Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

(Video, 2:27 min.) Stocks: It's All Been Done Before
"...the ‘plumber and barber sentiment index‘ is near an all-time high"

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/26/2015 2:15:00 PM

There's a lot of bullishness out there. And "when nearly all investors are bullish, they tend to view the stance as conservative, because, after all, everyone is doing it. This is even true for professional investors..." We're not the only ones noticing this uber-optimism.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Goldman Sachs, investment decisions, investment strategy, sentiment, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


"Audit the Fed"? We've Already Done That (Well, Kind of)
Our conclusion: The Fed is not in control of the economy -- here's why

By Nico Isaac
2/26/2015 6:30:00 AM

The controversial "Audit the Fed" bill is soon before Congress. But, we at EWI have long since conducted our own "audit" of the Fed -- and the results might shock you.

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, Bob Prechter, central banks, charts, Club EWI, commodities, Conquer the Crash, credit crisis, crude oil, debt, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, Elliott Wave Theorist, great depression, gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, Interest Rates, market myths, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:06 min.) Does the Federal Reserve Drive the Stock Market Trend?
A closer look at assumptions about interest rates and the market

By Bob Stokes
2/25/2015 3:45:00 PM

Millions of investors analyze the Fed's every word. But do central banks control financial markets? It's time to take a close look at the data.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Interest Rates, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Classic Prechter


(Video, 4:09 min.) Deflation: Why the Fed Has Been Losing the Battle
"The ultimate drivers of inflation and deflation are human mental states that the Fed cannot manipulate."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/29/2015 5:30:00 PM

Despite six years of record-low interest rates; three rounds and five years of the Fed's QE; $4 trillion of "new money injected into the economy" -- despite all that, inflation in the U.S. remains well below the Fed's target. Why?

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:44 min) What's Bigger Than a $1.4 Billion Mortgage Ratings Scandal?
The great "inflated" expectations for gold, oil, commodities -- and now stocks

By Nico Isaac
1/26/2015 5:30:00 PM

Standard & Poor's just reached a $1.4 billion settlement for "inflating credit ratings on toxic assets" leading up to the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis. But there's a much bigger issue at stake...

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Ben Bernanke, Bob Prechter, charts, commodities, Conquer the Crash, CRB index, credit crisis, crude oil, Gold, inflation, quantitative easing, S&P 500, safe haven, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, Video - FRUP

Category: Stocks


Stocks and Economy: What to Look for in 2015
Some thoughts about "fundamentals" going into the new year

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/30/2014 3:45:00 PM

U.S. stocks are trading near all-time highs, yet some people say that without a stronger economy this bull market won't last. This argument makes sense at first blush, but when you dig a little deeper, you quickly discover that it's not supported by the facts.

Filed Under: bull market, commodities, crude oil, debt, deflation, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, emerging markets, european markets, fundamental analysis, housing prices, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, S&P 500, stimulus package, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, unemployment, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


Why the "Gift Card" of Stimulus Has Gone Unredeemed
A deflationary mindset at work

By Nico Isaac
12/26/2014 11:15:00 AM

What do Holiday gift cards have to do with the Fed's $4 trillion-plus quantitative easing program? Answer: they both go unredeemed, despite being cash in hand to spend at will.

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, Bob Prechter, cash, central banks, charts, Conquer the Crash, consumer price index, consumer spending, deflation, Elliott wave, financial forecast, inflation, investor psychology, quantitative easing, social mood, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:45 min.) The Swiss Lower Interest Rates to -.25%. Will It Work?
The world's most conservative central bank wants YOU to pay THEM to hold your money

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/19/2014 5:15:00 PM

On December 18, the Dow had its best day of the year. Analysts said stocks rose due to the Fed's promise to "be patient" about raising U.S. interest rates. That the burst of optimism made it hard to notice important news about interest rates from Europe. Watch.

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, euro, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, Swiss franc, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


Who Holds the Future of Gold in Its Hands? Hint: It's Not the Fed!
Recent history shows you how central bank policies matter less than many investors think

By Nico Isaac
12/17/2014 3:00:00 PM

Mainstream economic wisdom says the Federal Reserve holds the fate of gold prices in its hand. Cut rates, and gold rallies. Raise rates, and gold falls. Recent history, however, tells a radically different story.

Filed Under: charts, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), financial forecast, Gold, history, inflation, Interest Rates, monetary policy, precious metals, quantitative easing, sentiment, Short Term Update, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), Wall Street

Category: Gold and Silver


(Video, 3:04 min.) The Federal Reserve's Inflation Gauge: Falling to 2008 Levels
Be among the few who are ready for deflation

By Bob Stokes
12/12/2014 4:00:00 PM

Few people see deflation as a threat. But deflation is grabbing global headlines. Learn what you need to know now about this potentially devastating trend.

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Conquer the Crash, deflation, Elliott wave, European Union (EU), inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 4:17 min.) You Can Lead a Horse to Water, But You Can't Make Him... Borrow
Today's trend towards deflation is not a monetary problem, but a psychological one

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/18/2014 5:00:00 PM

Do you know what the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve have in common? Yes, they are three of the world's biggest central banks. But the other thing that unites them is a common problem.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, central banks, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, european central bank, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


U.S. Dollar: Since When Is Inflation a Good Thing?
Up is down, black is white -- and now, inflation is supposed to strengthen the U.S. dollar

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/17/2014 3:45:00 PM

Everyone knows that inflation destroys the purchasing power of a currency. Which is not good -- not for consumers, producers or for the economy in general. That's why seeing this headline came as a surprise...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, european markets, European Union (EU), forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, inflation, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


What's Scarier Than DE-flation?
As early as 2011, our analysis warned that Europe's deflation was coming -- here's why

By Nico Isaac
11/14/2014 3:30:00 PM

At last count, EIGHT European nations are now in outright deflation. It's the "Titanic" shipwreck scenario "no one saw coming." Well, not exactly no one.

Filed Under: Brian Whitmer, central banks, charts, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, forecasts, Greenspan, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: European Markets


(Video, 2:47 min.) Stocks: The One Trend Indicator Mainstream Finance Overlooks
How Elliott wave chart patterns help you track and forecast changes in market psychology

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/13/2014 3:00:00 PM

Despite the prevailing bullishness in the stock market, at least some of the observers are getting a little nervous.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, Interest Rates, investor psychology, liquidity, market forecasts, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured, volatility

Category: Stocks


Is the U.S. Economy Headed for the "Good" Kind of Deflation?
A brand-new FREE report addresses all three arguments in favor of a "benign" deflationary scenario

By Nico Isaac
11/12/2014 3:00:00 PM

In case you haven't heard, "good deflation" will actually benefit the U.S. economy. The pro-deflation defense comes down to THREE main arguments... 

Filed Under: charts, Chinese markets, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, financial forecast, inflation, inside look, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part X)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/11/2014 6:15:00 PM

Myth #10: “Central banks and government policies control the markets.” Virtually everyone believes this statement; certainly most economists do. Keynesians and monetarists believe...

Filed Under: central banks, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, inflation, market manipulation, monetary policy, Nasdaq Composite, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Classic Prechter


(Video, 4:39) Gold: Buy or Sell?
When all the right "reasons" point to a move higher (or lower), prices often go in the opposite direction

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/7/2014 9:45:00 PM

On November 6, gold fell to $1130, the lowest level since April 2010. Mainstream analysts have no shortage of bearish explanations. This USA Today article summarized most of them...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, gold futures, precious metals, QE2, quantitative easing, real money, risk appetite, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Gold and Silver


(Video, 3:30 min.) U.S. vs. Europe: Who Is Leading Whom?
The answer is debatable, but the way policymakers have tried to end the crisis amounts to a spotty record

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/4/2014 4:15:00 PM

"Here’s one widely held view: 'Europe is running about two to three years behind the US, mostly due to the US being about two to three years ahead of the eurozone in terms of monetary stimulus.' However..."

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


A Great Model to Understand Gold's Price Swings
Starting with gold's recent sell-off to a 3-YEAR low!

By Nico Isaac
10/31/2014 10:45:00 AM

On October 31, gold prices touched their lowest level since July 2010. You're going to hear a lot about how gold's decline had much ado about the Fed's end of QE. Don't believe it!

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, charts, diagonal, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, Greenspan, Interest Rates, Janet Yellen, precious metals, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


(Video, 3:04 min.) The End of QE
While QE may have "helped avert another depression," why didn't the Fed nip the collapse in the bud seven years ago?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/29/2014 5:45:00 PM

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve said it would stop quantitative easing. The program was a risky, multi-year experiment, and many news stories offer sober assessments of the result. Here's ours, too.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks



© 2015 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.