Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

(Interview, 3:25 min.) ECB's Recent Actions Signal "Full-Blown Panic"
Learn why the ECB's growth outlook will prove to be way too optimistic

By Editorial Staff
3/20/2015 11:00:00 AM

Elliott Wave International's European Financial Forecast editor explains why QE is the European Central Bank's last-ditch attempt to turn Europe around.

Filed Under: Brian Whitmer, DAX, deflation, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, european markets, interview, video

Category: European Markets

Exhibit A: Tesco, Or Why Good Deflation Doesn't Exist
In 2010, we identified the British supermarket chain Tesco's widely-praised cost-cutting initiatives as step one towards the inevitable: deflation

By Nico Isaac
3/20/2015 6:45:00 AM

Is the "good" kind of deflation really underway in Europe, as so many economists suggest? We have one word to answer with: Tesco.

Filed Under: charts, consumer confidence, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european markets, financial forecast

Category: European Markets

Why Expectations for Future Global Business Activity are Plunging
Enjoy an excerpt from "The State of the Global Markets 2015 Edition"

By Editorial Staff
2/27/2015 10:30:00 AM

Investors continue to display excessive optimism toward stocks, while economic fundamentals only continue to deteriorate. What should you make of that? Here's what we think.

Filed Under: european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone

Category: European Markets

(Video, 4:15 min.) In Europe, a Bizarre New World of Negative Bond Yields
Why we believe this "unprecedented" scenario has a very real precedent: Japan

By Nico Isaac
2/20/2015 3:45:00 PM

Negative bond yields have arrived in Europe! "Investors are paying for the privilege of lending to the most trusted borrowers." There is "no precedent," say the experts. Only there IS a precedent, and a big one.

Filed Under: banks, central banks, charts, consumer price index, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, Interest Rates, Nikkei

Category: European Markets

(Interview, 4:12 min.) Swiss National Bank Didn't "Choose" Anything -- Market Chose for Them
Elliott Wave International's European Financial Forecast editor explains why the SNB cried uncle

By Editorial Staff
2/19/2015 3:45:00 PM

Here, EWI's European analyst, Brian Whitmer, tells you why the Swiss National Bank really decided to unpeg the Swiss franc from the euro -- and offers his take on when the "domino effect" from the decision will end.

Filed Under: Brian Whitmer, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, interview, Swiss franc, video

Category: European Markets

Japan: Is the Longest Bear Market in Modern History Finally Over?
Elliott wave analysis foresaw the 2012 low. Whether that low is the actual bottom depends on one specific Elliott pattern, which is underway now

By Nico Isaac
2/13/2015 5:15:00 PM

On February 12, Japan's Nikkei 225 index soared to a 7-year high, begging the question: Is Japan's 23-year long bear market finally over?

Filed Under: Bear market, charts, contracting triangle, Daily Sentiment Index (DSI), Elliott wave, european markets, financial forecast, fundamental analysis, Japanese yen, long-term trend, Nikkei, sentiment

Category: Asian Markets

My Big Fat Greek Stalemate
And why bailouts 1 and 2 failed to jumpstart the Athens Composite Index in the first place

By Nico Isaac
2/11/2015 2:15:00 PM

Cue radical claim: Bailouts are not bullish for Greek stocks. Moreover, they actually helped us confirm early on that Greek stocks had entered a bear market.

Filed Under: bailouts, Bear market, charts, debt, Elliott wave, euro, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, financial forecast, Greek debt, International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Category: European Markets

(Interview, 5:01 min.) Swiss National Bank Panicked Early... Or Just in Time?
Elliott Wave International’s European analyst discusses the recent Swiss National Bank "shock"

By Editorial Staff
2/5/2015 4:15:00 PM

On January 15, the Swiss National Bank suddenly stopped defending the Swiss franc. That decision sent shockwaves through the financial world.

Filed Under: Brian Whitmer, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, interview, Swiss franc

Category: European Markets

(Interview, 5:31 min.) "Swiss Move Validates EWI's Larger Philosophy"
EWI’s Chris Carolan offers his take on the implications of unpegging the franc

By Editorial Staff
1/16/2015 4:15:00 PM

Following the Swiss National Bank's unexpected decision to abandon its policy of capping the Swiss franc, Chris Carolan explains that the Swiss are recognizing the same types of danger that EWI has been talking about for a long time.

Filed Under: Chris Carolan, europe, european markets, interview, Swiss franc, video

Category: European Markets

The Swiss Central Bank Shocks the World
However, it wasn't nearly as shocking if you read this forecast, made last month

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/15/2015 12:45:00 PM

On January 15, the Swiss National Bank abruptly ended its three-year-long exchange rate target for the Swiss franc of 1.20 against the euro. The bank also cut interest rates (even more). However, the news wasn't a shock for everyone -- here's why.

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, euro, europe, european markets, safe haven, Swiss franc, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis

Category: Currencies

European ETFs: A Bright Light in All the Darkness
While it's been a tough year for many European investors, ETF investors (especially those using the Elliott wave model) have more to cheer about

By Nico Isaac
1/14/2015 3:00:00 PM

"2014 was a truly amazing year for the [exchange traded fund] industry." We'd like to add: Especially for those ETF investors using the Elliott wave model.

Filed Under: CAC40, charts, Chris Carolan, DAX, deflation, Elliott wave, euro, europe, european markets, eurozone, Fibonacci, FTSE, Keltner channels, technical analysis

Category: European Markets

(Video, 6:55 min.) Pity the Euro... Or Maybe Not
This week, EURUSD came within a few pips from where it first traded back 1999

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/9/2015 4:00:00 PM

This is a historic moment in the currency markets. On January 8, EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate, fell to $1.1753. That's just pips away from $1.1747, where the euro opened 16 years ago when it first got introduced as the common currency.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar, video

Category: Currencies

The REAL Reason the Euro Has Fallen to a 9-Year Low
Old fears about Greece and quantitative easing did not ignite the currency's new downtrend

By Nico Isaac
1/6/2015 4:15:00 PM

On January 5, the euro plunged to a nine-year low against the U.S. dollar. The reason why has nothing to do with Greek politics or a beefed up stimulus plan by the ECB...

Filed Under: banks, central banks, charts, currency, Elliott wave, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, european markets, eurozone, financial forecast, forecasts, Greek debt, Interest Rates, long-term trend, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies

Stocks and Economy: What to Look for in 2015
Some thoughts about "fundamentals" going into the new year

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/30/2014 3:45:00 PM

U.S. stocks are trading near all-time highs, yet some people say that without a stronger economy this bull market won't last. This argument makes sense at first blush, but when you dig a little deeper, you quickly discover that it's not supported by the facts.

Filed Under: bull market, commodities, crude oil, debt, deflation, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, emerging markets, european markets, fundamental analysis, housing prices, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, S&P 500, stimulus package, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, unemployment, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

(Video, 3:45 min.) The Swiss Lower Interest Rates to -.25%. Will It Work?
The world's most conservative central bank wants YOU to pay THEM to hold your money

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/19/2014 5:15:00 PM

On December 18, the Dow had its best day of the year. Analysts said stocks rose due to the Fed's promise to "be patient" about raising U.S. interest rates. That the burst of optimism made it hard to notice important news about interest rates from Europe. Watch.

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, euro, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, Swiss franc, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets

"Ukraine: Riskier Than Cyprus"
As early as December 2013, our analysis flagged Ukraine as the potential new hotbed of geopolitical instability

By Editorial Staff
12/18/2014 3:15:00 PM

This is a reprint of an article that appeared exactly a year ago in our monthly Global Market Perspective. This article gives you hints as to what to look for before the world goes through another geopolitical crisis at some point in the future.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, social mood, socionomics

Category: European Markets

(Video, 1:30 min.) Are Emerging Markets at Risk of "Russian Contagion"?
The collapse of the Russian ruble and stock market has spooked emerging market investors. Should they be nervous?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/17/2014 4:00:00 PM

We asked the editor of our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast an important question: "The collapse of the Russian ruble and stock market has made many investors afraid of contagion. What's your take on the situation?" Watch.

Filed Under: BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, emerging markets, european markets, Indian markets, Shanghai Composite Index, social mood, video, Video - Featured

Category: Asian Markets

Why Is the Russian Ruble in Freefall?
If you hear, it's all because of cheap oil and anti-Russia sanctions, don't believe it. Here's why.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/16/2014 3:15:00 PM

If you'd like to hear a good Elliott wave story, the ruble has one to tell. Even if you don't follow the currency, you know about the recent tensions between Russia and the West. It all began in February-March...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, european markets, forex, forex trading, sentiment, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies

Why Greece's Stock Market Fell 13% in ONE Day... No, the REAL Reason!
The worst one-day collapse ever was not triggered by the snap election decision

By Nico Isaac
12/11/2014 5:00:00 PM

On December 9, Greece's stock market plunged 13% -- its "worst collapse ever." Knowing why the market crashed, however, is not the story being told by the mainstream media.

Filed Under: bailouts, charts, Elliott wave, europe, european markets, eurozone, fundamental analysis, Greek debt, Keltner channels

Category: European Markets

(Interview, 5:14 min.) Asia and Europe: Are Markets Rolling Over?
Stocks in Greece and China experienced sharp sell-off recently -- get our take on what's going on

By Editorial Staff
12/10/2014 12:15:00 PM

Elliott Wave International's Asian-Pacific Short Term Update and European Short Term Update editor, Chris Carolan, talks about big market moves in China and Greece this week.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chris Carolan, european markets, interview, Shanghai Composite Index, video

Category: European Markets

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© 2015 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.