Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

The UK Avoids Recession. Proof Positive of Recovery?
And why taking the experts at their word may not be the safest decision.

By Nico Isaac
4/25/2013 5:00:00 PM

In the morning hours of April 25, the UK financial community was a picture of Hunger Games-like angst. Huddled masses stood around the Office for National Statistics, waiting nervously to hear whether the name -- Britain -- would be drawn to participate in a highly dreaded recession.  

Filed Under: credit crisis, europe, european markets, financial forecast, FTSE, great depression, recession, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: European Markets


An Epic Economic Trend Change is Underway
Persistent economic weakness sends a message.

By Bob Stokes
4/15/2013 6:15:00 PM

The earlier you spot a market trend, the more likely you can benefit from it. Is there an emerging economic trend in its early stages today? From the evidence, it appears so. Call it a seismic shift in the entire U.S. economy. Despite the evidence, most economic observers still do not expect what is about to swiftly unfold.

Filed Under: bloomberg, CNBC, conquer the crash, consumer confidence, consumer price index, consumer spending, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, gross domestic product (GDP), Interest Rates, recession, supply and demand, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy


A Real-Time Montage of a Developing Global Deflation
Is the global economy headed for the German economic experience of 1928-1932?

By Bob Stokes
3/1/2013 5:45:00 PM

There's mounting evidence that deflationary forces are at work in the global economy. However, many financial observers remain focused on elevated equity prices and inflation. EWI's Global Market Perspective points to Germany's 1929-1932 economic experience as an example of what global economies could soon face. Get the full real-time economic story as it unfolds in the Asian-Pacific, Europe and the United States.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, CNBC, conquer the crash, deflation, economic indicators, eurozone, inflation, recession, Walmart

Category: Global Markets


The Key Factor That Leads Directly to an Economic Depression
Stock market action leads the economy

By Bob Stokes
2/7/2013 4:15:00 PM

Some argue that trends like mounting debt and an ever-widening deficit will trigger a depression. Others say it can happen if the Federal Reserve aggressively raises rates. Then again, the culprit might be chronically high unemployment or plunging home prices. In truth, however, the correct answer is ...

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, CNBC, deficit, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, great depression, Interest Rates, recession, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy


Economic Gloom or Recovery? 5 Signs That One is Ahead
The economy has never really recovered since the 2007-2009 financial crisis

By Bob Stokes
9/19/2012 4:45:00 PM

The "Great Recession" never ended. A more accurate way of describing the state of the economy is the onset of "depression." You can learn the exact year that EWI believes the economy will bottom...

Filed Under: deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, housing prices, recession, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy


Beware the Moody Market - A Video Interview with Steve Hochberg
EWI's Steve Hochberg talks socionomics

By Clifford Smith
8/8/2012 4:15:00 PM

Got two minutes?  Then you can learn socionomics.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, recession, social mood, socionomics, stock market cycles, Traders

Category: Socionomics


Europe's Financial Fiasco: Migrating to the United States?
History may repeat itself

By Bob Stokes
5/29/2012 4:00:00 PM

About a year before the October 1929 crash, net capital inflows fell in several European countries. In other words: European economies began to deteriorate before the Great Depression began in the U.S. Is history repeating itself?...

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, bloomberg, credit crisis, credit default swaps, debt ceiling, debt downgrade, deflation, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, great depression, Greek debt, housing prices, recession, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis

Category: Global Markets


Gold and Silver: Hedges Against a Financial Downturn?
You might be surprised by the answer

By Bob Stokes
5/11/2012 4:45:00 PM

The run-ups in silver and gold since 2008 have many precious metals bulls believing that the pullback in recent months is just temporary. What do we see ahead for these two precious metals? I can say that the charts suggest...

Filed Under: economic depression, Elliott wave, Gold, gold futures, liquidity, market forecasts, platinum futures, recession, silver, silver futures, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver


Great Britain "Double Dips": Is The United States Next?
Recession or depression?

By Bob Stokes
4/25/2012 5:45:00 PM

In the United States and the United Kingdom alike, we believe it's a matter of time before the word "depression" replaces the phrase "double-dip recession." Why?...

Filed Under: Bank of England, deflation, double dip, economic depression, Elliott wave, european markets, FTSE, gross domestic product (GDP), recession

Category: U.S. Economy


Preparing Your Finances for 2012
Looking ahead to a new year and planning for the future

By Hope Welborn
12/28/2011 2:15:00 PM

Now is a good time to look back over the past year and assess your finances. Do you have the information needed to make wise decisions in the next year? Prepare and take action now so that you'll be ready for what's ahead.

Filed Under: conquer the crash, deflation, economic depression, great depression, investment decisions, personal finance, Robert Prechter, recession, risk management, Robert Prechter, safe banks, safe haven

Category: U.S. Economy


3 "Golden" Things You Should Know About Gold
How safe is the mainstream wisdom about the precious "safe haven" -- gold?

By Nico Isaac
12/27/2011 3:30:00 PM

According to the famous song -- on the fifth day of Christmas, "my true love gave to me five golden rings."  So, on the third day of Christmas (December 27, 2011), I'm giving you THREE things to know about the flaunted asset GOLD that completely go against mainstream financial wisdom.

 

Filed Under: fundamental analysis, Gold, recession, safe haven, Wall Street

Category: Gold and Silver


Economists Are Bullish. Should YOU Be?
Before you answer that, take a look at the chart below

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/3/2011 5:30:00 PM

Please read these financial news headlines and then take a guess as to when they were published...

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave trading, Elliott wave, Nasdaq Composite, recession, S&P 500

Category: Stocks


Does Any "Recovery" From the Past Look Like What You See Today?
Can Economists Make GDP Levitate?

By Robert Folsom
9/27/2011 2:30:00 PM

What sort of stock market rallies for two-plus years, even as employment, housing and the credit supply remain dismal or are still falling?

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Elliott wave, recession, double dip

Category: U.S. Economy


(VIDEO) Prechter - The Connection Between Recessions and the Markets
Gain a better understanding of market mayhem with Prechter’s Socionomics.

By Jill Noble
9/21/2011 11:00:00 AM

The past few years have proven that financial and economic conditions can change with devastating speed. To show how socionomic theory and Elliott Wave patterns work, Prechter condenses three decades of research into a two-hour presentation that anyone can follow and understand.

Filed Under: fundamental analysis, personal finance, Robert Prechter, recession, Robert Prechter, socionomics, video, Elliott Wave Principle

Category: U.S. Economy


Stocks Rebound After the August Crash. Are We Out of the Woods?
Prechter's detailed look at the market's pattern, momentum, sentiment and other important technical evidence helps you navigate stocks from here.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/20/2011 2:00:00 PM

Reality check: Few investors realize that in just 2 weeks in August, the stock market erased all the gains of 2010 and 2011.

But after those 2 rough weeks in August, stocks rallied for more than 6 weeks -- a rally three times longer than the decline. Does it mean that stocks are out of the woods?

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Theorist, Gold, hyperinflation, inflation, recession, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, silver, stock indexes, U.S. dollar

Category: Stocks


Should Stock Investors "Fret Over Economy"? No -- See Chart to Understand Why
The idea that the economy leads the stock market is false

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/2/2011 4:45:00 PM

The belief that the economy drives the stock market is common knowledge; it’s Investing 101; the idea gets pounded into investors’ heads, over and over again, by various pundits, daily. But please allow us to suggest this: Belief that the GDP and other economic measures drive stock market trends is completely and utterly false.

Filed Under: Club EWI, economic depression, Elliott Wave trading, gross domestic product (GDP), Robert Prechter, recession, Robert Prechter, safe haven

Category: Stocks


Keep Your (Investment) Feet as the U.S. Economy Keeps Slipping Down the Slope

By Susan C. Walker
7/22/2011 6:15:00 PM

Just because many politicians and financial pundits want us to believe that the U.S. economy is recovering doesn't mean we have to believe them. Nor does it make us negative Neds and Nellies if we don't.

Filed Under: economic depression, recession, Robert Prechter, Treasury bills (T-bills)

Category: Classic Prechter


DJIA Closes Below 12,000 -- Again. What's Going On?
Better results come from directly observing market behavior, not reading Fed statements

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/24/2011 5:15:00 PM

On Wednesday, June 22, the Federal Reserve Bank released its latest interest rates policy statement (no change). Afterward the Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke held a press conference, followed by a Q&A period. The financial media paid lots of attention to what Bernanke said. Our own Steve Hochberg -- editor of the Monday-Wednesday-Friday Short Term Update -- had this to say about Bernanke's press conference...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, economic depression, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), gross domestic product (GDP), monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, recession, stimulus package, stock indexes, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Stocks


Money in the Bank: Does It Still Mean "Safe and Sound?"
Elliott Wave International's free report "Discover the Top 100 Safest U.S. Banks" explains the true risk that you may face when a bank fails.

By Hope Welborn
6/8/2011 3:15:00 PM

Some economists claim we're in a recovery, yet hundreds of smaller financial institutions still suffer from the debt crisis that began a few years back.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, central banks, Club EWI, conquer the crash, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), foreclosures, housing prices, liquidity, personal finance, recession, unemployment

Category: Classic Prechter


Love of Luxury: When Have We Seen This Before?
Forgetting There Ever was a "Financial Crisis"

By Bob Stokes
2/10/2011 5:15:00 PM

So what happened to the "Great Recession?" Has the economy suddenly "turned around?" Can you even have a "turn around" when housing prices are still in decline and unemployment is still high?  What can explain the increased demand for luxury items?  Here's what...

Filed Under: consumer confidence, consumer price index, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Principle, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), recession, sentiment, social mood, supply and demand

Category: U.S. Economy


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.