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Improving Economy is Bullish for Stocks. Right?
Yes, it’s a trick question. Read on to understand why.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/3/2014 10:30:00 AM

Positive economic reports are said to be bullish for the stock market, while negative data are bearish. But is this accurate? What a strange question, you may say -- but please take a look at this chart...

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), fundamental analysis, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, quantitative easing, stimulus package, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


Investors Love Lofty Financial Markets
People want bargains at the mall, not in financial markets

By Bob Stokes
12/6/2013 3:00:00 PM

People seek bargains at the mall but run the other way when financial markets are cheap. Conversely, investors like to buy when financial markets are overvalued. Two charts provide insight.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, history, investment decisions, investor psychology, risk appetite, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, stock indexes, technical indicators

Category: Classic Prechter


Why It Pays to Act Like a Boy Scout -- Be Prepared -- When Fifth Waves End
A.J. Frost and Robert Prechter describe what to look for in fifth waves

By Bob Stokes
8/6/2013 5:30:00 PM

The end of a fifth wave in a financial market's rise means that the next price trend will be downward. Investors who know how to ascertain when a fifth wave is in progress can position their portfolios for what's ahead. See an example of how Elliott Wave International spotted the end of a fifth wave and prepared subscribers for a big crash. 

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, financial forecast, investment decisions, market crash, market forecasts, Robert Prechter, stock indexes, technical indicators

Category: Stocks


End of Earnings Season: Does Earnings Growth Boost Stock Market Prices?
Most Wall Street research is devoted to the belief that earnings drive stock prices

By Bob Stokes
7/15/2013 4:30:00 PM

Earnings are the corporate scorecard, so it seems to make perfect sense: If corporate earnings are higher, then stock market prices should reflect that by trending higher. But digging into the data shows that stock market prices are not governed by corporate earnings. Look at this chart to see for yourself.

Filed Under: CNBC, earnings, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, investment decisions, market forecasts, Wall Street

Category: Stocks


Get Ahead of the Crowd BEFORE It Moves
Use the Wave Principle to identify the trend of investor behavior.

By Bob Stokes
6/7/2013 5:15:00 PM

Individuals in the market crowd unconsciously take their cues from one another. Most feel like they don't know enough to make independent decisions. So, they look to others for signals -- in the hope that others know more. In turn, the process becomes self-reinforcing.
Robert Prechter put it this way ...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, herding, investment decisions, investor psychology, Robert Prechter, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Classic Prechter


Even Major News Triggers Only Short-Term Market Reactions
Historical events serve as examples.

By Bob Stokes
4/25/2013 5:00:00 PM

Shortly after 1 p.m. on April 23, a phony posting on Twitter claimed that explosions occurred at the White House and that the President was injured. The Dow Industrials tumbled over 100 points in just a couple of minutes. When traders learned the tweet was false, the Dow just as quickly resumed the trend it had been on beforehand. But whether a given news item is phony or factual is irrelevant. Look at two charts to see how the market reacted to a major historical event.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Theorist, history, investment decisions, long-term trend, Robert Prechter

Category: Stocks


A Perspective on a Forecast for Dow 18,000
Sound financial decisions are based on sound analysis.

By Bob Stokes
4/10/2013 5:00:00 PM

People who only consider the short-term – or hold an overly narrow point of view – can benefit from the advice to "put things into perspective." Because without perspective, we're certain to repeat the same short-sighted decisions, one after another. In his latest Elliott Wave Theorist, Robert Prechter puts the stock market's price pattern into proper perspective. The issue starts with the title, "More Amazing Charts."

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Theorist, home sales, investment decisions, Robert Prechter, sentiment

Category: Stocks


Fear, Greed and Neuroeconomics: Q&A with Cambridge's Michelle Baddeley
Dr. Baddeley will discuss her latest research on financial herding at the 3rd Annual Social Mood Conference.

By Jill Noble
3/28/2013 2:30:00 PM

Learn about new research techniques that measure financial decisionmaking processes in this interview transcript...

Filed Under: herding, investment decisions, investor psychology, social mood, socionomics summit

Category: Socionomics


If George Soros Did Not Trigger the Recent Selloff in Gold, Then Who, or What, Did?
Metals Specialty Service reveals whether bargain hunting in gold should commence

By Nico Isaac
2/20/2013 5:45:00 PM

On Feb. 15, SEC filings revealed that billionaire George Soros pulled around $100 million out of Soros Fund Management LLC's holdings in the third quarter of 2012. Since then, gold spent a few days moving sideways only to lose its grip on Feb. 20 – when prices broke through $1600 and kept on sliding to a nine-month low. So, are the experts right in declaring Soros public enemy number one for gold bulls?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, investment decisions, precious metals, Relative Strength Index (RSI), sentiment, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver


Will 2013 Be the Year of Municipal Bonds?
A memory jog recalls what happened the last time the mainstream experts extolled munis for their immunity to default. Will history repeat itself now?

By Nico Isaac
12/31/2012 9:45:00 AM

The opening lyrics to the famous New Years Eve song "Auld Lang Syne" seem painfully relevant in light of the moral dilemma facing US investors as they stand at the cusp of 2013. To wit: Should they put the old markets of yore behind them? According to a Dec. 28 MarketWatch cover story, the answer is NO: "Muni bonds may be the money makers in 2013." Speaking of not forgetting, this isn't the first time we've seen the mainstream experts stand behind the idea that tax-exempt debt puts the -- well -- "muni" back in immunity.

Filed Under: credit crisis, debt, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, investment decisions, municipal bonds, pension funds, safe haven, U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


Why Investors Love Stocks When They Are Over-Valued
How consuming differs from investing, and why it matters to your portfolio

By Bob Stokes
9/27/2012 5:00:00 PM

When stocks are "on sale," investors shun them. But when stock prices rise, investors embrace them -- in fact, the higher prices go the greater the demand. This is why the supply and demand model we all learned in Economics 101 does not work in financial markets. If the traditional economic model doesn't work in finance, what model does?
 

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, consumer spending, Elliott Wave Theorist, herding, investment decisions, sentiment, supply and demand, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Classic Prechter


S&P 500: The Waiting Game
The sideways trading in the S&P -- and the waiting game for the S&P traders -- is probably coming to an end

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/5/2012 6:00:00 PM

You probably know about a seasonal bias in the markets. "The Christmas rally." "Sell in May and go away." Likewise, September and October are usually the most volatile months. But here we are on September 5, and stocks are flat! In fact, here's what the S&P 500 has done over the past 5 trading days...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, futures trading, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, Robert Prechter, S&P 500

Category: Stocks


The Voice of an Expert: Peter Brandt's Latest Commentary
A sneak peek into Peter Brandt's weekly report to his former students

By Jill Noble
8/24/2012 2:15:00 PM

Preview just a small part of Peter's latest thoughts...

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Education, investment decisions, investor psychology, Peter Brandt, risk management, successful traders, technical analysis, Traders

Category: Education


Prechter: "One of the Greater Buying Opportunities of All Time"
Protect your portfolio now so you can be ready

By Bob Stokes
8/24/2012 11:30:00 AM

You can position yourself for one of the best buying opportunities of your lifetime. But, you must first...
 

Filed Under: Bear market, Bob Prechter, economic depression, Elliott wave, investment decisions, market forecasts, sentiment, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


When an Over-Ripe Market is Ready to Spoil
Reliable internal measures tell a story investors need to know

By Bob Stokes
8/17/2012 2:30:00 PM

A healthy bull market sports broad participation among different sectors and indexes. Up days are consistently accompanied by high volume; momentum is strong. The indicators EWI watches suggest this market is...
 

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investment decisions, market forecasts, momentum, S&P 500, technical analysis, technical indicators, trade targets, Traders, VIX, volatility

Category: Stocks


U.S. Markets: Bedtime for the Bull
How deep will be the sleep?

By Bob Stokes
8/8/2012 5:00:00 PM

Elliott Wave International analysts aim to pay attention to market signals when it matters -- before the market's behavior switches from one extreme to another. Learn what signals EWI is seeing now...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, financial forecast, investment decisions, market forecasts, oscillators, short selling, Short Term Update, stock indexes, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Stocks


The Tipping Point for U.S. Markets
The "trigger" will be the first of many financial disasters

By Bob Stokes
7/31/2012 4:45:00 PM

If you recognize the market pattern that prices have been following, you can probabilistically forecast where prices will go next. Right now, EWI analysts see a high-confidence price pattern at...

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, Elliott wave, investment decisions, investment strategy, market forecasts, stock indexes, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Stocks


Day of Reckoning Approaches for Public Pension and Hedge Funds
Learn how to protect your portfolio in the tumultuous financial times ahead

By Bob Stokes
7/20/2012 4:45:00 PM

Make no mistake; the buying opportunity of a lifetime is ahead. As an investor, your goal is to be ready for it. Before then, U.S. markets will likely experience severe turmoil, and most investors will throw in the towel (that is, if the markets don't knock them out first). Many investors had a similar mind-set as stocks were approaching...

Filed Under: buy and hold, Elliott wave, hedge funds, herding, investment decisions, investment strategy, market forecasts, mutual funds, pension funds, personal finance, risk management, stock indexes

Category: Stocks


A 4-Chart Lesson in Spotting Trade Setups

By Debbie Hodgkins
7/13/2012 10:30:00 AM

You can find low-risk, high-confidence trading opportunities when you trade with the trend in a market. The trick is to find the end of market corrections, so you can position yourself for the next move in the direction of the trend.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, elliott wave junctures, financial forecast, investment decisions, investment strategy, Jeffrey Kennedy, successful traders, trade targets, Traders, trading lessons

Category: Education


Witness the Epic Battle Between Investor Hope and Investor Fear
Collective investor psychology: an insight from the long forgotten Mr. Gates

By Bob Stokes
7/9/2012 5:30:00 PM

Most market observers believe that investors respond logically to the latest news and buy or sell based on objective valuations. Nothing could be further from the truth...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, herding, investment decisions, investor psychology, sentiment, stock indexes, wisdom of crowds

Category: Stocks


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© 2014 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.