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Mario Draghi Speaks -- and EURUSD Falls? Not So Fast
"It's market psychology that matters, not the news."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2014 1:00:00 PM

Here are tweets that Jim Martens, editor of our Currency Pro Service, posted on his EWI Forex Insider on Monday (April 14)...

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, eurozone, Fibonacci, forex, forex trading, inflation, stimulus package, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


(Video) Why Europe’s Consumer Recovery Story is Just an Illusion
And “the man behind the curtain” is the European Central Bank

By Nico Isaac
4/14/2014 4:00:00 PM

Human mind is made of pliable stuff, willing to bend -- and believe the impossible. How many people believe, for instance, that monetary policy can reverse the course of economic decline -- even though no such power is actually proven to exist?

Filed Under: bailouts, eu, euro, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Interest Rates, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


This Chart Will Convince You That Elliott Waves Are Real
Here is one way to stay ahead of the yield curve

By Editorial Staff
4/7/2014 5:30:00 PM

How much businesses and consumers pay to borrow money affects the economy. But how do you know where bond yields (and, by extension, central bank interest rates and mortgage rates) are going?

Filed Under: central banks, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Fibonacci, financial forecast, futures trading, Interest Rates, technical analysis, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Russia, Under the Influence of Elliott Waves
Another European country is flashing a similar setup to what we saw in Russian stocks at the 2011 top

By Nico Isaac
3/31/2014 3:45:00 PM

In 2013 and now into 2014, those invested in Russia may be feeling the urge to drown their sorrows. And now, another European naton is flashing a similar setup.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, emerging markets, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forecasts, market forecasts, video, Video - FRUP

Category: European Markets


(Video) Greece, and Now Ukraine: The Fallacy of Efficient Markets
How to unlearn one of the most important lessons of your financial education

By Nico Isaac
3/17/2014 4:45:00 PM

Every day, you see evidence against the theory of news-driven markets; i.e. negative news causes prices to fall, while positive news spurs rallies. One example stands out from recent history: the summer of 2012, Greece. (And now, Ukraine?)

Filed Under: Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), euro, europe, european markets, eurozone, Greek debt, video, Video - Featured, Video - FRUP

Category: European Markets


(Video) EURUSD: How Watching Market Psychology Can Help You Time the Market
We look at the euro to understand how Elliott wave patterns in price charts reflect the struggle between the bulls and bears

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/6/2014 11:00:00 PM

Two economic reports hit the newswires Thursday morning (March 6). Both were important, yet each one had the opposite implication for the trend. The market chose one report over the other, and the question is, why -- and what can we learn from that?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, U.S. dollar, video, Video - Featured

Category: Currencies


(Video) The Crisis in Ukraine: What’s Next?
Social mood is another term for the shared inclination of a society. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine is a dramatic example of social mood in action.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/3/2014 4:30:00 PM

For 3 years, Russia’s stock market has been drifting lower. Here is why that’s important to the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia.

Filed Under: authoritarianism, Bear market, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, emerging markets, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, investment strategy, social mood, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


Forex FreeWeek Is ON! Join in for Instant Access
Now through Wed., Feb. 19, test-drive our FX-focused Currency Pro Service 100% free

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/12/2014 1:00:00 PM

Now through Feb. 19, get total access to EWI's new forecasts for 11 most-traded FX pairs -- 100% freeWe call this rare event FreeWeek. Join in and invite your friends!

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, european markets, eurozone, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, online trading, sterling, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy, video

Category: Currencies


Why You Should Prepare Now for Eurozone-Style Deflation
Efforts to stimulate lending appear to be futile

By Bob Stokes
1/31/2014 2:45:00 PM

European Union policymakers have gone all out to fend off deflation. But deflation continues to threaten Europe's economy. See how EWI's European Financial Forecast has been keeping subscribers ahead of this ominous trend.

Filed Under: brian whitmer, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European Union (EU), eurozone

Category: European Markets


Should You Count on Ireland's Comeback? See This Chart First
The European Financial Forecast tells you whether Ireland's rebound is a symbol of success -- or of complacency

By Nathaniel Williams
1/9/2014 2:15:00 PM

Not that long ago, Ireland was an epicenter of Europe's debt crisis. Now, it is hailed as a symbol of success. But are things in Ireland really that rosy?

Filed Under: brian whitmer, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Irish debt crisis

Category: European Markets


The Eurozone: Following the Deflationary Footsteps of Japan?
Eurozone business activity slips

By Bob Stokes
11/22/2013 5:00:00 PM

Positive economic expectations in the eurozone appear divorced from reality. One measure of business activity has its weakest reading in three months. Is the eurozone slipping toward a Japanese-style deflation?

Filed Under: brian whitmer, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, eurozone

Category: European Markets


EUR/USD: Why the Fast, Sudden Selloff?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/7/2013 3:15:00 PM

The European Central Bank cuts interest rates. The euro plunges. Logical? Yes. Plausible? Sure. But there is another explanation for the EUR/USD selloff on November 7.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, eurozone, forex, forex trading, inflation, Interest Rates, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Deflation Soon to Grab Attention in the European Union
Four European nation's show a long slide in consumer prices

By Bob Stokes
11/6/2013 1:15:00 PM

Europe's lack of respect for deflation will soon be transformed into rapt attention. Inflation is already at its lowest level since November 2009.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, eurozone

Category: European Markets


Eurozone's Descent Down the Financial Rabbit Hole
European Union business activity disappoints in October

By Bob Stokes
10/24/2013 5:30:00 PM

Disappointing business activity and falling tax receipts are just two economic factors that dog the European Union's growth prospects. See two charts that help explain Europe's slide into deflation.

Filed Under: debt, deflation, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, eurozone

Category: European Markets


Eurozone Deflation: Ignore At Your Own Risk?
Deflation manifests as a contraction in the amount of outstanding debt

By Bob Stokes
9/26/2013 3:00:00 PM

Elliott Wave International believes that the next financial crisis will be more severe than what occurred from 2007 to 2009, and, indeed, could surpass the severity of the Great Depression. Learn why a chart that shows the European Union's rate of total credit growth is a warning sign.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, banks, credit crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


The June Funk in Europe's Junk Bond Market
How our analysis prepared for the selloff.

By Nico Isaac
7/15/2013 5:45:00 PM

Q1 of 2013. At the time, investor interest in all things high-yielding was moving at a swifter clip than Stephen Strasburg's fastball. But then came June. Europe's junk bond market strikes out as high-yield bond issuance goes from a record inflow to a record outflow. And, the cost of insuring European corporate bonds against losses embarks on a five-week-long uptrend -- its longest rising streak in two years.

 

Filed Under: europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, Greek debt, junk bonds, world central banks

Category: European Markets


No Time to Play Ostrich About Europe’s Economy
The U.S. might want to pay attention to the EU’s persistent economic contraction

By Bob Stokes
6/28/2013 5:15:00 PM

European deflation has arrived in the U.S. before. So, it’s worth asking the question: Is history set to repeat? Consider what has been happening recently in the European Union and the United States.

Filed Under: debt crisis, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European Union (EU), eurozone, great depression, history, soverign debt crisis

Category: U.S. Economy


A Wall-to-Wall Selloff in European Bourses
European Short Term Update used Elliott wave analysis to anticipate the reversal

By Nico Isaac
5/23/2013 4:15:00 PM

On Thursday, May 23, the ticker tape of European stock markets resembled the jumbotron scale on the weight-loss reality TV show The Biggest Loser -- one triple-digit number after another. Unlike the TV show, however, the sharp stock market declines were not a sign of improving health. According to one news report, brokers across the pond went on a 24-hour damage control assuring their "investors to keep calm, carry on, and don't panic."

Filed Under: CAC40, DAX, Elliott wave, euro stoxx 50, europe, european markets, eurozone, FTSE, Nikkei, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: European Markets


EURUSD Drops Below 1.30... Why, Again?
Wave analysis works because it helps you track the waves of the market's crowd psychology, which unfold in predictable patterns.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/16/2013 4:30:00 PM

It's official: The euro zone economy has now been in the longest recession since the EUR was introduced in 1999. That news hit the wires on May 15. No wonder EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate, fell that day as the U.S. dollar took the upper hand. But let's take a look at what happened from an Elliott wave perspective...

Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, eurozone, forex, forex trading, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


EURUSD: Big Week Ahead
Will the euro rally or fall on the news from the European Central Bank meeting on Thursday?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/29/2013 5:15:00 PM

Two news stories from Europe hit the headlines Monday morning (Apr. 29). One: Italy finally ended its political chaos and swore in the new government. Two: The eurozone economic confidence fell more than expected. EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and the most traded forex market, rose on Monday. But pretend for a second that you didn't know that. Try this instead...

Filed Under: consumer confidence, currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, eurozone, forex, forex trading, Traders, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.