Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

(Video) The Fed Hasn't Stopped a Credit Bubble, It Helped Start One
And why the real beneficiary of easy lending is not a rising stock market

By Nico Isaac
4/9/2014 5:15:00 PM

In order to know exactly what the US Federal Reserve is capable of, first you have to know what it's not capable of. Controlling the performance of the world's leading stock markets -- what side does that fall into, can or can't? 

Filed Under: central banks, credit crisis, debt, debt crisis, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, financial forecast, great depression, Interest Rates, junk bonds, monetary policy, stock indexes, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), Video - FRUP, Wall Street

Category: Stocks


(Video) "History does not repeat itself, but it does rhyme."
Almost no one remembers, or wants to remember, how powerless the Fed was just 6 years ago

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/9/2014 2:30:00 PM

Fed minutes rarely offer any surprises, because the Fed makes a statement immediately after the meetings. So how are Fed minutes "news," and why do investors breathlessly await each release? The short answer is, because...

 

Filed Under: central banks, credit crisis, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Interest Rates, investment strategy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


This Chart Will Convince You That Elliott Waves Are Real
Here is one way to stay ahead of the yield curve

By Editorial Staff
4/7/2014 5:30:00 PM

How much businesses and consumers pay to borrow money affects the economy. But how do you know where bond yields (and, by extension, central bank interest rates and mortgage rates) are going?

Filed Under: central banks, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Fibonacci, financial forecast, futures trading, Interest Rates, technical analysis, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Happy Tax Season
You won't believe what this one simple chart can show

By Robert Folsom
4/1/2014 1:15:00 PM

See the entire history of tax revenue in the United States -- on ONE simple chart. (Yes, you can show that on one chart -- and it's an eye-opener...)

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, debt, deficit, Elliott Wave Theorist, inflation, M3 money supply, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Fed Chair Janet Yellen Faces an Economic Polar Vortex
Yellen blames soft spending on harsh winter

By Bob Stokes
2/27/2014 3:45:00 PM

Fed chair Janet Yellen partly blames disappointing economic data on winter weather. But the decline in consumer spending began long before the brutal winter weather descended. Take a look at a truth-telling chart.

Filed Under: consumer spending, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - FRUP

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) U.S. Dollar Rises on Strong U.S. New Home Sales? Not So Fast
Fact is, the dollar actually began to move not after the report, but several hours before

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/26/2014 5:30:00 PM

On Feb. 26, the U.S. dollar rose strongly against the euro. The strength was attributed to a new economic report released that same morning. But if you look closer, you'll see that the dollar actually began to move not after the report, but several hours before it. How come?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, forex, forex trading, home sales, housing prices, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Currencies


Economists Alarmed by This Jobless Trend
Janet Yellen: Economy is going through "very unusual times"

By Bob Stokes
2/19/2014 3:30:00 PM

Economists are alarmed by the jobless trend among men in their prime working years. If the labor market remains troubled even after all the Fed's easy money, why would a continuation of Bernanke's policies change the jobs picture?

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, CNBC, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy


Why the Fed CANNOT Expand Credit All It Wants
Jaguars, Anyone?

By Robert Prechter, CMT
2/12/2014 12:30:00 PM

I am tired of hearing people insist that the Fed can expand credit all it wants. Sometimes an analogy clarifies a subject, so let's try one. It may sound crazy, but suppose the government...

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), monetary policy, monetization, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Stocks


The New U.S. Jobs Report: What's in the Number? Not Much
You literally can interpret the same fundamental factor as both bullish AND bearish

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/7/2014 10:00:00 AM

On the morning of Friday Feb. 7, the U.S. January unemployment report was supposed to be a big deal for the stock market. If it came in strong, that meant the U.S. economy was doing well. That’s bullish for stocks. Right? Yeah, but hang on.

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), fundamental analysis, investment strategy, QE2, quantitative easing, S&P 500, stimulus package, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, unemployment

Category: Stocks


"Harvard Economist Is Pulling His Money From Bank Of America"
An excerpt from a new article by Terry Burnham, a former Harvard economics professor.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/3/2014 11:15:00 AM

Enjoy this excerpt from a new article by Terry Burnham, a former Harvard economics professor, who spoke at the 2012 Socionomics Summit in Atlanta. Mr. Burnham’s article on pbs.org was quickly picked up by Zero Hedge.

Filed Under: banks, Ben Bernanke, Bob Prechter, central banks, conquer the crash, emerging markets, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), safe banks, safe haven, stimulus package, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Improving Economy is Bullish for Stocks. Right?
Yes, it’s a trick question. Read on to understand why.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/3/2014 10:30:00 AM

Positive economic reports are said to be bullish for the stock market, while negative data are bearish. But is this accurate? What a strange question, you may say -- but please take a look at this chart...

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), fundamental analysis, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, quantitative easing, stimulus package, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


EURUSD: Did the Fed Cause the Selloff?
Why it pays to look at the market’s internal price signature, and not the news, as your guide.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/30/2014 5:30:00 PM

Could you have known which way the U.S. dollar would move after the Fed meeting on Wednesday (Jan. 29)? You could say -- yes, by figuring out how any changes in the Fed’s monetary policy would impact the markets. True. In fact...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), forex, forex trading, monetary policy, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


Could the Value of the Fed's Assets Go Down?
Janet Yellen steps into an era of rising rates

By Bob Stokes
1/28/2014 3:15:00 PM

Incoming Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen may face an era of rising rates and deflation in the $37 trillion U.S. bond market.

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Interest Rates


Stocks Rose, Yet Commodities Fell -- Despite QE. What Does That Mean?
Robert Prechter: "Charts tell the truth. Let’s look at some charts."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/21/2014 5:30:00 PM

During QE3, the latest round of the Fed's quantitative easing, the stock market rose. We all know that. But did you also know that commodities fell? That’s right: QE3 had zero effect on commodities – or maybe even a negative effect. There is more -- take a look at these charts...

Filed Under: Bear market, Bob Prechter, bull market, commodities, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, Fibonacci, fundamental analysis, inflation, QE2, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


Protect Your Wealth from the Janet Yellen Era
The next Federal Reserve chairperson could oversee economic disaster

By Bob Stokes
1/10/2014 5:30:00 PM

A lot of financial and economic indicators suggest turmoil ahead for the Janet Yellen era at the Fed. Now is the time to take steps to protect your wealth.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, personal finance, risk management, Robert Prechter, safe haven, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) EUR/USD: A 6-Minute Lesson in Elliott Wave Triangle Patterns
Triangles are "hesitation" patterns that resolve in a predictable way.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/19/2013 12:45:00 PM

Yesterday, we wrote how the wave pattern in EUR/USD warned, before the Fed’s announcement, to expect a rally followed by a fast reversal. Here is a 6-minute video explaining that forecast in more detail. Watch...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), forex, forex trading, stimulus package, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, volatility

Category: Currencies


EUR/USD: Why the Waves Warned Not to Be Fooled by Today's Rally
Triangles are "hesitation" Elliott wave patterns, typical for big news days.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/18/2013 5:15:00 PM

This week has been dominated by the two-day Federal Reserve meeting. On Wednesday afternoon (Dec. 18), the Fed announced a small reduction in their monthly stimulus. Currency markets went predictably berserk around the time of the announcement. "Predictably," because...

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), forex, forex trading, stimulus package, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), volatility

Category: Currencies


Understanding Gold's Bear Market from an Elliott Point of View
Fundamental analysis could not prepare for the steepest gold price drop in 32 years

By Nico Isaac
12/17/2013 4:45:00 PM

When even Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke says that he cannot understand the price fluctuations in gold, who do you turn to? Elliott wave analysis. Check out this chart of spot gold near its 2011 high and read what EWI's analysts had to say at the time.

Filed Under: Bank of England, Gold, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


Gold: Putting a Shine on Recent Declines
Fundamental analysis may give you important macroeconomic background, yet it does not tell you how much further gold might drop, if at all.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/12/2013 3:00:00 PM

Since its latest significant peak at 1361.80 in late October, gold lost as much as 11%. Several fundamental factors have reportedly contributed to the weakness, yet they all fail to tell you how much further the prices might drop, if they drop at all. So, let's turn to Elliott wave analysis, which is uniquely suited to offer additional granularity to macro views.

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Gold, gold futures, precious metals, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), volatility

Category: Gold and Silver


Charts Tell the Truth About Financial Markets
Prechter presents his findings about U.S. markets with 15 charts

By Bob Stokes
12/3/2013 4:45:00 PM

Robert Prechter presents his findings about U.S. markets with 15 charts. Read descriptions of six of those charts and see all 15 risk-free.

Filed Under: consumer price index, CRB index, Elliott Wave Theorist, Gold, Nasdaq Composite, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


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