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How NOT to Miss the Obvious
Looking at something and simply not seeing it. How often does THAT happen?

By Robert Folsom
1/27/2015 4:00:00 PM

Psychology has terms like “cognitive dissonance” to describe how our memories can depart from the facts. Faulty memory is not an attempt to deceive: instead, certain beliefs or emotions literally alter an individual’s perception and memory.

Filed Under: social mood, socionomics

Category: Socionomics

Q&A: John Grable on How Our Feelings Impact Our Finances

By Editorial Staff
1/23/2015 4:30:00 PM

Professor, financial planner and risk tolerance expert John Grable has spent his career uncovering how investors’ feelings get in the way of making good decisions with their money. Here are some insights into his work.

Filed Under: social mood, socionomics

Category: Socionomics

April 11, 2015: One Day Could Change the Way You See Everything
The 5th Annual Social Mood Conference puts you face-to-face with the world's premier social mood thinkers and practitioners

By Nico Isaac
1/16/2015 1:15:00 PM

At the 2014 Social Mood Conference, Bob Prechter demonstrated that mainstream economics, with its use of linear forecasting, cannot foresee coming trend changes in the economy or the markets. This chart speaks for itself.

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, charts, earnings, economic indicators, forecasts, market forecasts, politics, popular culture, social mood, socionomics, socionomics summit, stock indexes

Category: Socionomics

Are You in The "Mood" To Predict the Future?
Attend the 2015 Social Mood Conference and learn from the world's leading social mood thinkers and practitioners -- face-to-face

By Nico Isaac
1/2/2015 3:15:00 PM

What do some of the biggest sea changes to the social, political, and financial landscape have in common? They were predicted by socionomics. Mark your calendars -- The FIFTH-annual 2015 Social Mood Conference is coming! 

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, Elections, Elliott wave, europe, eurozone, forecasts, marijuana, politics, popular culture, Robert Prechter, social mood, socionomics

Category: Socionomics

Why the "Gift Card" of Stimulus Has Gone Unredeemed
A deflationary mindset at work

By Nico Isaac
12/26/2014 11:15:00 AM

What do Holiday gift cards have to do with the Fed's $4 trillion-plus quantitative easing program? Answer: they both go unredeemed, despite being cash in hand to spend at will.

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, Bob Prechter, cash, central banks, charts, Conquer the Crash, consumer price index, consumer spending, deflation, Elliott wave, financial forecast, inflation, investor psychology, quantitative easing, social mood, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

"Ukraine: Riskier Than Cyprus"
As early as December 2013, our analysis flagged Ukraine as the potential new hotbed of geopolitical instability

By Editorial Staff
12/18/2014 3:15:00 PM

This is a reprint of an article that appeared exactly a year ago in our monthly Global Market Perspective. This article gives you hints as to what to look for before the world goes through another geopolitical crisis at some point in the future.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, social mood, socionomics

Category: European Markets

(Video, 1:30 min.) Are Emerging Markets at Risk of "Russian Contagion"?
The collapse of the Russian ruble and stock market has spooked emerging market investors. Should they be nervous?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/17/2014 4:00:00 PM

We asked the editor of our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast an important question: "The collapse of the Russian ruble and stock market has made many investors afraid of contagion. What's your take on the situation?" Watch.

Filed Under: BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, emerging markets, european markets, Indian markets, Shanghai Composite Index, social mood, video, Video - Featured

Category: Asian Markets

What is Socionomics?
Imagine a modern, ground-breaking theory, which could link all human social behavior -- cultural, economic, political, and more -- into a single, elegant and unifying framework

By Elliott Prechter
12/16/2014 4:00:00 PM

Have you ever noticed how economists, politicians, and business leaders consistently fail to foresee major turning points in history? With all of today’s science and technology, why are we still unable to anticipate wars, economic depressions, financial bubbles and even fashion trends?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, social mood, socionomics

Category: Socionomics

“The World May See an Even Darker Side of Putin”
A timely excerpt from an 8-page study on where the new conflict with Russia is likely headed

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/16/2014 3:45:00 PM

Today, with the Russian RTSI Index nearing its 2009 lows and the ruble collapsing, it’s a good time to review an excerpt from a recent 8-page study on a dangerous trend that socionomics, the new science of social prediction, foresaw seven years ago.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, social mood, socionomics

Category: Socionomics

Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part VIII)
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/22/2014 4:30:00 PM

Would a terrorist attack cause the stock market to drop? It seems logical that a scary, destructive attack would be bearish for stock prices. Well, take a look at these two charts.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, Robert Prechter, social mood, socionomics, terrorist attacks, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Classic Prechter

(Video, 3:08 min.) Why (and How) Freedom Declines When Cops Go Military
Not some abstract decline in freedom, but instead a decline that's measurable.

By Robert Folsom
9/30/2014 2:45:00 PM

In the past decade or so, in thousands of cities and towns around the country, the police has been getting free military equipment. The main condition is that cops must use the equipment within one year of receiving it...

Filed Under: cultural trends, Elliott wave, politics, social mood, socionomics, The Socionomist, video, Video - Featured

Category: Socionomics

(Video, 3:41 min.) Her Majesty Is Pleased -- But the Social Mood Story Isn't NEARLY Over
The Scottish independence vote was a small part of a very big trend

By Robert Folsom
9/19/2014 2:15:00 PM

You could say that the latest big international story is about what didn't happen in Scotland: The Scots didn't leave. But if this was merely a tale about what didn't happen, then I wouldn't waste your time with it. There is something more...

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, Elliott wave, europe, European Union (EU), social mood, socionomics, video, Video - Featured

Category: Socionomics

(A Special Video Presentation, 12:42 min.) Hitler: How Did That Happen?
No comedy, no satire: Just an answer you haven't heard before

By Robert Folsom
9/2/2014 4:30:00 PM

Why are Nazis the ultimate bad guys? Lots of people know the answer, yet the follow-up is not so simple: How did a person like Hitler really come to power? This answer is NOT one you've heard before. Watch.

Filed Under: Elections, Elliott wave, europe, herding, history, , social mood, socionomics, video, Video - Featured

Category: Socionomics

(Video, 2:52 min.) Why the Fed is Less of a "Hero" Than People Think
"The Fed’s brilliance does not determine the market; the social mood behind the market determines the Fed’s brilliance."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/22/2014 5:00:00 PM

The view that "the Federal Reserve Bank are heroes who saved the economy" is very common today. But you may be surprised to know that HOW the investment public views the Fed depends on what the stock market is doing. Watch.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, social mood, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 5:17 min.) A Connection Between Ebola Outbreak and the Stock Market?
Historically, there is a connection between the trend in the stock market and epidemics

By Editorial Staff
8/13/2014 6:30:00 PM

Alan Hall, a Senior Researcher at the Socionomics Institute, answers questions about the possible connection between the ongoing Ebola outbreak and the trend in social mood in West Africa. Watch.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, epidemics, social mood, socionomics, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Socionomics

(Video, 3:56 min.) Memories of the "Iron Curtain" Are Flooding Back
And it's not exactly a happy stroll down the memory lane

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/7/2014 2:45:00 PM

What is Russia becoming increasingly belligerent ? Why did it veer off the progressive course that seemed so promising just a few years ago? Here are some very interesting answers.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment decisions, investment strategy, Robert Prechter, social mood, socionomics, video, Video - Featured

Category: Socionomics

Russian Leaders & Bear Markets: A Socionomic Study
"History gives examples of how Russian leaders behave in bear markets. It is not a heartening record."

By Alan Hall
8/1/2014 5:00:00 PM

Winston Churchill once said that Russia “is a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma.” But not everyone is so baffled by the world's biggest country.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, social mood, socionomics

Category: Socionomics

(Video) Pro Wrestling Predicts a Bigger Smackdown?
And what does this have to do with finance? A lot.

By Robert Folsom
7/11/2014 4:00:00 PM

When I was a kid, my range of visual entertainment was more limited than what young people enjoy today. If you've been around long enough, then you're sure to know these images...

Filed Under: cultural trends, sentiment, social mood, socionomics, video, Video - Featured

Category: Socionomics

Where Is the "You" in Deflation? Right Here – Just Take a Look
See how this deflationary checklist from the current European Financial Forecast leads directly to Y-O-U

By Nico Isaac
6/13/2014 11:45:00 AM

Prechter's New York Times business bestseller Conquer the Crash explains deflation in simple terms. And now, the new issue of our monthly European Financial Forecast shows you how it's already affecting Europe.

Filed Under: banks, Bob Prechter, charts, Conquer the Crash, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, Interest Rates, monetary policy, social mood, unemployment

Category: European Markets

(Video) The Worst Person in History
Also, modern history's greatest source of satire

By Robert Folsom
5/21/2014 3:15:00 PM

How to get a perspective you haven't read before.

Filed Under: history, social mood, socionomics, The Socionomist

Category: Socionomics

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