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EURUSD: Why the 2-Week-Long Sell-off?
What moves the markets is not the news, but the shifts in the collective bias of traders and investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/16/2014 11:30:00 AM

Bank trouble in Portugal. Janet Yellen’s hinting at the coming end to quantitative easing. Shaky ZEW investor confidence survey data from Germany. Is that why the euro is weak? Take a look at this chart.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, trade targets, Traders, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


Japanese Yen Soars – Why, Again?
As it’s often the case, the news is “catching up” to the market move which started long before

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/10/2014 9:30:00 PM

"Yen soars as Portuguese bank fears spark safety buying," said a July 10 headline. As usual, the headlines were right: The yen did get stronger after the news from Europe. But also...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy

Category: Currencies


(Video) For One Group of European Investors, the Future Looks... Stressful!
This incredible chart from the July European Finanical Forecast shows you the true relationship between systemic stress and stock market performance

By Nico Isaac
7/10/2014 10:00:00 AM

Mainstream economic wisdom says when investors are stressed out, stocks feel the pressue and fall; conversely, when investors are calm and confident, stock prices rally. It makes perfect sense. But here's also why this is absolutely NOT true.

Filed Under: charts, Elliott wave, euro stoxx 50, europe, european markets, eurozone, financial forecast, sentiment

Category: European Markets


Where Is the "You" in Deflation? Right Here – Just Take a Look
See how this deflationary checklist from the current European Financial Forecast leads directly to Y-O-U

By Nico Isaac
6/13/2014 11:45:00 AM

Prechter's New York Times business bestseller Conquer the Crash explains deflation in simple terms. And now, the new issue of our monthly European Financial Forecast shows you how it's already affecting Europe.

Filed Under: banks, Bob Prechter, charts, Conquer the Crash, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, Interest Rates, monetary policy, social mood, unemployment

Category: European Markets


(Video) The Leaning Tower of Europe's Economy
Two amazing charts show you how interest rate cuts and government bailouts have failed to prop up the pillars of economic growth

By Nico Isaac
6/2/2014 5:15:00 PM

In 2008, Europe's economy came crashing down. Ever since, the EU's monetary engineers have been trying to stabilize the sinking consumer foundation and sliding banking sector. Yet, take a look at these two charts.

Filed Under: bailouts, Bank of England, banks, charts, consumer price index, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, Interest Rates, video

Category: European Markets


Why Europe's Junk Bond Boom is EVERYONE'S Business
We know you know junk bonds are risky. But we bet you didn’t know THIS little fact

By Nico Isaac
5/23/2014 11:30:00 AM

You know junk bonds are risky. You should also know: We at Elliott Wave International hold junk bonds in the highest regard. However, probably not for a reason you’d expect.

Filed Under: charts, Elliott wave, europe, european markets, eurozone, junk bonds

Category: European Markets


EURUSD: Hangin' Tough. Next Stop, 1.40?
The euro is now face-to-face with a big "round number"

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/6/2014 5:15:00 PM

After going sideways for most of April, EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate, finally broke free on May 6, rising as high as 1.3951 intraday. That puts it within spitting distance from 1.40 -- a nice, juicy, big “round number.” Mmm.

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, europe, forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, technical analysis, technical indicators, trade targets, Traders, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


(Video) EU Banks: “Stress Test”? Here’s the Toughest “Test” Yet
Psst: You don't have to wait until October to find out if European banks passed THIS “stress test”

By Nico Isaac
5/6/2014 3:45:00 PM

Five years after sovereign Debtzilla wreaked holy havoc on Europe's financial sector, is it finally safe to reinvest? Are -- as so many mainstream pundits would have you believe -- Euro banks the ultimate recovery play?

Filed Under: banks, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, video, Video - Featured, Video - FRUP

Category: European Markets


Europe's Economy: Next, Expect a Huge “Surprise”
An extreme sentiment setup in Euro Stoxx 50 index is sending a message to investors

By Nico Isaac
4/29/2014 4:45:00 PM

On two occasions, a divergence occurred between the Euro Stoxx 50 index and Citigroup's Economic Surprise Index: Equities soared while the Index slumped. Both instances ushered in historic bear markets. Now what?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, europe, european markets, eurozone, financial forecast, sentiment

Category: European Markets


One Sentiment Gauge in Europe Reaches Epic Proportion
A visual history of complacency and fear as seen by the 10-year spread over German Bunds

By Nico Isaac
4/24/2014 2:00:00 PM

You never truly prepare for the worst until you experience it first-hand. Then, and only then, do you go above and beyond to protect your health and welfare. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the world of finance. Here is a real-world example...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, euro, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, financial forecast, forecasts, risk appetite, sentiment

Category: European Markets


(Video) Russia, Under the Influence of Elliott Waves
Another European country is flashing a similar setup to what we saw in Russian stocks at the 2011 top

By Nico Isaac
3/31/2014 3:45:00 PM

In 2013 and now into 2014, those invested in Russia may be feeling the urge to drown their sorrows. And now, another European naton is flashing a similar setup.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, emerging markets, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forecasts, market forecasts, video, Video - FRUP

Category: European Markets


(Video) Greece, and Now Ukraine: The Fallacy of Efficient Markets
How to unlearn one of the most important lessons of your financial education

By Nico Isaac
3/17/2014 4:45:00 PM

Every day, you see evidence against the theory of news-driven markets; i.e. negative news causes prices to fall, while positive news spurs rallies. One example stands out from recent history: the summer of 2012, Greece. (And now, Ukraine?)

Filed Under: Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), euro, europe, european markets, eurozone, Greek debt, video, Video - Featured, Video - FRUP

Category: European Markets


(Video) EURUSD: How Watching Market Psychology Can Help You Time the Market
We look at the euro to understand how Elliott wave patterns in price charts reflect the struggle between the bulls and bears

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/6/2014 11:00:00 PM

Two economic reports hit the newswires Thursday morning (March 6). Both were important, yet each one had the opposite implication for the trend. The market chose one report over the other, and the question is, why -- and what can we learn from that?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, U.S. dollar, video, Video - Featured

Category: Currencies


(Video) The Crisis in Ukraine: What’s Next?
Social mood is another term for the shared inclination of a society. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine is a dramatic example of social mood in action.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/3/2014 4:30:00 PM

For 3 years, Russia’s stock market has been drifting lower. Here is why that’s important to the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia.

Filed Under: authoritarianism, Bear market, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, emerging markets, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, investment strategy, social mood, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


Financial and Cultural Trends Tend to Correlate
Manias have come and gone across the centuries

By Bob Stokes
12/19/2013 5:15:00 PM

Cultural trends tend to correlate with financial trends. Human nature doesn't change. Cultural crazes have appeared throughout the centuries.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, europe, mania, wisdom of crowds

Category: Classic Prechter


Elliott Wave Analysis: Pound for Pound
GBP/USD surged on Wednesday after a Bank of England statement. But there is more to the story.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/13/2013 5:15:00 PM

At a recent office meeting here at EWI headquarters to discuss computer system upgrades, one of our intraday forex analysts made this humble request: "Could we have a feature that tells us tomorrow’s closing numbers for each market?" Ha ha.

Filed Under: Bank of England, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, financial forecast, forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, investor psychology, sterling, technical analysis, trade targets

Category: Currencies


EUR/USD: Why the Fast, Sudden Selloff?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/7/2013 3:15:00 PM

The European Central Bank cuts interest rates. The euro plunges. Logical? Yes. Plausible? Sure. But there is another explanation for the EUR/USD selloff on November 7.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, eurozone, forex, forex trading, inflation, Interest Rates, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


(VIDEO) What is the Debt Situation in Europe and the U.S.?
Insight from Steve Hochberg

By Editorial Staff
10/24/2013 1:45:00 PM

In this video clip from Steve Hochberg’s “Don’t Get Caught Holding the Bag” presentation, recorded at the San Francisco MoneyShow, Elliott Wave International’s Chief Market Analyst addresses a popular question we get at EWI.

Filed Under: debt, debt crisis, europe, steve hochberg, video

Category: Stocks


Hey, FTSE 100 Pundits, Take a (Rate) Hike
Many believe that there’s a consistent correlation between a rise in bank rates and a fall in the Footsie – but it’s not so

By Nico Isaac
8/15/2013 6:45:00 PM

When the FTSE 100 plunged in its biggest single-day drop in two months on August 15, the usual experts looked no further than the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street, otherwise known as the Bank of England. More specifically, when the Bank of England increases interest rates, the Footsie falls; ergo, a rate cut triggers a FTSE rally. Right?

Filed Under: Bank of England, europe, european markets, financial forecast, FTSE, Interest Rates, monetary policy

Category: European Markets


The June Funk in Europe's Junk Bond Market
How our analysis prepared for the selloff.

By Nico Isaac
7/15/2013 5:45:00 PM

Q1 of 2013. At the time, investor interest in all things high-yielding was moving at a swifter clip than Stephen Strasburg's fastball. But then came June. Europe's junk bond market strikes out as high-yield bond issuance goes from a record inflow to a record outflow. And, the cost of insuring European corporate bonds against losses embarks on a five-week-long uptrend -- its longest rising streak in two years.

 

Filed Under: europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, Greek debt, junk bonds, world central banks

Category: European Markets


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.