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Start Making Sense of the Euro's Price Swings
See how at the euro's May 2014 high, an Elliott wave diagonal pattern warned of the coming collapse

By Nico Isaac
10/24/2014 8:30:00 AM

When the euro stood at a 2-and-1/2 year high against the U.S. dollar in May, the currency was said to have "priced in" an ECB interest rate cut into negative territory. But then, said cut came & the euro fell. Sound crazy? 

Filed Under: central banks, charts, currency, diagonal, Elliott wave, euro, europe, european central bank, european markets, eurozone, Interest Rates

Category: European Markets


Europe: The ONE Economic Comparison That Must Not Be Named... Was Just Named
The Continent is now teetering on the edge of a "Japan-style" deflation. Here's our take on it.

By Nico Isaac
9/29/2014 8:45:00 PM

The economic scenario that must not be named -- "Japan-style Deflation" has been uttered in reference to Europe. From the very beginning, Elliott Wave International foresaw that this day would come, despite the efforts of central banks.

Filed Under: bailouts, Bank of England, central banks, charts, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, forecasts, inflation, Interest Rates, world central banks

Category: European Markets


(Video, 3:41 min.) Her Majesty Is Pleased -- But the Social Mood Story Isn't NEARLY Over
The Scottish independence vote was a small part of a very big trend

By Robert Folsom
9/19/2014 2:15:00 PM

You could say that the latest big international story is about what didn't happen in Scotland: The Scots didn't leave. But if this was merely a tale about what didn't happen, then I wouldn't waste your time with it. There is something more...

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, Elliott wave, europe, European Union (EU), social mood, socionomics, video, Video - Featured

Category: Socionomics


(Interview, 5:40 min.) Scottish Vote, Euro -- and Europe: What's Next?
News and events impact the markets less than most people think. Watch.

By Editorial Staff
9/19/2014 11:00:00 AM

Yes or no: Would British stocks have crashed if Scotland had voted for independence? Many people would say, yes. Now watch how the editor of Elliott Wave International's monthly European Financial Forecast, Brian Whitmer, answers that (and more).

Filed Under: Brian Whitmer, DAX, Elliott wave, eu, euro, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, interview, technical analysis, video, Video - FRUP

Category: European Markets


IPO? Uh Oh. Europe, It's Time to Kick the "Equity" Habit!
Step one: Admit there is a problem

By Nico Isaac
9/17/2014 7:15:00 PM

The European IPO frenzy is starting to shift into IPO "fatigue." Just look at the falling shares of King Digital Entertainment, maker of the highly addictive Candy Crush Saga mobile game. Unlike the game, though, you can't press "reset" to start the mania over.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, europe, european markets, financial forecast

Category: European Markets


If Scots Go Free, What Happens to EURUSD?
Sentiment indicators and EURUSD's Elliott wave patterns are already giving you a hint at what's next

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/15/2014 6:15:00 PM

As it's often the case before big political and economic events, sentiment indicators and Elliott wave patterns in the charts of EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate, are already offering us a hint as to what to expect next.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, sentiment, U.S. dollar, volatility

Category: Currencies


(Interview, 6:16 min.) Euro’s Weakness: A Shock to Your European Investments?
The euro has not been this weak against the U.S. dollar in more than a year

By Editorial Staff
9/11/2014 2:30:00 PM

If you have ANY exposure to Europe -- especially if you invest in European ETFs -- listen as our international opportunities expert Chris Carolan demonstrates how large currency fluctuations can impact your investments.

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Chris Carolan, currency, Elections, Elliott Wave trading, euro, europe, forex, risk management, technical analysis, technical indicators, Traders, trading lessons

Category: Education


(A Special Video Presentation, 12:42 min.) Hitler: How Did That Happen?
No comedy, no satire: Just an answer you haven't heard before

By Robert Folsom
9/2/2014 4:30:00 PM

Why are Nazis the ultimate bad guys? Lots of people know the answer, yet the follow-up is not so simple: How did a person like Hitler really come to power? This answer is NOT one you've heard before. Watch.

Filed Under: Elections, Elliott wave, europe, herding, history, , social mood, socionomics, video, Video - Featured

Category: Socionomics


Picking the “Best” European ETF? That's Like Picking the “Best” Elvis Impersonator in Vegas
Trying to pick the right European ETF to invest in? One way to stop your head from spinning is to use Elliott wave analysis -- here's how

By Nico Isaac
8/29/2014 11:00:00 AM

The global ETF market is worth $2.3 trillion, and growing. The number of available ETFs is growing, too. Here's one way to pick the right European ETF to invest in -- without having your head spin from all the choices.

Filed Under: CAC40, charts, Chris Carolan, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forecasts

Category: European Markets


How Bad News Can Cost You an Excellent Opportunity
Why did German stocks rally despite bad news from Russia and Ukraine?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/27/2014 4:30:00 PM

By early August, news of sanctions against Russia and Germany's weak economic data sent German stocks 10% lower. And those who got scared by the bad news... missed out on a great opportunity. Here's what to look for next time.

Filed Under: bull market, DAX, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, technical analysis

Category: European Markets


(Video, 2:27 min.) Stocks Stumble: Is Ukraine to Blame?
The news doesn't drive the price trend. The behavior of traders and investors is what moves prices.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/15/2014 7:45:00 PM

On Friday (Aug. 15) Ukraine said its forces had destroyed part of a Russian military convoy. The news sent stocks lower, said the headlines -- but was it really the news that did it?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, europe, european markets, technical analysis, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


Germany's DAX Fell 10% -- And Led Europe Lower in July. Now What?
Our new European Financial Forecast shows you a key price level that, if crossed, would shift the odds in favor of the bears

By Nico Isaac
8/8/2014 4:30:00 PM

In late June, Germany's DAX stood above the 10,000 level for the first time in history. And despite a slew of concerns facing Europe's largest economy, the mainstream experts saw no immediate hitch to the DAX's rally. All that changed on June 20, though, when the DAX lost its footing in a 10% free fall... 

Filed Under: charts, DAX, Elliott wave, europe, european markets, financial forecast, fundamental analysis

Category: European Markets


Market Alert: EURUSD at 8-Month Low
Join our ongoing Open House event now, free -- and see what's next for the euro

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/24/2014 12:45:00 PM

"Concerns that a fresh round of sanctions against Russia would have a negative impact on euro area growth pressured the single currency lower." Those concerns aren't likely to lift any time soon, so the euro should keep weakening, right? Actually, no.

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, trade targets, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Market Alert: Natural Gas
Maybe the markets "know" something politicians don't

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/23/2014 12:30:00 PM

There is a lot of talk today about the West launching another set of economic sanctions against Russia. But, reports USA Today, it may end up being just that -- talk. Here is an Elliott wave perspective.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, European Union (EU), eurozone, fundamental analysis, futures trading, natural gas, technical indicators

Category: Energy


Would YOU Recognize an Overheated Market if You Saw One?
See how Europe's IPO bull market is a prime example of optimism that's gone off its hinges

By Nico Isaac
7/22/2014 12:00:00 PM

You've heard what the mainstream experts have to say about Europe's IPO boom: Come on in, the water's warm! But before you jump in, see this chart: It shows you whether IPOs in the UK and Germany are really putting on a bull-market performance.

Filed Under: banks, charts, Elliott wave, europe, european markets, investor psychology

Category: European Markets


EURUSD: Why the 2-Week-Long Sell-off?
What moves the markets is not the news, but the shifts in the collective bias of traders and investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/16/2014 11:30:00 AM

Bank trouble in Portugal. Janet Yellen’s hinting at the coming end to quantitative easing. Shaky ZEW investor confidence survey data from Germany. Is that why the euro is weak? Take a look at this chart.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, trade targets, Traders, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


Japanese Yen Soars – Why, Again?
As it’s often the case, the news is “catching up” to the market move which started long before

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/10/2014 9:30:00 PM

"Yen soars as Portuguese bank fears spark safety buying," said a July 10 headline. As usual, the headlines were right: The yen did get stronger after the news from Europe. But also...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy

Category: Currencies


(Video) For One Group of European Investors, the Future Looks... Stressful!
This incredible chart from the July European Finanical Forecast shows you the true relationship between systemic stress and stock market performance

By Nico Isaac
7/10/2014 10:00:00 AM

Mainstream economic wisdom says when investors are stressed out, stocks feel the pressue and fall; conversely, when investors are calm and confident, stock prices rally. It makes perfect sense. But here's also why this is absolutely NOT true.

Filed Under: charts, Elliott wave, euro stoxx 50, europe, european markets, eurozone, financial forecast, sentiment

Category: European Markets


Where Is the "You" in Deflation? Right Here – Just Take a Look
See how this deflationary checklist from the current European Financial Forecast leads directly to Y-O-U

By Nico Isaac
6/13/2014 11:45:00 AM

Prechter's New York Times business bestseller Conquer the Crash explains deflation in simple terms. And now, the new issue of our monthly European Financial Forecast shows you how it's already affecting Europe.

Filed Under: banks, Bob Prechter, charts, Conquer the Crash, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, Interest Rates, monetary policy, social mood, unemployment

Category: European Markets


(Video) The Leaning Tower of Europe's Economy
Two amazing charts show you how interest rate cuts and government bailouts have failed to prop up the pillars of economic growth

By Nico Isaac
6/2/2014 5:15:00 PM

In 2008, Europe's economy came crashing down. Ever since, the EU's monetary engineers have been trying to stabilize the sinking consumer foundation and sliding banking sector. Yet, take a look at these two charts.

Filed Under: bailouts, Bank of England, banks, charts, consumer price index, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, Interest Rates, video

Category: European Markets


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.