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(Video, 3:45 min.) The Swiss Lower Interest Rates to -.25%. Will It Work?
The world's most conservative central bank wants YOU to pay THEM to hold your money

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/19/2014 5:15:00 PM

On December 18, the Dow had its best day of the year. Analysts said stocks rose due to the Fed's promise to "be patient" about raising U.S. interest rates. That the burst of optimism made it hard to notice important news about interest rates from Europe. Watch.

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, euro, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, Swiss franc, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


"Nailing" the EURUSD's Near-Term Rally
The market psychology of the December 4 surge was already in place before the ECB policy meeting

By Nico Isaac
12/4/2014 3:15:00 PM

According to the mainstream experts, the main catalyst for the EURUSD's December 4 rally was the ECB policy meeting. Find out why you should quit such logic, cold turkey!

Filed Under: Bank of England, central banks, charts, currency, Elliott wave, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, european markets, forex, forex trading

Category: Currencies


(Video, 4:17 min.) You Can Lead a Horse to Water, But You Can't Make Him... Borrow
Today's trend towards deflation is not a monetary problem, but a psychological one

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/18/2014 5:00:00 PM

Do you know what the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve have in common? Yes, they are three of the world's biggest central banks. But the other thing that unites them is a common problem.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, central banks, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, european central bank, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


What's Scarier Than DE-flation?
As early as 2011, our analysis warned that Europe's deflation was coming -- here's why

By Nico Isaac
11/14/2014 3:30:00 PM

At last count, EIGHT European nations are now in outright deflation. It's the "Titanic" shipwreck scenario "no one saw coming." Well, not exactly no one.

Filed Under: Brian Whitmer, central banks, charts, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, forecasts, Greenspan, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: European Markets


(Video, 3:30 min.) U.S. vs. Europe: Who Is Leading Whom?
The answer is debatable, but the way policymakers have tried to end the crisis amounts to a spotty record

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/4/2014 4:15:00 PM

"Here’s one widely held view: 'Europe is running about two to three years behind the US, mostly due to the US being about two to three years ahead of the eurozone in terms of monetary stimulus.' However..."

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


Start Making Sense of the Euro's Price Swings
See how at the euro's May 2014 high, an Elliott wave diagonal pattern warned of the coming collapse

By Nico Isaac
10/24/2014 8:30:00 AM

When the euro stood at a 2-and-1/2 year high against the U.S. dollar in May, the currency was said to have "priced in" an ECB interest rate cut into negative territory. But then, said cut came & the euro fell. Sound crazy? 

Filed Under: central banks, charts, currency, diagonal, Elliott wave, euro, europe, european central bank, european markets, eurozone, Interest Rates

Category: European Markets


(Video, 4:36 min.) EURUSD: How To Spot a Market Bottom
Picking tops and bottoms is not easy. But these tools turns the odds in your favor

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/17/2014 3:30:00 PM

It's hard to go against the tide. In the markets, when everyone is bullish (or bearish, as it was in this case), the gravitational pull of the crowd is huge. Yet, watch how just a few market indicators can help you break free.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), forex, forex trading, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - FRUP

Category: Currencies


Europe: The ONE Economic Comparison That Must Not Be Named... Was Just Named
The Continent is now teetering on the edge of a "Japan-style" deflation. Here's our take on it.

By Nico Isaac
9/29/2014 8:45:00 PM

The economic scenario that must not be named -- "Japan-style Deflation" has been uttered in reference to Europe. From the very beginning, Elliott Wave International foresaw that this day would come, despite the efforts of central banks.

Filed Under: bailouts, Bank of England, central banks, charts, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, forecasts, inflation, Interest Rates, world central banks

Category: European Markets


(Video, 3:02 min.) Central Banks Are Buying Stocks -- That HAS To Be Bullish (Right?)
It's tempting to answer "yes" -- until you recall a similar example from recent history

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/12/2014 5:00:00 PM

Sovereign wealth funds were buying stocks seven years ago. Today, it's central banks. There is no real difference, though: Both express how accepted the drive into riskier financial assets has become.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, central banks, Elliott wave, european central bank, european markets, market manipulation, stock indexes, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


Super Mario (Draghi) Did Not Shoot Down EURCAD
The biggest drop in EURCAD in 2 months was a selloff waiting to happen

By Nico Isaac
9/5/2014 4:30:00 PM

On Sept. 4, the euro/Canadian dollar exchange rate experienced a sharp fall. Here is one reason to believe that is was NOT a direct result of the European Central Bank announcement on the same day.

Filed Under: charts, currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, european central bank, forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis

Category: Currencies


EURUSD: A Sudden Rally That Probably Surprised Many
A fresh example of what really moves the forex markets

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/3/2014 6:00:00 PM

Here’s a paradox for you: When markets get volatile, when and every news story seems to add fuel to the fire -- that’s when Elliott wave patterns in market charts usually get the clearest. Weird? Actually, no.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, forex, forex trading, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


EURUSD: A 100-Pip Rally That Happened... Why, Again?
Financial markets are NOT physics. Robert Prechter made that point years ago.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/8/2014 11:45:00 PM

In the physical world, objects only move because another object pushes on them. A hits B, and B goes flying. But financial markets like forex are NOT physics. Take a look at this fresh example.

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, european central bank, forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, market forecasts, online trading, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


EURUSD: It’s Oh So Quiet
Too quiet?..

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/17/2014 3:45:00 PM

The euro sure knows how to test a trader’s patience, doesn’t it? First, it gave us almost a 3-week stretch in late May-early June when it kept bumping around just above $1.3600. Now...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Fibonacci, forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, market forecasts, monetary policy, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


Where Is the "You" in Deflation? Right Here – Just Take a Look
See how this deflationary checklist from the current European Financial Forecast leads directly to Y-O-U

By Nico Isaac
6/13/2014 11:45:00 AM

Prechter's New York Times business bestseller Conquer the Crash explains deflation in simple terms. And now, the new issue of our monthly European Financial Forecast shows you how it's already affecting Europe.

Filed Under: banks, Bob Prechter, charts, Conquer the Crash, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, Interest Rates, monetary policy, social mood, unemployment

Category: European Markets


The Euro (EURUSD): An Intraday Move to Remember. Now What?
From steep plunge to sharp rebound, see how price action on Thursday (June 5) is a "beautiful example of Elliott wave patterns in action."

By Nico Isaac
6/5/2014 4:00:00 PM

Wow! What a day Thursday was for Euro watchers, wouldn't you say? We'll show you why it’s a day to remember. In fact, what you are about to read may change the way you look at the markets – forever.

Filed Under: central banks, charts, contracting triangle, currency, Elliott wave, euro, european central bank, european markets, forecasts, forex, market forecasts, U.S. dollar, video

Category: Currencies


(Video) The Leaning Tower of Europe's Economy
Two amazing charts show you how interest rate cuts and government bailouts have failed to prop up the pillars of economic growth

By Nico Isaac
6/2/2014 5:15:00 PM

In 2008, Europe's economy came crashing down. Ever since, the EU's monetary engineers have been trying to stabilize the sinking consumer foundation and sliding banking sector. Yet, take a look at these two charts.

Filed Under: bailouts, Bank of England, banks, charts, consumer price index, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, Interest Rates, video

Category: European Markets


(Video) EURUSD: May Was FULL of Bearish Opportunities. How Many Are Left?
Learn what really crashed the euro in May -- and get a hint as to what's next for the common currency

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/30/2014 1:30:00 PM

May started out great for the euro bulls. On May 8, EURUSD, the exchange rate between the euro and U.S. dollar hit a new high for 2014. And then the bottom fell out. What happened? Watch...

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, U.S. dollar, video, Video - FRUP

Category: Currencies


Draghi Didn't Drag Down the Euro. Find Out What Did
How the European Short Term Update used Elliott wave analysis to anticipate the euro's near-term slide

By Nico Isaac
5/15/2014 3:30:00 PM

On May 15, the euro hit a two-and-a-half month low against the U.S. dollar. Today we show you two explanations for the selloff: One came after the fact, and the other one -- before the euro's slide.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, euro, european central bank, european markets, sentiment

Category: European Markets


EURUSD: First, a New High for 2014, Then – a Crash!
The euro was destined to rise AND fall “with or without the news” from central banks – see the charts below to understand why

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/9/2014 6:00:00 PM

What a week. On Thursday (May 8) the euro hit a new high  for 2014 against the U.S. dollar. But the gains didn’t hold: Soon after EURUSD reversed and fell hard. Why? We’ll give you two explanations...

Filed Under: Bank of England, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, trade targets, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Mario Draghi Speaks -- and EURUSD Falls? Not So Fast
"It's market psychology that matters, not the news."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2014 1:00:00 PM

Here are tweets that Jim Martens, editor of our Currency Pro Service, posted on his EWI Forex Insider on Monday (April 14)...

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, eurozone, Fibonacci, forex, forex trading, inflation, stimulus package, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.