Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

(Video, 2:27 min.) So, Is Market Sentiment at an Extreme Point -- or Not?
"30+ charts of market sentiment reveal historically high levels of optimism regarding stocks."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/26/2014 4:30:00 PM

Market sentiment can be a powerful trend gauge. Some sentiment indicators are anecdotal; others you can track and measure -- and you can compare their current readings with readings at previous market tops and bottoms. Here's one of them.

Filed Under: bull market, Elliott wave, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, S&P 500, sentiment, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

(Video, 3:56 min.) Memories of the "Iron Curtain" Are Flooding Back
And it's not exactly a happy stroll down the memory lane

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/7/2014 2:45:00 PM

What is Russia becoming increasingly belligerent ? Why did it veer off the progressive course that seemed so promising just a few years ago? Here are some very interesting answers.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment decisions, investment strategy, Robert Prechter, social mood, socionomics, video, Video - Featured

Category: Socionomics

(Video) "Buy the Dip?" or "Run for Cover"?
To paraphrase Mark Twain, financial history does not repeat itself -- but it does rhyme

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/1/2014 6:45:00 PM

The two quotes you are about to see were published seven years apart. One quote is from 2007, the other published this year. As you read them, try to guess which one is which.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, financial forecast, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, sentiment

Category: Stocks

(Video) Why the Idea That Strong Economy Is Bullish for Stocks Is False
Was the U.S. economy weak when DJIA and S&P 500 topped in 2007? No, the opposite

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/25/2014 4:15:00 PM

Economists argue that improving U.S. economy is bullish or stocks. On the surface, it’s a perfectly logical argument – and it just feels right. The problem is that the reality does not support this claim.

Filed Under: consumer confidence, Elliott wave, financial forecast, fundamental analysis, gross domestic product (GDP), investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, technical analysis, U.S. STOCK MARKET, unemployment, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

(Video) 6 Charts That Tell You a Lot About Today’s Markets
Let’s dust off an infamous financial phrase: credit default swaps

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/22/2014 3:15:00 PM

Here at Elliott Wave International, we look at market indicators other researchers sometimes overlook. For example: When's the last time you heard someone in mainstream finance discuss credit default swaps?

Filed Under: credit default swaps, credit rating, Elliott wave, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates

(Video) Are Corporate Buybacks Bullish for Stocks? See for Yourself
The most interesting thing about share buyback programs is their timing

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/15/2014 3:00:00 PM

Most investors see share buybacks as a positive. After all, corporations only buy their own stock because they are confident about the future. Which brings us to the most interesting thing about most buyback programs -- their timing.

Filed Under: bull market, buy and hold, Elliott wave, investment decisions, investment strategy, S&P 500, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

(Video) Part II: The Fed, GDP & Economy: What’s Elliott Wave International’s View?
Why the Fed has not been the answer

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/19/2014 10:30:00 AM

Another eye-opening clip from a new, 55-minute, in-depth workshop EWI's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg delivered at the Las Vegas MoneyShow in May. Watch.

Filed Under: debt, debt downgrade, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, steve hochberg, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video) How -- and Why -- the Markets Fool Investors
Bob Prechter explores price action in crude oil to deliver an important investment lesson

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/2/2014 12:15:00 PM

The following is a timeless clip from Robert Prechter's presentation as the Social Mood Conference on April 5, 2014.

Filed Under: commodities, crude oil, Elliott wave, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, Robert Prechter, video, Video - Featured

Category: Classic Prechter

Indian Stocks: You Want a REAL Opportunity? Know WHEN to Look for It
Why the Nifty and many other emerging market stocks screamed “Buy!” three months ago

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/14/2014 5:15:00 PM

See how these indicators turned us bullish on India: 1)  bottoming Elliott wave pattern, 2) bearish sentiment extreme towards Indian stocks, 3) big capital outflows from emerging market ETFs.

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, bull market, Elections, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment decisions, risk management, SENSEX, sentiment, technical analysis, technical indicators, trade targets

Category: Asian Markets

Crude Oil: See 5 Waves? Expect a Reversal
Using Elliott wave analysis in real time does not have to be complicated

By Editorial Staff
4/23/2014 1:00:00 PM

When you look at this chart of crude oil futures, you see a fairly steady rise from $96 to $104. You can also see that from an Elliott wave perspective, the rally appeared to be in 5 waves. Here is why that's a key piece of information.

Filed Under: charts, crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, investment decisions, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Energy

Improving Economy is Bullish for Stocks. Right?
Yes, it’s a trick question. Read on to understand why.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/3/2014 10:30:00 AM

Positive economic reports are said to be bullish for the stock market, while negative data are bearish. But is this accurate? What a strange question, you may say -- but please take a look at this chart...

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), fundamental analysis, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, quantitative easing, stimulus package, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks

Investors Love Lofty Financial Markets
People want bargains at the mall, not in financial markets

By Bob Stokes
12/6/2013 3:00:00 PM

People seek bargains at the mall but run the other way when financial markets are cheap. Conversely, investors like to buy when financial markets are overvalued. Two charts provide insight.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, history, investment decisions, investor psychology, risk appetite, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, stock indexes, technical indicators

Category: Classic Prechter

Why It Pays to Act Like a Boy Scout -- Be Prepared -- When Fifth Waves End
A.J. Frost and Robert Prechter describe what to look for in fifth waves

By Bob Stokes
8/6/2013 5:30:00 PM

The end of a fifth wave in a financial market's rise means that the next price trend will be downward. Investors who know how to ascertain when a fifth wave is in progress can position their portfolios for what's ahead. See an example of how Elliott Wave International spotted the end of a fifth wave and prepared subscribers for a big crash. 

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, financial forecast, investment decisions, market crash, market forecasts, Robert Prechter, stock indexes, technical indicators

Category: Stocks

End of Earnings Season: Does Earnings Growth Boost Stock Market Prices?
Most Wall Street research is devoted to the belief that earnings drive stock prices

By Bob Stokes
7/15/2013 4:30:00 PM

Earnings are the corporate scorecard, so it seems to make perfect sense: If corporate earnings are higher, then stock market prices should reflect that by trending higher. But digging into the data shows that stock market prices are not governed by corporate earnings. Look at this chart to see for yourself.

Filed Under: CNBC, earnings, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, investment decisions, market forecasts, Wall Street

Category: Stocks

Get Ahead of the Crowd BEFORE It Moves
Use the Wave Principle to identify the trend of investor behavior.

By Bob Stokes
6/7/2013 5:15:00 PM

Individuals in the market crowd unconsciously take their cues from one another. Most feel like they don't know enough to make independent decisions. So, they look to others for signals -- in the hope that others know more. In turn, the process becomes self-reinforcing.
Robert Prechter put it this way ...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, herding, investment decisions, investor psychology, Robert Prechter, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Classic Prechter

Even Major News Triggers Only Short-Term Market Reactions
Historical events serve as examples.

By Bob Stokes
4/25/2013 5:00:00 PM

Shortly after 1 p.m. on April 23, a phony posting on Twitter claimed that explosions occurred at the White House and that the President was injured. The Dow Industrials tumbled over 100 points in just a couple of minutes. When traders learned the tweet was false, the Dow just as quickly resumed the trend it had been on beforehand. But whether a given news item is phony or factual is irrelevant. Look at two charts to see how the market reacted to a major historical event.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Theorist, history, investment decisions, long-term trend, Robert Prechter

Category: Stocks

A Perspective on a Forecast for Dow 18,000
Sound financial decisions are based on sound analysis.

By Bob Stokes
4/10/2013 5:00:00 PM

People who only consider the short-term – or hold an overly narrow point of view – can benefit from the advice to "put things into perspective." Because without perspective, we're certain to repeat the same short-sighted decisions, one after another. In his latest Elliott Wave Theorist, Robert Prechter puts the stock market's price pattern into proper perspective. The issue starts with the title, "More Amazing Charts."

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Theorist, home sales, investment decisions, Robert Prechter, sentiment

Category: Stocks

Fear, Greed and Neuroeconomics: Q&A with Cambridge's Michelle Baddeley
Dr. Baddeley will discuss her latest research on financial herding at the 3rd Annual Social Mood Conference.

By Jill Noble
3/28/2013 2:30:00 PM

Learn about new research techniques that measure financial decisionmaking processes in this interview transcript...

Filed Under: herding, investment decisions, investor psychology, social mood, socionomics summit

Category: Socionomics

If George Soros Did Not Trigger the Recent Selloff in Gold, Then Who, or What, Did?
Metals Specialty Service reveals whether bargain hunting in gold should commence

By Nico Isaac
2/20/2013 5:45:00 PM

On Feb. 15, SEC filings revealed that billionaire George Soros pulled around $100 million out of Soros Fund Management LLC's holdings in the third quarter of 2012. Since then, gold spent a few days moving sideways only to lose its grip on Feb. 20 – when prices broke through $1600 and kept on sliding to a nine-month low. So, are the experts right in declaring Soros public enemy number one for gold bulls?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, investment decisions, precious metals, Relative Strength Index (RSI), sentiment, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver

Will 2013 Be the Year of Municipal Bonds?
A memory jog recalls what happened the last time the mainstream experts extolled munis for their immunity to default. Will history repeat itself now?

By Nico Isaac
12/31/2012 9:45:00 AM

The opening lyrics to the famous New Years Eve song "Auld Lang Syne" seem painfully relevant in light of the moral dilemma facing US investors as they stand at the cusp of 2013. To wit: Should they put the old markets of yore behind them? According to a Dec. 28 MarketWatch cover story, the answer is NO: "Muni bonds may be the money makers in 2013." Speaking of not forgetting, this isn't the first time we've seen the mainstream experts stand behind the idea that tax-exempt debt puts the -- well -- "muni" back in immunity.

Filed Under: credit crisis, debt, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, investment decisions, municipal bonds, pension funds, safe haven, U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy

© 2014 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.