Composite advance. The just-published February Financial Forecast provides insights into why the market now faces a historic juncture.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Fibonacci, financial forecast, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, sentiment, technical indicators, trendlines

Category: Stocks

S&P 500: January to Remember, But What's Next?
Rather than waiting for Friday's U.S. unemployment report, you can get a hint at the market's future action right now.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/31/2013 6:15:00 PM

On a percentage basis the DJIA has had its best January since 1989, the S&P since 1997. Yet mainstream analysts seem to think that fears about Friday's (February 1) jobs report made the markets very nervous on the last trading day of January. But rather than waiting until 8:30 a.m. on Friday, you can get a hint at the market's future action from Elliott wave patterns in the charts of the Dow and S&P 500 right now.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, Nasdaq Composite, nonfarm payrolls, S&P 500, technical analysis

Category: Stocks

Is It Safe to "Buy the Dip"?
History shows how NASDAQ investors lost their shirts

By Bob Stokes
1/8/2013 4:45:00 PM

Buying stocks simply because prices are lower can be perilous. Consider a historical chart and the accompanying commentary.

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, CNBC, Elliott wave, financial forecast, investment strategy, Nasdaq Composite, sentiment

Category: Stocks

Think Lower U.S. Trade Deficit Is Bullish for Stock Market?
The latest figures show that the U.S. trade gap has narrowed, and many see that as a bullish sign

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/2/2013 2:00:00 PM

Before you join the crowd in thinking that shrinking trade gap is good for the U.S. economy and the stock market, see this eye-opening chart. 

Filed Under: bull market, buy and hold, Club EWI, deficit, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), QE2, S&P 500

Category: U.S. Economy

Is Apple's Drop into Bear Market Territory a Harbinger for the Broader Market?
The bearish mood that took a bite out of Apple may tug on the overall market.

By Bob Stokes
12/6/2012 4:30:00 PM

In the past few years, Apple, Inc., stock seemed to defy Newton's law of gravity as it ascended to its all-time intraday high of $705. But in light of recent market action, investors are wondering if Apple can keep up with its hype. The money-manager favorite just had its worst single session decline since 2008. At least one investment letter was not surprised by Apple stock's retreat.

Filed Under: Bear market, buy and hold, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, hedge funds, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, stock indexes, technical analysis, volume

Category: Stocks

Extreme Sentiment Readings Suggest 2013 Surprise for Stock Market Analysts

By Bob Stokes
12/3/2012 2:45:00 PM

Sentiment readings can provide valuable market insight, and extremes in those numbers often signal a "surprise" reversal on the horizon. Learn more.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investor psychology, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), sentiment

Category: Stocks

S&P 500: What a Third-Wave Decline Looks Like
In Elliott wave analysis, third waves are "broad and strong," and the 1.7% drop on October 19 certainly qualifies.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/22/2012 8:00:00 PM

The strong drop we saw in the S&P 500 on Oct. 19 had a good Elliott wave description: a third-wave decline. Right after the open on Monday (Oct. 24), our U.S. Intraday Stocks Specialty Service posted this update as a follow-up to Friday's action...

Filed Under: fundamental analysis, futures trading, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, technical analysis

Category: Stocks

The Psychology of Market Tops: "Big Investors Say They Knew Better Than to Overstay"
Market psychology can turn on a dime

By Bob Stokes
10/19/2012 4:15:00 PM

Given the time it takes a financial market to reach a price peak, one might think the decline would be just as gradual. But when fear strikes, investors flee like gazelles at the sight of a lion. Beware of the next...


Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bear market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Principle, investor psychology, market crash, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, Nikkei, South Sea Bubble

Category: Stocks

The Financial Press is Missing the Biggest Scoop Ever
The crowd is always on the wrong side of major trend changes

By Bob Stokes
9/18/2012 5:00:00 PM

Financial journalists are setting themselves up to miss the biggest financial scoop since the Great Depression, perhaps ever. Rest assured: You'll see plenty of stories after the fact. Most will contain post-analysis that will sound like the prescient warnings EWI is providing now...


Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, CNBC, Elliott Wave Theorist, herding, history, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, Robert Prechter, U.S. STOCK MARKET, wisdom of crowds

Category: Stocks

Prechter: "Every Mania Ends Below the Starting Point."
Who has the odds in the bull vs. bear battle?

By Bob Stokes
9/13/2012 5:45:00 PM

Manias have developed many times in the history of financial markets. No matter in which country or period in history the financial manias occurred, they all have had one thing in common...

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bear market, Bob Prechter, bull market, economic depression, Elliott wave, financial forecast, history, mania, Nasdaq Composite, Nikkei, sentiment, Short Term Update, stock indexes

Category: Stocks

Global Economies and World Financial Markets: How the Big Disconnect Will End
Find out what happens when the two meet

By Bob Stokes
9/5/2012 3:45:00 PM

Will the disconnect between global economies and financial markets continue? EWI believes the answer is "no." Overleveraged financial markets will suffer the fate of overleveraged global economies. Keep in mind: The next financial crisis may start outside of America, so more than ever you need to... 

Filed Under: all the same market theory, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, CAC40, DAX, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Elliott wave, emerging markets, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, european markets, financial forecast, Greek debt, Indian markets, market crash, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nikkei, S&P 500, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis, Taiwan index, U.S. STOCK MARKET, world central banks

Category: Global Markets

S&P 500: "Another failure to push through this level now could be catastrophic"
There are many Fibonacci ratios in the market, and all of them help you set price targets

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/17/2012 4:15:00 PM

Elliott wave analysis is all about form. As Frost and Prechter's Elliott Wave Principle -- Key to Market Behavior puts it...

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave trading, Fibonacci, Nasdaq Composite, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, technical analysis, trade targets

Category: Stocks

U.S. Stocks: What Happens Next?
Elliott wave analysis is no crystal ball, but there is one thing that it does differently...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/7/2012 4:45:00 PM

Last Friday (Aug. 3), the DJIA and S&P 500 finished the week with a strong surge. Question: Could you have known that the rally would continue on Monday (Aug. 6), too? There is one theory...

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks

S&P 500: Waiting for Bernanke (NOT)
"Triangles appear to reflect a balance of forces..."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/17/2012 7:00:00 PM

This week's trading in U.S. stocks began with a slow, sideways move. Analysts explained why: The Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is testifying before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. In Elliott wave analysis, there is a name for a sideway-moving market like that: a triangle. On Monday, July 16, here's what that sideways move in the S&P 500 looked like on a price chart.

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, trading lessons

Category: Stocks

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© 2014 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.