Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Have Crude Oil Prices Surpassed Key Bearish Resistance?
Energy traders look for crude's near-term trend. Macroeconomic data vs. Elliott wave analysis.

By Nico Isaac
1/29/2013 5:15:00 PM

On Jan. 29, crude prices rallied to their highest level in four months. But as the recent slew of news stories below makes plain, the mainstream outlook failed the "consistency" test regarding what would drive crude's near-term trend. One side said political unrest in the Middle East is bullish for crude. While another news source said political unrest is a non-event.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, Traders, volume

Category: Energy


Chaos and the Stock Market May Be Set to Collide
Contemplate what's ahead for the markets BEFORE it happens

By Bob Stokes
1/10/2013 12:45:00 PM

To err is human. This truism is conspicuously true of financial markets -- especially when human error meets the limits of modern technology. Bob Prechter elaborates:

"Trading stocks, options and futures could be extremely problematic during ..."

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, CNBC, conquer the crash, Elliott wave, history, liquidity, market crash, market forecasts, risk management, Traders, trading lessons, U.S. STOCK MARKET, VIX, volatility, volume

Category: Stocks


Is Apple's Drop into Bear Market Territory a Harbinger for the Broader Market?
The bearish mood that took a bite out of Apple may tug on the overall market.

By Bob Stokes
12/6/2012 4:30:00 PM

In the past few years, Apple, Inc., stock seemed to defy Newton's law of gravity as it ascended to its all-time intraday high of $705. But in light of recent market action, investors are wondering if Apple can keep up with its hype. The money-manager favorite just had its worst single session decline since 2008. At least one investment letter was not surprised by Apple stock's retreat.

Filed Under: Bear market, buy and hold, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, hedge funds, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, stock indexes, technical analysis, volume

Category: Stocks


The Kiss of Death for the Current Market Trend
Investors have decreased their use of leverage

By Bob Stokes
11/30/2012 4:45:00 PM

Entire bull markets can be heavily sustained by leverage. And when leverage contracts, that's usually a sign that the upward market trend is in trouble. With that in mind, take a look at a chart. 

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, bull market, Elliott wave, history, momentum, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), risk appetite, volume

Category: Stocks


The Forecast for a Stock Market Volatility Surge
Are you strapped in for what's next?

By Bob Stokes
11/7/2012 5:45:00 PM

After the Dow Industrials climbed to 13,610 on Oct. 5, stock prices returned to their lowest level since early August. In fact, the trading session following the presidential election delivered a 313-point Dow Industrials plunge -- the steepest sell-off since Nov. 9, 2011. And now, the new November Financial Forecast shows the chart of a major stock market index, which includes a label that puts prices in the context of a 38-year trendline.
 

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Fibonacci, financial forecast, market forecasts, VIX, volatility, volume

Category: Stocks


Prechter: "This is Not a Picture of a Bull Market"
The three-and-a-half-year rally has occurred on declining volume

By Bob Stokes
10/24/2012 5:15:00 PM

Fewer and fewer investors have been participating in the so-called recovery. Take a look at a chart from the just-published October 2012 special video Elliott Wave Theorist, and then read Prechter's commentary.
 

Filed Under: Elliott wave, momentum, Robert Prechter, U.S. STOCK MARKET, volume

Category: Stocks


U.S. Markets: The Flow of Excessive Liquidity Cannot Be Endless
Prices of risk assets correspond to liquidity flow

By Bob Stokes
10/8/2012 6:00:00 PM

Loose money has flowed into financial assets. Prices have risen as institutional investors employ leverage of 30x and higher. The flow of excessive liquidity cannot be endless. So what happens to risk-asset prices when that flow starts to dry up? Take a look at two charts.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, diversification, Elliott wave, hedge funds, liquidity, market forecasts, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, volume

Category: Stocks


Europe's Massive Plunge in Trading Volume: Why It Points to One Outcome for Stocks
If the stock market felt listless in August, it's because it was -- historically so

By Nathaniel Williams
9/14/2012 4:00:00 PM

European markets experienced the slowest August trading in a decade. Yet what's so important is not the trading volume itself -- but its critical implications for your portfolio.

Filed Under: europe, european markets, eurozone, volume

Category: European Markets


U.S. Stocks: "The Countdown to a Volatility Blastoff" Is On
A rude interruption ahead for low volume trading

By Bob Stokes
8/31/2012 9:45:00 AM

Have you noticed the market's recent lackluster trading? Not only have prices traded in a narrow range; trading volume itself has been weak. The entire price rise of the past three months occurred as volatility was decreasing. What can you expect when volatility starts to increase?...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, market forecasts, momentum, U.S. STOCK MARKET, VIX, volatility, volume

Category: Stocks


U.S. Investors: Beware a Sudden Shift in Volatility
Fear may surge soon

By Bob Stokes
7/17/2012 4:00:00 PM

Recent muted volatility may represent the calm before the storm. If so, the big question is, how severe will the financial storm be? Elliott wave analysis can provide a high-confidence forecast...

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, market forecasts, momentum, oscillators, Traders, volatility, volume, Wall Street

Category: Stocks


How the "Law of the Vital Few" Can Improve Your Trading
The Pareto Principle or the 80/20 Rule

By Bob Stokes
6/18/2012 2:15:00 PM

Career trader Dick Diamond made copious notes of his trades during his 45 years of trading experience. At long last, he learned the specific set-up for the 80/20 trades that made him a success for the past 45 years and counting. Learn more...

 

Filed Under: CRB index, currency, Dick Diamond, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), forex trading, futures trading, investment strategy, momentum, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), online trading, oscillators, risk management, S&P 500, short selling, technical indicators, Traders, trading lessons, trendlines, volatility, volume

Category: Trading Lessons


U.S. Stocks: Stronger Wall Street Winds Ahead?
Has the turbulence only started?

By Bob Stokes
5/15/2012 5:00:00 PM

For the past several months, volatility was absent as the market mainly traded sideways. Many participants were complacent. Some opined that the market was simply gathering its strength before the next leg up. We viewed the lackluster market action as...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, market forecasts, S&P 500, technical indicators, U.S. STOCK MARKET, VIX, volatility, volume, Wall Street

Category: Stocks


NASDAQ 100: How Long Will This Index Fly High?
Will any of these stocks finish the race to $1,000?

By Bob Stokes
4/18/2012 2:30:00 PM

Many market observers may not realize just how historically intense the interest in technology names has been. Recently, NASDAQ volume reached its highest level in its 16-year history! However, there's been a change...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, history, Nasdaq Composite, sentiment, volume

Category: Stocks


Invest in Hong Kong, Australia, China? Then See Why Waves in Pakistani and Cambodian Stocks Matter to YOU
Inside EWI's April 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/30/2012 6:15:00 PM

It's been three years since March 2009, when our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast turned bullish on the Asian-Pacific region. Most emerging markets in Asia have since then continued to support that bullish view: Many regional stock indexes have advanced in the impulsive Elliott wave pattern we expected. Of course, markets do go through periods of regress. How soon should you expect one to begin -- if at all? The April 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast gives you a specific answer on page 1.

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, emerging markets, financial forecast, Indian markets, momentum, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis, volume

Category: Asian Markets


Why the Bear Never Departed Since October 2007
A price pattern that's a "full degree larger" than 1929-1933

By Bob Stokes
11/22/2011 5:15:00 PM

We see evidence that the bear never truly departed in the time after the October 2007 high -- not even in the period since the March 2009 low. Take a look at this chart...

 

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bear market, bull market, Robert Prechter, volume

Category: Stocks


"Flash" Bang: How A Classic 5-Wave Pattern Ushered in 1 Big Stock Opportunity
A review of EWI's Prime Stocks Flash's closed opportunity on Molycorp, Inc (MCP)

By Nico Isaac
10/12/2011 5:00:00 PM

Today, I'm talking with EWI's Prime Stocks Flash editor Ron Feinstein on the analytical process that led to his issuing two flash alerts on Molycorp, Inc. (MCP) back in July.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave trading, oscillators, Relative Strength Index (RSI), volume

Category: Stocks


European Stocks: How to Identify a Trend After ONE Look at a Chart
Inside EWI's September 2011 European Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/2/2011 5:30:00 PM

How do you know when "something's up" in the markets? "When markets that were once diverging begin to trend together" -- that's how, says editor Brian Whitmer in the September 2011 issue of his monthly European Financial Forecast. Inside the September 2011 issue...

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, DAX, deflation, Elliott wave, euro, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, inflation, soverign debt crisis, Swiss franc, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis, volume

Category: European Markets


"The Two Times of Day the Market has a High Degree of Predictability"
Plus Other Market Insights from Trading Pro Dick Diamond

By Bob Stokes
5/11/2011 5:00:00 PM

Afternoon contra moves follow the same general principles as the morning contra moves. This move has the potential to be much more important than the morning.  Learn more... 

Filed Under: breadth, Dick Diamond, Fibonacci, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), online trading, Relative Strength Index (RSI), short selling, stochastics, technical analysis, technical indicators, Traders, trading lessons, trendlines, VIX, volatility, volume

Category: Stocks


Right Trades at the Right Times: Dick Diamond Shows You How
SAVE $500 During the Early, Early Bird Special

By Bob Stokes
5/2/2011 5:15:00 PM

Diamond has established trading principles over his four-decade trading career. Learn and follow his principles, and you'll take your first steps down the path to the right trading choices -- in up and down market trends...

Filed Under: Dick Diamond, Fibonacci, forex trading, futures trading, Keltner channels, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), oscillators, Relative Strength Index (RSI), S&P 500, short selling, stochastics, stock indexes, successful traders, technical analysis, Traders, trading lessons, volume

Category: Stocks


U.S. Stock Market Undercurrents for March 23: VIX, Volume, Sentiment
Some technical stock market indicators to keep an eye on

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/24/2011 4:30:00 PM

Here at EWI, besides Elliott wave analysis, we also employ a host of supporting technical trend indicators. Our Monday-Wednesday-Friday Short Term Update, for example, often comments on indicators such as market sentiment, breadth, volume, volatility and more. In the March 23 STU, editor Steve Hochberg writes...

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), gold futures, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, U.S. dollar, VIX, volatility, volume

Category: Stocks


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© 2013 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.