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(Video) The Leaning Tower of Europe's Economy
Two amazing charts show you how interest rate cuts and government bailouts have failed to prop up the pillars of economic growth

By Nico Isaac
6/2/2014 5:15:00 PM

In 2008, Europe's economy came crashing down. Ever since, the EU's monetary engineers have been trying to stabilize the sinking consumer foundation and sliding banking sector. Yet, take a look at these two charts.

Filed Under: bailouts, Bank of England, banks, charts, consumer price index, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, Interest Rates, video

Category: European Markets


(Video) Stocks: Why News-Driven Forecasts Are Not the Answer
Even major news and events only add to near-term volatility -- but do change the market's larger trend

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/30/2014 5:00:00 PM

On April 30, the Fed said they would further trim bond purchases and keep interest rates at zero. Also, on the same day a new GDP number showed that the U.S. economy basically stalled in Q1. All that sounds negative for stocks -- yet you'd be surprised to know that...

Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), forecasts, fundamental analysis, gross domestic product (GDP), quantitative easing, S&P 500, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - FRUP

Category: Stocks


(Video) Why Europe’s Consumer Recovery Story is Just an Illusion
And “the man behind the curtain” is the European Central Bank

By Nico Isaac
4/14/2014 4:00:00 PM

Human mind is made of pliable stuff, willing to bend -- and believe the impossible. How many people believe, for instance, that monetary policy can reverse the course of economic decline -- even though no such power is actually proven to exist?

Filed Under: bailouts, eu, euro, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Interest Rates, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


Will the Next Financial Crisis Cost More than $14 Trillion?
Psychology is a critical factor in major economic downturns

By Bob Stokes
9/30/2013 7:00:00 PM

A recent paper by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas reveals the high cost and lingering effects of the 2007-2009 financial crisis. But the credit bubble has yet to burst. Is the world about to hear a loud pop?

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, bailouts, credit crisis, economic indicators, Elliott wave, great depression, Robert Prechter, subprime lending, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Cyprus Banking Bailout: Costs Rise, Heads Roll
The officials and experts who didn't see the crisis coming were supposed to prevent it in the first place.

By Nico Isaac
4/16/2013 5:00:00 PM

The cost of the Cyprus bailout seems to get bigger every week. It has gone from 10€ to 17€ and now to 23€ billion euros. What's more, recent reports say the island nation will need a bigger bake sale to raise the necessary funds to foot the growing bill. On April 12, rumors swirled that the European Central Bank will force Cyprus to liquidate half-a-billion dollars of its gold reserves.

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, central banks, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, eurozone, financial forecast

Category: European Markets


Forex: Don't Write Off The Euro Just Yet
"We all know the euro is going lower," is today's popular sentiment. Yet Elliott waves suggest there is hope for the euro yet.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/28/2013 4:00:00 PM

Despite the "success" of the Cyprus bailout, the sentiment towards the euro zone currency, the euro, has been negative. EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate, fell to a new low for 2013. But while "everyone knows the euro is going lower," read this recent tweet by EWI's senior currency strategist...

Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, European debt crisis, eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Market Insight: Euro Hits New Low for 2013
EURUSD may be close to a pivotal point -- and a rare opportunity.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/25/2013 6:00:00 PM

On Sunday night (Eastern time, March 24), EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and the world's most-traded forex market, saw a lot of volatility. The euro first fell 50 pips, then jumped 100, then fell hard again. Without a doubt, these gyrations looked chaotic to many forex observers. Yet we are proud to say ...

Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, forex, forex trading, U.S. dollar, volatility

Category: Currencies


Cyprus, the Euro – and Elliott Waves
How will the forex market react to the details of the Cyprus bailout plan when the agreement is finally reached?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/22/2013 4:45:00 PM

Right now, the number one forex story is the banking crisis in Cyprus. Cyprus is part of the European Union, so it shares the euro with the rest of the EU. We could speculate on how the outcome of the bailout deal might affect the euro, but our forte is wave analysis and other supporting technical indicators. So let's take a look.

Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Investors in Student Loan Securities Take on Big Risk
The higher-education bubble is set to burst

By Bob Stokes
3/6/2013 5:30:00 PM

Despite the growing percentage of students who are behind on their loan payments, investor demand for the securities derived from student loans also continues to grow. This grab for yield will likely end badly. The eventual bursting of the student loan bubble will contribute to the larger deflationary trend.

Filed Under: bailouts, debt, deflation, financial forecast, Interest Rates

Category: U.S. Economy


Europe: The Epicenter of a Global Economic Earthquake
Will economic optimism be dashed once again?

By Bob Stokes
2/22/2013 4:45:00 PM

A big economic story can go underreported for only so long. Eventually it will show up in mainstream news headlines – a likely case in point is the euro zone's developing deflationary trend. The evidence suggests that Europe could be the epicenter of the next global economic earthquake.

Filed Under: bailouts, Brian Whitmer, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, Robert Prechter, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


S&P 500: Why News-Driven Forecasts Are Not the Answer
The "fiscal cliff" deal came and went -- and with it, the rally in stocks?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/3/2013 6:15:00 PM

On January 3, the S&P 500 went sideways, and the "fundamentals" are sending a mixed message. On the one hand...

Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott Wave trading, S&P 500, technical analysis, trendlines

Category: Stocks


ECB's Bond-Buying Program: The Answer to Europe's Debt Crisis?
Read Global Market Perspective to find out whether investors' faith in the bailout fund will be rewarded

By Nathaniel Williams
11/19/2012 4:15:00 PM

Now that even skeptical German politicians seem to believe that the ECB's unlimited bond-buying program will work, it's time to find out if this bailout plan will succeed better than previous plans.

Filed Under: bailouts, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone

Category: Global Markets


Crude Oil: How to Catch the Next Move Without Reading the News
If you know what to look for, the energy markets will often tip their hat before the news.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/21/2012 5:45:00 PM

On Sept. 21, crude gained almost $3. Predictably, the news attributed the rally to a "fundamental factor" -- namely, "central bank stimulus optimism" related to the European Central Bank's new bailout plan for Spain. Yes, the timing of the ECB announcement fit, but could you have seen the rally before the ECB had spoken? Yes -- here's how.

Filed Under: bailouts, central banks, commodities, crude oil, european central bank, futures trading, stimulus package

Category: Energy


Apple's iPhone, Germany, the Fed: Why It's All Irrelevant to the Market's Trend
R.N. Elliott's other major insight: News events do not impact market price patterns

By Bob Stokes
9/12/2012 5:30:00 PM

Even major news does not alter the market's main wave pattern! This seems to defy logic because most people believe that news and events are the very things that drive the stock market. Yet, it was barely 100 years ago when most people believed that only birds could fly. In the 70 years since R.N. Elliott observed that news does not alter the market's wave pattern, his insight has been proven time and again. It's wise to keep your market eye on what really matters: the Wave Principle. You can find out what the Wave Principle is revealing about today's market...

 

Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott Wave Theorist, european central bank, eurozone, long-term trend, market forecasts, Ralph Nelson Elliott, stock indexes, stock market cycles, technical indicators, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Stocks


The European Economy: Game Over -- OR -- Play Till It Wins?
Inside our new, August 2012 European Financial Forecast

By Nico Isaac
7/27/2012 4:15:00 PM

Europe's 2-year long economic Whac-A-Mole game continues. Central banks across the Continent use their giant "mallets" of bond buybacks, rate cuts, and bailouts to hit ONE crisis over the head -- only to have another one savagely pop up in the opposite corner. So, will Europe's monetary authorities be able to "whack" all the reoccurring "moles" before their time runs out?

Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, euro, euro stoxx 50, european central bank, European debt crisis, FTSE, International Monetary Fund (IMF), quantitative easing, safe haven, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


Have You Checked Your G.M. Stock Lately? (Yes, You're Still a Shareholder)
Will taxpayers see more losses on their GM investment?

By Bob Stokes
6/5/2012 4:45:00 PM

In 2012, we the people still own 500 million G.M. shares. And General Motors' share price needs to reach $51 just for us to break even. But...

Filed Under: bailouts, Conquer the Crash, debt crisis, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, gross domestic product (GDP), stimulus package, stock indexes, Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


European Stocks: "Nimble Elliott wave traders could benefit from a countertrend bounce."
Plus, why Elliott wave analysis gives global investors an edge

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/1/2012 9:15:00 AM

To continue the "global investments" theme started by the recent interview with EWI's Asian-Pacific analyst about the markets in India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Indonesia, I also sat down with our own Brian Whitmer, EWI's European stock market analyst. -- Brian, these days it's easier than ever to get exposure to global markets, especially given the explosion in ETFs. But there are too many markets to focus on, and too many opinions about them. You chose Elliott wave analysis as your market-forecasting method. Why Elliott? Why not just watch the news, like most investors? Brian Whitmer: To be successful in the market, you need...

Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, Bank of England, Brian Whitmer, CAC40, DAX, debt crisis, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis

Category: Global Markets


Portugal's Bailout, One Year Later: Were You Prepared in Advance?
Many analysts had opinions before the bailout, but no one was talking about the most important indicator

By Nathaniel Williams
4/23/2012 2:15:00 PM

Here's an example of how EWI helps you see what's going to happen financially in Europe before it happens: Just five days after our analyst published his analysis last year, showing that Portugal was on the threshold of needing a bailout, Portugal's government officially requested a bailout. One month later, it got one.

Filed Under: bailouts, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone

Category: European Markets


European Central Bank: “Great White Fear” Takes A Bite Out of Recovery
EWI’s Global Market Perspective foresaw the shift in European banks from lenders to savers via one remarkable chart

By Nico Isaac
4/20/2012 5:30:00 PM

It’s been over two years since the European Central Bank began its open-heart surgery of the eurozone's anemic economy. So far, the procedure has included an unprecedented $3 trillion-plus in bailouts, monetary transfusions, AND toxic debt transplants. Yet, according to a recent slew of discomforting news reports, the economies across the pond would still flatline in seconds without constant life support.

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, central banks, Club EWI, credit crisis, debt, debt crisis, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, eurozone, monetary policy

Category: European Markets


A 13-Year Trend Channel Line In Gold Sends A Clear Message
Our February Elliott Wave Finanical Forecast presents a compelling chart of a channel line in gold that goes back to 1999.

By Nico Isaac
2/28/2012 4:00:00 PM

Hedge funds love it. Housewives love it. And now, pooch hounds love it. On February 26, the world's fascination with gold reached unchartered "terrier"-tory when the scene-stealing Uggie the Jack Russell dog from "The Artist" sported an 18-carat gold bone-shaped tag to the 84th Academy Awards. So, as demand for gold continues to soar, the question is: Will gold prices do the same?

Filed Under: bailouts, bull market, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, European debt crisis, financial forecast, fundamental analysis, Gold, Greek debt, precious metals

Category: Gold and Silver


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.