222 Results

Why the Oil Market Ignored Economics 101 When It Comes to Harvey

Updated: September 1, 2017

Economics 101 says a reduction in supply causes prices to rise. So why did oil prices fall after Hurricane Harvey ravaged the Gulf, shut down ten oil refineries and stopped between 380-780 million barrels of oil per day from being produced? Social mood has the answer.

One Chart Explains North Korea's Nuclear Program

Updated: August 29, 2017

Hedge fund managers and investors are getting goosebumps over the U.S. and North Korea: What does the conflict mean for the stock market? Problem is, North Korea's behavior does not help anticipate trends in the stock market. Yet, as this Chart of the Day video reveals, you can use trends in the stock market to anticipate North Korea's actions.

Trump Supporters Should Tell Congress to Impeach Him Right Now

Updated: August 28, 2017

President Trump. Love him or hate him, if you watch the news you have to deal with him. But for how long? Discover the president's chances to survive impeachment in this Chart of the Day video.

Social Mood Drives Markets, Not Administration Turmoil

Updated: August 25, 2017

www.thehill.com The Dow suffered its second-biggest down day of the year last week. Did the shake-up in the Trump administration have anything to do with it? A socionomist dispels the notion that news moves markets in this op-ed in The Hill.

How You Can Get Ahead of a Fast-Moving News Cycle

Updated: August 18, 2017

Watch Matt Lampert, Director of Research at the Socionomics Institute, show how you can use Elliott waves to act more confidently in other areas of your life, not just in the markets.

Why Everyone's So Concerned About Nukes

Updated: August 3, 2017

Chuck Thompson, senior analyst at the Socionomics Institute, explores relations with North Korea, Russia and China as nuclear fear heats up.

Mood and Mosquitoes

Updated: July 7, 2017

Learn how Brazil's zika epidemic demonstrates socionomic causality in this excerpt from the July issue of The Socionomist.

President Trump finds his administration embroiled in controversy and investigation

Updated: June 30, 2017

History suggests that social mood will influence the outcome of this chapter in American history.

Read an Excerpt from Chapter 1, "The Myth of Shocks"

Updated: June 23, 2017

The Socionomic Theory of Finance draws a crucial distinction between finance and economics and ties both fields to human social behavior. In time, STF will transform the thinking of every individual in the world of finance. Read Chapter One "The Myth Of Shocks" -- free.

What impact does terrorism have on the stock market?

Updated: June 13, 2017

Matt Lampert, director of research at the Socionomics Institute, sheds some light on the relationship between terror attacks and the markets and tells you what to watch out for in the future, all in this 3-minute interview.

French Election: Socialism, Bull Markets, Bear Markets -- and Social Mood

Updated: May 5, 2017

Brian Whitmer discusses sentiment and social mood across Europe as French voters head to the polls on Sunday to elect France's new president.

North Korean Conflict Makes Sense Socionomically

Updated: April 28, 2017

Concerned about N Korea? Who isn't, right? It is possible to understand the engine behind its seemingly crazy maneuverings. Watch part one of Matt Lampert and Chuck Thompson's three-part conversation.

Robert Prechter Talks About Elliott Waves and Socionomics

Updated: April 21, 2017

Avi Gilburt of ElliottWaveTrader.net conducted a thoughtful interview with Bob Prechter recently. We thought you'd like to see it.

Sunday's French Election "Makes Sense Socionomically"

Updated: April 19, 2017

Brian Whitmer tells you what he's watching as France is headed into its historic election. Brian explains how mixed social mood translates into the tight race at the polls.

What Social Mood Can Tell Us About North Korea

Updated: April 12, 2017

Socionomics Institute Senior Analyst Chuck Thompson talks about the history of North Korean aggression and nuclear capabilities and the country's current belligerent posturing.

Dutch Election: Should the Populists Pack Up and Go Home?

Updated: March 16, 2017

Alexandra Lienhard interviews Matt Lampert on the results of the Dutch election and the future of politics in Europe.

Global Events Through the Lens of Social Mood

Updated: March 8, 2017

In this new interview, Socionomics Institute Director of Research Matt Lampert and Senior Analyst Alan Hall talk about the role of social mood in events happening around the globe. They cover a variety of topics -- from the Dow to the "Trump Rally" to Russia.

Presidential Scandals -- How Much Damage Do They Do?

Updated: March 2, 2017

Some presidential scandals change history, others are minor and do little damage. In this ETV interview, Robert Folsom discusses social mood as it relates to this question: "How much political damage does a scandal do to the president?"

Why a "Nation of Immigrants" Can't Agree On Immigration

Updated: February 17, 2017

Senior Editor Robert Folsom explains why looking at social mood can offer clarity to one of America's oldest ongoing political controversies.

A Radical Re-Thinking of the U.S. Trade Deficit

Updated: February 7, 2017

News flash: The 2016 U.S. trade deficit was the largest since 2012, fueling President Trump’s fire to narrow the nation’s gap and bolster the economy. But this research shows historical evidence that suggests this approach could seriously backfire.

The Socionomic Theory of Finance

Updated: January 25, 2017

"World-changing books about finance aren’t built in a day." The Socionomic Theory of Finance required 13 years to complete. It has a lot to say.

What Could Make "Globalization" A Global Crash & Burn

Updated: January 18, 2017

What does "globalization" even mean? Is it something you can measure? Yes, you can. In fact, standard measures of globalization show that in the past 150 years, the globalization trend may be history's largest manifestation of positive social mood.

The High Risk of China's South China Sea Ambitions

Updated: January 12, 2017

Recently, China has been doing something that's caught the attention of the U.S. intelligence services. In the South China Sea, in the Spratly Islands chain, China has been developing airfields, ports, and other facilities across the face of many of its man-made islands. Is there trouble brewing in one of the world's most contested regions?

Social Mood Influences the Tenor of Popular Slang

Updated: December 19, 2016

In his new book, The Socionomic Theory of Finance, Robert Prechter says socionomists have observed correlations between stock market trends and more than 50 social behaviors. Social mood's broad influence appears in everything from clothing styles to election outcomes to nuclear testing to epidemic disease, and more. It even affects how we speak.

Eurosceptic Parties Are on the Move in Italy and France

Updated: December 16, 2016

Negative social mood leads people to forsake the political center and gravitate toward extremes -- a trend that is currently under way in Europe. The Socionomics Institute's Chuck Thompson shows negative mood at work in the politics of two of Europe's most populous countries: Italy and France.

Populist Politics: What's in Store for Europe?

Updated: November 30, 2016

Brian Whitmer discusses the social mood landscape across Europe and explains how social mood will impact the upcoming European elections.

Populist Politics: What's in Store for Europe?

Updated: November 30, 2016

Brian Whitmer discusses the social mood landscape across Europe and explains how social mood will impact the upcoming European elections.

What's Next for the Russian Bear?

Updated: November 22, 2016

The Socionomics Institute's Matt Lampert and Alan Hall discuss the recent Cold War rhetoric that surrounded the U.S. presidential election. Learn what it -- and the Elliott wave position of Russia's stock market -- say about the likelihood of more Russian aggression.

A Stunning Reversal in the 500-Year Trend Toward Globalization

Updated: November 14, 2016

Socionomist Alan Hall saw the de-globalization trend coming -- before the New York Times began to report on the stagnation of globalization in more recent news. Read more on Alan Hall's 500-year view of globalization, and how it's impacting trade today. 

Legal Marijuana: "The Tip of the Iceberg"

Updated: November 11, 2016

The marijuana legalization movement scored big wins on election night. Voters in California, Massachusetts, Nevada and Maine approved recreational marijuana use, and several other states legalized medical marijuana use. The Socionomics Institute's Alyssa Hayden sat down with Matt Lampert and Alan Hall to talk about what's driving the trend towards legalization.

A New Bull Market in Political Scandal is Coming to a TV Near You

Updated: November 4, 2016

Major media outlets have bent over backwards to minimize Hillary Clinton's brewing scandals. But social mood is due for a shift. When the stock market sharply reverses, expect a new bull market in political scandals.

Legal Pot: How 80% "NO" Became 60% "YES"

Updated: October 27, 2016

When it comes to cannabis legalization, lots of people assume that they've seen & heard all there is to see & hear. But -- hang with us for the next four minutes, and maybe we can offer a different perspective...

Political Extremes, Polarization, and Political Correctness- Oh My!

Updated: October 21, 2016

Source: Socionomics.net Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert has valuable and timely insights into social mood's role in presidential elections. In this clip, Matt shows you what's driving the political extremes in this year's election.

New Zika guidelines are out – have you seen them?

Updated: October 12, 2016

The CDC is cautioning travelers who have been in areas with Zika transmission to wait at least six months after exposure to try to conceive a baby or have unprotected sex -- even if you have never had symptoms of the virus. See the new guidelines, and what Socionomics has to say about the infectious disease trend.

Is Russia About to Attack … Everyone?

Updated: October 4, 2016

Alan Hall, Senior Analyst for The Socionomist, explains that after nine years of negative mood, Russia looks a lot more threatening than it once did.

Is Russia About to Attack… Everyone?

Updated: October 4, 2016

Source: Socionomics.net Alan Hall, Senior Analyst for The Socionomist, explains that after nine years of negative mood, Russia looks a lot more threatening than it once did.

This Chart Signals a Dying Democrat-Republican Duopoly

Updated: September 30, 2016

Source: Socionomics.net Chuck Thompson, Senior Analyst for The Socionomist, explains that negative social mood is impelling voters to look beyond the two-party system for answers.

This Chart Signals a Dying Democrat-Republican Duopoly

Updated: September 30, 2016

Chuck Thompson, Senior Analyst for The Socionomist, explains that negative social mood is impelling voters to look beyond the two-party system for answers.

Declining German Mood Besets DAX and Incumbents

Updated: September 22, 2016

The consequences of a negative social mood are far-reaching. One example is that the political party in power often faces a backlash from voters. Another is the emergence of an "us vs. them" sentiment. Both are at play in Germany. Keep an eye on the DAX index.

From "We" to "They": How Deglobalization is Shifting Friends to Enemies

Updated: September 2, 2016

Alan Hall, senior analyst at the Socionomics Institute, explains how 16 years of negative social mood is driving globalization's unpopularity. Learn more in this new interview.

From "We" to "They": How Deglobalization is Shifting Friends to Enemies

Updated: September 2, 2016

Source: Socionomics.net In this interview, Alan Hall, senior analyst at the Socionomics Institute, explains how 16 years of negative social mood is driving globalization's unpopularity.

Before Airbus Soared, it Crashed: Time to Check the Horizon Again 

Updated: August 29, 2016

Times are turbulent for the world's largest passenger airliner, the Airbus A380. Orders for the superjumbo jet are drying up. Airbus's share price has a history of outpacing declines in the broader market. Read this analysis from our Global Market Perspective. 

Why Polarization Is Up in the US and the UK

Updated: August 18, 2016

The Institute's Alan Hall looks in depth at what's dividing people on both sides of the Atlantic. Chart and short excerpt free; no sign-in required.

Zika: What Socionomics Tells Us About Timing of This Outbreak.

Updated: August 4, 2016

Alan Hall, Senior Analyst at the Socionomics Institute, talks about the recent outbreak of the Zika virus. Alan explains that negative social mood created social conditions in which the Zika virus was able to spread. (You can watch the interview or read the transcript.)

Zika What Socionomics Tells Us About Timing of This Outbreak

Updated: August 4, 2016

Source: Socionomics.net Alan Hall, Senior Analyst at the Socionomics Institute, talks about the recent outbreak of the Zika virus. Alan explains that negative social mood created social conditions in which the Zika virus was able to spread.

Does the Stock Market Anticipate Risks to Public Health?

Updated: August 3, 2016

If the stock market does anticipate risks to public health, it is no surprise that the explosive outbreak of the Zika virus has been centered in Brazil.

Will U.S. Government Reclassify Marijuana?

Updated: July 28, 2016

Will the Drug Enforcement Agency remove marijuana from the same drug classification as heroin and LSD? Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert weighs in. Watch this interview or read transcript now.

Will U.S. Government Reclassify Marijuana?

Updated: July 28, 2016

Will the Drug Enforcement Agency remove marijuana from the same drug classification as heroin and LSD? Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert weighs in.

Will US Government Reclassify Marijuana

Updated: July 28, 2016

Source: Socionomics.netWill the Drug Enforcement Agency remove marijuana from the same drug classification as heroin and LSD? Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert weighs in.

Bull vs. Bear Market Impulses: How Observing Water Freeze Leads to a Shocking Discovery about Social Mood

Updated: July 25, 2016

A mix of bull and bear market impulses is evident in today's culture. How is that possible with recent all-time highs in stocks? Shouldn't social mood be decidedly bullish? A Boston University econophysicist charts water's freezing process and makes a shocking discovery.

Post-Brexit EU: Stocks, Bonds, Politics – and Social Mood

Updated: July 22, 2016

Brian Whitmer talks about the negative sentiment in the European Union following the historic Brexit vote and outlines what to watch for next.

Post-Brexit EU: Stocks, Bonds, Politics – and Social Mood

Updated: July 22, 2016

Brian Whitmer talks about the negative sentiment in the European Union following the historic Brexit vote and outlines what to watch for next.

Political Fragmentation: Why Now? Part Two

Updated: July 11, 2016

Political fragmentation is becoming the new normal on both sides of the pond. Where's the trend headed? Watch Part Two of this interview with socionomist Alan Hall to learn more.

Political Fragmentation: Why Now?

Updated: July 8, 2016

Alan Hall, Senior Analyst at the Socionomics Institute, explains why societies on both sides of the pond seem to be splintering -- and what's coming next.

Alan Hall: Political Fragmentation: Why Now? Part One

Updated: July 7, 2016

Check out the political landscape. Why is PC on its way out and anger and separatism on their way in? What, if anything, does this say about the markets?

Bathroom Rights and Marijuana Legalization: Events Reflect a Mixed Mood

Updated: June 29, 2016

Source: Socionomics.net The June 2016 issue of The Socionomist highlights a mix of positive and negative social expressions across the U.S.

Bathroom Rights and Marijuana Legalization: Events Reflect a Mixed Mood

Updated: June 29, 2016

The June 2016 issue of The Socionomist highlights a mix of positive and negative social expressions across the U.S.

For James Bond, Success Is a Matter of Mood

Updated: June 29, 2016

The James Bond film franchise launched in 1962, and its performance over five decades provides an opportunity to gauge the effects of social mood on changing consumer preferences for heroes and villains.

What Does The Stock Market Have to Do With Health?

Updated: June 1, 2016

Socionomics Institute Senior Researcher Alan Hall presented his research connecting declines in stock market indexes to infectious disease outbreaks at the University of Warwick's Mood Conference on May 6.

What Does The Stock Market Have to Do With Health?

Updated: June 1, 2016

Source: Socionomics.net Socionomics Institute Senior Researcher Alan Hall presented his research connecting declines in stock market indexes to infectious disease outbreaks at the University of Warwick's Mood Conference on May 6.

Dems vs. Reps: Stocks Don't Care Who Wins

Updated: May 23, 2016

Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert recently presented his elections research at the University of Warwick. Learn why stock market performance is a significant predictor of how incumbents fare in their re-election bids.

Dems vs. Reps: Stocks Don't Care Who Wins

Updated: May 23, 2016

Source: Socionomics.net Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert recently presented his elections research at the University of Warwick. Learn why stock market performance is a significant predictor of how incumbents fare in their re-election bids.

Tension Growing in South China Sea

Updated: May 18, 2016

China's aggressive behavior in the South China Sea has antagonized a growing number of countries. US leaders say that in the near future, China will be able to project substantial military power in the region. In the April 2016 issue of The Socionomist, Chuck Thompson takes a look at China's actions and at the potential for conflict with its neighbors as well as the US.

Why Trump, Why Now?

Updated: May 10, 2016

In this video, Robert Folsom explains how a negative social mood helped Donald Trump become the presumptive Republican nominee in the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

Olympic-Sized Troubles in Brazil

Updated: May 9, 2016

The nation of Brazil is in turmoil, and the timing couldn't be worse. The country will host the 2016 Summer Olympics in less than four months. In the April 2016 issue of The Socionomist, Chuck Thompson and Alan Hall show the role that social mood is playing in Brazil's upheaval.

Why Trump, Why Now?

Updated: May 6, 2016

Source: Socionomics.net In this video, Robert Folsom explains how a negative social mood helped Donald Trump become the presumptive Republican nominee in the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

Scandal, Corruption, Recession, Disease... and the Olympics!?

Updated: April 29, 2016

Source: Socionomics.net Zika, economic woes, scandals and a presidential impeachment all seem to spell "doom" for Brazil, which is set to host the 2016 Olympic Games this summer. In this video, Socionomics Institute Senior Researcher Chuck Thompson explains that a massive trend toward negative social mood is behind it all.

Scandal, Corruption, Recession, Disease... and the Olympics!?

Updated: April 29, 2016

Zika, economic woes, scandals and a presidential impeachment all seem to spell "doom" for Brazil, which is set to host the 2016 Olympic Games this summer. In this video, Socionomics Institute Senior Researcher Chuck Thompson explains that a massive trend toward negative social mood is behind it all.

Matt Lampert on NPR: "Social events have to come from somewhere"

Updated: April 13, 2016

Most people believe that social events impact our mood. They think that war makes us fearful and angry, or that a rising stock market makes us increasingly optimistic. Socionomics, on the other hand, turns conventional wisdom about social mood and social behavior completely on its head

Why Trump, Why Now? The Violent Death of Political Correctness

Updated: April 8, 2016

The conventional narrative on 2016 US presidential candidate Donald Trump is that he has succeeded despite his rejection of political correctness. Here, Robert Folsom explains that Trump has in large part succeeded because of it. Trump gives voice to the political discontent that flows from negative social mood.

My Basal Ganglia Made Me Do It!

Updated: April 8, 2016

Alan Hall explains that choosing a leader is not an objective, rational cerebral process. Rather, it is an instinctive, non-rational attempt to feel emotionally safe.

Use Social Mood To Forecast Social Behavior

Updated: April 8, 2016

The trend -- in any market, fad, fashion, or social phenomenon -- is most likely to reverse course exactly when it seems like it's "here to stay." Learn how socionomics alerts you to the opportunities that trend reversals present.

Peter Kendall on the Advantages of the Wave Principle

Updated: April 7, 2016

In this interview, Peter discusses the uniqueness of the Wave Principle, explains why psychology repeats itself over time and shares some thoughts on one of his favorite cultural trends to study.

Xenophobia Rising: Why Everyone is So Darn Afraid of Strangers These Days

Updated: March 18, 2016

Exclusionism is on the rise in Europe, and social upheaval could arise in the United States next. Learn how you can prepare for what we see just around the corner.

2016 Presidential Cam-PAIN Trail: Why Now?

Updated: March 18, 2016

"Unprecedented," "nuts," and "inexplicable" are just a few of the words people use to describe the 2016 US presidential campaign. How did radical politicians such as Trump and Sanders get as far as they did?

Q&A: Nerissa Brown Studies the Herd on the Street

Updated: March 12, 2016

University of Delaware professor and 2016 Social Mood Conference speaker Nerissa Brown explains how her research on herding overlaps with the study of social mood.

Matt Lampert on Socionomics: "The Light Bulb Lit Up"

Updated: March 4, 2016

Socionomist Matt Lampert sat down with ElliottWaveTV's Alexandra Lienhard to talk about how he encountered socionomics and how the field has grown over the years.

Q&A: Matt Lampert on Socionomics: "The Light Bulb Lit Up"

Updated: March 4, 2016

Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert explains how he first encountered socionomics and how the field has grown over the years.

Meet Socionomist Alan Hall and Explore His Journey to Studying Social Mood

Updated: March 2, 2016

Socionomics is a science of financial and social forecasting that studies the phenomenon we call "social mood," and how social mood motivates social actions. Learn about Socionomist Alan Hall's journey to studying social mood and how it shapes negative -- and positive -- events.

Learn What Hitler, Stalin, The Holocaust, And Hiroshima Have In Common

Updated: March 2, 2016

You may have heard different reasons why Stalin and Hitler came to power. Socionomics gives you a new perspective -- listen.

Alan Hall on Epidemics, Donald Trump, Wealth Inequality and More

Updated: February 26, 2016

Alan Hall, Senior Researcher at the Socinomics Institute, spoke with our Alexandra Lienhard about how a study in The Socionomist comes to fruition and then shares some thoughts on how Donald Trump fits into the authoritarian.

Q&A: Alan Hall on Epidemics, Donald Trump, Wealth Inequality and More

Updated: February 25, 2016

Senior analyst Alan Hall explains how a study in The Socionomist comes to fruition; shares some thoughts on how Donald Trump fits into the authoritarian narrative; and offers a sneak peek into his upcoming Social Mood Conference presentation on April 9. 

Social Mood, Stock Markets and Epidemics

Updated: February 19, 2016

Alan Hall, Senior Research at the Socionomics Institute, presented to the National Defense University during a two-day conference. Alan's research links negative social mood with stock markets, public health, and epidemics. Learn more about the danger for global disease outbreaks in this interview.

Fassett on Fractals

Updated: February 18, 2016

Dr. Jon Fassett brought his knowledge and enthusiasm for fractals in nature and finance to the 2016 Social Mood Conference on April 9 in Atlanta, GA. 

Q&A: Alan Hall on Epidemics, Donald Trump, Wealth Inequality and More

Updated: February 10, 2016

In this interview, senior analyst and 2016 Social Mood Conference speaker Alan Hall explains how a study in The Socionomist comes to fruition and shares some thoughts on how Donald Trumps fits into the authoritarian narrative. 

The Oregon Militia Standoff with FBI: Why Now?

Updated: February 5, 2016

It goes without saying, radical extremists with incendiary ideas have always been a part of social landscape in America. But there are three aspects of the Bundy standoff that make it truly exceptional.

Gene Stanley is The Puzzle Solver

Updated: February 3, 2016

This essay describes the work and research of the legendary econophysicist Dr. H. Eugene Stanley, keynote speaker of the 2016 Social Mood Conference. An extended form of this essay appeared in the February 2016 issue of The Socionomist. 

Social Mood, Stock Markets and Epidemics

Updated: February 2, 2016

Senior researcher Alan Hall presented to the National Defense University during a two-day conference. Alan's research links negative social mood with stock markets, public health, and epidemics. Learn more about the danger for global disease outbreaks in the interview below.

Robert Prechter: 'This Kind of Causality Doesn't Work'

Updated: February 2, 2016

In this 4-minute video clip, from Robert Prechter's brand-new video presentation, Prechter offers a whole new perspective on financial causality -- a perspective that allows you to anticipate, understand and act on developing financial trends that nearly all other investors and social forecasters fail to see coming. 

Ch-Ch-Ch-Changes: See Tomorrow's Turns Today

Updated: February 1, 2016

The on-demand video of the 2016 Social Mood Conference introduces you to the world's leading socionomists. You'll hear their groundbreaking foresights into the radical sea changes in store for the entire human landscape. 

Pot Sales Are Smoking!

Updated: February 1, 2016

How could anyone have foreseen 10-15 years ago that marijuana would become the fuel for a legitimate and legal cannabis capitalism movement in the United States? Answer: Socionomics

Memorable Film Quotes Appear More Often in Bear Markets

Updated: February 1, 2016

On June 21, 2005, CBS aired a three-hour special from the American Film Institute, dedicated to the 100 most memorable movie quotations in American cinema. Robert Prechter says most of those quotes were crafted in periods when stocks were in a bear market. 

Social Mood, Epidemics -- and the Threat to 2016 Olympics

Updated: January 29, 2016

This excerpt gives you a unique perspective on the rapid spread of the dangerous Zika virus. See the surprising connection between social mood, the stock market -- and public health.

Political Prisoners That Even Positive Mood Could Not Set Free

Updated: January 26, 2016

What happens when you speak against your country's decision to go to war? Nothing good, most of the time. The new episode of our Pop Trends, Price Culture podcast tells a true tale of dissenters who were (so to speak) jailed by negative mood.

How Tracking Social Mood Helps You Prepare For The Future

Updated: January 22, 2016

Does social action motivate social mood, or vice versa? Robert Prechter’s socionomic theory -- that social mood drives social events, not the other way around -- stands at the center of what has become one of the most explosive and eye-catching fields of study in the social sciences. In this interview, the Socionomics Institute’s senior researcher Chuck Thompson explains socionomic theory and social mood’s impact on our lives.

Q&A: Dennis Elam on How to Get Your Audience in the Mood

Updated: January 22, 2016

Dr. Elam spoke with us about how he helps people understand and appreciate socionomics.

Legal Marijuana: Why NOW

Updated: January 18, 2016

Twenty-three states (and D.C.) have now legalized marijuana in some form. Have you ever asked yourself why marijuana laws got more lax now? Why not 20 years ago? Why not 10 years from now? Is it "today's loose morals"? There is a better explanation.

A Tale of Two Moods

Updated: January 6, 2016

Two starkly different mood trends are now unfolding around the world: North America enjoys a mostly positive mood, even as negative mood dominates the Middle East, North and South Korea, Russia and much of Europe.

Syria: Epicenter of a Negative Mood Vortex

Updated: January 1, 2016

In this all-too timely article, Alan Hall explains that negative social mood is fueling the war in Syria. Among the several countries engaged in the conflict, most are mired in their own long-term negative social mood trends.

Radicals Ride Again: Negative Social Mood Is Fueling Extreme Politics

Updated: January 1, 2016

In this timely article, socionomist Alan Hall explains that negative social mood is driving the popularity of anti-establishment candidates.

The Space Opera Strikes Back

Updated: December 1, 2015

The seventh film for the space opera series, Star Wars: The Force Awakens, blasted its way to the top of the box office with the largest-ever opening weekend. What's the connection between successful films and social mood?

Negative Social Mood Drives Combatants in the Syrian Conflict

Updated: November 19, 2015

Syria is at the top of any serious list of today's "biggest problems." Not just because of Syria's nearly five-year war. Not just for being the bloodiest example of how "The Arab Spring" became "The Arab Winter"... 

If Your Nest Egg Breaks, Will You Still Want the Nest?

Updated: November 13, 2015

It's been less than a decade since the housing bubble burst, yet home prices in the UK and US today hover near new highs. Even so, socionomist Alan Hall foresees a darker future for real estate. He warns that once again, housing data suggests that the real estate market is beginning to wilt. 

Blazing Green: The Socionomics of the Next Wave of Pot Legalization

Updated: November 6, 2015

In a presentation on October 27, 2015, Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert updated the state of the marijuana legalization movement in the United States and considered where it may be headed next.

Collective Trends Reflect Social Mood

Updated: October 29, 2015

Are financial markets patterned? Episode one of the Elliott Wave Pillars Series shows you a theory that proves they are.

Eastern Europe's Doormat Says "Go Away!"

Updated: October 22, 2015

What drives such starkly different attitudes toward the migrant and refugee crisis in Europe? Socionomist Chuck Thompson proposes an answer in this timely article.

Chart of the Day: The True Timeline of Russia's Military Aggression

Updated: October 15, 2015

Here's a chart you won't see elsewhere. It depicts the 17 or so crucial moments of the Ukraine crisis, along a timeline that comes courtesy of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

Alan Hall on the Likelihood of War Between Russia and the US

Updated: October 15, 2015

Alan Hall, Senior Researcher at the Socionomics Institute, addresses boiling US-Russia tension and the likelihood of war between the two nations.

How Tracking Social Mood Helps You Prepare For The Future

Updated: October 1, 2015

In this interview, The Socionomics Institute's senior researcher Chuck Thompson explains socionomic theory and social mood's impact on our lives.

Global Mood Gets Darker

Updated: September 28, 2015

Global cyber wars. Independence referendums. Border restrictions. Nuclear weapons. Impeachments. Fringe candidates. These topics have become daily fixtures in the news. In this timely article, socionomist Chuck Thompson explains how all these events express a global shift toward negative social mood.

Matt Lampert on the "Next Huge Wave of Pot Legalization"

Updated: September 22, 2015

Our research affiliate, The Socionomics Institute, has dedicated quite a bit of research efforts to the marijuana legalization movement. Watch as researcher Matt Lampert answers a few questions about the state of legalization in the US and where it may be headed next.

Alan Hall Talks Social Mood and Reverence for Religion

Updated: September 8, 2015

Socionomist Alan Hall sat down with our Alexandra Lienhard to answer a few questions about why more and more Americans are breaking ties with religion.

Q&A Part 3: Kendall Hints at OWTC's "Stacked Socionomic History"

Updated: August 17, 2015

Writer, researcher and seasoned socionomist to lead a walking tour of America's social mood epicenter.

Who's REALLY Calling the Shots -- The Market or the Fed?

Updated: August 14, 2015

Will It happen? It could potentially become the first raise since the lofty days of 2006.

Big Tobacco Sugar

Updated: August 11, 2015

Governments tax it; schools ban it. Across the US, efforts to remove sugary drinks have de-fizzed sugar-sweetened beverages sales.

Positive Social Mood Drives Manifestations of Inclusion in US

Updated: August 6, 2015

A positive social mood is driving expressions of inclusion in many aspects of society, including the racial, cultural and political.

It's Pat!

Updated: July 24, 2015

Before you dub your baby Pat, Blake, Taylor or Alex, check out our socionomic study on baby names.

Peter Kendall on Why His Walk Down Wall Street Will Be Powerful

Updated: July 15, 2015

"New York City has a history of progressing very dramatically along the lines of bull and bear markets." So says Peter Kendall, who is leading a socionomic walking tour of Wall Street and Lower Manhattan on September 8. Watch as Peter explains more.

Iran Agreement & Crude Oil: The Fundamentals Aren't Everything

Updated: July 14, 2015

As everyone knows, the U.S., Iran and five other nations reached a huge agreement Tuesday. Let’s set aside the politics of the agreement for a moment. What does it mean for the price of crude? Here's an Elliott wave viewpoint.

An Elliott Wave Perspective on Scientists' Calls for the Biggest Top of All Time

Updated: July 1, 2015

Three centuries of stock market prices are not the only growth patterns regulated by the Wave Principle.

Matt Lampert on Mood and Marijuana

Updated: July 1, 2015

Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert joined Bert Martinez from Money for Lunch Online Radio on October 5, 2015, to discuss the connection between mood and marijuana and where he thinks the marijuana legalization movement is headed next.

Kendall Tells How This One-Time-Only Walking Tour Helps You “See the Whole Picture”

Updated: July 1, 2015

Peter Kendall, co-editor of the Elliott Wave Financial Forecast sat down with our affiliated research organization, The Socionomics Institute, to discuss the history of the Charging Bull sculpture and the New York Stock Exchange and how the current social mood peak is etched into the stonework of New York City.

Beware of Social Mood Bearing Epidemics

Updated: June 19, 2015

Greece's healthcare system "teetering on the brink of breakdown." This chart shows the similar social mood trends in Western Africa and Greece. Europe should take heed.

The Disruptive New Science that Shatters Today's Investing Paradigm

Updated: June 10, 2015

Watch this video of Robert Prechter explaining social mood from an outside observer's point of view.

Transgender Boom Continues

Updated: June 8, 2015

The history of transgender expressions in popular culture conforms nicely with social mood ...

History's Hidden Engine

Updated: June 8, 2015

This documentary uses pop songs, news footage and cultural images to explore how social mood drives trends in movies, music, fashion, economics, politics, the media and even the stock market.

Beware Complacency -- And Hand-Addressed Envelopes

Updated: June 2, 2015

Media stories in the past week have highlighted the numerous failures in recent years in biolabs around the United States ...

Matt Lampert on Mood and Marijuana

Updated: June 2, 2015

Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert joined Bert Martinez from Money for Lunch Online Radio on October 5, 2015, to discuss the connection between mood and marijuana and where he thinks the marijuana legalization movement is headed next.

Conflict or Cooperation: In North Korea It's a Matter of Social Mood

Updated: May 29, 2015

Socionomist Chuck Thompson explains that the nation's greatest seasons of cooperation with other countries tend to occur during positive mood periods, while its most intense displays of conflict and aggression tend to occur during negative mood periods.

Freedom to Create Acronyms

Updated: May 27, 2015

If you look closely, you can see patterns in social mood that help you predict social behaviors.

Mood Riffs Has GOT Gotten Too Dark

Updated: May 19, 2015

"The creepiest ending to a Game of Thrones episode ever."

Mood Riffs The Frame Is Extra

Updated: May 15, 2015

Pablo Picasso's Women of Algiers sold for 160 million dollars, crushing the world record.

Socionomist Forecasts UK Election Outcome in Real-Time

Updated: May 12, 2015

Polls had the 2015 UK General Election at a dead heat. But Charlie Aitken looked at the data socionomically and reached a different conclusion.

Reopening the Tinderbox: Negatively Trending Mood and the European Union

Updated: May 4, 2015

Brian Whitmer reports that now more than ever, Europe is running out of optimism.

Blazing Green: The Socionomics of the Next Wave of Pot Legalization

Updated: January 4, 2015

In a presentation on October 27, 2015, Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert updated the state of the marijuana legalization movement in the United States and considered where it may be headed next.

Socionomics Explained

Updated: July 23, 2013

Robert Prechter discusses the socionomic insight and explains how he developed the theory in this engaging interview.

Social Mood AV

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Social Mood AV

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The Drug War Extracts A Toll to the South, and, Hip to Be Square

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For almost five decades, the so-called "Drug War" in the United States has done what war always does: Compel payments best quantified by blood and treasure. Yet that drug war is not confined within U.S. borders. It has involved mind-boggling greater payments of blood and treasure from the country along the U.S. southern border. And social mood has played an important, if little-understood role.

French Election: Socialism, Bull & Bear Markets -- and Social Mood

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A look at sentiment and social mood across Europe as French voters head to the polls on Sunday to elect France's new president. Plus, learn why looking at the U.S. dollar, interest rates and politics are the wrong tools when trying to forecast the price action in gold. And this Canadian city this size is an ideal candidate to preview real estate trends in Canada and in the United States.

Pop Trends, Price Culture Joins the Full Suite of Socionomic Research

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If you're a regular listener, you know the range of mood-related topics we've covered: Everything from movies to music to baseball to TV to war, and politics and urban planning and marijuana and vigilantes and presidents and comedy ... and economics & finance. We'll keep covering those topics, and more. Robert Folsom explains why monthly episodes of Pop Trends, Price Culture will now join the full suite of social mood research.

Old Dixie, Androgyny, Inclusion: To Comprehend is Better Than Going Numb

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"I've never seen that before" should be the exception to how we respond to the daily news cycle ... but these days, it seems more like the rule. And I suspect that for a lot of people, this kind of "new normal" may soon seem so abnormal that they become numb, and/or simply tune out. Yet there's a better choice than "numb and/or tune out." Namely, to comprehend. That's the insight social mood allows.

Is this like 1968 ... Or 1937 ... Or 1984?

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It's getting to harder and harder to find useful comparisons: Is this like 1968? ... or 1937? ... or 1984? Is he Reagan or Nixon or Andrew Jackson or Herbert Hoover? It may feel like we're orbiting around an unnamed planet, but rest assured: The law of gravity has not been revoked. Social mood is at work in the politics of the moment -- and beyond. Listen on to hear what we see.

Why a "Nation of Immigrants" Can't Agree On Immigration

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Immigration policy has been an epic contradiction all thru U.S. history. America is "a nation of immigrants," yet major political trends in American frequently include outbursts of anti-immigration sentiment. Pop Trends, Price Culture offers a way to un-puzzle this issue -- including recent-cases-in-point -- via the clarity that comes with understanding social mood.

Global Uncertainty, Global Trade, Presidential Scandals: Three Topics, One Influence

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Global uncertainty. Global trade. And, presidential scandals. These are the news topics we consider this week, and there's no need to explain just how relevant they are right now. Even so: what we can explain is how these issues reflect the influence of social mood. Listen on and hear for yourself.

Immigration, "Trump Bounce" & More

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Learn how looking at social mood can offer clarity to one of America's oldest ongoing political controversies, plus why Elliott Wave International believes the "Trump Bump" was in the cards LONG before Trump, and lastly, the BIG story everyone missed in 2016 and what it means for you now.

Venezuela, France and Beyond: The Sun Never Sets on Mood

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The sun never sets on social mood -- and around the world, upheaval and apprehension now fill our screens and headlines, in the mix of mood and politics.

European Elections

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Social mood translates into the tight race at the polls in the French election. In Europe, we're seeing bond market behavior that resembles what occurred before the credit crises in 2008, 2010 and 2012. Outlook for the British pound and currency markets following the UK's call for a snap election.

3 Microphones on Mood, Politics and the "Peaceful" Transfer of Power

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In our first ever 3-microphone episode, Alan Hall, Senior Analyst for The Socionomist, joins Robert Folsom and T.R. for an open discussion of social mood, politics, and the "peaceful" transfer of power in Washington D.C.

Flowers Fire Powered, Globalization Crash & Burn, and No Mood for Honeymoon

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The more interesting something seems, the more likely you are to engage with it emotionally. Interest and emotion are hard to keep separate -- the closer you look, the more your rational mind can begin to give way to the whims of like and dislike. And boy, have we ever started to "live in interesting times." An understanding of social mood is not a superpower that allows emotion-free insights. Yet, it can help equip you with an analytical perspective, to help distinguish facts from fake-news fiction. Listen on and see if you agree.

Apologies, Fashion Police, and "Rural Purges"

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Can apologies fall "out of fashion"? Yes indeed, especially grand-scale apologies made for grand-scale injustices done in the past. Negative vs. positive social mood drives the desire to express regret, or not. Listen on to hear what we see.

Vaccinations Opioids and the Health Risks of Linear Thinking

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What was the most successful medical program in human history? Here's a hint: It began with a counterintuitive, non-linear solution. Yet, social mood at present suggests that counterintuitive thinking is short supply, in helping to solve a current, huge health crisis.

Avoid Myths. Watch the "Trigger" Non-Linear is Healthy

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We're living thru an especially ironic moment. More people have more time to learn more information more easily than ever in history. And yet ... we're also up to our collective waists in junk science, fake news, group-think and shameless propaganda. In other words: It's never been more important to have a sharp "B.S" detector. An understanding of social mood is an important step in that direction. Listen on to hear what we see.

Elections Open the Door in the Moment and into the Future

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Elections open the doors and windows for the expression of social mood -- those expressions are obviously specific to the moment, yet "elections have consequences" into the future as well. Populism, nationalism, anti-establishment sentiment and the like have been unfolding before our eyes around the world. It's really, really important to understand the trend.

European Politics & Social Mood

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We start by looking at the Dutch election and the future of politics in Europe. Our European Markets Expert offered his perspective on what's next for EU stocks and politics. The Lead Developer of EWAVES artificial intelligence software talks about how EWAVES is different from other Elliott wave programs.

Also in This Week's News: Are "Facts" Evidence of Partisanship

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This past week in the news has been like 40 gallons of crazy compressed into a 20-gallon tank. It's too much to keep up with. It's like you want to slap the next person who says "I've never seen this before," except ... you keep hearing yourself say that. Consider the role of social mood, and the idea that "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence."

Before Our Eyes: Mood from Wikileaks to Cuba to Vigilantes

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Allow me to state the obvious: Nobody is ever not surprised. So: The important follow-up question is, "How often are you surprised?" A working knowledge of social mood trends really does reduce the element of "surprise" in how you read the news -- and see the world.

Sentiment Extremes, Muni Bonds & Trump Impeachment

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Sentiment gets one-sided only at certain points in the markets' Elliott wave pattern. Learn what sentiment gauges are telling you about the market trend. Yield spreads widen for Illinois, Connecticut and New Jersey. Muni bond yield spreads will make you wonder about the future. President Trump finds his administration embroiled in controversy and investigation. Learn how social mood will influence the outcome of this chapter in American history.

Spotlight on Europe and Asia

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Today's episode of Elliott Wave Weekly takes a deeper look at the social mood landscape across Europe and Asia.

Negative Social Mood ... Goes to A Baseball Game

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It had been a bear market for a lot of years. The headlines were a parade of scary bad news. People were so polarized that fan groups began to hate on each another's music -- hostility so strong that it became its own trend. Then, an episode of this negative mood literally exploded its way into America's National Pastime: Namely, in the outfield between games of a double header.

Where There's Smoke - and Where There's Not - There IS Social Mood

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"Smoke" is the metaphor or image people commonly use to warn that the heat from a small combustion may soon become a much larger blaze. And that's the word that came to my mind in listening to Brian Whitmer's discussion of populist politics in Europe. The word smoke does of course still carry an important literal meaning -- as in, the stuff that does your lungs no good. This week, the literal and metaphorical smoke we spotted in the news adds up to mood-driven events. Listen on to hear what we see.

In a World of Increasing Opportunity, Why So Much World-Wide Political Anger?

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More education. More information. More entertainment. More quality goods and services to consume… All this we have, or have available to us. When we live in a world with increasing opportunities to improve our own quality of life, then why do political outcomes world-wide seem to express so much dissatisfaction, grievance and anger? That's a big question, and I don't pretend to have simple & fast answers. But at least one can ask. And social mood needs to be part of the discussion that follows.

What Positive Mood Actually Does and When to Stay Current with Your Flu Shot

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What does positive social mood actually do? For starters, if you're in a population that has enjoyed an extended period of positive mood, outbreaks of disease are less likely to happen. If mood is positive and you personally hold a relatively higher place in the social hierarchy, odds are even higher that you'll avoid an outbreak of disease. Alas, of course, if those circumstances apply to you in reverse … well, be especially mindful to stay current with your flu shot (etc). Let's get started.

His Voice Rings Like a Bell: Politics and the English Language

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Political language is front & center today, more so than at any time in decades. News or fake news, plus liars, lies, damned lies and statistics, have blurred the line between fact, opinion, and shameless BS. This episode excerpts an essay that could not be more relevant. It's from a time when social mood was recognizably similar to our own: Polarization ran deep, all disagreements were politicized, fear of "The Other" ran rampant. People felt threatened by certain ideologies. Listen for yourself to just how familiar it sounds...

FDR The Words and Deeds of the Commander in Chief

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Just before he was re-elected to his third term as president, Franklin D. Roosevelt assured the public that America would not go to war. But go to war it did -- complete with harsh anti-immigration laws, and tens of thousands of naturalized citizens in "relocation camps" No, this isn't a re-run of our previous episode. Different president, different war -- but social mood was very much alike.

A Last Look at "Before," So Buckle Up For the "After"

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Next week we'll have one less topic to talk about. Well, to be exact, we'll have moved from the "before" to the "after." Point being, yes -- we all want the election to be over. But the trend that drives what comes next (including how the public responds) depends on social mood. Let's get started.

Global Sentiment and the US Election

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Our first segment gives you a sneak peek of what analysts at Elliott Wave International have been watching in U.S. and global stocks, forex, metals, interest rates, energy and social mood. Next we take a look at legalization of recreational marijuana and answer the important question, why now? Lastly, we take a deeper look at Obamacare and reveal the real reason it's coming unglued.

Mood Has Consequences: Post Election 2016

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Evidence of the profoundly polarized electorate could not be more clear: One presidential candidate won a narrow majority of the popular vote, the other presidential candidate prevailed in the Electoral College. There is a pre-condition for polarization -- namely, social mood. Please read on. There's a lot to talk about, including legal cannabis and California secession.

Out With Old is Fine - But You Still Need a Better Model

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In recent decades, many popular models of human behavior -- in politics, urban planning, and financial markets -- have been discarded. The problem with them was...They didn't work. Those flawed models assumed a type of efficiency and rationality in collective human behavior that simply isn't there. Alas, it's easier to toss out the old flawed model than it is to replace it with a better one. But we're working on a social mood model that's really, really promising.

Trump, Puerto Rico & Stock Volatility

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When Donald Trump announced he was running for president in June 2015, many traditional pundits and political commentators brushed him off. In this new interview, Robert Folsom explains how Trump rode a wave of negative social mood to the top. Next is Brian Whitmer who talks about the Puerto Rican debt crisis and explains why the country's recent default "was not a surprise" to him and others at EWI. Last we hear from Bob Stokes. Periods of low stock market volatility are usually followed by high volatility. On March 18, volatility was non-existent. Since then, volatility has jumped.

More Than 'Right Below the Surface' Mood Gets to the Bottom of the Stories

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After you peel back the spectacle, a lot of news these days is hard to read. Threats and hard-to-calculate risks dwell right below the surface. Yet an understanding of social mood allows you to go deeper than 'right below the surface' -- you can actually get to the bottom of the story. And not just one story… but the trend itself, which drives so many otherwise unrelated events.

Part 1: How - and Why - We Go to War

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For the past 100 years, social mood has been pivotal in America’s decisions to go to war. This episode of Pop Trends, Price Culture shows just how true this is was for World War I – despite...

Part 2: How - and Why - We Go to War

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Just before he was re-elected, the President assured the public that America would not go to war. But go to war it did -- complete with harsh anti-immigration laws, and tens of thousands of naturalized citizens in "relocation camps." No, this isn't a re-run of our previous episode. Different president, different war -- but social mood was very much alike.

Do It For the Children (or can they 'Do' for themselves?)

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Legalization: An influence for teens to smoke pot? The 'King of emotional arguments' goes up against a serious body of facts and evidence, as this episode of Pop Trends Price Culture considers whether the social mood trend will finish what it started.

Consumers.Technology. Markets & Society. The Law. What's the Thread?

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The stories we offer this week cover a wide range -- including how consumers behave, the role of technology, how markets and social actions are linked, even 'what's legal for adults' as an influence on 'the behavior of teens.' What's the thread that runs through a range of topics that wide? The thread we call social mood, of course...

Potheads OFF, Religion DOWN, Denali UP (& more!)

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The 'hat' a person chooses to wear, or wants to remove, or for that matter likes or dislikes to begin with -- reflects social mood.

Social Mood: Global, Local, and More Measureable - Right Now

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Week in & week out, social mood brings focus to the fuzz of news. This week's lens-in-focus looks at darker shades of global events, your local theatre, and the potential power to measure mood in social media...

"Social Events" -- Like The Jungle Book & Facebook's Forewarning -- "Come From Somewhere"

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I enjoyed meeting and speaking with friends and subscribers this past weekend, during our annual Social Mood Conference in Atlanta. It's a day dedicated to gleaning the trend in mood, as it shows itself in the never-boring flow of news and events we bring you on this each week. Please listen on and plug in.

Pop Star Chameleon, Dark Corners, Political Prisoners - and More

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Podcast listeners will probably recall Dennis Elam from our 4th of July episode, "Hear How An Independent Mind Truly Works." Dr. Elam will join us for the 2016 Social Mood Conference in April, which is fast approaching. More on that when you listen on - plus dark real estate, David Bowie, and the role of social mood in the outcome of political protests.

Why "Dissatisfaction With Government" Is Doing So Well

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"What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today"? Gallup asks this question in its monthly "Social Series" poll of Americans. Throughout 2015, the most common answer by far was "Dissatisfaction with government/Congress/politicians." Mood-driven anger really can be its own trend -- a thought worth keeping in mind as you read our first item below, and during the political season ahead.

Conference Preview: Dr. Dennis Elam Combines Pop Culture and Finance

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Dr. Dennis Elam is a tenured accounting professor at Texas A&M University-San Antonio. He is an expert in finance, yet Professor Elam blows up stereotypes about the accounting profession. He's incredibly well versed in popular culture: his insights go from Richard Pryor, to themes in cinema, to the "mob museum" in Las Vegas. Dr. Elam will join us as a featured speaker on April 9 in Atlanta, for the 2016 Social Mood Conference.

A Safari Hunter Meets Social Mood: Conference Preview

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Alastair Macdonald has a pretty cool resume: Successful business owner, stockbroker on Wall Street, and a real estate investor. Yet he was born & raised in Zimbabwe, so before his career in finance he was a professional hunter and safari guide -- including leading a National Geographic film crew on a safari on the Zambezi River. Alastair has had amazing success using socionomics to anticipate major trend changes: This episode is a preview of what he'll have to say as a speaker at our Social Mood conference this coming April 9th in Atlanta.

Negative Social Mood: The "Mortar" That Builds Big Walls?

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When you see or hear about a really big wall going up, negative social mood is probably at work. Seriously. A very tall and/or long wall is, by definition, exclusive. It's a barrier designed to keep people in or out. How do the dots connect?

Relevant Revisit: Econ to Comedy - The Ruin of Heroes

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This week's headlines make this episode from April 2015 a "relevant revisit": What could the Federal Reserve and comedian Bill Cosby possibly have in common? In a sentence, “Ruined reputations, thanks to negative social mood.” Yes it sounds bizarre -- but hear Robert Folsom and TR explore WHY the ugly hidden truths about heroes (and heroic institutions) can so suddenly make news. Listen for yourself.

Harsh Border Controls and Possible Censorship -- But We Don't Neglect Redemption

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The U.S. stock market hit its peak for 2015 in May, but has spent a lot of time since then trending lower. And it's not "news" to say that the news itself this year seemed like a flow of mostly negative headlines. We try to keep you a step ahead -- with mood-related stories that are off (or barely on) the radar. So it is this episode ...

"Elvis, Frankenstein and Andy Warhol"

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When and where did a national audience first read about popular culture and the stock market? This episode of Pop Trends, Price Culture answers that question, and spells out why the insight about social mood is more relevant today than ever.

What About the When of Saying I'm Sorry?

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"I'm sorry" -- it's the first truly hard-to-say phrase we repeat as children. We all know why apologies matter. Yet with big public apologies, what about the when? Are big apologies more frequent in certain recognizable eras? Pop Trends, Price Culture explains how social mood feeds the emotions that motivate "I'm sorry"...

"Very Specific Behaviors" -- The Rise in Home Prices, Paid Dating and Apologies

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Social mood drives social actions. It just does. And those actions -- or collective behaviors -- are very specific, depending on whether mood is positive or negative. And, in recent years, the mood trend has been mostly positive. That's the context to help define this week's news selection...

How to Hear Mood in the Voices of Great Black Comedians

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You know their names -- Pryor, Cosby, Eddie Murphy and more -- the great black comedians of the past 50 years. Yet you may not realize how these great comic voices were also the "audio track" for the trends and turns in social mood across the decades. Our friend Dr. Dennis Elam tells the story.

What Happened When A Safari Hunter Met Social Mood

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Alastair MacDonald has a pretty cool resume: Successful business owner, stockbroker on Wall Street, and a real estate investor. Yet he was born & raised in Zimbabwe, so before his career in finance he was a professional hunter and safari guide. Alastair has had amazing success using socionomics to anticipate major trend changes. Hear his story now.

Where You Find Social Mood Really DOES Depend on Where You Look

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Let's face it: Totalitarian governments rarely get pushback from citizens, especially in a place like North Korea. Folks there just don't get up in arms about cable company mergers and phone surveillance...

These Nations Are "Near," But Their Mood Is "Far" (and more!)

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What does positive social mood actually do? For starters, it helps you hold your cushy job as Prime Minister of a country everybody knows. But -- in another country everybody also knows -- negative...

Dark in Fiction, Dark in Fact: Will YOU Be Ready When "It Gets Real"?

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Our mix of stories this week literally reflect today's mixed social mood. The Dow Industrials stand near an all-time high. But a swirl of events -- from ultra-violent fiction on HBO, to real mayhem in Texas, to the virtually unreported stories of government power grabs...

Turmoil, Resentment and Peril on Land, Sea and ... in Cyberspace

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This week we can observe social mood from three different angles, literally -- on land, on the sea, and in cyberspace. What's more, these stories -- violence in the streets, death at sea, and the resentment of prosperity -- each have a history that socionomics brings into focus...

Old Tech/New Tech: Spying on U.S. Citizens Is Mood Off the Rails

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The 100-year rise of the security state did NOT happen in subtle steps across decades. Instead, nearly all the growth came during identifiable SURGES — specific periods when the downtrend in social mood fueled the uptrend of authoritarianism. Get the story in this week’s episode of Pop Trends, Price Culture.

Wrong Political Question at Home, Tinderbox Abroad, and a Bad for the Brain Sugar Habit

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Social mood this week previews the wrong question about politics at home and an incendiary assessment of the Euro-trend offer two previews of the future. And in the present, Warren Buffet's beverage.

A Most Universally Mistaken Assumption: Events "Lead," Mood "Follows"

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The Internet is very good at giving digital consumers what they want -- from the stupid and salacious, to the brilliant and beautifully written. Alas, what's all-too rare is any discussion of social mood as its own topic...

A Social Mood Primer on the Benefits of Self Awareness

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"I just learned something new!" Enthusiasm goes well with those words. New knowledge can be very pleasing. But, what if the "something new" is a truth about yourself that is not pleasing? ...

Cracking the Mysteries of Biology with Big-Picture Social Mood

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High school science teachers like to say that biology helps us understand ourselves. Clearly so. But, some recent news stories about biology in the lab -- plus other news stories about biology "on the street" -- describe biology-related outcomes in ways that many people find scary, and/or downright perplexing...

Extreme Optimism Has Consequences

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First up. Robert Prechter explains that social mood is really the driver of financial markets. Next learn why our indicators suggest that now is the time to make the move to outsmart Wall Street. Last you'll hear about the effects of the housing bubble first hand.

Econ to Comedy: The Ruin of Heroes

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What could the Federal Reserve and comedian Bill Cosby possibly have in common? In a sentence, “Ruined reputations, thanks to negative social mood.” Yes it sounds bizarre -- but hear Robert Folsom and TR explore WHY the ugly hidden truths about heroes (and heroic institutions) can so suddenly make news. Listen for yourself.

Social Mood Gets It -- Like "Instant Replay" for Collective Trends and Events

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Instant replay in sports is a great use of technology -- not only to re-watch good plays, but also to remind us how much we fail to see even while we're watching. It's no stretch to say that socionomics is a kind of instant replay for collective trends and events...

Part II: Mood in the Voices of Great Black Comedians

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After the long-term stock market low in late 1974, positive social mood slowly began to build. Cultural evidence of the positive turn became visible in the success of great black comedians on stage, in film, and on television. Our friend Dr. Dennis Elam delivers part two of the story.

CoCo Bonds, Gold & Social Mood

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Pete Kendall tells you about the emergence of the so-called CoCo bonds, one of the hottest new derivative-backed instruments on Wall Street. Gold's price trend has baffled investors at almost every turn. Today, gold's wave pattern is clear, and Elliott-minded investors are benefiting. The Director of the Socionomics Institute discusses his journey with socionomics, the importance of social mood, and how socionomics helps you spot market reversals and trends early.

Marijuana, Eight Presidents, One Neurosurgeon - and Social Mood

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What made a sitting president go on TV to show America a big bag of crack cocaine - literally? And what made a later president drop the phrase “War On Drugs” from his vocabulary?

Feel the Sentiment. Feel the "Inclusive" -- See Social Mood at Work

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Social mood is trending mostly positive -- so keep an eye out not only for which stories make the news, but also how that news gets reported. Listen on to see what we see in this week's news.

Annabelle

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Three hugely popular horror movies, and three simultaneous stock market declines. Is that just a semi-interesting coincidence... or could the timing of bear markets in stocks and the popularity of horror movies amount to a jaw-dropping history of social mood?

Profanity, Comedy and Social Mood

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Social mood transformed a pair of conventional comedians -- George Carlin and Richard Pryor -- into two of history's greatest stand up comedians. Hear the story you haven't heard told until now.

Politics, China & Social Mood

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Today we start with a question asked during every US presidential election. Which party is better for stocks? Elliott Wave International correspondent Bob Stokes answers that question and more. The next feature is a new interview with Chris Carolan where he puts the Shanghai Composite's recent 6% decline in perspective with the overall trend. The last feature today again comes from our friends at the Socionomics Institute. Matt Lampert, the director of the institute, recently sat down to chat about socionoimcs and explain when the light bulb started to go off for him.

Social Mood, Gold and Commodities

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Matt Lampert, the director of the Socionomics Institute spoke with Dr. Jon Fassett who will bring his knowledge and enthusiasm for fractals in nature and finance to the 2016 Social Mood Conference. Correspondent Bob Stokes brings us our next feature and explains how you can get ahead of gold's rally. Last up today is an analyst spotlight on Jeffrey Kennedy. Learn how Jeff got introduced to the financial markets and ultimately the Wave Principle.

U.S. Treasuries, Classic Prechter & Real Estate

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China is dumping U.S. Treasuries. So is Russia and Brazil. Are interest rates set to soar? Learn why now may be the time to question the safe-haven status of U.S. government bonds. EWI correspondent Bob Stokes reports. The following is a timeless clip from Robert Prechter's presentation as the annual Social Mood Conference. Take a listen as Bob explores price action in crude oil to deliver an important investment lesson for all of us. Today's last feature comes to us again from correspondent Bob Stokes. Homeowners were using their homes as ATMs around the time of the 2006 peak in housing prices. Today, many people are again borrowing against their homes. A home is no longer just "a man's castle. Learn why the housing market is prone to "boom and bust."

Elections: Women, Bear Markets, Pot and More

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If you're familiar with the science of socionomics, you're already aware that an uncanny correlation exists between social mood trends and the success or failure of politicians. Today's first feature is a clip from the 2008 documentary History's Hidden Engine which explains the relationship between the stock market and presidential elections. In this next report from Elliott Wave International correspondent Bob Stokes, he explains that the gender barrier tends to dissipate during stock market downturns. And politics is a high-profile field where women have risen to prominence during bear markets. The last feature in today's episode is a little more socionomic in nature than most episodes of Elliott Wave Weekly, but it sticks with the theme of presidential politics. A few weeks ago I sat down with the Socionomic Institute's Matt Lampert to talk about the state of the marijuana legalization movement in the US and where it might be headed next.

Know What Happens Before It Happens

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We kick off this week's episode with a clip from Robert Prechter. Bob speaks every year at the annual Social Mood Conference that's put on by our sister company the Socionomics Institute. This next clip is an excerpt from his 2014 presentation when Bob explained The Submarine Analogy and how socionomists anticipate beneath-the-surface changes in mass psychology. Many view bear markets as simply a downturn in stock prices. But as you just heard from Robert Prechter, societal changes also tend to accompany trend changes in the stock market. In this next report, Elliott Wave International correspondent Bob stokes looks at the rise of women in bear markets and explains that the gender barrier tends to dissipate during stock market downturns. As the 2016 presidential election heats up, Bob reveals whether "gender barrier" will be shattered in the months ahead. Today's last feature comes from Elliott Wave International's Global Opportunities Expert, Chris Carolan who looks at the latest price action in China's Shanghai Composite to explain how the Elliott Wave Principle helps you anticipate and prepare for market moves.

The True Story She Tells is Unforgettable: See & Hear It For Yourself

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During the April 2013 Social Mood Conference, we knew going in that we had exceptional roster of expert speakers. Numerous PhDs, the Chief Scientist at a hot Silicon Valley startup, a tenured professor at Cambridge. Yet Marah Boyesen -- who teaches socionomics as part of a finance course in a private high school -- was the speaker who got our attention more than any other. The true story she told is unforgettable. This week, you can see and hear it for yourself. Plus: Immigration, North Korea, and the social mania that was not fueled simply by the unsophisticated and gullible crowd.

An Explanation of the Pokémon Go Craze You Won't Hear Elsewhere

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Why are so many people are playing Pokémon Go? For starters, it's lighthearted fun. Catching Pokémon is kind of like when you chased fireflies as a kid -- they're cool. You want to catch 'em, not kill 'em. And, hordes of Millennials are playing Pokémon Go out of nostalgia: They grew up on Pokémon and now it's on their single-most indispensable device -- the cell phone. Less obvious is the peer pressure -- which is a watered down way of describing social mood. Yes, I'm going there. And I can credibly say that we started "going there" with Pokémon back in 1999...

The Coming Incivility - No Handshakes After This Election

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Even hard-core political junkies have labored to keep up with the 2016 election headlines. Yet in the onslaught of news, there is a huge untold story: Social mood is depopulating the two major political parties…

The Words and Deeds of the Commander–in-Chief

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For the past 100 years, social mood has been pivotal in America’s decisions to go to war. This episode of Pop Trends, Price Culture shows just how true this was for World War I – despite then-president Woodrow Wilson’s promises to remain neutral. 

Election 2016: After All the Bluster and Outrage, Is There Still an "Untold" Story?

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The 2016 election cycle has been very loud and long. So it's hard to imagine that there's a big "untold story" left to tell. Yet we believe we have one. Namely, that social mood has polarized the American electorate to levels unseen in almost 80 years of survey data. The two major political parties are being depopulated, even as self-identified "independents" are becoming basically a third pole in the polarization.

You Only THINK You're Solo When You Drive and Globalization

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Driving your car is a solo activity. In truth, however, we're almost never truly alone when we drive… … Because, we have to share the road with other drivers. Sometimes lots and lots of other drivers. Meaning, road travel is a collective activity with clearly observable patterns of collective behavior. Does this mean that some periods include patterns of safer driving? The evidence says, "Absolutely." Hear the evidence for yourself -- plus all about the role social mood plays in "Globalization," as well as the current reappearance of America's oldest political controversy.

America's Oldest Political Controversy, Front and Center Again

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Immigration policy has been an epic contradiction all thru U.S. history. America is “a nation of immigrants,” yet major political trends in American frequently include outbursts of anti-immigration sentiment. Pop Trends, Price Culture offers a way to un-puzzle this issue – including recent-cases-in-point – via the clarity that comes with understanding social mood.

American History's Greatest One-Man Barometer of Social Mood

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Master political infighter. Student of human weakness. Bureaucrat supreme. Brilliant Machiavellian schemer. And, "American History's Greatest One-Man Barometer of Social Mood." Discover who this person was -- through a socionomic lens.

Political Extremes Polarization and Political Correctness Oh My

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Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert has valuable and timely insights into social mood's role in presidential elections. In this clip taken from his Oct. 14 presentation Talking Politics: Mood, Market, and Decision 2016, Matt shows you what's driving the political extremes in this year's election, record number party polarization, and the decline of political correctness.  
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