Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

(Video, 4:17 min.) You Can Lead a Horse to Water, But You Can't Make Him... Borrow
Today's trend towards deflation is not a monetary problem, but a psychological one

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/18/2014 5:00:00 PM

Do you know what the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve have in common? Yes, they are three of the world's biggest central banks. But the other thing that unites them is a common problem.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, central banks, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, european central bank, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


U.S. Dollar: Since When Is Inflation a Good Thing?
Up is down, black is white -- and now, inflation is supposed to strengthen the U.S. dollar

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/17/2014 3:45:00 PM

Everyone knows that inflation destroys the purchasing power of a currency. Which is not good -- not for consumers, producers or for the economy in general. That's why seeing this headline came as a surprise...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, european markets, European Union (EU), forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, inflation, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


What's Scarier Than DE-flation?
As early as 2011, our analysis warned that Europe's deflation was coming -- here's why

By Nico Isaac
11/14/2014 3:30:00 PM

At last count, EIGHT European nations are now in outright deflation. It's the "Titanic" shipwreck scenario "no one saw coming." Well, not exactly no one.

Filed Under: Brian Whitmer, central banks, charts, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, forecasts, Greenspan, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: European Markets


(Video, 2:47 min.) Stocks: The One Trend Indicator Mainstream Finance Overlooks
How Elliott wave chart patterns help you track and forecast changes in market psychology

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/13/2014 3:00:00 PM

Despite the prevailing bullishness in the stock market, at least some of the observers are getting a little nervous.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, Interest Rates, investor psychology, liquidity, market forecasts, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured, volatility

Category: Stocks


Is the U.S. Economy Headed for the "Good" Kind of Deflation?
A brand-new FREE report addresses all three arguments in favor of a "benign" deflationary scenario

By Nico Isaac
11/12/2014 3:00:00 PM

In case you haven't heard, "good deflation" will actually benefit the U.S. economy. The pro-deflation defense comes down to THREE main arguments... 

Filed Under: charts, Chinese markets, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, financial forecast, inflation, inside look, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part X)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/11/2014 6:15:00 PM

Myth #10: “Central banks and government policies control the markets.” Virtually everyone believes this statement; certainly most economists do. Keynesians and monetarists believe...

Filed Under: central banks, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, inflation, market manipulation, monetary policy, Nasdaq Composite, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Classic Prechter


(Video, 4:39) Gold: Buy or Sell?
When all the right "reasons" point to a move higher (or lower), prices often go in the opposite direction

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/7/2014 9:45:00 PM

On November 6, gold fell to $1130, the lowest level since April 2010. Mainstream analysts have no shortage of bearish explanations. This USA Today article summarized most of them...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, gold futures, precious metals, QE2, quantitative easing, real money, risk appetite, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Gold and Silver


(Video, 3:30 min.) U.S. vs. Europe: Who Is Leading Whom?
The answer is debatable, but the way policymakers have tried to end the crisis amounts to a spotty record

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/4/2014 4:15:00 PM

"Here’s one widely held view: 'Europe is running about two to three years behind the US, mostly due to the US being about two to three years ahead of the eurozone in terms of monetary stimulus.' However..."

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


A Great Model to Understand Gold's Price Swings
Starting with gold's recent sell-off to a 3-YEAR low!

By Nico Isaac
10/31/2014 10:45:00 AM

On October 31, gold prices touched their lowest level since July 2010. You're going to hear a lot about how gold's decline had much ado about the Fed's end of QE. Don't believe it!

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, charts, diagonal, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, Greenspan, Interest Rates, Janet Yellen, precious metals, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


(Video, 3:04 min.) The End of QE
While QE may have "helped avert another depression," why didn't the Fed nip the collapse in the bud seven years ago?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/29/2014 5:45:00 PM

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve said it would stop quantitative easing. The program was a risky, multi-year experiment, and many news stories offer sober assessments of the result. Here's ours, too.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:26 min.) Did the Fed "Save" Us Again Last Week?
A different take on last week's stock market collapse

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/22/2014 4:00:00 PM

You could say that the Fed saved us again last week. Many investors believe that. Unfortunately, they also have very short memories. This excerpt from our October 2007 Elliott Wave Theorist explains why.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Interest Rates, investment decisions, investment strategy, Nasdaq Composite, Nikkei, S&P 500, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured, world central banks

Category: Stocks


(Video, 4:36 min.) EURUSD: How To Spot a Market Bottom
Picking tops and bottoms is not easy. But these tools turns the odds in your favor

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/17/2014 3:30:00 PM

It's hard to go against the tide. In the markets, when everyone is bullish (or bearish, as it was in this case), the gravitational pull of the crowd is huge. Yet, watch how just a few market indicators can help you break free.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), forex, forex trading, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - FRUP

Category: Currencies


(Video, 2:47 min.) Stocks: The ONE Question Few People Are Asking
Looking for rationality in irrational markets is futile

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/10/2014 4:30:00 PM

Most investors read news looking for a rational REASON why the markets do what they do. But almost no one talks about the one IRRATIONAL factor that does more to drive the trend than all “fundamentals” combined: fear.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, Nasdaq Composite, quantitative easing, risk appetite, S&P 500, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


Rethink EVERYTHING: The Real Reason Gold Is Rallying
Don't give the Federal Reserve credit for boosting gold prices!

By Nico Isaac
10/10/2014 1:00:00 PM

On October 8, the Fed's "dovish" meeting minutes were released. One day later, gold prices leapt to a 3-week high. But here's why the one had little to do with the other.

Filed Under: charts, Elliott wave, Gold, Interest Rates, monetary policy, precious metals, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


U.S. Dollar Falls -- But Don't Rush to Blame the Fed
The dollar weakness was in the cards long before the FOMC minutes

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/9/2014 4:15:00 PM

True, EURUSD did move sharply higher after the Fed news on October 8 (euro strength/dollar weakness). But the rally was in the making HOURS before the news. See for yourself.

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Fibonacci, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, trade targets, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


(Video, 3:41 min.) A Huge Strategic Mistake by the Federal Reserve?
Central bank assets balloon to near $4.3 trillion

By Bob Stokes
10/7/2014 4:00:00 PM

The total assets of the Federal Reserve have ballooned to around $4.3 trillion. That's more than twice the government expenditures for all 50 states. But the U.S. central bank has made a big blunder that could result in the loss of its credibility.

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, Elliott wave, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 2:52 min.) Gold Prices: Why the Fed Matters Less Than You May Think
The 1% sell-off on September 17 was in the Elliott wave cards all along

By Nico Isaac
9/24/2014 3:15:00 PM

On September 17, gold traders and investors were sure of one thing: IF the Fed kept interest rates near 0% for a "considerable time," gold prices would rise. The Fed did just that -- YET, gold prices dropped 1% that day. What gives?

Filed Under: charts, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, inflation, Interest Rates, Traders, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Gold and Silver


(Video, 2:43 min.) Little-Known Indicator That Alerts You to the Fed's Next Move
The Fed's watching unemployment to time its first rate hike in six years. You can watch this.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/16/2014 5:30:00 PM

While the Fed is watching jobs, you can follow this indicator - one that has a long history of anticipating changes in the Fed's interest rates policy. See for yourself.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), fundamental analysis, Interest Rates, investment decisions, investment strategy, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:02 min.) Central Banks Are Buying Stocks -- That HAS To Be Bullish (Right?)
It's tempting to answer "yes" -- until you recall a similar example from recent history

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/12/2014 5:00:00 PM

Sovereign wealth funds were buying stocks seven years ago. Today, it's central banks. There is no real difference, though: Both express how accepted the drive into riskier financial assets has become.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, central banks, Elliott wave, european central bank, european markets, market manipulation, stock indexes, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:19 min.) U.S. Dollar: A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Crash
The greenback's recent history is a story of surviving the odds

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/9/2014 9:30:00 PM

Despite all the gloom-and-doom expectations, the U.S. dollar has been quietly strengthening -- since 2008! So how has the dollar been able to survive and prosper?

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, inflation, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Currencies


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.