Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

(Video, 3:04 min.) The End of QE
While QE may have "helped avert another depression," why didn't the Fed nip the the collapse in the bud seven years ago?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/29/2014 5:45:00 PM

Today the Federal Reserve said it will stop its quantitative easing. The program was a risky, multi-year experiment, and many news stories offer sober assessments of the result. Here's ours, too.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:26 min.) Did the Fed "Save" Us Again Last Week?
A different take on last week's stock market collapse

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/22/2014 4:00:00 PM

You could say that the Fed saved us again last week. Many investors believe that. Unfortunately, they also have very short memories. This excerpt from our October 2007 Elliott Wave Theorist explains why.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Interest Rates, investment decisions, investment strategy, Nasdaq Composite, Nikkei, S&P 500, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured, world central banks

Category: Stocks


(Video, 4:36 min.) EURUSD: How To Spot a Market Bottom
Picking tops and bottoms is not easy. But these tools turns the odds in your favor

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/17/2014 3:30:00 PM

It's hard to go against the tide. In the markets, when everyone is bullish (or bearish, as it was in this case), the gravitational pull of the crowd is huge. Yet, watch how just a few market indicators can help you break free.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), forex, forex trading, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - FRUP

Category: Currencies


(Video, 2:47 min.) Stocks: The ONE Question Few People Are Asking
Looking for rationality in irrational markets is futile

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/10/2014 4:30:00 PM

Most investors read news looking for a rational REASON why the markets do what they do. But almost no one talks about the one IRRATIONAL factor that does more to drive the trend than all “fundamentals” combined: fear.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, Nasdaq Composite, quantitative easing, risk appetite, S&P 500, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


Rethink EVERYTHING: The Real Reason Gold Is Rallying
Don't give the Federal Reserve credit for boosting gold prices!

By Nico Isaac
10/10/2014 1:00:00 PM

On October 8, the Fed's "dovish" meeting minutes were released. One day later, gold prices leapt to a 3-week high. But here's why the one had little to do with the other.

Filed Under: charts, Elliott wave, Gold, Interest Rates, monetary policy, precious metals, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


U.S. Dollar Falls -- But Don't Rush to Blame the Fed
The dollar weakness was in the cards long before the FOMC minutes

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/9/2014 4:15:00 PM

True, EURUSD did move sharply higher after the Fed news on October 8 (euro strength/dollar weakness). But the rally was in the making HOURS before the news. See for yourself.

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Fibonacci, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, trade targets, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


(Video, 3:41 min.) A Huge Strategic Mistake by the Federal Reserve?
Central bank assets balloon to near $4.3 trillion

By Bob Stokes
10/7/2014 4:00:00 PM

The total assets of the Federal Reserve have ballooned to around $4.3 trillion. That's more than twice the government expenditures for all 50 states. But the U.S. central bank has made a big blunder that could result in the loss of its credibility.

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, Elliott wave, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 2:52 min.) Gold Prices: Why the Fed Matters Less Than You May Think
The 1% sell-off on September 17 was in the Elliott wave cards all along

By Nico Isaac
9/24/2014 3:15:00 PM

On September 17, gold traders and investors were sure of one thing: IF the Fed kept interest rates near 0% for a "considerable time," gold prices would rise. The Fed did just that -- YET, gold prices dropped 1% that day. What gives?

Filed Under: charts, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, inflation, Interest Rates, Traders, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Gold and Silver


(Video, 2:43 min.) Little-Known Indicator That Alerts You to the Fed's Next Move
The Fed's watching unemployment to time its first rate hike in six years. You can watch this.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/16/2014 5:30:00 PM

While the Fed is watching jobs, you can follow this indicator - one that has a long history of anticipating changes in the Fed's interest rates policy. See for yourself.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), fundamental analysis, Interest Rates, investment decisions, investment strategy, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:02 min.) Central Banks Are Buying Stocks -- That HAS To Be Bullish (Right?)
It's tempting to answer "yes" -- until you recall a similar example from recent history

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/12/2014 5:00:00 PM

Sovereign wealth funds were buying stocks seven years ago. Today, it's central banks. There is no real difference, though: Both express how accepted the drive into riskier financial assets has become.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, central banks, Elliott wave, european central bank, european markets, market manipulation, stock indexes, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:19 min.) U.S. Dollar: A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Crash
The greenback's recent history is a story of surviving the odds

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/9/2014 9:30:00 PM

Despite all the gloom-and-doom expectations, the U.S. dollar has been quietly strengthening -- since 2008! So how has the dollar been able to survive and prosper?

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, inflation, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Currencies


Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part II)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, terrorist attacks, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/9/2014 1:45:00 PM

You may remember that during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did the traditional financial models fail? This series gives you a well-researched answer. Here is Part II.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, forecasts, fundamental analysis, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, market myths, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Classic Prechter


Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part I)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, terrorist attacks, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/8/2014 1:15:00 PM

You may remember that during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did the traditional financial models fail? This series gives you a well-researched answer. Here is Part I.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, forecasts, fundamental analysis, Interest Rates, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, Robert Prechter, technical indicators, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Classic Prechter


(Video, 3:21 min.) Despite the Fed's Massive Stimulus, Inflation is Still Low: Why?
U.S. inflation rate is well below 2%

By Bob Stokes
9/4/2014 3:45:00 PM

Central banks in the U.S. and Europe have gone all out to inflate. Even so, economies on both sides of the Atlantic remain in a rut. Inflation rates are well below the targeted 2%. The reason can be summed up in just two words.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, eurozone, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Interview) Why You Should Consider This $5-Trillion-a-Day Market (Part II)
Forex vs. stocks: What's "better" to trade?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/26/2014 3:30:00 PM

This is Part II of the interview with our Senior Currency Strategist, Jim Martens. -- Jim, I've seen online ads that say, "Trading forex is easy." Do you think it's easy? -- Jim: Easy? No. Easi-er than equities? Yes.

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, online trading, sterling, Swiss franc, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), usd/jpy, video, volatility

Category: Currencies


(Video, 2:52 min.) Why the Fed is Less of a "Hero" Than People Think
"The Fed’s brilliance does not determine the market; the social mood behind the market determines the Fed’s brilliance."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/22/2014 5:00:00 PM

The view that "the Federal Reserve Bank are heroes who saved the economy" is very common today. But you may be surprised to know that HOW the investment public views the Fed depends on what the stock market is doing. Watch.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, social mood, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:51 min.) "You can’t pull switches on a crowd. It pulls switches on you."
Have the economists learned from their mistakes during the financial crisis six years ago?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/20/2014 5:00:00 PM

Paul Krugman, the New York Times columnist and Nobel Laureate in Economics, wrote a thoughtful article in September 2009 titled, "How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?" Here is an excerpt that is very relevant for today.

Filed Under: Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment strategy, investor psychology, market forecasts, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 4:13 min.) Worried About Stocks and Interest Rates? Here's Why You Shouldn't Be
Believe it or not, interest rates have no reliable effect on the stock market -- just look at these charts

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/12/2014 2:30:00 PM

Wall Street is worried that the Fed will soon raise interest rates and end the stock market rally. But is there a reliable correlation between interest rates and the stock market? You may be surprised to learn that the answer is -- no.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, investment strategy, investor psychology, S&P 500, stock indexes, stock market cycles, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video) Here's How to Know When the Fed Might Raise Interest Rates
Watching the unemployment rate to see when the Fed may act? There is a better indicator

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/5/2014 9:00:00 PM

The Fed is concerned about a "significant underutilization of labor resources." So, the thinking goes, stronger job growth is when the Fed will move on the rates. Perhaps. But there is one other Fed indicator worth paying attention to.

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Interest Rates, stock indexes, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


EURUSD: A Skip and a Hop Away from a New Low for 2014
Will the euro fall further? There are two ways to answer that question

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/18/2014 3:45:00 PM

Geopolitical tensions, the Fed's interest rate policy -- these and other reasons are said to be driving the euro lower. But will they KEEP doing that? That's where answers based on fundamental analysis get a little foggy.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, technical analysis, trade targets, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


Sign up to get Elliott wave content delivered to your inbox

Join more than 250,000 traders and investors who receive our FREE market insights and educational resources via email.

We respect your privacy. TRUSTe

Latest Articles
Categories and RSS
Press Room
Browse Recent Media Articles that Mention EWI or Feature EWI Analysts
As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.

© 2014 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.