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Euro vs. Dollar: When Mood Trumps Reason
Sometimes, all forex markets need is an excuse.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/31/2008 5:45:00 PM

On July 29, the U.S. dollar gained strongly against the euro, sending the EURUSD exchange rate down some 200 pips, or two full cents. But if you looked at the day's news for explanations, it probably left you scratching your head...

Filed Under: eurusd exchange rate, consumer confidence, U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
Category: Currencies


EURUSD: U.S. Interest Rates Unchanged. Now What?
With the Fed's decision out of the way, what will determine the next move in the EURUSD?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/25/2008 6:15:00 PM

Now that the Federal Reserve left U.S. interest rates unchanged and the U.S. dollar lost on the news, the question is: Was that all of the "pressure" the USD would see, or is there more to come? Here's a chart Elliott Wave International's Currency Specialty Service showed right before the Fed's announcement on June 25...

Filed Under: european central bank, inflation, eurozone, U.S. Dollar Index, interest rates unchanged at 2%, forex, eurusd exchange rate
Category: Currencies


Forex: How To Stop Chasing Your Own Tail
When conventional explanations for market action change with the wind, what do you do?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/20/2008 5:15:00 PM
Do you ever get the feeling that the conventional market analysts quoted in the financial press are, all to often, a step behind the curve? They try hard to explain how news stories or actions in one market are responsible for reactions in another, and they are very good at it. For example, when the U.S. dollar gained against the euro on Monday (May 19), they said...
Filed Under: u.s. dollar, euro, eurusd exchange rate, forex, Fed's minutes, Germany's Ifo Business Climate Index, U.S. jobless claims, Consumer Confidence Survey, Existing U.S. home sales
Category: Currencies


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.