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The Housing Recovery Rests on an Unstable Foundation
Yale's Robert Shiller says the recent rebound in home prices is "artificial"

By Bob Stokes
3/28/2013 5:30:00 PM

The housing market has gone from financial rubble to what some analysts describe as another bubble. It's true that home prices are still nearly 30% below their mid-2000s peak. Yet the recent surge has Robert Shiller of the Case-Shiller Home Price Index concerned. Learn why.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, all the same market theory, CNBC, commercial real estate, economic indicators, Elliott Wave Theorist, foreclosures, great depression, history, home sales, housing prices, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


As Home Equity Lines of Credit Surge, The Low-Interest Rate Trap is Set
Borrowers feel confident about the future

By Bob Stokes
3/12/2013 6:00:00 PM

Americans borrowed roughly $1-trillion against their homes in the decade leading up to the housing bubble burst. That dollar figure remains well above recent home equity loan levels, however, CNBC reports that home equity loans are expected to increase in 2013 as homeowners take advantage of low rates. Will a second wave of price declines in real estate come, just as most homeowners think the market has recovered from the first wave?

Filed Under: CNBC, commercial real estate, deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, foreclosures, home sales, housing prices, Interest Rates, market forecasts

Category: Interest Rates


History Has a Lesson for Real Estate Investors Who Think the Bubble is Fully Deflated
The service that forecast the real estate implosion warns of other bubbles

By Bob Stokes
7/16/2012 4:15:00 PM

Remember, real estate turned with lightning speed and accelerated downward. Yet the plunging prices were almost universally unexpected. Other financial asset classes are now sending equally ominous signs of major trend turns...

Filed Under: all the same market theory, commercial real estate, conquer the crash, consumer confidence, debt, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, financial forecast, foreclosures, great depression, history, home sales, housing prices, market forecasts, subprime lending

Category: U.S. Economy


Largest City Bankruptcy Ever: Stockton Will Not Be Alone
Too much borrowing and spending will doom other municipalities

By Bob Stokes
6/27/2012 4:30:00 PM

A recent issue of the The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast observes that "Muni investors have so far shrugged off the increased risk of defaults." Complacency is a financially dangerous mind-set right now. The financial dominoes are all lined up, and it appears the invisible finger has just nudged the first domino...

Filed Under: Club EWI, commercial real estate, conquer the crash, debt, deficit, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, home sales, housing prices, municipal bonds, pension funds

Category: U.S. Economy


The Biggest Bubble of All: This One Has Yet to Deflate (Are You Ready?)
More Threatening Than Any Single Economic Sector

By Bob Stokes
4/13/2012 5:15:00 PM

As bubbles balloon in individual sectors of the economy, the psychology of the pre-financial crisis days have returned. That's why it's important to remember that hardly anyone was concerned about the real estate market in 2006. Then the whole house of cards fell in. Now consider the entire global debt market: the biggest bubble of all time...

Filed Under: commercial real estate, credit crisis, debt crisis, deflation, history, home sales, housing prices, Robert Prechter

Category: U.S. Economy


If This is a Recovery, What Does a Downtrend Look Like?
Commercial real estate: "First Six Months Free"

By Bob Stokes
3/13/2012 5:45:00 PM

People who might have started a business pre-2007-2009 now shun the risk. Commercial property "owners" themselves are neck-high in debt. And some are drowning in it. Here's a recent reminder...

Filed Under: commercial real estate, deflation, Elliott wave

Category: Real Estate


The Real Estate Crash: How to Survive and Prosper
Commercial real estate and the skyscraper boom/bust: Deflation has a long way to go.

By Bob Stokes
1/10/2012 5:15:00 PM

It's time to learn specific steps on how to financially protect yourself before the economy sinks even deeper into a deflationary depression. Indeed, you can even position yourself to prosper in the months ahead. How?...

Filed Under: Club EWI, commercial real estate, conquer the crash, deflation, foreclosures, mania

Category: Real Estate


Let’s REITerate Why REITs, Dot-coms and IPOs aren’t the Best Bet Now, Part 1

By Susan C. Walker
9/16/2011 2:30:00 PM

It’s all about the yield, which, according to Morningstar Inc., has averaged about 5.75% over the past 20 years for equity REITs. So, what’s not to like about REITs?

Filed Under: Bear market, commercial real estate, mutual funds, Robert Prechter

Category: Stocks


Real Estate Market: Take a Loss or Wait It Out?
Home Sellers In Denial

By Bob Stokes
7/21/2011 5:30:00 PM

An overpriced listing will deter buyers even in a good housing market. Yet today's market includes an added risk...

Filed Under: commercial real estate, deflation, foreclosures, housing prices, Robert Prechter

Category: Real Estate


Commercial Real Estate: "Ghost Malls" in the Making?
One in Ten Mall Stores Are Vacant

By Bob Stokes
4/29/2011 3:30:00 PM

Commercial real estate's downward trend goes beyond suburban malls. Much office space in business districts is empty. Read this excerpt...

Filed Under: commercial real estate, conquer the crash, credit crisis, deflation, foreclosures, housing prices, Robert Prechter, subprime lending

Category: Real Estate


Real Estate: Why Regress Is Required
Progress doesn't occur in a straight line.

By Bob Stokes
4/7/2010 1:15:00 PM

Nature's way of progression in this world appears to be 3 steps forward followed by 2 steps back -- repeatedly. The stock market is a reflection of man's progress, so we believe the same 3-2 concept is reflected in charts of stocks and other markets -- like real estate. It's taken a big hit, but it's wise to realize that regress -- the "2 steps back" -- is part of progress.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, commercial real estate

Category: Real Estate


Commercial Real Estate Crisis: NOW They Tell Us

By Nico Isaac
2/18/2010 12:15:00 PM

On February 10, 2010 the Congressional Oversight Panel published a 189-page report on the condition of the U.S. commercial real estate sector. To summarize the document, "Hurricane Kat-REIT-a" has arrived. To wit: The "levies" that were supposedly in place to keep the flood of mortgage defaults and price declines OUT OF the commercial real estate (CRE) sector have shattered. And the toll of the damage is nothing short of devastating.

Filed Under: commercial real estate, housing prices

Category: Real Estate


Deflation in Action: People Walk Away from Homes
Banks Walk Away from Office Buildings

By Susan C. Walker
12/22/2009 12:30:00 PM

Home owners walk away from underwater mortgages, and now investment banks are walking away from commercial real estate they own. Now we're seeing some real deflationary moves in action.

Filed Under: deflation, commercial real estate

Category: Classic Prechter


The Next Real Estate Shoe to Drop

By Susan C. Walker
10/9/2009 4:00:00 PM

The continued selling in commercial real estate today can be considered a technical “non-confirmation” of the recent buying in the residential market. When only one sector rallies, it’s a bad sign for the market as a whole.

Filed Under: commercial real estate

Category: Classic Prechter


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