Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

(Interview) Why You Should Consider This $5-Trillion-a-Day Market (Part II)
Forex vs. stocks: What's "better" to trade?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/26/2014 3:30:00 PM

This is Part II of the interview with our Senior Currency Strategist, Jim Martens. -- Jim, I've seen online ads that say, "Trading forex is easy." Do you think it's easy? -- Jim: Easy? No. Easi-er than equities? Yes.

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, online trading, sterling, Swiss franc, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), usd/jpy, video, volatility

Category: Currencies


(Video, 2:52 min.) Why the Fed is Less of a "Hero" Than People Think
"The Fed’s brilliance does not determine the market; the social mood behind the market determines the Fed’s brilliance."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/22/2014 5:00:00 PM

The view that "the Federal Reserve Bank are heroes who saved the economy" is very common today. But you may be surprised to know that HOW the investment public views the Fed depends on what the stock market is doing. Watch.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, social mood, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:51 min.) "You can’t pull switches on a crowd. It pulls switches on you."
Have the economists learned from their mistakes during the financial crisis six years ago?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/20/2014 5:00:00 PM

Paul Krugman, the New York Times columnist and Nobel Laureate in Economics, wrote a thoughtful article in September 2009 titled, "How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?" Here is an excerpt that is very relevant for today.

Filed Under: Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment strategy, investor psychology, market forecasts, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 4:13 min.) Worried About Stocks and Interest Rates? Here's Why You Shouldn't Be
Believe it or not, interest rates have no reliable effect on the stock market -- just look at these charts

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/12/2014 2:30:00 PM

Wall Street is worried that the Fed will soon raise interest rates and end the stock market rally. But is there a reliable correlation between interest rates and the stock market? You may be surprised to learn that the answer is -- no.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, investment strategy, investor psychology, S&P 500, stock indexes, stock market cycles, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video) Here's How to Know When the Fed Might Raise Interest Rates
Watching the unemployment rate to see when the Fed may act? There is a better indicator

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/5/2014 9:00:00 PM

The Fed is concerned about a "significant underutilization of labor resources." So, the thinking goes, stronger job growth is when the Fed will move on the rates. Perhaps. But there is one other Fed indicator worth paying attention to.

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Interest Rates, stock indexes, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


EURUSD: A Skip and a Hop Away from a New Low for 2014
Will the euro fall further? There are two ways to answer that question

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/18/2014 3:45:00 PM

Geopolitical tensions, the Fed's interest rate policy -- these and other reasons are said to be driving the euro lower. But will they KEEP doing that? That's where answers based on fundamental analysis get a little foggy.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, technical analysis, trade targets, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


(Video) Why the Fed's Inflationary Policy Has Proven Impotent
Money velocity slows sharply

By Bob Stokes
7/16/2014 3:30:00 PM

Central banks control monetary policy but they cannot drive investor psychology. That's why the economy continues to struggle after five-plus years of unprecedented stimulus. The deflationary psychology to come will have historically dire consequences.

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


EURUSD: Why the 2-Week-Long Sell-off?
What moves the markets is not the news, but the shifts in the collective bias of traders and investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/16/2014 11:30:00 AM

Bank trouble in Portugal. Janet Yellen’s hinting at the coming end to quantitative easing. Shaky ZEW investor confidence survey data from Germany. Is that why the euro is weak? Take a look at this chart.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, trade targets, Traders, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


(Video) Will the Federal Reserve Support the Price of Gold?
Beware of the positive news stories about gold

By Bob Stokes
7/9/2014 3:30:00 PM

One chief market analyst claims that Federal Reserve policy will send gold higher. Plus, the world's largest gold ETF has recently seen increased inflows. But our chart shows how positive news stories can quickly be stood on their head by market price action.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Gold and Silver


(Video) Dow at 17,000 -- While VIX Is Near Historic Lows: Why Context Is Key
New high in the Dow, new lows in volatility: It makes sense once you see the historic trend

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/3/2014 3:00:00 PM

You need to see with your own eyes where stocks are in their historic trend -- before you can really make sense of the new high in the Dow and new lows in volatility.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, market forecasts, S&P 500, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured, volume

Category: Stocks


(Video) Interest Rates: Think the Fed Is in Control? Think Again.
The Fed will raise interest rates when the bond market says so

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/24/2014 6:15:00 PM

To raise or lower interest rates is the Fed’s single most important tool to control our economic future. They watch economic indicators and deftly adjust interest rates accordingly... Well, if you believe that, this next part may come as a shock.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), Interest Rates, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) EURUSD: How to Be Prepared Next Time the Fed Speaks
Triangles are "hesitation" patterns that resolve in a predictable way.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/24/2014 5:15:00 PM

You've seen it before: Before a major news announcement -- like a Federal Reserve statement -- the market first swings wide, then the swings narrow down, then get narrower still...until the price simply goes sideways. At moments like these, what is your trading plan? This may help you next time -- watch.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), forex, forex trading, stimulus package, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, volatility

Category: Currencies


(Video) Part II: The Fed, GDP & Economy: What’s Elliott Wave International’s View?
Why the Fed has not been the answer

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/19/2014 10:30:00 AM

Another eye-opening clip from a new, 55-minute, in-depth workshop EWI's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg delivered at the Las Vegas MoneyShow in May. Watch.

Filed Under: debt, debt downgrade, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, steve hochberg, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


EURUSD: It’s Oh So Quiet
Too quiet?..

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/17/2014 3:45:00 PM

The euro sure knows how to test a trader’s patience, doesn’t it? First, it gave us almost a 3-week stretch in late May-early June when it kept bumping around just above $1.3600. Now...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Fibonacci, forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, market forecasts, monetary policy, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


(Video) Part I: The Fed, GDP & U.S. Economy: What’s Elliott Wave International’s View?
Why the Fed has not been the answer

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/16/2014 10:45:00 PM

What follows is a 3-minute clip from a new, 55-minute, in-depth workshop EWI's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg delivered at the Las Vegas MoneyShow in May. Watch.

Filed Under: debt, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), fundamental analysis, gross domestic product (GDP), market forecasts, recession, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Why People Love the Fed (It’s Not Why You Think)
"If you know what the Fed is doing, you cannot predict what the stock market is doing. But..."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/19/2014 5:30:00 PM

"Fed chairmen and governors are geniuses at the tops and idiots at the lows, whatever their actions. This chart illustrates my point." -- Robert Prechter.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Nasdaq Composite, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


First Look: The Fed's Drive to Push Prices Higher is Barely Working
From the May 2014 Elliott Wave Theorist

By Robert Prechter, CMT
5/16/2014 5:15:00 PM

Some market commentators say that the Fed's QE program has fostered mania after mania. But this is not true.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Theorist, First look, inside look, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Classic Prechter


(Video) Stocks Up, Commodities Down -- Despite QE. What Should You Make of That?
Robert Prechter: "Charts tell the truth. Let’s look at some charts."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/16/2014 5:15:00 PM

During QE3, the latest round of the Fed's quantitative easing, the stock market rose. We all know that. But did you also know that commodities fell? That’s right: QE3 had zero effect on commodities. See for yourself.

Filed Under: bull market, buy and hold, central banks, commodities, Elliott wave, inflation, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Commodities


(Video) Why the Idea That “Confidence Supports Growth” Is Wrong
If "feedback loops" between stocks and economy existed, both bull markets and bear markets would last forever

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/12/2014 5:15:00 PM

Former U.S. Treasury secretary Timothy Geithner has a new book out. As I was watching his interview on CNBC Monday morning, I was struck by something Mr. Geithner said when asked where the market was going...

Filed Under: U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) This Could Be the No. 1 Indicator of an Unhealthy Economy
Janet Yellen faces major economic headwinds

By Bob Stokes
5/7/2014 4:15:00 PM

A new paper highlights the single best indicator of an incomplete economic recovery. You may be surprised.

Filed Under: economic indicators, home sales, housing prices, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), unemployment, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy



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