Search Results for "Commodities"
Learn what EWI's Jeffrey Kennedy thinks of extreme volatility in commodities, get his big-picture perspective -- and find out when he expects the next major low.
In the last four years, the popular pundits twice resolved that commodities would make a comeback. And twice the sector failed to fulfill their bullish New Year's "resolutions."
Back in 2008, the consensus strongly agreed that crude oil and the CRB index of commodities would keep rising. Instead, both markets came crashing down. Here's why.
In 2011 and 2014, mainstream finance resolved that commodities would make a major comeback. In 2016, those same experts predicted the sector was doomed. The end result: 0 for 3. But someone got the story right.
Watch this new interview with Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of our Commodity Junctures market-forecasting service, to learn about the one commodity [Jeff] is most excited about.
According to mainstream wisdom, commodity prices revolve around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. But historical evidence proves there's a much larger force at the center of the commodity universe.
The downtrend in commodity prices was advertised in the chart pattern long before China's economic slowdown. Now, sentiment has reached a negative extreme.
Five months ago, by almost every fundamental measure, commodity prices were dead in the water. And yet, as of June 6, the commodity sector as a whole went from doom to BOOM! So, what changed? The answer might surprise you.
At the start of 2017, the cards of "market fundamentals" were stacked in sugar's bullish favor. But instead of reclaiming the upside, prices soured in a 20% selloff to a one-year low in late April. Find out the unconventional reason why.
Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of Commodity Junctures, puts the 2015 decline in commodities into perspective in terms of the larger trend.
Watch this clip from Commodity Junctures' editor, Jeffrey Kennedy -- and learn why he believes the next couple of weeks will be pivotal for many commodities.
At the start of 2016, discussions focused on how China's economic slowdown had hurt the prices of commodities. Even so, our January Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast told subscribers to expect a "turnaround" for commodities. Find out how the Elliott wave model served as a guide.
As the CRB index of commodities plunges to a 7-year low, many investors are looking to the Fed to stem the falling price tide. See why such faith is sorely misplaced.
Get Jeffrey Kennedy's new commodity forecasts -- and a preview of the best commodity opportunities he sees in the markets right now.
Learn why our Chief Commodity Analyst is anticipating downward pressure across the commodity markets.
Our Chief Commodity Analyst gives you a preview of what to expect in the commodity markets in 2015. Listen to the interview to get Jeffrey Kennedy's latest take on cocoa, corn, soybeans, wheat and more.
The mass "exodus" of financial institutions from commodities continues. Could this be a sign that the 6-year long commodity bear market has bottomed?
Since plummeting to the abyss of a 13-year low in January, the Bloomberg Commodity Index rocketed 21% to enter official "bull market" territory on June 6. Some say the Fed's ongoing commitment to ultra-low interest rates is feeding the sector's fire. But there's a whole lot more to this new "bull" run than meets the eye.
Commodity prices are in the claws of a bearish trend. One index recently fell to an 11-year low and commodity price declines have recently accelerated. This downtrend points to a rare economic trend.
Between 2011 and 2015, copper has gone from life force of a commodity bull market -- to life raft in a commodity bear. Turns out, the reversal in the red metal's fate is exactly what the Elliott wave "doctor" ordered.
Yes, major weather events can temporarily alter prices. But ultimately, they will go back to resume their natural course. Take, for example, the recent performance by soybean futures.
On March 7, iron ore prices rocketed a staggering 19% in is largest, single-day rally ever. According to the experts, ore's surge was a sign the market had gone "berzerk." Yet --from an Elliott wave perspective, the move is right on schedule.
Holy Soy! Between March 1 and June 1, soybean prices went from an 8-year low, to being the #1 performer among all 22 listed futures on the Bloomberg Commodity Index. Oddly enough, there was no fundamental reason for bean's bullish comeback. There was, however, an Elliott wave one!
What’s the biggest commodity mover of the year so far? If you guessed gold or oil, you’re wrong. Click here to see what it was. And yeah, Jeff Kennedy nailed it for his subs.
In late March, all fundamental signs in the market for lean hogs pointed in one clear direction: down. And yet, hog prices enjoyed a powerful rally to fresh contract highs. Find out the real story here!
Since last August, cocoa prices have been in a “meltdown” (CNBC). But imagine having a clear “line” in the sand which, if crossed, would signal such a sell-off -- before it occurred. Well, you don’t have to imagine.
Crude Oil is one of the most volatile markets on the planet. Find out what Jeffrey Kennedy, EWI's expert commodity analyst, called for at the beginning of 2016 and see how that forecast turned out.
In 2012, all the "fundamental" lines added up in corn's bullish favor. And yet, corn prices embarked on a multi-year bear market that persists today. Lend your "ear" to the full story...
In mid-2015, sugar futures were mired in a multi-year bear market, with prices plunging to an 8-year low. All fundamental signs pointed D-O-W-N. But instead, sugar prices turned up, in a powerful 90% rally! Know the real reason why, today.
From their March 2014 peak, lean hog prices have plummeted 60%-plus to a six-year low. Turns out, the price slaughter was not what the fundamental doctor ordered.
In 2010, a historic supply deficit was widely expected to keep the bullish wind in cocoa's sails. But instead, cocoa prices crashed in a 45% sell-off to 3-year lows. Now, a similar supply/demand picture is developing.
In 2012, all fundamental signs in wheat's backdrop pointed UP. But instead, wheat prices entered a four-year long, 50%-plus deep bear market to the decade lows we see today. The grain went off its fundamental script. But it stayed true to its Elliott wave one.
In February 2011, sugar prices reversed from a 30-year high to embark on a 40% crash to one-year lows. Turns out, sugar's 2011 bear market was following an Elliott wave "triangle" script. Here's why forex traders of one particular currency pair will want to pay attention to sugar's past... now.
On January 26, rubber prices soared to their highest level in four years. And, according to many sources, torrential rainfall in southern Thailand is the main driver of the market’s rally. Except, rubber prices started bouncing before the floods.
At the start of July 2016, cocoa prices were orbiting multi-year highs. And, according to mainstream fundamental analysis, the commodity’s uptrend was in the bag. So, why did cocoa prices then reverse in a gut-wrenching decline to three-year lows? The answer might surprise you
See how expert commodity analyst, Jeffrey Kennedy, used Elliott waves to call for the 2016 history-making crash in the live cattle market.
For commodity investors and traders, it's easy to fall victim to information overload.
Use this free lesson to brush up on methods and indicators that can help you improve your confidence in your own market analysis.
One of the most common requests we get from traders is: Can you teach me how to look at a chart and find opportunities for myself?
Sometimes it's hard to get excited about sideways movement on a market's price chart. Like, say, the four-month long sideways crawl in sugar prices from October 2015 to January 2016. But from an Elliott wave standpoint, this kind of "holding pattern" is often cause for the greatest excitement.
Back in 2012, all the fundamental signs pointed UP in soybeans. But instead, bean prices turned down, plummeting 50%-plus in the multi-year bear market we see today. Here are some signs to help you spot the next big trend change.
When it comes to staying ahead of major price turns in commodity markets, many investors stay tuned to various "channels" which keep them abreast of weather, political, or economic events that may affect a market's future trend. But, as the 2016 rally in coffee prices shows us, there's only one true "channel" to watch!
Learn more about our Chief Commodity Analyst, Jeffrey Kennedy, and what he thinks makes Elliott wave principle so compelling: Namely, that it puts price action into context of a larger trend.
You may remember that in 2008-2009, as the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression was ravaging stocks, real estate, commodities and other "can't-lose" asset classes, many called into question traditional economic models, as well as the Fed's "omnipotence."
Brian Whitmer, our European Markets Expert, discusses deflation and its effect on European economies, as well as deflation in world-wide economies.
The only thing the Fed has to show for its purchase of $1.5 trillion worth of Treasuries (QE) is a high-priced stock market. Now even that may be crumbling. The credibility of the central bank is on the line.
Years ago, analyst Jeffrey Kennedy started an educational column for subscribers of his Commodity Junctures service. His lessons became so popular that we expanded this idea into a service we call Trader's Classroom. Join us for a free lesson.
As everyone knows, the U.S., Iran and five other nations reached a huge agreement Tuesday. Let’s set aside the politics of the agreement for a moment. What does it mean for the price of crude? Here's an Elliott wave viewpoint.
EWI analyst Jeffrey Kennedy explains why triangles offer traders important forecasting information. Take a look at a chart that shows a real-world example of the triangle price pattern, and read Jeffrey's comments.
Can the bull market continue without a stronger economy? Many people would say, no -- but when you dig a little deeper, you quickly discover that it's not supported by the facts.
The moving average is a technical indicator which has stood the test of time. EWI Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy shows you how to spot high-confidence trading opportunities using moving averages. Two charts provide examples.
In this new clip from Steve Hochberg's presentation at the 2016 San Francisco MoneyShow, you'll see how the extreme sentiment surrounding gold helped him anticipate its looming reversal.
It finally happened. On March 8, crude oil prices fell more than 5%. See why this explosive price action had been in the works for weeks -- and why it had little to do with supply and demand factors.
In 2002, Conquer the Crash was virtually alone in warning about deflation. Now, European government officials acknowledge that the Continent faces deflation. More than that, the financial press is now raising concern about the prospects of a U.S. deflation. Are you prepared?
The Shanghai Composite fell 8% on July 8, for a total of 32% since the June 12 peak. Trading was halted by the authorities. Using the word "crash" is becoming appropriate. But, strangely, stocks are not the only asset class crashing in China right now.
If you trade with Elliott, you may use supporting indicators in your analysis of the markets. Here's a brief lesson that shows you three ways that moving averages can help you determine the market trend.
Conservative investors have been punished with exceptionally low interest rates. But at least they haven't lost money. Learn about a good way to defend your portfolio against rising rates.
The price of crude oil just hit a six-year low. Market forecasters offer different views on what's next. We conclude with what the July Elliott Wave Theorist has to say.
This economic indicator has stood the test of time -- and it's sending an ominous message. A 3 1/2-year shelf of support has recently been broken. See two charts that tell you what you need to know now.
Many energy market observers say "oversupply" explains oil's price plunge. Others blame the financial turmoil in China. We see a rare trend at work that you need to know about.
In the mid-2000s, the world feared it was running out of oil. Speculators, in turn, became feverishly bullish on oil's price. A 78% crash soon followed. Today, almost no one talks about "Peak Oil."
The three-month long roller-coaster ride in natural gas has been epic: First, prices plunged to a 17-year low in late December, then less than one month later, they soared 50% into early January before turning back down. Now it's time to harness that volatility.
Join us as we review the Nikkei's recent volatility, and see how Elliott wave analysis enabled us to stay ahead of the market's "hopping" down-up-down-up sequence.
The old Wall Street advice to "buy low and sell high" seems easier said than done. But there's a group of traders who consistently pull it off. Find out who they are and, more important, what makes them so different.
The Fed's 2% inflation target remains elusive even after a prolonged period of near-zero interest rates. We see evidence of a rare economic trend that the Fed will be powerless against. See two charts that help to explain.
Public and private pensions now rely on how well hedge funds perform. This strategy may prove lethal. Hedge funds are highly leveraged. Huge losses are likely in the next bear market.
How certain are you of the Federal Reserve Board's power to mastermind a global economic recovery? If there's even the slightest doubt in your mind, you're not alone.
Trendlines: You may have heard of them. Now, see how effective this simple technical tool can be for identifying high-confidence trade set-ups in real-world financial markets. Examples: gold and O.J.
Deflation is already a reality in many quarters of the global economy. Mounting evidence suggests that the full fury of this trend is about to be unleashed. Give our just-released dispatch on deflation your immediate attention.
In July, crude oil prices plunged 21% to a six-year low. Many oil experts (despite their God-like reputations) failed to anticipate the turn down. The reason why, though, may surprise you.
The Dow's 1000-point slide this week put it solidly in the red for 2015. The S&P 500, too. Even the white-hot NASDAQ was down 6% for the week. Is this a "normal correction" -- or are the "bubble days" really over?
On May 9, crude oil prices rose 2% in the morning, only to turn down and plunge 3% in the afternoon. The reason for BOTH moves, said the experts, was Canada's wildfires. The lesson here is one you'll never want to forget.
This St. Patrick's Day, some crude oil investors and traders may not be feeling lucky, as they've been pulled all over the map this week by none other than the "fundamentals," which are supposed to keep them on the straight and narrow.
In 2010, Japan's No. 1 robotics maker, Fanuc Ltd., was set to embark on a five-year long bull run to all-time highs. Investors in the company's stock, however, had no access behind Fanuc's curtain of secrecy. They did, however, have access to a bullish Elliott wave pattern on its price chart.
Mark Galasiewski talks about the increasing negative sentiment in the Asian-Pacific region and explains why all of the resulting events have great significance for financial trends in the region.
In part 2 of our in-depth interview with Steve Hochberg, Steve explains what else makes Elliott wave analysis so useful and practical.
All eyes were on the much-anticipated OPEC oil production freeze this week. And yet, somehow, crude oil prices themselves had two very different reactions to news of the output halt? Read on!
With so much economic uncertainty surrounding Japan, how is an investor to know whether it's time to go long the Nikkei -- or stay on the sidelines? Answer: Elliott wave analysis!
In late 2015, the mainstream experts were certain of one thing: The Federal Reserve’s first rate hike in nine years was set to drive a stake through the heart of silver’s upside potential. And yet, the white metal took off in December on a 50%-strong, 7-month-long rally to multi-year highs. This story is worth the wait!
Lately, copper's identity has been swinging back and forth from "precious" metal to "industrial" metal and back again. It's enough to make investors feel crazy! But in our opinion, there's a very clear method to copper's seeming "madness" -- one seen through the eyes of Elliott wave analysis.
Steve Hochberg, our Chief Market Analyst, sits down with ElliottWaveTV to talk about his background, how he discovered the Wave Principle, and why "it's applicable to all markets."
Robert Kelley tells you how he uses divergences between related markets -- and what they're telling him now about the markets he follows.
Food for thought: "Fed up with banks' reluctance to lend," one of Italy's most prominent dairy co-ops has raised 6 million euros via bonds backed by cheese! It's a little funny at first read. But the larger issue here is actually quite serious.
On December 12, crude oil prices soared to their highest level in 17 months. According to the experts, one factor is to blame for the rise: Agreements by OPEC and non-OPEC countries to cut production. But that’s not the ho, ho, whole story!
Many of you have heard the expression "As goes GM, so goes America." Well, what about the European counterpart -- "As goes Daimler AG, so goes Europe?" The correlation dates back to 1999; and it paints a very interesting picture of the financial road ahead.
Here's a close look at the popular -- yet deeply flawed -- "random walk" theory, a popular view of market behavior held by many investors. We offer a carefully thought-out solution of our own... see if you agree.