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Bob Prechter's "Conquer The Crash": Eight Chapters For Free

by Nico Isaac
2/10/2010 12:30:00 PM
When EWI President Robert Prechter sat down to write the first edition of "Conquer The Crash" in 2002, the idea that the United States would enter a period of what news authorities coined "economic Armageddon" several years later was unheard of. Anticipating the "sea change" that would come in the economic, political, and social landscape is the unparalleled achievement of Prechter's best-selling book.
Filed Under: Robert Prechter, conquer the crash, prechter, us economy
Category: Economy


Why You Should Care About DJIA Priced in Gold
"The Real Dow" has proven to be a good leading indicator for nominal DJIA.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/7/2010 3:00:00 PM
Of the many forward looking market indicators we at EWI employ, one of the most interesting tools (and least discussed in the financial media) is the DJIA priced in gold. We've been tracking the Dow/Gold ratio for years and it has serves our subscribers well. Here's a good example.
Filed Under: Dow, DJIA, Gold, u.s. dollars, real Dow, prechter
Category: Stocks


Japan's Deflation: A Great Case Study For The U.S.
GDP growth can happen even amidst a deflationary collapse.

by Jason Farkas
1/6/2010 6:45:00 PM
Imagine the disappointment the Japanese faced in the 1990s. Their 1980s boom created enough wealth to buy landmarks like Rockefeller Center and Pebble Beach. But the 1990s turned inflation into deflation. Stimulus packages and bailouts failed to prop up Japan's property market and to prevent the deflationary collapse. Now the U.S. government is trying to do the same thing -- and here's why they are likely to fail.
Filed Under: inflation, deflation, prechter, Japan, interest rates, quantitative easing, budget deficit
Category: Economy


Tea Party: Bright Future Ahead?
For a socionomist, the emergence of the tea party movement is not a surprise.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/5/2010 3:00:00 PM

The tea party movement is gathering momentum across the United States. Could anyone have envisioned that several years ago? One man did. Read these amazingly prescient socionomic forecasts for the coming bear market by Robert Prechter.

Filed Under: tea party, third party, libertarians, prechter, socionomics, big government, high taxes, socialism
Category: Cultural Trends


Federal Reserve: The Appearance of Control
Could Ben Bernanke's "Person of the Year" award mark a turning point for the markets?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/24/2009 10:30:00 AM

By now, the financial panic of March 2009 is a hazy memory for many investors. The Dow is above 10,000. "The Great Recession" is apparently "over." And according to the popular vote, the man to thank is Ben Bernanke, the chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank, who's just been named Time Magazine's "Person of the Year." But could this award mark a turning point for the markets?

Filed Under: ben bernanke, Federal Reserve, person of the year, prechter
Category: Stocks


3rd Waves (Forex): Sounds Good, But How Do You Trade Them?
Like the Energizer Bunny, third waves "just keep going and going."

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/22/2009 12:45:00 PM

There’s one wave in the Elliott wave sequence that you as a forex trader don't want to miss: the third wave. We've recently witnessed a real-life third wave in the U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the dollar against a basket of six foreign currencies -- take a look at this chart.

Filed Under: U.S. Dollar Index, forex, Currencies, three rules of elliott, prechter
Category: Currencies


Market Sentiment: Is It Really at Bullish Extremes?
To a contrarian investor, extreme sentiment is always a red flag.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/3/2009 3:00:00 PM
Elliott wave analysis is very visual; often, a single look at a well-made chart can instantly show you what's really been going on. This chart from the December 2 issue of our Mon.-Wed.-Fri. Short Term Update gives you the lastest on market sentiment in U.S. stocks...
Filed Under: sentiment extreme, NYSE, prechter, vix
Category: Stocks


U.S. Dollar (Forex): Feelings vs. Reality
Despite the gloomy news, the U.S. dollar has held its own, so far.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/24/2009 1:45:00 PM

Despite the near-panicky news headlines, you can see from this chart that for most of November the EUR/USD has gone sideways! Yes, big swings up and down -- but almost zero net progress, so far. In the words of Elliott Wave International's president Bob Prechter...

Filed Under: forex, exchange rate, prechter, u.s. dollar, eur/usd
Category: Currencies


Treasuries, US Dollar Not Dead Yet
Another look at why it's still too early to write off the greenback.

by Jason Farkas
10/21/2009 1:45:00 PM

An increasingly loud chorus of investors expects the imminent demise of the US dollar and US Treasuries. They also expect that an exploding monetary base and the US’s structural problems will lead to massive inflation. This opinion may prove to be correct in the very long run, but evidence continues to mount that deflationary will come first.

Filed Under: us dollar, Us treasuries, inflation, deflation, prechter, forex, emerging markets, derivatives, high-frequency trading, terrorism
Category: Economy


Oil Above $80: What's Behind the Rally?
Elliott wave patterns in market charts can warn of coming trends ahead of time.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/20/2009 2:45:00 PM

Contracting triangles are a useful and simple chart pattern that does a great job of warning you of impending market breakouts. You don't have to squint to see them. Watch most markets long enough and you'll see them everywhere. Let's take a look at the latest action in crude oil futures, for example.

Filed Under: Crude oil, prechter, elliott wave, contracting triangle
Category: Energy


What Will Deja Vu Look Like In Six Months? Read This
Second Edition: Conquer the Crash

by Robert Folsom
10/20/2009 1:30:00 PM
The new chapters allow Bob to spell out his unique arguments for deflation, and a lot more. He proves that every market offers a story, if you know where to look and how to tell it -- that is Bob's exceptional gift. No financial story could be more compelling than the stock market's manic climb to the 2007 peak, and the second includes an entire chapter to tell it. If you think you remember this period, wait till you read his description...
Filed Under: prechter
Category: Economy


Dow 10,000 – Who Knew? Good question. Here's the answer.
The question may be rhetorical, but our answer is not

by Robert Folsom
10/14/2009 6:15:00 PM

I'll be the first to acknowledge that no one can "know" the future with certainty. Nothing is certain before it happens. Yet when the topic is financial markets, the "who knew" question really is about forecasts. As in, "Who actually forecast a rally to Dow 10,000?" And if THAT is the question, well, the answer is Yes. Someone did. And it was back in late March...

Filed Under: prechter
Category: Stocks


Earnings: Is That REALLY What's Driving The DJIA Higher?
The idea of earnings driving the broad stock market is a myth.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/14/2009 11:15:00 AM

It's earnings season again, and everywhere you turn, analysts talk about earnings' influence on the broad stock market. Well, take a look at this chart if you also think that earnings are what you should focus on in your investment strategy...

Filed Under: earnings, DJIA, prechter, elliott wave, social mood
Category: Stocks


Believe It Or Not, In Defense of the Dollar
The fact is, there are no good alternatives to the U.S. dollar.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/8/2009 3:30:00 PM
The word on the street is, the U.S. dollar is rapidly depreciating, so investment in the U.S. Treasuries defies common sense. You would think that would prompt foreign governments such as China and Saudi Arabia to stop investing in U.S. securities? But instead of selling their depreciating dollar-denominated assets, they are buying more. Here's why, says EWI's Bill Fox…
Filed Under: u.s. dollar, china, saudi arabia, U.S. Treasuries, inflation, deflation, prechter
Category: Economy


Inflation? Disinflation? In Your Dreams
Round two of deflation is heading this way.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/5/2009 6:15:00 PM

On October 1, the U.S Treasuries zoomed upward as the DJIA saw its first material decline in six months. In percentage terms, the Dow's decline was insignificant -- yet bonds had one of their best single-day rallies since the summer low. Why is this important? Here's why...

Filed Under: inflation, disinflation, deflation, prechter, elliott wave, Fed
Category: Economy


Global Stocks: Don't They Always Move in Sync?
Different markets? Expect different Elliott wave patterns.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/17/2009 12:15:00 PM
As you learn Elliott wave analysis, at some point you'll start to do your own wave counts. That's when you may discover that sometimes, the counts in different -- but related -- markets don't quite "line up." That can be a puzzling moment. After all, shouldn't related markets move in sync? For answers, let's turn to EWI's experts.
Filed Under: SENSEX, Nikkei, Hong Kong, Singapore, asia, europe, prechter
Category: Stocks


It's Not Easy Being a Contrarian Investor
Everyone wants to "buy low." Few have the guts to "sell high." Elliott wave analysis can help in both cases.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/25/2009 3:45:00 PM

Every investor knows that you should "buy low and sell high." Yet few actually follows these rules. Why? The Elliott Wave Principle explains it best: investors herd.

Filed Under: rothschild, templeton, prechter, elliott wave, buy low, sell high
Category: Stocks


Prechter Stands Alone Again... He's Done the Math

by Neil Beers
8/13/2009 12:00:00 PM
In his August 2009 Theorist, Bob Prechter explains what "the prudent thing to do" in the markets is, based on Elliott wave patterns and sentiment indicators -- plus the Dow's 3/8 Fibonacci retracement from the March 9 low.
Filed Under: Prechter's latest, daily sentiment index, fibonacci, Fibonacci ratio, 1.618, prechter, stock markets
Category: Stocks


Europe: Will a Record Fiscal "Injection" Save the Stock Market?
"You can’t tell the market what you will or won’t accept. It tells you."

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/25/2009 12:30:00 PM

The European Central Bank made a record "liquidity injection" into Europe's money markets this week. Will it help turn things around? Before you say yes, read this insightful comment by Robert Prechter, EWI's founder and president.

Filed Under: european central bank, liquidity injection, Federal Reserve, social mood, prechter, deflation
Category: European Markets


Prechter on T-Bonds, THEN and NOW
Yes, Interest Rates DO Drive the Fed

by Robert Folsom
6/16/2009 4:45:00 PM

That was in 2002. Jump ahead to 2008 and early 2009 -- we've seen the gargantuan size of the U.S. government's bailout schemes, and watched the Federal Reserve's unprecedented steps to keep interest rates low. Clearly the time had come for Prechter to focus again on government debt...

Filed Under: Treasury bonds, interest rates, prechter, bailout
Category: Interest Rates


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As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.
 
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.