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(Video, 2:27 min.) Stocks: It's All Been Done Before
"...the ‘plumber and barber sentiment index‘ is near an all-time high"

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/26/2015 2:15:00 PM

There's a lot of bullishness out there. And, "When nearly all investors are bullish, they tend to view the stance as conservative, because, after all, everyone is doing it. This is even true for professional investors..." We're not the only ones noticing this uber-optimism.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Goldman Sachs, investment decisions, investment strategy, sentiment, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:37 min.) Are Terrorist Attacks BULLISH for the Stock Market?
The correlation between terrorism and markets is far less predictable than most people think

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/12/2015 4:45:00 PM

When you read the title of this story, your first thought probably was: "What a preposterous idea." And yet, someone looking at the market's apparent reaction last week might have thought exactly that.

Filed Under: CAC40, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, europe, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, S&P 500, terrorist attacks, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:18 min.) How Chinese Stocks Fooled Most Investors In 2014
Another example of how changes in collective psychology create broad market trends

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/5/2015 3:30:00 PM

On the first Monday of 2015, the Dow lost almost 300 points by lunchtime, even as stocks in China closed at a five-year high. And yet, a year ago few mainstream experts expected Chinese stocks to be the "world's top-performing major equity market."

Filed Under: bull market, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, market forecasts, Shanghai Composite Index, video, Video - Featured

Category: Asian Markets


Stocks and Economy: What to Look for in 2015
Some thoughts about "fundamentals" going into the new year

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/30/2014 3:45:00 PM

U.S. stocks are trading near all-time highs, yet some people say that without a stronger economy this bull market won't last. This argument makes sense at first blush, but when you dig a little deeper, you quickly discover that it's not supported by the facts.

Filed Under: bull market, commodities, crude oil, debt, deflation, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, emerging markets, european markets, fundamental analysis, housing prices, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, S&P 500, stimulus package, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, unemployment, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 3:11 min.) Stocks and Oil: From Hot to Cold, And Back Again
Often, what investors see as the REASON behind the stock market's ups and downs is not REASON at all -- it's rationalization

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/23/2014 4:15:00 PM

Now that the stock market has recovered from its mid-December slump, it's a good time to talk about the one culprit that almost everyone said was behind the Dow's big slide: namely, crude oil.

Filed Under: bull market, crude oil, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, S&P 500, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 2:38 min.) Just How Bullish Is the Recent Share Buyback Craze?
Companies are buying back their own shares at a near-record pace. Is that wise?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/25/2014 7:15:00 PM

Did you know that the S&P 500 companies are spending 95% of profits on stock repurchasing programs and shareholder payouts? Watch.

Filed Under: bull market, earnings, Elliott wave, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, S&P 500, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


(Video, 4:17 min.) You Can Lead a Horse to Water, But You Can't Make Him... Borrow
Today's trend towards deflation is not a monetary problem, but a psychological one

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/18/2014 5:00:00 PM

Do you know what the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve have in common? Yes, they are three of the world's biggest central banks. But the other thing that unites them is a common problem.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, central banks, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, european central bank, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part VIII)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/22/2014 4:30:00 PM

Would a terrorist attack cause the stock market to drop? It seems logical that a scary, destructive attack would be bearish for stock prices. Well, take a look at these two charts.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, Robert Prechter, social mood, socionomics, terrorist attacks, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Classic Prechter


(Video, 3:26 min.) Did the Fed "Save" Us Again Last Week?
A different take on last week's stock market collapse

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/22/2014 4:00:00 PM

You could say that the Fed saved us again last week. Many investors believe that. Unfortunately, they also have very short memories. This excerpt from our October 2007 Elliott Wave Theorist explains why.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Interest Rates, investment decisions, investment strategy, Nasdaq Composite, Nikkei, S&P 500, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured, world central banks

Category: Stocks


(Video, 2:52 min.) A Few Thoughts on This 27th Anniversary of Black Monday
Today, the basic measures of the market's health have not changed. Here's why it's a mistake

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/20/2014 5:15:00 PM

"Stronger economy means stronger stock market." That's what almost everyone believes. And that's also what makes their position precisely backwards. Just how backwards -- well... just watch.

Filed Under: consumer confidence, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, gross domestic product (GDP), investment decisions, investment strategy, market forecasts, unemployment, Video - Featured, Video - FRUP

Category: Stocks


Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part VII)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/16/2014 4:00:00 PM

Most people would not argue that peace is bearish for stock prices. It would seem logical. But does peace in fact have anything to do with determining stock prices? These two charts give you the answer.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, Robert Prechter

Category: Classic Prechter


The Boy Who Cried "Crude Oil Bull" Was Just Following Orders
This ain't the first time that ugly geopolitics FAILED to fuel higher prices

By Nico Isaac
10/15/2014 5:45:00 PM

Since June, crude oil prices have plunged 23% to a 4-year low -- despite ongoing political unrest in major oil producing regions. This isn't the first time a perfect fundamental climate failed to deliver the bullish goods.

Filed Under: charts, crude oil, Elliott wave, forecasts, fundamental analysis, history, investment decisions, politics

Category: Energy


(Video, 2:56 min.) Stocks: When “Fundamentals” Aren’t Enough, Try THIS
Suddenly, market "fundamentals" cannot explain the sell-off

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/14/2014 3:30:00 PM

Have you noticed the subtle change in the mainstream financial analysis this week? Suddenly, people are talking about "support" and "resistance" price levels in the market. What are they, and why are we talking about them?

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, risk appetite, S&P 500, technical analysis, technical indicators, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


The mainstream says, "Relax… It’ll rebound…"
Should you listen?

By Editorial Staff
10/13/2014 5:15:00 PM

When prices fell a little, Wall Street said, “It’ll rebound.” When the market fell a lot, they said, “Buying opportunity!” Remember how wrong they were?

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, market cycles, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500

Category: Stocks


(Video, 2:47 min.) Stocks: The ONE Question Few People Are Asking
Looking for rationality in irrational markets is futile

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/10/2014 4:30:00 PM

Most investors read news looking for a rational REASON why the markets do what they do. But almost no one talks about the one IRRATIONAL factor that does more to drive the trend than all “fundamentals” combined: fear.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, Nasdaq Composite, quantitative easing, risk appetite, S&P 500, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks


Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part VI)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/6/2014 6:00:00 PM

You may remember that during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did they fail? This series gives you a well-researched answer. Here is Part VI.

Filed Under: Bear market, Bob Prechter, bull market, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology

Category: Classic Prechter


Thoughts About Extreme Stock Market Sentiment, Optimistic Predictions and Rising U.S. Dollar
Free peek inside our flagship publication

By Editorial Staff
9/24/2014 2:30:00 PM

"The percentage of bears among advisory services...just reached its lowest level of the current bull market: 13.3% (see chart). This means 86.7% of advisors are bullish on the long term trend."

Filed Under: Bear market, deflation, Elliott wave, Gold, gold futures, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, long-term trend, Robert Prechter, sentiment, U.S. dollar, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Classic Prechter


Inside Look: Hedge Funds Surpass 2007 Leverage
Free peek inside our flagship publication -- and invitation to our first-ever, free Investor Open House (Sept. 25-Oct. 1)

By Editorial Staff
9/22/2014 2:30:00 PM

"Hedge funds are further out on the same limb they occupied in 2007, right before the collapse shown on this chart of the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index."

Filed Under: Elliott wave, financial forecast, hedge funds, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, Peter Kendall, steve hochberg

Category: Stocks


(Video, 2:43 min.) Little-Known Indicator That Alerts You to the Fed's Next Move
The Fed's watching unemployment to time its first rate hike in six years. You can watch this.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/16/2014 5:30:00 PM

While the Fed is watching jobs, you can follow this indicator - one that has a long history of anticipating changes in the Fed's interest rates policy. See for yourself.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), fundamental analysis, Interest Rates, investment decisions, investment strategy, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part V)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, terrorist attacks, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/12/2014 10:00:00 AM

You may remember that during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did they fail? This series gives you a well-researched answer. Here is Part V.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, gross domestic product (GDP), investment decisions, investment strategy, Robert Prechter, technical analysis

Category: Classic Prechter


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.