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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/14/2009 5:15:00 PM
Is there really "a negative feedback loop between the financial system and the broader economy"? Allow us to suggest that they don't exist. Why? Because if they did, both bull and bear markets would last forever: Good times would perpetuate everlasting euphoria, and bad times would propagate eternal pessimism. But that's not how it works in real life... and that's why there is a light at the end of this tunnel.
Filed Under:
feedback loop, liquidity crisis, Bear market
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/20/2008 9:30:00 PM
Once again, I sit down to talk with Jeffrey Kennedy, Elliott Wave International's Senior Commodity Analyst and editor of our Futures Junctures Service. -- Jeffrey, the ongoing credit contraction – a.k.a. liquidity crisis – has not spared commodities. Just glancing at the long-term charts you show in the Wave Watch section of your October Monthly Futures Junctures, I see that prices of markets like coffee, corn, wheat or soybeans that were flying high just months ago, are down hard – and I mean, hard! -- Jeffrey Kennedy: Yes, while some commodities have suffered less, corn prices, for example, got cut in half since June...
Filed Under:
coffee, Corn, wheat, soybeans, Commodities, bubble, fibonacci, liquidity crisis
Category:
Commodities
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/20/2008 8:45:00 PM
By claiming that there is a "negative loop between the financial system and the broader economy," the International Monetary Fund is essentially saying that we will be stuck in this bear market forever – literally. Think about it...
Filed Under:
International monetary fund, IMF, systemic risk, negative feedback loop, liquidity crisis
Category:
Economy
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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