Search Results for "Stocks"
It's not quite time for the so-called Santa Claus Rally. And yet, it's easy to get disheartened when you see stocks struggle and fail to make progress for days. That's when you may wish to consider turning to Elliott wave analysis.
The U.S. GDP growth has just been revised upward. That, many experts say, sets the stage for a stock market rally -- because the economy leads and the stock market follows. Right? At least, that’s what almost everyone believes. But even a brief glance at recent history proves otherwise.
The investor stampede out of stocks has produced some of the most furious selling since the 2007-2008 financial crisis. Learn why ill-prepared money managers are contributing to the stunning downtrend.
U.S. stocks have had a rough week -- and for many observers, it's been a "head-scratcher." what's bothering the stock market? We offer a simple explanation -- one based on Elliott wave analysis, which is at the core of what we do.
What do governments, overseas buyers of U.S. stocks, corporations and even millionaires have in common? Answer: All of them have shown lousy stock market timing. Our independent analysis keeps you ahead of market turns.
August was the worst month for the Dow in five years, yet many investors remain optimistic about stocks. If a bear market has started, history shows that many of these investors will hold all the way down. Take a look at a chart that is most revealing.
Is Donald Trump good or bad for stocks? The financial press says both! Such blatant contradictions appear regularly in the media. Keep an eye on the market itself. The Dow's price pattern pointed to a new all-time high months before the election, and anticipates what's next.
Almost everyone knows that stocks are risky. Yet, new evidence shows that stock picking is fraught with even more risk than many investors might realize. Let's look at the return profiles of individual stocks from a recent academic study.
A review of past market tops shows that many of them were accompanied by the same warning signs. We highlight two of them. Plus, a chart shows a trap that's about to snap shut on stocks.
The Dow's 1000-point slide this week put it solidly in the red for 2015. The S&P 500, too. Even the white-hot NASDAQ was down 6% for the week. Is this a "normal correction" -- or are the "bubble days" really over?
What should you make of the recent big sell-off, a rally -- and now, another sell-off in U.S. stocks? Here are some tips from Tom Prindaville, editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service.
Positive economic reports are said to be bullish for the stock market, while negative data are bearish. But is this accurate? What a strange question, you may say -- but please take a look at this chart...
Decades of research reveals that events outside the market do not govern the market's main trend, not even war. See these four charts and decide for yourself.
Except for a couple of turbulent days in early September, this fall season has so far been as uneventful for the markets as this past summer was. But that's likely to change.
Bear markets are faster than bull markets. Why? Because bear markets are driven by fear. Greed is a "slower" emotion. That's why it took the DJIA less than a week to erase the entire rally that took two years. But wait...
Knowledge of classic chart patterns can be of enormous value to you. For example, a contracting diagonal takes a wedge shape within two converging lines, and is the most common form for an ending diagonal. This knowledge helped us anticipate Sept. 9's stock market volatility, even though the market had traded sideways for most of the summer.
It's a bit like watching Old Faithful fail to erupt when it should: To see a market "correlation" become disconnected can be unsettling. For weeks the media has looked at oil prices to forecast stocks. But Tuesday morning (Feb. 9) a CNBC headline said this...
Small investors have grown apathetic toward the stock market. On the other hand, institutional investors like hedge funds are extremely bullish. There's a parallel in market history.
Something unprecedented has just occurred in the stock market. A researcher calls this market action "unheard of" and we believe you should prepare for more of the same. Two charts are instructive.
Elliott wave-minded investors must be adaptable to a changing market environment in order to be successful. Deductive reasoning is the best approach. See how Elliott waves and supporting technical evidence helped us stay on track with a bullish forecast for the DJIA.
Apple Inc. is by far the world’s largest company measured by market capitalization. But the Elliott Wave Principle tells a story that every Apple investor should know.
Now that the stock market has recovered from its mid-December slump, it's a good time to talk about the one culprit that almost everyone said was behind the Dow's big slide: namely, crude oil.
Robert Kelley tells you how he uses divergences between related markets -- and what they're telling him now about the markets he follows.
Our Intraday Asian Stocks Analyst, Matthew Gress, tells you what Monday's (July 27) sharp decline in the Shanghai Composite means for the index going forward.
Just weeks before the 2007 stock market top, a big clue appeared in the bond market. Today, similar developments are occurring in the bond market. See two charts: one from 2007 and the other from today.
With all the bullish talk on Wall Street these days, it's easy to overlook some important facts. For example, since January, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is actually almost flat. And that's not all.
On August 31, Wall Street officially bid adieu to the fiscal Q2 2016. And, according to the experts, “better-than-estimated earnings” lifted U.S. stocks to record highs. The problem is, that’s just one side of the story. The other side you don’t want to miss.
You've probably noticed that lately, oil and stocks have been moving in unison -- so much so that today, people say that cheap oil is bearish for stocks, and higher oil prices are bullish. But do you remember that not that long ago, they said precisely the opposite?
Stocks rallied on Thursday (Jan. 14) -- but tanked again on Friday (Jan. 15), probably making the previously reported $3.2-trillion loss in the value of global stocks even bigger. But how can that be? Doesn't money simply move from one asset class to another?
Market bears have suffered a severe shellacking as stocks embarked on a record-breaking run. But a classic Elliott wave price pattern gave investors a heads-up a year ago. See for yourself.
How much longer will investors remain enamored with risk-assets like stocks? The evidence suggests that a major shift toward financial conservatism is underway. See the evidence and decide for yourself.
The bedrock belief that earnings drive stock prices permeates Wall Street. About a third of S&P companies report this week, and investors are watching. But have they bothered to investigate the evidence about earnings and stocks? We have.
You may remember that in 2008-2009, as the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression was ravaging stocks, real estate, commodities and other "can't-lose" asset classes, many called into question traditional economic models, as well as the Fed's "omnipotence."
Tom Prindaville, EWI's U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service editor, tells you why you shouldn't be afraid of volatility and why it's important to maintain more than one Elliott wave count -- especially in challenging and volatile market environments.
It's almost Christmas, "the hap-happiest season of all." Yet, here's a sobering fact for U.S. investors: As this chart shows, the S&P 500 stocks are actually lower now than at the end of last year.
At times like this, many people say: "Well, of course stocks are down -- after a six-year bull market without much of a correction." Yet, even if it feels like the decline was "only natural," in reality very few market experts said so on the record. In fact...
According to the mainstream financial experts, there are 3 key causes for the biggest stock market retreat in more than 2 years; they are: Alibaba, Ebola... and voodoo black magic (well, sort of).
The stock market's long-term trend appears to be at a historic juncture. A legendary hedge fund manager has raised a red flag, saying "Few, if any, will escape unscathed."
The bull market has given rise to the "equitizations of individuals." Individual brand names like Oprah and Trump represent wealth much like stocks and bonds. But historic extremes in such brand awareness might serve as a cautionary signal. Take note of the share price performance of Weight Watchers.
Financial reporters seek a "cause and effect" to explain the stock market's action on a given day. For example, Aug. 5 headlines said the strong jobs report triggered the session's rally. Seems logical, but on May 6, stocks also rallied when the jobs number disappointed. The Wave Principle offers a valuable alternative to looking for market "catalysts."
Asian markets have been a mixed bag lately. Here, Elliott Wave International's Matthew Gress offers you his take on recent market action -- and a new opportunity he's most excited about.
What you clearly see during these years is: The ups and downs in total merger & acquisition value correlate with the stock market trend. Put simply, the same sentiment (or mood) is at work.
Pete Kendall and his colleague Steve Hochberg have co-edited our flagship monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast since 1999. In this interview, Pete draws from his extensive experience to show you where the markets are at right now -- and why he thinks there could be a turn in the markets very soon.
Should stock market bulls worry if a Democrat takes the White House in 2016? Or, should they celebrate if a Republican wins? We answer both questions with a chart that might surprise you.
Investment manias reach soaring heights. We've made an important observation about the market's action following a mania. Read about it, and see a chart of two similar-looking price forms that will help you to prepare for the months ahead.
Stock market price trends tell you much more than if portfolios are gaining or losing value. They give you a good idea of what to expect in society at large. For example, stocks lead the economy. Stocks lead movie productions. Stocks even lead inventors to invent.
The sentiment surrounding company stock buybacks goes from cheers to jeers. Also, a splintering is taking place in M&A deals. Are these signs of a historic trend shift in stocks?
As of 2013, the daily trading volume in foreign exchange was more than $5 TRILLION a day. EWI's currencies expert, Jim Martens, discusses the pros and cons of trading forex vs. trading stocks.
Our monthly European Financial Forecast editor, Brian Whitmer, explains why the current figures of credit demand bode problematic for European stocks.
See how this single market indicator warned of reversals in stocks in 2000 and 2007.
Steve Craig tells you why the presumption that stocks and oil are correlated is flawed.
Financial markets tend to turn when most investors least expect it. Deep complacency toward stocks suggests that more triple-digit Dow declines may be just ahead.
Mark Galasiewski tells you how his analysis of Indian stocks differs from the way he looks at other markets.
"GDP reflects corporate success. So do stock prices. So how could GDP not impact stocks?" -- Solid logic, and yet...
In this new Q&A with Murat Yilmaz, our European Stocks Intraday Analyst, you'll learn how the Wave Principle helps you see new trade opportunities, what he considers a "good" opportunity, the importance of risk management and more.
"If you knew earnings would rise for next 6 quarters, would you buy stocks?" Yes, it's a trick question.
"Rising oil prices reduce corporate and consumer spending, impacting stocks and the economy." Right? Wrong.
In 2016, the only thing more certain than death and taxes was a post-Brexit crisis that would wreak havoc on UK stocks. And then, the unthinkable happened.
EWI's European Intraday Stocks Analyst, Murat Yilmaz, gives you an overview of where European markets find themselves today. In particular, Murat gives you his thoughts on the SMI and FTSE 100.
"Peace lets companies innovate and compete, helping the economy." True -- and yet, stocks will go where they go.
Stocks are up. In fact, the DJIA added almost 700 points this week. And why not? Unemployment is down. Square and Match/OKCupid/Tinder's IPOs are doing well. Good news all around. That's why stocks are up. Right? Well, only if you read happy news stories...
On Tuesday (Aug. 18) China's Shanghai Composite fell more than 6% in one day. Here are some tips from EWI's Asian Intraday Stocks Pro Service analyst, Matthew Gress, on what to expect next.
Read this interview with Tom Prindaville, editor of our U.S. Stocks Intraday Pro Service, to get his take on the latest price action -- and new key price levels he's looking at.
Suddenly, the fact that -- prior to this crash -- China’s main Shanghai Composite index was up almost 40% YTD, seem a lot less relevant. Maybe Chinese stocks really were in a bubble? Here's one opinion you want to hear.
Investors shun stocks when they're cheap, but love them when they're over-valued. Financial herding occurs across all groups of investors, even among those who regularly advise against it. It's time to adopt another way of looking at the market.
With China's Shanghai Composite index up almost 40% YTD, and the tech-heavy Shenzhen Composite up more than 90%, are Chinese stocks in a bubble? It's a legitimate question. You'll find many answers out there, but this answer you won't want to miss.
Tom Prindaville, the editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service, tells you why he's looking for increased volatility heading into the month of October.
On Sept. 16-17, the Federal Reserve meets to decide whether or not to raise interest rates. It's been described as "the most important Fed meeting of the decade" -- and a pivotal moment for stocks. Yet, these four charts show you why it may not be.
The Fed just announced a 0.25% hike of its benchmark rate -- the second such move in the past three months. A long-held Wall Street belief is that higher rates mean a downturn in stock market prices. Let's put that belief to a test.
Every new earnings season analysts discuss their impact on the broad stock market. Yet, the idea of earnings driving the broad trend is a GIANT myth -- and this chart proves it.
Despite the recent gains in their sector, the CEOs of major U.S. financial institutions have been selling their own stock. This should grab the attention of investors like you. Here's what we have found usually happens following big market decisions by corporate insiders.
Should investors base market decisions on fundamental or technical analysis? A new study sheds light on this important question. Learn how the Elliott wave model helped prepare our subscribers for the recently ramped up market volatility.
Two bull market institutions are showing patterns of five-waves up. Elliott-minded investors know that this means the next trend points downward. See two charts that you will likely not find anywhere else.
The financial sector has been part of the so-called Trump Bump. A well-known hedge fund manager sees a golden age for banks. Our view is radically different. We expect that the most aggressive exploiters of the long bull market will face harsh future consequences.
U.S. companies have loaded up on debt. A Goldman Sachs strategist calls their balance-sheet health "increasingly alarming." Yet these same corporations are speculating in the stock market. "It's a strategy they will come to regret."
chart of the day | Consumer spending accounts for about 70% of the U.S. GDP, so the latest uptick in spending is happy news for stock market bulls. Except, there is one caveat.
An interesting thing happened on the way to the Dow surpassing 21,000: Corporate insider selling jumped "to levels rarely seen." Moreover, it's not just a short-term trend. History shows why investors should be concerned.
Actively managed mutual funds generally charge higher fees than passive index funds. Shareholders pay for the fund manager's supposed stock-picking skills. Find out why many investors are often disappointed, and especially so through the first half of 2016.
Pay attention to the market's momentum. The late Richard Russell of Dow Theory fame developed a proprietary configuration of eight market-based measures. We've created a momentum indicator from this configuration. Look at the chart.
For most of this summer, the U.S. stock market was about as volatile as a yoga retreat. Now, it's a model of turbulence. Yet somehow, the mainstream experts have insisted that both volatility scenarios are bullish! Keep reading...
We are in the era of skyscrapers on steroids. The race to construct the world's tallest building is on. How does this relate to financial markets? Find out.
The financial crisis that began in 2007 is becoming a hazy memory for many investors. But perhaps you still recall the one thing everyone wanted during the worst of the crash, but could not get their hands on?
Major media outlets have bent over backwards to minimize Hillary Clinton's brewing scandals. But social mood is due for a shift. When the stock market sharply reverses, expect a new bull market in political scandals.
The evidence is compelling: The stock market's price action is a reliable indicator of war and peace. Even the U.S. Revolutionary War began at the bottom of a long bear market. On the other hand, bull markets correlate with peace. What about today?
Some people believe that "baby boomers" are driving the stock market's trend. The thinking goes that this large demographic group is behind the bull market, and as they retire, a bear market will follow. This thesis seems logical, but let's look at the evidence.
"A Williamsburg establishment started selling a $100 edible 24-karat-gold-covered doughnut dunked in Cristal-infused icing. It's $1,000 for a dozen and it's not even in Manhattan." (January 11 Vanity Fair)
Financial optimism has reached a new extreme. The impulse to herd is ever present, but there is a way to set yourself apart from the crowd.
The DJIA has been on a winning streak with one all-time closing high after another. "Traders are convinced that market volatility will remain nonexistent." Our subscribers know better.
chart of the day | You may have seen us mention the importance of sentiment extremes on these pages before. We don't take sentiment at face value; years of experience have taught us to use sentiment extremes as a contrarian indicator -- here's why.
Big volatility has been conspicuously absent from the stock market. We view this as a warning sign instead of a reason for complacency. Market history backs up our view. Take a look at this chart.
Applying the laws of consumer economics to the stock market is a big mistake. See an illustration that shows how they differ.
More babies were born in 2007 than any other year in U.S. history. But the birth rate dropped to a century-low in 2009. What happened? We offer an answer.
Many stock market observers believe that prices are random and unpredictable. But we've observed that repetitive patterns show up in market charts at all degrees of trend. Find out how Elliott wave analysis helped our subscribers prepare for a high-confidence juncture in the stock market.
The Fibonacci sequence provides the mathematical basis of the Wave Principle. The stock market's price pattern builds fractally into similar patterns of increasing size. Familiarity with these patterns can prove highly useful to investors.
Apple is one of the most glorified companies in the world. Yet, as of April 27, it's the Dow's worst performer for 2016. Were you surprised by the nosedive in the tech giant's share price? See how EWI subscribers were prepared, and find out how you can be ready for the next big move.
We're only two trading days into 2016 -- yet, so far, the new year isn't looking too promising. Right now, you may be scrambling to make sense of the DJIA's huge tumble on Monday. This excerpt from our December Elliott Wave Financial Forecast may help.
"Open Sesame" is the phrase that opens the door to treasure. A Chinese entrepreneur was inspired by the story of Ali Baba and the Forty Thieves and named a company that has yielded vast riches. One of our Global Market Perspective editors provides analysis of Alibaba Group.
On March 9, 2017, the bull market marks its eighth anniversary. At the same time, one group of market participants are more bullish than they've been in decades. Are they right? The Wave Principle is helping our subscribers anticipate the next major trend change.
Will piles of "sideline cash" send the stock market higher? Learn the answer to that question, plus find out why the stock market may not remain "boring" for long.
Most people are in love with technology. Tesla Motors and its leader Elon Musk have been prime symbols of this adoration. We take a broad view of technology and find a repetition that should interest every investor.
Since hitting an all-time high in early 2015, AAPL stock has plunged a whopping 26%. Clearly, AAPL falling from its bullish branch was not part of the mainstream plan. It was, however, part of the Elliott wave one.
Millions of investors analyze the Fed's every word. But do central banks control financial markets? It's time to take a close look at the data.
While the mainstream analysts weigh macro-economic and sociological factors to make forecasts for the busy European election season next year, this model shows you an entirely different approach.
Mark Galasiewski, the editor of our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast and contributor to our Global Market Perspective, reveals what markets you should keep your eye on heading into the new year.
On January 21, editor of our monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, Mark Galasiewski, gave a new interview to CNBC TV18 in India -- to discuss an imminent opportunity that may be ripe for their picking. Learn what it is now.
Conservative investors have been punished with exceptionally low interest rates. But at least they haven't lost money. Learn about a good way to defend your portfolio against rising rates.
"Some economists say wars stimulate the economy; others say war hurts it." These 4 charts negate both cases.
Can the bull market continue without a stronger economy? Many people would say, no -- but when you dig a little deeper, you quickly discover that it's not supported by the facts.
Brian Whitmer talks about the negative sentiment in the European Union following the historic Brexit vote and outlines what to watch for next.
On June 5, the Euro Stoxx 50 index recorded its longest weekly losing streak for all of 2015. As for why -- one chart speaks more than all the fundamentals in the world.
Sentiment has turned negative in India. Yet a classic price formation has been taking shape in the chart of one of India's stock indexes. Could this mean opportunity for investors? Take a look at the chart.
A well-known financial publication suggests that now is the time to invest for the long-term. Such an approach might be hazardous to your portfolio. See a chart that shows a dip-buyer's nightmare.
It's tempting to say that gold is up 16% YTD "as investors are seeking a safe haven." Problem is, this (very logical) explanation tells you little about where gold might go tomorrow. Elliott wave analysis, on the other hand, does.
Could you look at the stock market of a country in South Asia and trace any connection -- and maybe even make a forecast -- for military conflicts in the same region? Turns out, yes.
Near-term stock market trends may move against the trend of the next larger degree. Consider European equities. On October 1, a small-degree fifth wave down appeared to be approaching completion. Now get insights into the more significant larger trend.
The co-editor of the U.S. section of our Global Market Perspective sat down to explain why this uncommon pattern in the Dow fits with the overall long-term picture in the stock market.
By 2012’s end, Japan’s stock market seemed to be locked in a bearish fundamentally-sound death-spiral with nowhere to go but down. And yet, prices embarked on a spectacular four-year long bull run to their highest level in 18 years. What gives?
Our U.S. equity analyst, Tom Prindaville, shares his background and analytical approach to the markets in this spotlight video.
On December 8, Germany's DAX Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 broke out of long-enduring holding patterns, embarking on a synchronized uptrend to new 2016 highs. According to the experts, the main catalyst for the markets' breakout was the ECB's pledge to keep the QE tap open. But there's a very big problem with this logic.
You may think that investing in gold differs from investing in stocks -- after all, gold is a commodity. Yet, the same investor psychology that moves stocks also moves gold.
On Sept. 9, Japan's Nikkei stock index skyrocketed 7.7% for its sharpest single-day rally since 2008. The same day, a major Abenomics tax cut was announced. Cause -- or coincidence?
In late July, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced a massive, $267 billion stimulus package -- the largest of the prior 23 years, if you don’t count the one during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. While most investors are wondering whether the stimulus this time will be effective, our analysis gives you a completely different perspective on the announcement.
At the start of 2016, India’s S&P Nifty Index was circling the drain of a 21-month while India’s rupee clung to an all-time-ever low against the U.S. dollar. But then the unexpected happened -- both the Nifty and the rupee hit bottom. Yet -- while the one continues to soar in a bull market rally, the other one sputters...
"U.S. trade deficit seems to be a reasonable thing to worry about." This chart shows you why it's really not.
Why it's unusual for gold and silver to have different patterns -- as they've shown lately -- and what that means for the price trends going forward.
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market. Here's the conclusion of our 10-part series.
Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall discuss what the Brexit vote represents -- and its implications for the world markets and economies.
Our Global Opportunities Expert, Chris Carolan, discusses Monday's sharp declines in China's Shanghai Composite and Germany's DAX, and then he shares his outlook for the global markets based on the regional currencies.
chart of the day | European stocks, just like stocks in the U.S., enjoyed a rebound over the past few weeks. You may have heard different reasons for the rally in Europe, but here's one most analysts overlook -- and in our opinion, it's one of the most important reasons.
Learn why, from the Elliott wave perspective, the Shanghai Composite's recent decline is a relatively normal occurrence -- and what it implies for the future of Chinese stocks.
In late 2016, Amazon's share price sat out the broader stock market rally. Yet on December 30th, we showed subscribers a price pattern that anticipated the 3-month, 20-percent-plus rally in Amazon. See that price pattern for yourself.
Since November 4th, the Dow Jones Industrials have seen a 17 percent rally, and closed higher in every session from February 9th through this past Friday, February 24. That is no ordinary streak. The Dow hasn't seen that many consecutive closes since January 1987...
This market sentiment indicator has a reliable history that goes back nearly 200 years! It's sending a signal today that's as clear as it's ever been. We map that indicator out for you.
As of February 15, NASDAQ 100 prices had closed higher in 11 of the past 12 sessions -- the longest closing-high streak in the index since a 14-day streak back in June and July of 2013. What's more, the price rise since November 4, 2016 shows a series of higher highs, and higher lows. That's a strong indicator for the direction of the trend...
Meet the predecessor of the Elliott Wave Principle: Dow Theory has been around for over a century and boasts a consistent record of performance. Yet some analysts are dismissive. Learn why you should pay attention to the Dow Theory -- along with the Elliott Wave Principle.
Pete Kendall, co-editor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, discusses important trends that he'll be watching in the coming weeks and months ahead.
The DJIA just registered its longest losing streak in nearly six years. Yet, from Feb. 9 through Feb. 27, the index posted its longest winning streak since 1987. Our analysis of that winning streak reveals why we haven't been surprised by the DJIA's downturn.
Why have an ever-greater number of U.S. investors entrusted their money, not to experts, but to the assumption that the stock market itself can just take care of their investment?
Our Chart of the Day shows EWAVES at work in real time -- in fact just a few days ago. See for yourself what we said and showed to subscribers.
The DJIA is much more than a financial gauge: The index is also predictive in the multi-faceted arena of social trends, including movie attendance, fashion, politics and more. See what our Elliott Wave Theorist shared with subscribers.
Would you invest in a fund with a guaranteed three-year average annual rate of return of 50%? The answer "yes" seems to be obvious. But let's take a closer look.
Rather than relying on political headlines (and other unrelated news), this chart lets the broader stock market itself explain how we got here -- and where we're going.
See EWAVES 2.0 beta at work for the first time in real time -- from January 23rd to February 2nd, via the recommendation of the large telecom company, Verizon.
In our latest "Video Mailbag," two of our global analysts sit down to answer questions submitted by viewers like you.
The timeline on this chart involves time travel -- we go back to the decade from 1932 thru 1942. But, this is NOT your great-grandfather's market. After years of research, testing & retesting & debugging, EWAVES 2.0 beta is the artificial intelligence system that does Elliott wave analysis. This chart showcases what EWAVES can do.
The share price of Apple, Inc. has risen more than 14,500% during the past 12 years. But this Wall Street favorite is now getting the cold shoulder. We're following indicators which suggest greater volatility ahead.
Last month at the San Francisco Money Show event for investors and traders, EWI's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg addressed the audience with a series of eye-opening insights. Here's a short clip.
This S&P 500 chart covers the past 4 years. The relevant dates are October 4, 2011 (an important low) and, recently, September 21 -- the date we posted this chart in our Short Term Update. Between those dates are two great pieces of visual evidence. First...
In this clip, our Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg talks about the upcoming New Orleans Investment Conference, sharing some interesting facts about the conference's origins and explains why he keeps going back to speak, year after year.
The World Stock Index -- or WSI -- is what the name suggests: A weighted average of global equity indexes. I'm actually going to show you two snapshots of this chart in two different timeframes. Let's begin with the WSI chart from May 1st, 2015...
The late Paul Montgomery, the originator of the magazine cover indicator, said that when a financial trend makes the cover of a general-interest magazine like Time or Newsweek, the trend is close to a reversal. See how this time-tested indicator helped us to spot the top in Icahn Enterprises.
Wall Street pundits have called the 2016 presidential election the most important of their lifetimes. Yet our data shows the party in control of the White House makes no discernible difference to the stock market's trend. So what gives? Take a look at a revealing chart from our research about political parties and the stock market.
Many investors are baffled when the stock market declines after what appears to be good news or rallies after an external shock. But events do not govern the market's trend. Find out how the Wave Principle helps you to anticipate the unexpected.
Investors tend to extrapolate present trends into the future. When that trend also catches fire with the general public, watch out. A turn might be nigh. Learn about an indicator that has a strong record of marking major turns of fortune.
The era of the industrial robot has arrived, and our Global Market Perspective pinpoints opportunities. The share price of Fanuc Corp. tripled after our analyst identified the early stages of a fifth-wave thrust. More recently, the robot revolution has taken a breather. Expand your investment horizon now.
The stock market is risky, and when you borrow to buy shares, the risk is amplified. One group of investors is "propping up the bull market" with their borrowed billions. They've done it before, and the outcome was ugly. Get ready for the inevitable repeat.
Where does the mutual fund cash-to-assets ratio stand today? It has returned to a historic level -- fund managers are ALL IN the stock market. It adds up to the most extreme reading on record.
Periods of low stock market volatility are usually followed by high volatility. On March 18, volatility was non-existent. Since then, volatility has jumped. Prepare now for "head spinning stock market moves."
Most investors herd. Hence, most investors lose, including the smartest. The May Elliott Wave Theorist says, "To win, you have to do the opposite of what's natural."
Dow Theory and the Wave Principle are both based on empirical observations and complement each other. Dow Theory nailed the market declines of 1973 and 2007. Find out what investors should know now about the current Dow Theory signal.
Alibaba's stock market debut -- BABA -- was supposed to be the can't-lose, golden IPO of 2015. But then, the stock plunged 30% and stands near its initial offer price. While it's easy to blame China's contracting economy for the BABA bust, that wouldn't be true.
You may have heard or read that the recent wild market swings were unpredictable. Yet, take a look at this one indicator which was flashing red before the "pandemonium" began.
August 15th saw prices reach an all-time high in the Dow. Yet, the Elliott wave pattern we're following suggests something else was also at work: Namely, a near-term peak at 3 degrees of trend.
You can make high-confidence market forecasts based on the Wave Principle. Using the Wave Principle, our Short Term Update made a specific market call on Aug. 22, and the market fulfilled our expectation, serving our subscribers well as a result. High volatility may be ahead. The calm before the storm is the time to prepare.
The stock market's ramped-up volatility has many observers trying to figure out the cause. One believes he knows the answer. We investigate.
RCA had an unrivaled influence on 20th century entertainment technologies. Yet, its share price never truly caught up to 1929. Watch this and discover why.
Yes, this is a thought experiment. But it draws on 250-plus years of American history -- namely the stock market from 1760 to 2012.
In 2007, the KBW Bank index turned down months ahead of the DJIA. In 2017, optimistic expectations are again running high for the financial sector. Ironically, history shows that investors should be the most worried when financial fear is absent. Let's review today's position of the "fear index" VIX and KBW Bank Index.
Even professionals have a hard time beating the market. But a study of 2600 stock recommendations by market technicians vs. fundamentalists came to this "striking conclusion."
If you're a gambler or trader, you know what it means to "hedge your bet." It's how you offset your losses if you bet on the wrong horse, or on the wrong market position. Yet today, falling demand for equity hedges suggests an absence of fear among stock traders and investors. This chart shows you why.
In this new interview with Matthew Gress, our Intraday Asian Stocks Pro Service analyst, he shows you how looking at smaller-degree Wave Patterns can often open your eyes to the start of a bigger-picture opportunity.
Elliott wave analysis identifies corrective and impulsive moves, which helps you stay on the right side of the trend. Watch our Intraday Asian Stocks Pro Service analyst explain how.
Does the Fed's interest rate policy determine the direction of stocks and the economy? Many Fed watchers believe so. Perhaps they have not seen these two charts.
Brian Whitmer, our European Financial Forecast editor, explains the mixed picture he sees in Europe -- and what it implies for the future.
Brian Whitmer, our Senior European Analyst, highlights the precarious position of European stock markets.
In this new interview, Chris Carolan looks at the latest price action in China's Shanghai Composite to show you how the Elliott Wave Principle helps you anticipate and prepare for market moves.
According to the mainstream pundits, the long-awaited "Easter-egg hunt" of recovery in Europe's economy and stock markets is over! Optimism is off the charts. But it's what's ON our charts that warns caution.
How does catching a 79% move in 14 months sound to you? Any investor would be thrilled. Our Global Market Perspective subscribers were alerted to just such an opportunity in this Australian index -- see how.
On June 16, the Jakarta Composite Index plunged to its lowest level in 13 months. Now, we "hunt down" the real reason behind the powerful sell-off...
Our Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg talks to Moe Ansari on Market Wrap Radio. You'll hear his take on what we've seen in the markets so far in 2016 -- and why Steve thinks 2015 was a "transitional" year.
The sell-off in dollar-yen, or USDJPY, has been in the news a lot. "USDJPY Takes Out Stops, Plunges Under 101: Drags Stocks To New Lows," said a Zero Hedge headline yesterday. (Japan's Nikkei fell another 4.2% today.)
India is often ignored in the U.S. financial media. But investors should pay close attention. Indian equities have outperformed U.S. stocks over the years. And, now, opportunity appears to beckon again.
The recent story about the "boy wonder" who everyone believed made $72 million trading stocks is fascinating on many levels. One, it paints a very top-heavy picture of the market!
Here's a question: Has the bull market in German stocks faked its own death in order to force investors "home" for a major buying opportunity? Turns out, this idea isn't as crazy as it sounds...
Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert recently presented his elections research at the University of Warwick. Learn why stock market performance is a significant predictor of how incumbents fare in their re-election bids.
On Feb. 8, U.S. and global stocks had a rough day. And what, says the conventional wisdom, "reliably" goes up when markets are "uncertain"? That's right: gold. But here's something you should know...
We sat down with Tom Prindaville, the editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service, to learn how he approaches market volatility -- and why it's important to have alternate wave counts.
We all love a bargain... except when it comes to stocks. The reason boils down to uncertainty. Learn how our mind works in decisions that involve certainty vs. uncertainty – and learn one way to deal with it.
The financial media regularly rationalizes fluctuations in the markets by attributing them to various news and events. "A causes B." We take a different view.
Mark Galasiewski tells you what helps him keep an eye on all markets across the Asia-Pacific region at the same time.
In 2010, Japan's No. 1 robotics maker, Fanuc Ltd., was set to embark on a five-year long bull run to all-time highs. Investors in the company's stock, however, had no access behind Fanuc's curtain of secrecy. They did, however, have access to a bullish Elliott wave pattern on its price chart.
The Shanghai Composite fell 8% on July 8, for a total of 32% since the June 12 peak. Trading was halted by the authorities. Using the word "crash" is becoming appropriate. But, strangely, stocks are not the only asset class crashing in China right now.
Many of you have heard the expression "As goes GM, so goes America." Well, what about the European counterpart -- "As goes Daimler AG, so goes Europe?" The correlation dates back to 1999; and it paints a very interesting picture of the financial road ahead.
In 1982 Robert Prechter called for a strong bull market. Most everyone else was mired in the memory of the 1970s, and expected little if anything from stocks. At the same time that Prechter called for a big bull market, he also said the most severe bear market in US history would follow. Has that epic trend change already occurred?
Our Global Opportunities Expert Chris Carolan explains how the Wave Principle helps you navigate the recent uncertainty associated with European markets.
In mid-2015, Chinese stocks listed on U.S. exchanges were chomping at the bit to get back home and relist on the red-hot Chinese market. But then, China's stock market crashed and the doors to overseas-listings slammed shut. See how Elliot wave analysis anticipated both events.
Pete Kendall tells you that although stocks recently hit new all-time highs, there is a great slackening in the economy -- but not for the reasons you commonly hear about in the news. To watch the interview or read the transcript, click on the link below.
You can also see how our currency forecast came first, and the "Brexit surprise" came second. Plus, why central bank "Targets" amount to a chart of failure. Check it out.
As bad news goes, terrorism is at the top of the list. Why then do stocks ignore these terrible events so often?
On June 21, 2005, CBS aired a three-hour special from the American Film Institute, dedicated to the 100 most memorable movie quotations in American cinema. Robert Prechter says most of those quotes were crafted in periods when stocks were in a bear market.
A mix of bull and bear market impulses is evident in today's culture. How is that possible with recent all-time highs in stocks? Shouldn't social mood be decidedly bullish? A Boston University econophysicist charts water's freezing process and makes a shocking discovery.
Brian Whitmer, the editor of our monthly European Financial Forecast, explains what indicators helped him anticipate market volatility.
The evidence is clear. The stock market leads the economy contrary to popular belief. Episode 2 of the Elliott Wave Pillars series walks you through the overwhelming evidence that proves this point without a doubt.
Yes, you can maintain your financial objectivity when others are losing it. For example, when fear was running rampant during the 2008 bear market, one Asian-Pacific analyst made a historic forecast for a huge rally. Here's how he did it. ...
The 20 percent-plus sell-off in China's Shanghai Composite Index fails to follow any clear "fundamental" script. The decline does, however, follow an Elliott wave one.
When on August 18 the Shanghai Composite Index plunged more than 6%, the mainstream experts could find "no obvious catalyst" for the drop. Turns out, they weren't looking in the right place.
As Greece teeters on the brink of another default, the question is: Will this end the Eurozone crisis, or will it begin an even bigger one? From an Elliott wave viewpoint, the mainstream answer to this question misses a hugely important piece of the puzzle...
You may have heard different reasons why Stalin and Hitler came to power. Socionomics gives you a new perspective -- listen.
Join us as we review the Nikkei's recent volatility, and see how Elliott wave analysis enabled us to stay ahead of the market's "hopping" down-up-down-up sequence.
In February, the U.S. jobless rate fell to 4.7% as the economy added 235,000 non-farm payrolls. Some people attribute the economic improvement to the new president. Here's why the added jobs were anticipated well before the U.S. election.
It's been a summer of discontent for Europe's stock markets, as the upside seems lined with banana peels; or rather, Bre-nana peels! Say many, the fuel for Europe's sell-off is Brexit. But our records show otherwise: the makings of the downtrend were in place months before the U.K. decided to leave the European Union.
Many observers now blame the dramatic decline in crude oil on "oversupply." But U.S. oil production was increasing before the price of oil took a sharp turn south. See what we said about oil's approaching decline.
Millions of investors analyze the Fed's every word. But do central banks control financial markets? It's time to take a close look at the data.
An investigation of past stock market tops reveals that they were all preceded by this phenomenon. See the chart which depicts it unfolding right now.
News flash: The 2016 U.S. trade deficit was the largest since 2012, fueling President Trump’s fire to narrow the nation’s gap and bolster the economy. But this research shows historical evidence that suggests this approach could seriously backfire.
Most investors believe that higher interest rates are bearish. These four charts show you the truth.
With the Shanghai Composite index 30% below its June 12 peak, China's government has a clear, two-part damage control plan for future losses. Will it work?
Let's say you're an alien sent to this planet to study human behavior. Your task: the stock market as a mirror or human collective psychology. Millions of humans invest in it. Can you learn something by watching them put their money in a collective pot? Oh yes.
It is amazing to read assertions from the Fed and others that the stock market is nowhere near being in a bubble. Several aspects of the financial environment are actually so extreme as to be unprecedented. Here are 8 indicators we are watching closely.
The story goes like this: First, gold prices soar as global stock markets crash. Then, gold prices plunge as global stock markets... crash? It's time for a different version of events...
Get out your rod and reel because we're going "fishing" for an objective explanation for the recent selloff in Japan's Nikkei 225 Index. To wit: On April 12, the Nikkei plunged to its lowest level in four months. Read our take on why.
The transition from risk-taking to risk-aversion started off gradually in 2007. Then it suddenly accelerated. Our analysts see evidence that a similar pattern is repeating itself. Look at these two charts.
A study shows that changes in women's shoes reflect changes in the economy. The women in the hit television show "Sex in the City" often wore stiletto heels, but in 2015 heels are flat or chunky. Learn more about this and other unusual economic indicators.
Home prices may be nearing a second peak in less than 10 years. The story is global. Find out which country is headed for a real estate "bloodbath". Also, see a chart of U.S. housing price indicators.
Investor psychology steamrolls government intervention in the stock market. See how the Wave Principle helped us identify a turn in the Shanghai Composite before the dramatic decline began.
China's main stock index just plunged nearly 8.5%. That would be like the Dow diving nearly 1480 in a single session. The Shanghai Composite's violent downward move may be a part of a larger trend that you need to know about.
Money managers are nearly fully invested in the stock market. An eerily similar setup was in place just three months before the 2007 market top. Take a look at this chart ...
Here is a classic example of an Elliott wave pattern warning you of a sharp market reversal BEFORE a news event that was later said to be responsible for the turn. Market: S&P 500. Event: former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's congressional testimony.
Should you buy gold mining shares if you're bullish gold? Two charts and accompanying commentary provide valuable perspective.
On May 18, NYSE trades were disrupted due to a technical issue. During the next market downturn, many investors will blame collapsing prices on such glitches. But the cause will actually be increased investor pessimism. Even so, structural risks exist. High emotions will exacerbate those risks.
Even with historically low interest rates, the U.S. savings rate as a percentage of disposable income has been rising. This indicates a deflationary psychology is taking hold, while the Fed grapples with weak inflation long after the end of the Great Recession. Prepare now for what's next.
Most investors are too embarrassed to tell the truth: They consistently lose money in financial markets. Even during a bull market, the median household saw their retirement wealth decline by 13%. The observations of a stock broker more than 100 years ago are revealing.
It seems reasonable to suggest that, based on strong inventory numbers, crude oil should have fallen. Instead, prices rose. If you find this puzzling, looking at the situation from an Elliott wave perspective may help.
"Most investors follow the actions of others, whether they are on the right side of the market or not. The result is that prices move according to investors' optimism and pessimism. Investors use the news to rationalize their emotional decisions -- and most people lose money." How can you avoid that?
In late August, Germany's DAX index entered bear market territory, having plummeted 22% from its all-time record high in April 2015. But before you blame China for the rout, look closely...
Extreme sentiment usually accompanies the peak of a financial mania. Such was the case in 2011 with gold. Now, gold could see its biggest move in months.
In the May 2008 issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, we cited a sudden loss of enthusiasm for company buybacks as another component of a major market reversal.
EWI's Chief Currency Strategist discusses the EURUSD 1,200-pip "roundtrip."
Our European markets expert explains why it's "too late" for Deutsche Bank and how this has now evolved into a problem across the EU.
The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast has been tracking a steady global shift to greater financial conservatism over the last several months.
EWI's Chief Currency Strategist discusses the EURUSD 1,200-pip "roundtrip."
On December 16, the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. Yet -- even though the rate hike was a foregone conclusion, the Nikkei's reaction to said hike was apparently all over the map.
On February 12, Japan's Nikkei 225 index soared to a 7-year high, begging the question: Is Japan's 23-year long bear market finally over?
EWI is dedicated to helping subscribers anticipate the next major market turn. No, we don't always "get it right" – yet these examples speak for themselves. Most investors never saw these major trend changes coming.
Public and private pensions now rely on how well hedge funds perform. This strategy may prove lethal. Hedge funds are highly leveraged. Huge losses are likely in the next bear market.
In December 2014, we discussed an indicator that appeared to carry "the same message as it did in 2007." The Dow Industrials topped just five months later. Now, the stress level is even more intense.
How much faith to you put in a company's earnings data to gauge its future growth potential? Well, we have four shocking truths about the real value of earnings that will radically change the way you see this time-honored measure.
Alan Hall, Senior Analyst for The Socionomist, explains that after nine years of negative mood, Russia looks a lot more threatening than it once did.
For the year, the DJIA is up about 7%. Gold prices rose 28% between January and July. How did gold become one of this year's best performers? For answers, take a look at this chart.
Mark Galasiewski sits down with ElliottWaveTV to give key insights about opportunities he sees now in emerging markets around the globe.
In part 2 of our in-depth interview with Steve Hochberg, Steve explains what else makes Elliott wave analysis so useful and practical.
It's often said that gold and silver "always" go up during hard economic times. But you might be surprised to learn what the historical evidence says about this widely held belief. Let's start with gold ...
The moving average is a technical indicator which has stood the test of time. EWI Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy shows you how to spot high-confidence trading opportunities using moving averages. Two charts provide examples.
It's been conventional wisdom for decades: Gold is a "fear hedge." And yet, like many other market myths we've written about, this one is also just that -- a myth. Look at this chart, decide for yourself.
With so much economic uncertainty surrounding Japan, how is an investor to know whether it's time to go long the Nikkei -- or stay on the sidelines? Answer: Elliott wave analysis!
Twenty-three states (and D.C.) have now legalized marijuana in some form. Have you ever asked yourself why marijuana laws got more lax now? Why not 20 years ago? Why not 10 years from now? Is it "today's loose morals"? There is a better explanation.
The editor of our Interest Rates Pro Service explains why this was a "monumental" week in the bond markets -- and offers a preview of which markets he's keeping his eye on.
This week served us two examples of the same Elliott wave pattern foreshadowing a big rally in two major markets: first, the euro -- and now, gold.
During the holiday season, many people receive cash as a gift. Recipients would be wise to store that cash in a safe place. Bargains in an array of financial assets may be soon available. A shift to financial conservatism appears to have already started.
Borrowers who took out home equity loans during the heyday of the housing boom now face a big burden. And so do the banks that sold home equity lines of credit like they were cheap credit cards. One economist calls it a pending "wave of disaster."
Even as the market forms the biggest triple extreme in 150 years, market fear is historically low. See a chart that shows just how far above the trend the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 Composite has risen.
As everyone knows, the U.S., Iran and five other nations reached a huge agreement Tuesday. Let’s set aside the politics of the agreement for a moment. What does it mean for the price of crude? Here's an Elliott wave viewpoint.
On the same day that China released three positive economic reports, the nation's main index took another nosedive. Why? Learn the answer now.
U.S. corporations have doubled the amount of their stock buybacks from a year ago. Learn why this development should serve as a neon warning to investors.
The fledgling housing recovery has recently taken a step backwards as interest rates have climbed. Our indicators suggest that the real estate market is vulnerable to further weakness. Short-term speculators will likely be caught off guard -- again.
Deflation has dogged Japan for the better part of 25 years. Enter Elliott wave analysis and the Kondratieff economic cycle. Is a major shift afoot? Two charts tell the tale.
If you trade with Elliott, you may use supporting indicators in your analysis of the markets. Here's a brief lesson that shows you three ways that moving averages can help you determine the market trend.
Home values have recently surged in some real estate markets, which bolsters the sentiment about a housing recovery. But one chart puts this housing recovery into context. Homeowners will likely experience more real estate pricing whiplash.
The mood of investors gradually transitions from risk-on to risk-off. But once fear takes full control, the rush to the exit is like a stampede. In some ways, today is like 2007. See what we see.
Volkswagen, the world's largest car maker, has been rocked by the biggest scandal in its 78-year history. But did the scandal also fuel the sell-off in VW's stock price? The answer might surprise you
The housing market appears to be on the verge of another big shift. We see an eerie similarity between 2005 and 2016. Just like 11 years ago, almost no one is worried about a bubble. Plan now for what we see ahead.
Financial history shows that peaks in corporate mergers generally occur prior to major bear markets. With that in mind, consider that 2015 saw a record amount of money spent on mergers. But, since then, a shift has occurred. Is financial history set to repeat?
Eating out is a bull market phenomenon. When people are in an upbeat mood, they tend to splurge at restaurants on food and drinks. But a shift appears underway. One analyst sees similarities to the first half of 2007, just before a major financial downturn.
As of Nov. 25, the Russell 2000 closed higher for 15 straight trading sessions. The late Paul Montgomery, a renowned observer of market behavior, made an observation about consecutive closing streaks that should be of high interest to every investor.
In the past month, gold saw a big spike in volatility. Commentators pointed to the U.S. presidential election as the cause. But Elliott wave analysts made a forecast for volatility in gold when the CBOE Gold ETF VIX index had been trending lower, and made no mention of the election. Here's what we saw.
The stock market moves with lightning speed when fear grips the minds of investors. On June 24, the Dow saw its eighth-largest point loss ever. Is the wave of financial optimism that started in 2009 over? A "must read" book tells you how to get financially safe.
Last week, the financial world had its eyes fixed on the Fed chair Janet Yellen's speech in Jackson Hole, as traders considered how her words would impact the markets. Dozens of articles later, one perspective was still missing almost entirely from the mainstream discussions...
House flipping was wildly popular during the mid-00s.The market crashed, and so did the flippers, just as we warned. Many were ruined. Now, flipping is making a big comeback. How safe is it?
The next big monetary event is approaching fast. No, it's not inflation. The evidence is mounting that deflation already has a foothold and is gaining ground. These two charts reveal a disturbing trend for anyone who's unprepared.
For the past two months, EURUSD, the world's most-traded forex market, has made almost zero net progress -- until now. This chart shows you the long sideways trading range stretching back all the way to December.
Financial markets have a way of turning just when the majority of investors are convinced that the established trend will continue. But make sure a market's chart pattern also supports a turn. This market appears ripe with opportunity.
No trader wants to be "left behind" when a financial market takes off. But many traders jump aboard a trend just when it's on the cusp of a reversal. Silver is a case in point, for bull and bears.
Even as the Dow hovers in record-high territory, some sectors have slipped into a bear market. Venture capital for U.S. business startups is drying up. For many technology firms, "the game is already over."
In this new clip from Steve Hochberg's presentation at the 2016 San Francisco MoneyShow, you'll see how the extreme sentiment surrounding gold helped him anticipate its looming reversal.
Without question, over the past five years U.K. shares have been among the strongest equity performers, with the FTSE 100 recently rocketing above the 7000-point mark for the first ever in April 2015. But the "great bull market" isn't actually as great as it seems.
Alan Hall, Senior Analyst at the Socionomics Institute, talks about the recent outbreak of the Zika virus. Alan explains that negative social mood created social conditions in which the Zika virus was able to spread. (You can watch the interview or read the transcript.)
Mainstream economic wisdom claims market trends move at random, with no clear structure or system in place to illuminate future price action. Well, if that were true, then how do you explain the last eight years in India’s Sensex?
The week ending Dec. 12 was the Dow's worst loser in three years. The mainstream experts say "plunging oil prices" are to blame for the rout. We couldn't disagree more!
This idea of gold as inflation hedge is practically gospel. This chart shows a major flaw in this theory.
On January 15, 2015, the Swiss National Bank abruptly ended its three-year-long exchange rate target for the Swiss franc of 1.20 against the euro. However, the news wasn't a shock for everyone -- here's why.
How could the debt crisis in Puerto Rico affect you? Where is the next housing bubble set to burst? How do money managers signal major gold turns? Get the answers, today!
The price of gold just saw its biggest surge since January. Yet most precious metals traders have been bearish on gold. See a chart that shows how we've kept subscribers ahead of gold's trend.
Introducing the newest crop of "oddball loans" -- bonds backed by dirty laundry. Here's why these "esoteric" assets are just one sign that stock market bulls may soon get hung out to dry.
On June 16, copper prices plunged to a 3-month low. There are 3 main fundamental explanations for the sell-off. But there's only 1 right one -- the Elliott wave explanation.
Even if there are bubbles, "no one knows when these things will end," writes a May 31 CNN Money article. Now where and when have we heard this before?!
With the yield on the 10-year Japanese Government Bond circling .3%, some say the JGB is actually facing "extinction." They also say the bond's fate depends on the BOJ. We disagree on both accounts!
Deflation is already a reality in many quarters of the global economy. Mounting evidence suggests that the full fury of this trend is about to be unleashed. Give our just-released dispatch on deflation your immediate attention.
On January 29, the Bank of Japan slashed interest rates into negative territory in hopes of fending off further economic weakness. History shows, however, the "free money" policy is futile against the "immutable" forces of finance.
On January 29, the Bank of Japan slashed interest rates into negative territory in hopes of fending off further economic weakness. History shows, however, the "free money" policy is futile against the "immutable" forces of finance.
The Wave Principle and other technical indicators helped investors prepare for new all-time highs. See how.
Since early February, the price of crude has rallied. Few analysts saw it coming. We were among them. Learn what helped us track the ups and downs of oil since before its 2014 peak through today -- plus what you can expect next.
Holy Soy! Between March 1 and June 1, soybean prices went from an 8-year low, to being the #1 performer among all 22 listed futures on the Bloomberg Commodity Index. Oddly enough, there was no fundamental reason for bean's bullish comeback. There was, however, an Elliott wave one!
On May 5, Malaysia's Kuala Lumpur Composite Index slipped to a two-month low. The mainstream experts cited negative economic data in China as the root cause for the rout. Sounds perfectly logical... at first read.
The stock market's price history consists of recognizable patterns at all degrees of trend. The chart of one European bourse shows a bull market has ended at five degrees of trend. It now appears that Minor wave 3 is unfolding.
Despite recent volatility, European stock investors are using large doses of leverage. More than that, the head of the world's largest sovereign wealth fund is embracing risk assets. Our analysis suggests that a day of reckoning is at hand.
Germany served as an anchor of stability during Europe's sovereign debt crisis. The nation is the Continent's largest economy. Even so, Germany's stock market now looks poised for increased volatility. Also, take a look at this downtrending stock chart of the country's largest steel maker.
What gives Elliott waves the ability to warn you about trend changes before the news? The answer begins with a conversation about what the markets’ true driver is.
The conventional wisdom says that the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged triggered a jump in gold to a 12-week high. But does the central bank's policy really drive the price of gold? See how the Wave Principle helps us to forecast gold.
For the financial markets, the biggest event of the week starts tomorrow: On Wednesday and Thursday (Feb. 10-11) Fed chair Janet Yellen will appear before Congress to deliver her semi-annual Monetary Policy Report.
Relying on government to financially secure your retirement might be a big mistake. Social Security is a wealth-transfer program that's headed for a major crisis. State and local government pensions are also in trouble. Are you prepared for what the book Conquer the Crash warns about?
The results are in: Two- plus months of negative interest rates has had no positive impact on Japan's economy. "It's like being Alice in Wonderland," observes one strategist. But, in our opinion, there's nothing "curiouser" about the futility of free money to revive Japan's credit markets.
University of Delaware professor and 2016 Social Mood Conference speaker Nerissa Brown explains how her research on herding overlaps with the study of social mood.
Avi Gilburt of ElliottWaveTrader.net conducted a thoughtful interview with Bob Prechter recently. We thought you'd like to see it.
EWI's own Jeffrey Kennedy has identified five fundamental flaws that, in his opinion, stop most traders from being consistently successful.
At the start of July 2016, cocoa prices were orbiting multi-year highs. And, according to mainstream fundamental analysis, the commodity’s uptrend was in the bag. So, why did cocoa prices then reverse in a gut-wrenching decline to three-year lows? The answer might surprise you
Back in 2008, the consensus strongly agreed that crude oil and the CRB index of commodities would keep rising. Instead, both markets came crashing down. Here's why.
"Crude oil prices up" on fall in supply. "Crude slips" on supply glut -- any questions? Today, we get to the bottom of what really drives crude oil's trend changes.
Back in late 2007, one simple technical tool -- trendlines -- was instrumental in enabling us to forecast a bearish reversal in Germany's DAX Index. The time to use this tool is upon us, again.
What do NYC taxicab medallions and stock market shares have in common? Well, let's just say, borrowing money to buy into either asset with the hopes of ever-rising values doesn't end well
In March 2015, the European Central Bank launched its unprecedented QE program in hopes of jump-starting the eurozone economy and reigniting stock prices. Instead, Europe’s no.1 market, Germany’s DAX index plummeted into a 10-month long bear market. That’s just the tip of this story...
"Unprecedented," "nuts," and "inexplicable" are just a few of the words people use to describe the 2016 US presidential campaign. How did radical politicians such as Trump and Sanders get as far as they did?
Steve Hochberg, our Chief Market Analyst, sits down with ElliottWaveTV to talk about his background, how he discovered the Wave Principle, and why "it's applicable to all markets."
The on-demand video of the 2016 Social Mood Conference introduces you to the world's leading socionomists. You'll hear their groundbreaking foresights into the radical sea changes in store for the entire human landscape.
Rather than revive demand for Chinese exports, the August 11, 2015 devaluation of China's currency has fueled a capital flight by China's own citizens and businesses. The practice is called "smurfing," and here's why...
How could anyone have foreseen 10-15 years ago that marijuana would become the fuel for a legitimate and legal cannabis capitalism movement in the United States? Answer: Socionomics
Food for thought: "Fed up with banks' reluctance to lend," one of Italy's most prominent dairy co-ops has raised 6 million euros via bonds backed by cheese! It's a little funny at first read. But the larger issue here is actually quite serious.
During November 2016, this global index fell four percent. For investment grade debt, that's all but unheard of -- the deepest in twenty-six years (the history of the index).
Robert Folsom explains that a real honeymoon means a "happy couple" -- and so far, Donald Trump hasn't made his "bride" -- namely, the public -- happy.
Watch this video of Robert Prechter explaining social mood from an outside observer's point of view.
Successful market analysis is rooted in irony and paradox. Our gold and silver analysis at the peak two years ago relied heavily on five arguments directly opposed to those offered everywhere else we look.
Robert Prechter discusses the socionomic insight and explains how he developed the theory in this engaging interview.