Updated: February 28, 2018The mainstream financial press analyzes every word of the Fed's discussions about interest rates. But the evidence shows that the U.S. central bank does not lead on rates. These two charts are revealing.
Updated: January 29, 2018The mainstream financial press analyzes every word of the Fed's discussions about interest rates. But it's a myth that the U.S. central bank determines the direction of rates. These two charts are revealing.
Updated: January 26, 2018Global debt seems to be a subject that's far removed from most people's daily lives. But, the Great Recession revealed otherwise. Now, learn why another financial crisis may be just around the corner.
Updated: January 25, 2018Think a booming economy is bullish for the stock market? Discover how you can bust this market myth in 60 seconds, using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.
Updated: January 9, 2018It would seem logical that an expanding trade deficit would be a negative for the economy and stock market. But EWI's decades of research reveals a startling truth. See a chart that exposes one of the biggest market myths of all time.
Updated: December 29, 20172017 is ending at a high point for U.S. economic data. Most people would think that the economic data caused the stock market to rally. But here's the reality...
Updated: December 4, 2017Many people regard a house as an investment -- not just as a place to live. But, when a "consumption" item is treated like an "investment," a financially dangerous psychology develops. Learn what a recent study says about some of real estate's "investment advantages."
Updated: November 21, 2017Think the Fed's interest rates control the stock market? Watch as Matt Lampert shows you how to bust this market myth in 2 minutes, using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.
Updated: October 31, 2017Remember the so-called "Goldilocks" economy around the turn of the last century? How about in 2007? Well, positive economic numbers didn't stop the stock market from topping in both years. Today, optimism about the economy has reached another extreme. See these two charts.
Updated: October 24, 2017President Trump is expected to soon announce his choice for the next Fed chair. Whoever is selected may turn out to be one of the unluckiest people in the world of finance. Find out why.
Updated: October 18, 2017Spending is fun! Easy credit is a blast! But debt is a downer. And, right now, numerous measures of debt are near all-time highs. Here's what EWI analysts are closely watching.
Updated: October 16, 2017In order to be aware of the investment pitfalls and opportunities that deflation can bring, we must first understand the basic elements of why it occurs...
Updated: October 4, 2017The Federal Reserve announced last month that they would start to reduce their $4.5 trillion balance sheet in October, thereby starting the process we call Quantitative Tightening (QT)...
Updated: September 29, 2017Many U.S. municipalities face a large and looming financial crisis. With the stock market's string of record highs getting most of the headlines, this next likely crisis will seem to arrive out of nowhere. Remember how the 2007-2009 financial crisis caught most everyone flat-footed? Find out what EWI analysts expect.
Updated: September 25, 2017You've probably seen the picture of the self-satisfied, rich man burning dollar bills to light a cigar. But, gold eating? The signs of excess are sending one clear message. Pay attention to this time-tested stock market indicator.
Updated: September 14, 2017The longstanding myth is, the interest rate market follows the lead of the central bank. Now see the facts for yourself.
Updated: September 7, 2017Troublesome developments are occurring in the U.S. housing market. Media outlets are saying that "an acute shortage of properties" is hurting sales. But, the real story is revealed in these chart patterns.
Updated: August 24, 2017This week, the great and the good from central banks around the world gather in Jackson Hole, Wyoming for the annual Kansas City Fed Economic Policy Symposium, and the world's financial media will hang on every word in the hope that something meaningful will be said...
Updated: August 18, 2017Is the proverbial "rainy day" upon us? If so, two developments indicate that many people are financially unprepared. Also, find out why our September Elliott Wave Theorist just published an entire month early.
Updated: August 16, 2017Would you like to know what the health of the economy will be like months ahead of time? This rarely discussed "economic indicator" has a history of serving as a useful guide. See for yourself.
Updated: August 9, 2017The trip up the side of Debt Mountain is getting more treacherous. A new milestone has been reached. Learn the lesson that financial history teaches.
Updated: July 19, 2017A housing market measure that just surged to the highest level ever may also be a warning to home buyers. We saw a similar development 10 years ago, when the worst part of the housing market implosion was still ahead.
Updated: July 17, 2017Gold and silver are widely considered classic inflation hedges. But conventional wisdom often does not square with reality. Market observers tend to see what fits with their paradigm. This will change yours.
Updated: July 13, 2017We anticipate that many more borrowers will welch on their obligations as debt starts to deflate.
Updated: July 10, 2017Some U.S. real estate markets have bounced back strongly since the Great Recession while others have languished. All told, "the recovery is spotty at best." Now, two new developments are adding risk to the mortgage market.
Updated: July 7, 2017In 1939, Sir Winston Churchill said that Russia was "... a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma." The same could be said of China today.
Updated: July 5, 2017Even during a national economic expansion, many U.S. municipalities are financially troubled. "Two out of every three states took in less tax revenue than expected this year." This chart of muni bond yield spreads will make you wonder about the future.
Updated: June 23, 2017The housing market is heating up -- again. Signs are appearing that are reminders of the previous housing boom. "Buyers are convinced values will only continue to climb ... ." Is the housing trend near a reversal?
Updated: June 21, 2017As the amount of household debt rises, so does the risk of another financial crisis. A new milestone has been reached in the U.S. But a chart shows that the dangers of debt are global.
Updated: June 19, 2017Sir Isaac Newton famously said that "for every action, there is an equal and opposite re-action." But does this "law of motion" apply to finance? Many investors believe so, but the evidence shows that economic news does not affect the stock market.
Updated: June 13, 2017Matt Lampert, director of research at the Socionomics Institute, sheds some light on the relationship between terror attacks and the markets and tells you what to watch out for in the future, all in this 3-minute interview.
Updated: June 13, 2017Whenever the Fed makes its scheduled interest rates announcement, it's almost always an exciting moment in the markets. But, for an objective guidance on future Fed actions, keep calm ... and follow market rates.
Updated: June 5, 2017The U.S. housing market has staged a significant rebound since prices bottomed in February 2012. Now, at least one measure of optimism has returned to the height of the bubble days. Some say not to worry because "the economy is in far better shape than a decade ago." Is today really different?
Updated: June 2, 2017Critics say President Trump's decision to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement dealt a setback to the global-warming cause. But, the evidence suggests that "global-warming fever" had already been cooling off. "Crowds often think their personal cause of the moment is a permanent issue. It almost never is."
Updated: May 31, 2017The demand for luxury tends to increase as a financial mania matures. One of the latest extravagant items weighs 33 pounds and is made of solid gold. Financial trend changes usually occur when they're least expected. Are you prepared?
Updated: May 19, 2017News about today's economy only talks about "growth." The true story this chart tells isn't reported nearly as often.
Updated: May 17, 2017Charts like this one show that markets can anticipate huge shifts in broad psychology: Another dangerous spike may be just around the bend.
Updated: May 4, 2017Toronto is the 4th largest city in North America and anchors a greater metropolitan region of nine million -- more than a quarter of Canada's entire population. A city this size is an ideal candidate to preview real estate trends in Canada and in the United States...
Updated: May 4, 2017Cash-strapped Puerto Rico is unable to meet its debt obligations as a key deadline passes. Investors in the Commonwealth's General Obligation Bonds have taken a big haircut. Other municipalities are next in line.
Updated: April 28, 2017Cash is the one asset that is almost sure to rise in value during a deflationary period. Yet, the "war on cash" has been escalating. Here's why you should start storing away plenty of cash.
Updated: April 28, 2017This humble chart shows REAL average weekly wages -- and why a bigger paycheck does NOT necessarily mean more purchasing power. See why purchasing power has been flat for a decade.
Updated: April 24, 2017Delinquencies have been increasing for subprime car loans. Yet, car dealers are unfazed and have been allowing buyers to "trade in underwater vehicles two or three times." The credit boom is reaching an extreme.
Updated: April 17, 2017Despite positive economic data coming out of Europe, Brian Whitmer explains that the recovery is mediocre at best.
Updated: April 7, 2017The best time to prepare for a major financial change is before it happens. With that in mind, Elliott Wave International has been preparing subscribers for what we see around the corner by reviewing what has happened in the past regarding interest rates.
Updated: March 24, 2017You buy insurance for protection, but some insurance companies themselves might be at risk. You need to know which ones are safe. "A massive insurance company failure" just made the news.
Updated: March 8, 2017You may think that investing in gold differs from investing in stocks -- after all, gold is a commodity. Yet, the same investor psychology that moves stocks also moves gold.
Updated: March 7, 2017Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash states: "The psychological aspect of deflation ... cannot be overstated." The manifestations of this psychology are already appearing. Learn where -- and how.
Updated: February 23, 2017U.S. debt is on the rise and could reach a milestone level sometime in 2017. Student debt has risen for 18 consecutive years, and subprime loans are a growing worry in another sector. See these charts to understand the threat.
Updated: February 22, 2017Here's a chart you won't see elsewhere: Bob Prechter's analysis and observations, depicted visually in the 70-year interest rate cycle. If the symmetry holds, it suggests that the time to come could include years of crisis, Deflation, Depression and possible World War.
Updated: February 14, 2017Many recent survey respondents see clear skies ahead for the U.S. economy. But there's an important historic insight that investors need to know about today's economic optimism.
Updated: February 7, 2017News flash: The 2016 U.S. trade deficit was the largest since 2012, fueling President Trump’s fire to narrow the nation’s gap and bolster the economy. But this research shows historical evidence that suggests this approach could seriously backfire.
Updated: February 1, 2017U.S. shopping malls have seen better days. Now, foot traffic is dwindling. Major retailers are closing stores. One iconic retailer has just seen its share price touch fresh lows.
Updated: January 25, 2017Pete Kendall, the co-editor of our flagship Financial Forecast, tells you how "it all began" for him at the New York Stock Exchange.
Updated: January 20, 2017Residential real estate prices in major global cities rebounded sharply during the current bull market, especially at the high-end. Now, real estate developers grapple with price deflation. At least one real estate indicator is flashing a bigger warning than it did in 2007.
Updated: January 17, 2017If you count on standard credit rating agencies for timely warnings, you might find yourself "behind the 8-ball." Time and again, downgrades have occurred after the damage has already been done. Now is the time to protect your portfolio.
Updated: December 27, 2016In part 2 of our in-depth interview with Steve Hochberg, Steve explains what else makes Elliott wave analysis so useful and practical.
Updated: December 23, 2016Steve Hochberg, our Chief Market Analyst, sits down with ElliottWaveTV to talk about his background, how he discovered the Wave Principle, and why "it's applicable to all markets."
Updated: July 29, 2016"The economy leads, and the stock market follows." This common assumption is easy to check -- all you have to do is look at the data.
Updated: June 24, 2016On Friday, June 24, the world awoke to an apparent new wind blowing out of Europe: The citizens of Great Britain voted to leave the European Union.
Updated: February 1, 2016How could anyone have foreseen 10-15 years ago that marijuana would become the fuel for a legitimate and legal cannabis capitalism movement in the United States? Answer: Socionomics
Updated: October 29, 2015The evidence is clear. The stock market leads the economy contrary to popular belief. Episode 2 of the Elliott Wave Pillars series walks you through the overwhelming evidence that proves this point without a doubt.
Updated: October 29, 2015The Elliott Wave Pillars Series walks you through why we view the markets and social action the way we do. You'll see compelling evidence that will help change how you view the markets.
Updated: March 29, 2015Our Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg addressed why it the Dow priced in gold is important in this 3-minute clip.
Updated: March 28, 2015Answer: Deflation requires a precondition: a major societal buildup in the extension of credit. ...
Updated: March 28, 2015Answer: The U.S. government's Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation guarantee just makes things far worse, for two reasons. ...
Updated: November 26, 2014Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market. Here's the conclusion of our 10-part series.
Updated: November 11, 2014The Fed runs the market. Right? Well, "see if you can tell on this chart where authorities intervened."
Updated: October 28, 2014This idea of gold as inflation hedge is practically gospel. This chart shows a major flaw in this theory.
Updated: October 22, 2014As bad news goes, terrorism is at the top of the list. Why then do stocks ignore these terrible events so often?
Updated: October 16, 2014"Peace lets companies innovate and compete, helping the economy." True -- and yet, stocks will go where they go.
Updated: October 6, 2014"Some economists say wars stimulate the economy; others say war hurts it." These 4 charts negate both cases.
Updated: September 12, 2014"GDP reflects corporate success. So do stock prices. So how could GDP not impact stocks?" -- Solid logic, and yet...
Updated: September 10, 2014"U.S. trade deficit seems to be a reasonable thing to worry about." This chart shows you why it's really not.
Updated: September 9, 2014"Rising oil prices reduce corporate and consumer spending, impacting stocks and the economy." Right? Wrong.
Updated:Learn why the recent price action in gold suggests to him that gold prices may be entering a risky period soon. Plus, one high-yield debt instrument that was at the forefront of the 2007-2009 financial crisis has reached a new, dangerous milestone and we're sounding the alarm. Lastly, at least one measure of optimism has returned to the height of the bubble days. Some say not to worry because "the economy is in far better shape than a decade ago." Is today really different?
Updated:As the amount of household debt rises, so does the risk of another financial crisis. Learn why the next debt implosion could be bigger than the one 10 years ago. Next up, our Currency Pro Service editor gives you his outlook for the dollar. Our last feature lays out evidence that shows economic news impacts the stock market less than you may think.
Updated:Is Donald Trump good or bad for stocks? The financial press says both! Euro price action post-election: learn why "we expected that." Our friends at the Socionomics Institute explain why legal marijuana is just the tip of the iceberg.
Updated:Our first segment gives you a sneak peek of what analysts at Elliott Wave International have been watching in U.S. and global stocks, forex, metals, interest rates, energy and social mood. Next we take a look at legalization of recreational marijuana and answer the important question, why now? Lastly, we take a deeper look at Obamacare and reveal the real reason it's coming unglued.
Updated:Our first feature today explores how to get a firm handle on gold's ups and downs. Then we answer an important question: When does a forecast become a trade? Lastly, we look at the storm brewing for U.S. tech startups.
Updated:We first start by looking at car loans. The delinquency rate among subprime auto loans is rising, even as total auto loan liabilities exceed $1 trillion. Our next feature is on municipal bonds. Many investors continue to pour money into municipal bond funds even after Puerto Rico's muni bond default. We believe debt-market complacency will soon be met with regret. Our last feature is an interview with Elliott Wave International's Senior Metals Analyst who explains the relationship between gold and the U.S. dollar. Learn why Tom believes the development of gold's wave pattern provides all the information he needs to create his forecast.
Updated:The episode starts with an in-depth interview with Mark Galasiewski who edits our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast. He tells you what helps him keep an eye on all markets across the Asian-Pacific region at the same time. In part 2 of this interview with Mark, he tells you how his analysis of Indian stocks differs from the way he looks at other markets. The last feature is from Bob Stokes. Most investors consistently lose money in financial markets. Even during a bull market, the median household saw their retirement wealth decline by 13%.
Updated:The central bank has a story to tell about itself. Should you believe it? If not, why not? We explain why the Fed wants you to think it has superpowers, even as it befuddles you with preposterous language. But, a whistleblower’s inconvenient tape recordings changed things forever. Get the real story in our 9-minute podcast.
Updated:What could the Federal Reserve and comedian Bill Cosby possibly have in common? In a sentence, “Ruined reputations, thanks to negative social mood.” Yes it sounds bizarre -- but hear Robert Folsom and TR explore WHY the ugly hidden truths about heroes (and heroic institutions) can so suddenly make news. Listen for yourself.
Updated:We kick off this week's episode with an interview with Jeffrey Kennedy. He's an expert on all things Elliott wave and technical analysis and in this interview he talks about how he uses a variety of technical analysis tools to identify high confidence trade setups. Next up is a report from Vadim Pokhlebkin where he answers a question that's likely important to all of us here in the US ... Just how safe are top U.S. Banks? And finally we circle back around to a trading lesson with Kennedy. He'll take you through a handful of indicators and oscillators but as you'll hear from Jeff, more information doesn't necessarily improve the decision making process -- sometimes it's important to keep it simple.
Updated:Bond yields have fallen to 50-year lows in the world's major economies, and this trend has reached nearly ALL countries. Yet if you can even find a news article about this story, it will probably include phrases like "unanticipated," "surprise," and "against the consensus forecast." What that means is, the experts did NOT see any of this coming...
Updated:The stock market's ramped-up volatility has many observers trying to figure out the cause. One believes he knows the answer. Correspondent Bob Stokes investigate. Next we have an interview with our Global Opportunities Expert Chris Carolan, where he discusses Tuesday's near 1000-point decline in Japan's Nikkei. Financial markets have a way of turning just when the majority of investors are convinced that the established trend will continue. But it's important make sure that a market's chart pattern also supports a turn. Bob Stokes reports that this market appears ripe with opportunity.
Updated:Today's episode features three interviews with three different analysts -- first up you'll hear from Steve Hochberg. In a recent interview with Market Wrap radio he offered his take on what we've seen in the markets so far in 2016 and why he thinks 2015 was a transitional year. Next, an interview with EWI's Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens. Though the euro dollar exchange has gone "nowhere" recently, in this new interview, Jim explains that there are plenty of opportunities on the horizon. The last feature comes from our friends at the Socionomics Institute. Senior Analyst Alan Hall shares some thoughts on how Donald Trump fits into the authoritarian narrative.
Updated:Enjoy this in-depth interview that I recorded with Steve Hochberg, Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst.Take a listen to learn why Steve thinks Elliott wave analysis is so useful and practical.
Updated:Today's episode starts off with an interview with Pete Kendall, the co-editor of the monthly Financial Forecast. Next you'll learn why ex-marines do well as investors and traders. The last feature is a conversation with Robert Kelley about stocks and several factors that are pointing to multi-year extremes.
Updated:Listen to the latest episode to learn how to use sentiment to identify market extremes -- case in point: gold. You'll also learn the real reason stocks just turned volatile.
Updated:Today there's an exchange-traded fund for almost every investment niche. Our analysts view the proliferation of ETFs as part of the entire derivatives boom. Next we switch gears to an interview with the editor of Elliott Wave International's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast who tells you what to make of the recent price action in Australia, Korea and Japan. The stock market's "fear" gauge just reached its lowest intraday level in 10+ years. Learn why a volatility explosion might be just around the corner.
Updated:A look at sentiment and social mood across Europe as French voters head to the polls on Sunday to elect France's new president. Plus, learn why looking at the U.S. dollar, interest rates and politics are the wrong tools when trying to forecast the price action in gold. And this Canadian city this size is an ideal candidate to preview real estate trends in Canada and in the United States.
Updated:We start with a new interview with Elliott Wave International's Asian-Pacific Markets Expert. Next week take a look at money velocity and explain how you can learn a lot from watching "how fast money changes hands." Lastly, we explain why higher delinquencies should soon be a reality.
Updated:Our first feature looks at a gold forecast that many may have missed. Then we speak with Jeffrey Kennedy who outlines the four key principles that'll help improve Elliott wave skills. And lastly, we explore why AAA credit ratings aren't always what they seem.
Updated:Today's episode starts by looking at with active vs. passive investing, we then dig deeper into the housing market and conclude with how the Wave Principle helped anticipate a recent move in the Yuan.
Updated:Learn how looking at social mood can offer clarity to one of America's oldest ongoing political controversies, plus why Elliott Wave International believes the "Trump Bump" was in the cards LONG before Trump, and lastly, the BIG story everyone missed in 2016 and what it means for you now.
Updated:We start by taking a look at deflation in Europe. The Eurozone is nearing target inflation rates -- but looking below the surface, is it as good as it seems? Sticking with the topic of inflation, we take a deeper look at inflation hedges. Last we switch gears to politics. The first few months of a new president's term is often referred to as a honeymoon phase. So far, Donald Trump hasn't made his "bride" -- namely, the American public -- too happy.
Updated:Learn why it's unusual for gold and silver to have different patterns -- as they've shown lately -- and what that means for the price trends going forward. Some insurance companies themselves might be at risk as "A massive insurance company failure" just made the news. Are "baby boomers" driving the stock market's trend?
Updated:Today's episode discusses how much political damage does a scandal do to the president? We also reveal why investors should keep a close watch on corporate insider selling. And answer questions in our latest ElliottWaveTV viewer mailbag.
Updated:Nothing in the stock market is ever permanent -- even the recent complacency... For the third time this year, gold prices are trying to break out. Will the latest rally attempt succeed?... In bear markets, it's about the "return OF your money" instead of the "return ON your money."
Updated:Our latest episode discusses the "Trump bump," which our analysts say was in the cards long before Trump. Plus, shouldn't corporate insiders avoid mistakes "Mom and Pop" investors make? Lastly, it might surprise you that earnings and prices sometimes go in opposite directions.
Updated:Sentiment gets one-sided only at certain points in the markets' Elliott wave pattern. Learn what sentiment gauges are telling you about the market trend. Yield spreads widen for Illinois, Connecticut and New Jersey. Muni bond yield spreads will make you wonder about the future. President Trump finds his administration embroiled in controversy and investigation. Learn how social mood will influence the outcome of this chapter in American history.