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One Sentiment Gauge in Europe Reaches Epic Proportion
A visual history of complacency and fear as seen by the 10-year spread over German Bunds

By Nico Isaac
4/24/2014 2:00:00 PM

You never truly prepare for the worst until you experience it first-hand. Then, and only then, do you go above and beyond to protect your health and welfare. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the world of finance. Here is a real-world example...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, euro, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, financial forecast, forecasts, risk appetite, sentiment

Category: European Markets


(Video) Why Europe’s Consumer Recovery Story is Just an Illusion
And “the man behind the curtain” is the European Central Bank

By Nico Isaac
4/14/2014 4:00:00 PM

Human mind is made of pliable stuff, willing to bend -- and believe the impossible. How many people believe, for instance, that monetary policy can reverse the course of economic decline -- even though no such power is actually proven to exist?

Filed Under: bailouts, eu, euro, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Interest Rates, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


This Chart Will Convince You That Elliott Waves Are Real
Here is one way to stay ahead of the yield curve

By Editorial Staff
4/7/2014 5:30:00 PM

How much businesses and consumers pay to borrow money affects the economy. But how do you know where bond yields (and, by extension, central bank interest rates and mortgage rates) are going?

Filed Under: central banks, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Fibonacci, financial forecast, futures trading, Interest Rates, technical analysis, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Russia, Under the Influence of Elliott Waves
Another European country is flashing a similar setup to what we saw in Russian stocks at the 2011 top

By Nico Isaac
3/31/2014 3:45:00 PM

In 2013 and now into 2014, those invested in Russia may be feeling the urge to drown their sorrows. And now, another European naton is flashing a similar setup.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, emerging markets, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forecasts, market forecasts, video, Video - FRUP

Category: European Markets


Russia's Ugly Market Decline: A Prelude to Another Country’s Nose-Dive?
EWI's Brian Whitmer forecast Russia’s huge bear and now warns of another

By Nico Isaac
3/27/2014 6:00:00 PM

Three years ago, in late 2010-early 2011, Russia was flexing its economic muscle. The ruble stood at a two-year high against the U.S. dollar and assets under management in Russia-dedicated funds were at an all-time high. That's when European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer issued a staunch warning for the bulls.

Filed Under: brian whitmer, european markets, European Union (EU), financial forecast, recession, social mood, socionomics

Category: European Markets


(Video) Greece, and Now Ukraine: The Fallacy of Efficient Markets
How to unlearn one of the most important lessons of your financial education

By Nico Isaac
3/17/2014 4:45:00 PM

Every day, you see evidence against the theory of news-driven markets; i.e. negative news causes prices to fall, while positive news spurs rallies. One example stands out from recent history: the summer of 2012, Greece. (And now, Ukraine?)

Filed Under: Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), euro, europe, european markets, eurozone, Greek debt, video, Video - Featured, Video - FRUP

Category: European Markets


(Video) The Crisis in Ukraine: What’s Next?
Social mood is another term for the shared inclination of a society. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine is a dramatic example of social mood in action.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/3/2014 4:30:00 PM

For 3 years, Russia’s stock market has been drifting lower. Here is why that’s important to the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia.

Filed Under: authoritarianism, Bear market, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, emerging markets, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, investment strategy, social mood, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


Forex FreeWeek Is ON! Join in for Instant Access
Now through Wed., Feb. 19, test-drive our FX-focused Currency Pro Service 100% free

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/12/2014 1:00:00 PM

Now through Feb. 19, get total access to EWI's new forecasts for 11 most-traded FX pairs -- 100% freeWe call this rare event FreeWeek. Join in and invite your friends!

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, european markets, eurozone, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, online trading, sterling, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy, video

Category: Currencies


Should You Count on Ireland's Comeback? See This Chart First
The European Financial Forecast tells you whether Ireland's rebound is a symbol of success -- or of complacency

By Nathaniel Williams
1/9/2014 2:15:00 PM

Not that long ago, Ireland was an epicenter of Europe's debt crisis. Now, it is hailed as a symbol of success. But are things in Ireland really that rosy?

Filed Under: brian whitmer, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Irish debt crisis

Category: European Markets


Stocks Ignore Government Shutdown: Why EWI is Not Surprised
Market patterns are not governed by outside events

By Bob Stokes
10/1/2013 4:00:00 PM

U.S. stocks appeared to brush off the news of the partial government shutdown. Learn why this did not surprise Elliott Wave International.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, european markets, long-term trend, Robert Prechter, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


Is Germany’s DAX Coming Up Yellen?
Our analysis reveals some evidence of whether the DAX rally has strength

By Nico Isaac
9/18/2013 5:45:00 PM

On September 16, Germany's blue-chip DAX rose above its previous record peak to set a new all-time high. When it came to explaining why the DAX rallied, the mainstream watchdogs stood in line and ordered a double scoop of one fundamental flavor sold in the United States: Yellenberry, as in US Federal Reserve Vice Chairwoman Janet Yellen.

Filed Under: DAX, Elliott wave, european markets, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: European Markets


Hey, FTSE 100 Pundits, Take a (Rate) Hike
Many believe that there’s a consistent correlation between a rise in bank rates and a fall in the Footsie – but it’s not so

By Nico Isaac
8/15/2013 6:45:00 PM

When the FTSE 100 plunged in its biggest single-day drop in two months on August 15, the usual experts looked no further than the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street, otherwise known as the Bank of England. More specifically, when the Bank of England increases interest rates, the Footsie falls; ergo, a rate cut triggers a FTSE rally. Right?

Filed Under: Bank of England, europe, european markets, financial forecast, FTSE, Interest Rates, monetary policy

Category: European Markets


(Video) Huge Sell-Off in FTSE 100: What a Third Wave Looks Like
Third waves are the strongest and fastest parts of a five-wave Elliott wave sequence.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/15/2013 4:45:00 PM

To those familiar with Elliott wave analysis, the phrase "worst intraday fall" sounds like a third wave -- the strongest and fastest part of a five-wave Elliott wave impulse.  Watch this free video to understand more about the FTSE’s sharp drop on August 15.

Filed Under: Bank of England, Bear market, DAX, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, european markets, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis, trade targets

Category: European Markets


The June Funk in Europe's Junk Bond Market
How our analysis prepared for the selloff.

By Nico Isaac
7/15/2013 5:45:00 PM

Q1 of 2013. At the time, investor interest in all things high-yielding was moving at a swifter clip than Stephen Strasburg's fastball. But then came June. Europe's junk bond market strikes out as high-yield bond issuance goes from a record inflow to a record outflow. And, the cost of insuring European corporate bonds against losses embarks on a five-week-long uptrend -- its longest rising streak in two years.

 

Filed Under: europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, Greek debt, junk bonds, world central banks

Category: European Markets


Major Contractions Coming to an Economy Near You
The IMF revises downward its global economic growth outlook – we’re not surprised

By Bob Stokes
7/10/2013 5:30:00 PM

All the king’s horses and all the king’s men – and all the financial stimulus by governments around the globe -- appear to be falling short of the hoped-for results, namely, robust economic growth. A recent International Monetary Fund downward revision of world economic growth is no surprise to Elliott Wave International. Learn why you can expect more downward revisions in the months ahead.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, central banks, Chinese markets, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, european markets, International Monetary Fund (IMF), quantitative easing, Shanghai Composite Index, Sovereign Debt, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Global Markets


The FTSE's Fall: Will It Be Just a Footnote? (Update)
Only those who saw the beginning of the move can identify its end

By Nico Isaac
6/20/2013 12:45:00 PM

In late May, the media frenzy over the FTSE 100's uptrend was akin to commotion over Kate Middleton's (the Duchess of Cambridge) baby bump. And while the the royal heir's gender was still unknown, the mainstream financial experts were pretty darn certain about the stock market's identity – a bouncing baby bull.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, europe, european markets, financial forecast, FTSE, fundamental analysis, momentum

Category: European Markets


A Wall-to-Wall Selloff in European Bourses
European Short Term Update used Elliott wave analysis to anticipate the reversal

By Nico Isaac
5/23/2013 4:15:00 PM

On Thursday, May 23, the ticker tape of European stock markets resembled the jumbotron scale on the weight-loss reality TV show The Biggest Loser -- one triple-digit number after another. Unlike the TV show, however, the sharp stock market declines were not a sign of improving health. According to one news report, brokers across the pond went on a 24-hour damage control assuring their "investors to keep calm, carry on, and don't panic."

Filed Under: CAC40, DAX, Elliott wave, euro stoxx 50, europe, european markets, eurozone, FTSE, Nikkei, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: European Markets


The UK Avoids Recession. Proof Positive of Recovery?
And why taking the experts at their word may not be the safest decision.

By Nico Isaac
4/25/2013 5:00:00 PM

In the morning hours of April 25, the UK financial community was a picture of Hunger Games-like angst. Huddled masses stood around the Office for National Statistics, waiting nervously to hear whether the name -- Britain -- would be drawn to participate in a highly dreaded recession.  

Filed Under: credit crisis, europe, european markets, financial forecast, FTSE, great depression, recession, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: European Markets


Short-Term Euro Memory Loss
.. And long-term euro calls from EWI's European Financial Forecast

By Nico Isaac
4/1/2013 5:15:00 PM

Recently I watched "Memento," the excellent movie about a man with retrograde amnesia who tries to solve his wife's murder. The protagonist has about 30 seconds to write down new clues on scraps of paper -- or in some cases tattoo those clues onto his body -- before his short-term memory completely fails. 

Filed Under: central banks, currency, Elliott wave, euro, europe, european central bank, european markets, eurozone, U.S. dollar

Category: European Markets


Has the European Central Bank Defeated the Sovereign Debt Crisis Once and For All?
A three-paneled chart reveals whether the critical precondition for recovery, consumer borrowing, is underway in Europe.

By Nico Isaac
3/21/2013 5:15:00 PM

The conventional wisdom would have to agree. Every polled financial pundit from here to the Hellenic Republic insists that – while not totally out of the woods – the worst of the eurozone economic crisis is in the rearview. The universally recognized date for the Continent’s exact turning point is July 2012. That’s when European Central Bank President Mario Draghi tossed his tie over his shoulder to verbally put the naysayers in their place

Filed Under: central banks, debt crisis, euro, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, liquidity, soverign debt crisis

Category: European Markets


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.