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First, the Euro. Now -- Gold.

This week served us two examples of the same Elliott wave pattern foreshadowing a big rally in two major markets: first, the euro -- and now, gold.

Learn to Trade Like the Professionals

Years ago, analyst Jeffrey Kennedy started an educational column for subscribers of his Commodity Junctures service. His lessons became so popular that we expanded this idea into a service we call Trader's Classroom. Join us for a free lesson.

EURUSD: Here's What We Know

Whatever the Fed says around 2 PM Eastern on December 16, a surge of emotion will be visible in the markets. Emotions are natural drivers of price trends. And no method allows you to track the markets' collective emotion quite like Elliott waves do. So, here's what we know...

We're in a New Climate of Rising Interest Rates Around the World

In an interview recorded on December 19, our Global Opportunities Expert Chris Carolan explains which way bond markets around the world have been moving -- and which markets you should keep your eye on.

Chinese Yuan: "Manipulated" Does NOT Mean "Unpredictable"

EWI's Asian-Markets expert, Chris Carolan, has been regularly covering the Chinese yuan since 2014. See how his stunning two-year forecast proves this "manipulated" currency isn't unpredictable through the Elliott Wave method.

EURUSD: Up, Down -- and Up Again?

A little while back, we wrote that, after a big drop in the euro, its Elliott wave patterns called for a rally. It was a "terminal thrust" lower from an Elliott wave triangle pattern that tipped us off to the coming bullish turn in EURUSD...

"The Markets Will Always Have Their Way"

Learn why "the markets are more powerful than governments" in this new interview with Brian Whitmer.

Indian Stocks: It's Important to Look at Sector Performance

Mark Galasiewski tells you how his analysis of Indian stocks differs from the way he looks at other markets.

Global Sentiment Ahead of US Election

Nine of our top market strategists offer a sneak peek of sentiment in their markets ahead of the U.S. presidential election.

Don't Be Fooled: News Does NOT Drive the Markets

Mark Galasiewski, the editor of our monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, explains how using the news to predict the markets is "meaningless."

The Truth About the Touted Economic Recovery

Financial media pundits like to talk about a "rebound" in the economy, but a new EWI economic report presents important facts that have gone underreported -- until now.

Emerging Markets: Why You Need to Look at Stocks Country-by-Country

Mark Galasiewski tells you what helps him keep an eye on all markets across the Asia-Pacific region at the same time.

Analyst Spotlight: Mark Galasiewski

Watch this 3-minute video to learn what shaped our Mark Galasiewski's outlook on the markets and how he got his start with Elliott wave analysis.

Collective Trends Reflect Social Mood

Are financial markets patterned? Episode one of the Elliott Wave Pillars Series shows you a theory that proves they are.

Euro's Sharp Reversal: Let These 2 Charts Do the Talking

Technical indicators will often help you catch trend reversals before the news. This week, forex markets gave us an example of Elliott waves doing just that -- in EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and world's most popular forex market.

Asian-Pacific Stocks: What's Hot, What's Not

Mark Galasiewski, the editor of our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast and contributor to our Global Market Perspective, reveals what markets you should keep your eye on heading into the new year.

EURUSD How a Simple Chart Pattern Can Tell You Whats Next

With the world's attention focused on the stock markets for the past two weeks, it's easy to overlook what's been happening in EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and the world's most-traded forex market.

U.S. Markets: The BIG story everyone missed in 2016 and what it means for you now

In an interview with ElliottWaveTV, Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg talks about the key story from 2016 that most investors missed. Learn what he's watching closely right now.

An Elegant Theory

The Elliott Wave Pillars Series walks you through why we view the markets and social action the way we do. You'll see compelling evidence that will help change how you view the markets.

Use the News to "Test" Your Own Analysis

Does the news move the markets? New insights from Chris Carolan explain why it's a mistaken notion.

What You Can Learn by Studying Financial Manias of the Past 400 Years

In 1982 Robert Prechter called for a strong bull market. Most everyone else was mired in the memory of the 1970s, and expected little if anything from stocks. At the same time that Prechter called for a big bull market, he also said the most severe bear market in US history would follow. Has that epic trend change already occurred?

Traders and Trendlines: A Match Made in Opportunity Heaven

Trendlines: You may have heard of them. Now, see how effective this simple technical tool can be for identifying high-confidence trade set-ups in real-world financial markets. Examples: gold and O.J.

EUR, GBP, AUD and CHF: 4 Markets That Screamed "Stronger Dollar!" a Month Ago

The U.S. dollar has gotten a lot stronger lately, and you'll find many "fundamentally" based reasons for that. But watch our Senior Currency Strategist explain how more than a month ago, Elliott wave patterns in four separate forex markets already warned of the U.S. dollar strength.

Brexit: "The Vote Heard Around the World"

"Is it true that Britain's vote to leave the European Union will cause upheaval in the financial markets?" You may be wondering the same thing. That's why we've put together this new free report, "How to Invest for Brexit," featuring EWI Chief European Market Analyst Brian Whitmer.

Coffee Prices Have Soared Since June. Here's Why

When it comes to staying ahead of major price turns in commodity markets, many investors stay tuned to various "channels" which keep them abreast of weather, political, or economic events that may affect a market's future trend. But, as the 2016 rally in coffee prices shows us, there's only one true "channel" to watch!

"Phase Transition": Water, Markets, Politics and More

In this new interview with Pete Kendall, the editor of our Financial Forecast, he explains why he thinks we're at a turning point, or "phase transition" in politics, along with a turning point in real estate -- and what this means for the financial markets.

European Stocks: "Banking" on a Bull Market Recovery?

On June 5, the Euro Stoxx 50 index recorded its longest weekly losing streak for all of 2015. As for why --  one chart speaks more than all the fundamentals in the world.

The 2007-9 Housing Bust -- or Boon? That Depends

The Oscar-nominated movie "The Big Short" is a gripping story of a group of no-name outsiders who warned of the 2007-9 housing/subprime mortgage collapse. We at Elliott Wave International know that story all too well...

Asia-Pacific: Learn What Markets Offer the Best Opportunities

Mark Galasiewski shares new insights into this opportunity-rich region.

Brexit Vote: "It's Never That Simple"

Brian Whitmer talks about the implications of the upcoming Brexit vote.

A 2016 Commodity Forecast You May Have Missed

At the start of 2016, discussions focused on how China's economic slowdown had hurt the prices of commodities. Even so, our January Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast told subscribers to expect a "turnaround" for commodities. Find out how the Elliott wave model served as a guide.

Post-Brexit EU: Stocks, Bonds, Politics – and Social Mood

Brian Whitmer talks about the negative sentiment in the European Union following the historic Brexit vote and outlines what to watch for next.

Silver Has Come Out of Gold's Shadow

Tom Denham talks about recent price action in gold and silver.

"Catching" the Nikkei's Near-Term Trend

Join us as we review the Nikkei's recent volatility, and see how Elliott wave analysis enabled us to stay ahead of the market's "hopping" down-up-down-up sequence.

Germany's DAX Has Just Crossed a Critical Line... Again

Back in late 2007, one simple technical tool -- trendlines -- was instrumental in enabling us to forecast a bearish reversal in Germany's DAX Index. The time to use this tool is upon us, again.

Q&A: Dennis Elam on How to Get Your Audience in the Mood

Dr. Elam spoke with us about how he helps people understand and appreciate socionomics.

Worried About This Bull Market? Stop Looking for a "Trigger"

Financial news is the most upbeat near market tops. Headlines are gloomy around market bottoms. Most investors miss important trend reversals. Learn how we keep subscribers ahead of trend changes.

Global Stocks Slide

The Dow's 1000-point slide this week put it solidly in the red for 2015. The S&P 500, too. Even the white-hot NASDAQ was down 6% for the week. Is this a "normal correction" -- or are the "bubble days" really over?

The Never-Ending Scramble to Figure Out the Stock Market

The stock market's ramped-up volatility has many observers trying to figure out the cause. One believes he knows the answer. We investigate.

Complacent Bond Investors in for Rude Awakening

The rally in 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds has been over-believed. For example, hedge funds were recently at a record net-long position in futures and options contracts relative to open interest. Our analysis reveals prices are at a critical juncture. Take a look at these two charts.

How to "Buy Low and Sell High" Like a Pro

The old Wall Street advice to "buy low and sell high" seems easier said than done. But there's a group of traders who consistently pull it off. Find out who they are and, more important, what makes them so different.

Energy Markets: Psychology is the Real Driver of Price Trends

In this recent interview, ElliottWaveTV's Alexandra Lienhard talks to Steve Craig, our Chief Energy Analyst, about crude oil and natural gas' price action over 2015.

EURUSD: A "Technical" Development?

Most conventional market analysts reach for explanations rooted in technical analysis only when they can't find a reason based in market fundamentals. All you see is a "broken" technical support or resistance price level, which probably sent a psychological signal to the market.

(Forex) Cross Rates: Here's What Stands Out Right Now

Michael Madden, who forecasts cross rates for our Currency Pro Service, tells you about the volatility following the historic Brexit vote.

"Don't Fight the Fed?" Don't Make Me Laugh!

The Fed runs the market. Right? Well, "see if you can tell on this chart where authorities intervened."

Matt Lampert on NPR: "Social events have to come from somewhere"

Most people believe that social events impact our mood. They think that war makes us fearful and angry, or that a rising stock market makes us increasingly optimistic. Socionomics, on the other hand, turns conventional wisdom about social mood and social behavior completely on its head

Europe's Long-Bond Bonanza Goes Bust. Who Will Follow?

In early 2016, the global debt market embraced one of the most powerful “long-bond bonanzas” in recent history. By the end of the year, however, the stellar long-bond rally had completely reversed course. As our analysis shows, this turn of events was no accident. 

(Video 1 of 4) USDJPY: How to Spot a High-Confidence FX Trade Setup

In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave triangles, high-confidence price patterns. Watch the first video of this 4-part video series where our Currency Pro Service editor explains what a triangle in USDJPY on March 2 implied for the trend.

Why You Should Pay Attention to Emerging Markets Now

Chris Carolan shows you why today, it's important to keep your eye on emerging market equities and foreign exchange.

Visualize Price Progression with Elliott

Elliott wave analysis identifies corrective and impulsive moves, which helps you stay on the right side of the trend. Watch our Intraday Asian Stocks Pro Service analyst explain how.

Asian-Pacific Stocks: "Traders Live for Markets Like These"

On Tuesday (Aug. 18) China's Shanghai Composite fell more than 6% in one day. Here are some tips from EWI's Asian Intraday Stocks Pro Service analyst, Matthew Gress, on what to expect next.

When "Rattled Confidence" Is a Bullish Sign

chart of the day | You may have seen us mention the importance of sentiment extremes on these pages before. We don't take sentiment at face value; years of experience have taught us to use sentiment extremes as a contrarian indicator -- here's why.

Analyst Spotlight: Chris Carolan

Learn how Chris Carolan, our Global Opportunities Expert, used the Wave Principe as a trader and how he got his start with Elliott wave analysis.

GPS vs. Road Map: Which Works Best? (Part 1)

The market-forecasting method I employ every day has been around since the 1930s. Yet, it works as well as, if not better than, any new-fangled, expensive, computerized technical analysis package I've seen. My method is a form of technical analysis based on...

Are You Ready to "Lose Money SAFELY"?

Today, there are over 10 trillion dollars' worth of so-called negative yield bonds in the world. These bonds don't pay you a dime; no -- you, the buyer, pay the issuer. In other words, with a negative yield bond, you are guaranteed to lose money. Crazy? You could say that again. But, because bonds are "guaranteed investments," there is one interesting caveat...

Brexit and Beyond -- Look at Price Patterns, not Market News

Watch what helped Jim Martens, editor of Currency Pro Service, prepare his subscribers early for the violent reversal and historic sell-off in the British pound.

Fassett on Fractals

Dr. Jon Fassett brought his knowledge and enthusiasm for fractals in nature and finance to the 2016 Social Mood Conference on April 9 in Atlanta, GA. 

Bull vs. Bear Market Impulses: How Observing Water Freeze Leads to a Shocking Discovery about Social Mood

A mix of bull and bear market impulses is evident in today's culture. How is that possible with recent all-time highs in stocks? Shouldn't social mood be decidedly bullish? A Boston University econophysicist charts water's freezing process and makes a shocking discovery.

Emerging Markets: How to Find Your Way (Focus: India's Sensex)

Yes, you can maintain your financial objectivity when others are losing it. For example, when fear was running rampant during the 2008 bear market, one Asian-Pacific analyst made a historic forecast for a huge rally. Here's how he did it. ...

These 5 Tips Are Critical for Successful Traders

EWI's CEO Robert Prechter offers visitors his classic report. No purchase necessary.

(Video 3 of 4) USDJPY: How to Spot a High-Confidence FX Trade Setup

In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave triangles. Here's the 3rd video of this 4-part series where our Currency Pro Service editor gives you an update on USDJPY's high-confidence price pattern.

(Video 4 of 4) USDJPY: How to Spot a High-Confidence FX Trade Setup

In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave "triangle" price pattern. Watch this free 4-part video series where our Currency Pro Service editor walks you through this high-confidence opportunity step by step.

Euro Sentiment Tanks: Time to Watch the Waves

chart of the day | The Elliott wave pattern and the extreme sentiment show us the direction the trend in the euro should take next -- plus the specific price points to watch, which will help confirm the forecast.

USDJPY: A Case of How the Wave Principle Trumps "Fundamentals"

If you've been observing the Japanese yen purely from the perspective of market fundamentals since January 29th, you'd most likely be perplexed. Here's why...

Does the Fed Drive the Price of Gold?

The conventional wisdom says that the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged triggered a jump in gold to a 12-week high. But does the central bank's policy really drive the price of gold? See how the Wave Principle helps us to forecast gold.

Copper's Bear Market: Harnessing the Energy of Elliott Waves

In 2011, fundamentals painted an ongoing bullish picture for copper prices. Elliott waves, however, foresaw a foreboding reversal in the red metal's future.

Financial Zombies -- More Scary Scenes, Dead Ahead

Halloween is past, but the financial walking dead are still among us. We look at a financial services firm that has seen its share price drop, despite aggressive stock buybacks. Take a look at these two charts.

Brexit, Euro, Pound and Stocks—See Why Europe is "Churning" and What's Next

Our Global Opportunities Expert Chris Carolan explains how the Wave Principle helps you navigate the recent uncertainty associated with European markets.

Emerging Markets: Learn Why There's "Opportunity to the Upside"

Mark Galasiewski sits down with ElliottWaveTV to give key insights about opportunities he sees now in emerging markets around the globe.

(Video 2 of 4) USDJPY: How to Spot a High-Confidence FX Trade Setup

In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave triangles. Here's the 2nd video of this 4-part series where our Currency Pro Service editor gives you an update on USDJPY's high-confidence price pattern as it developed.

Gold Investors: Who You Callin' Crazy?

Gold has been mired in a four-year long bear market, with prices still sitting 30%-plus below their 2011 high. And, some people are saying it's crazy to own gold.

Crude Oil: How to Catch a Falling Knife -- Safely

Crude Oil is one of the most volatile markets on the planet. Find out what Jeffrey Kennedy, EWI's expert commodity analyst, called for at the beginning of 2016 and see how that forecast turned out.

How to Spot a High-Confidence FX Trade Setup

In March, the Japanese yen served us a great lesson in Elliott wave triangles, high-confidence price patterns. Watch this 4-part video series where our Currency Pro Service editor spots a triangle in USDJPY and follows it as it unfolds in real-time in the coming days.

Commodities: Exciting Opportunities Are Unfolding NOW

Learn why our Chief Commodity Analyst is anticipating downward pressure across the commodity markets.

Stocks: Several Factors Are Pointing to Multi-Year Extremes

Robert Kelley tells you how he uses divergences between related markets -- and what they're telling him now about the markets he follows.

Europe: Why It's Going to Get a Lot Worse Before It Gets Better

Brian Whitmer, the editor of our monthly European Financial Forecast, explains what indicators helped him anticipate market volatility.

The Fibonacci Sequence: New Research Surprises Scientists

Fibonacci ratios show up throughout nature -- and in financial markets. Come see what we see.

U.S. Dollar’s Surge Against EUR and JPY: Don’t Hang Your Hat on It

Often during Thanksgiving week, markets quiet down. Not so this year. The Dow made a new all-time high on Wednesday -- and in forex, the euro slid to a new post-election low. Let’s talk about that.

Nikkei 225: Why the May 2013 Crash Was Just a Correction

In the spring of 2013 the Nikkei 225 fell from near 16,000 to near 12,500, all in a matter of about three weeks. Yet, here is why it was clear to us that the crash was only part of a bull-market correction.

EWI's Hochberg: "The Trend is Set" -- And What You Should Pay Attention to Next

Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall discuss what the Brexit vote represents -- and its implications for the world markets and economies.

Stocks and Complacency: An Explosive Combination

Except for a couple of turbulent days in early September, this fall season has so far been as uneventful for the markets as this past summer was. But that's likely to change.

The Markets Are Bigger Than Central Banks

In this interview, EWI's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg explains why the Fed and ECB don't really control the markets.

Trading with Elliott Waves Doesn't Have to Be Complicated

Jeffrey Kennedy explains why the Wave Principle is such a reliable and powerful way to forecast the financial markets.

The Crash of Icahn Enterprises, and How One Magazine Marked the Top

The late Paul Montgomery, the originator of the magazine cover indicator, said that when a financial trend makes the cover of a general-interest magazine like Time or Newsweek, the trend is close to a reversal. See how this time-tested indicator helped us to spot the top in Icahn Enterprises.

European Markets at RISK!

In this interview, EWI's European markets expert, Brian Whitmer, highlights the countries he is most concerned about in Europe -- and explains why you should be concerned, too.

New Opportunities in Asian Stocks

Asian markets have been a mixed bag lately. Here, Elliott Wave International's Matthew Gress offers you his take on recent market action -- and a new opportunity he's most excited about.

EURUSD: Remember the Greek Deal?

Hard to believe, but the barrage of news stories this week has already overshadowed the Greek bailout. Yet, price action in EURUSD around the time Greek deal was reached gave us a cool lesson in Elliott wave forex trading -- so let's take a quick look back.

The Real Reason Stocks Just Turned Volatile

Knowledge of classic chart patterns can be of enormous value to you. For example, a contracting diagonal takes a wedge shape within two converging lines, and is the most common form for an ending diagonal. This knowledge helped us anticipate Sept. 9's stock market volatility, even though the market had traded sideways for most of the summer.

See How Elliott Waves Called for DJIA's New High... 10 Months Ago

Elliott wave-minded investors must be adaptable to a changing market environment in order to be successful. Deductive reasoning is the best approach. See how Elliott waves and supporting technical evidence helped us stay on track with a bullish forecast for the DJIA.

Tracking the Ups and Downs of Crude Oil

Since early February, the price of crude has rallied. Few analysts saw it coming. We were among them. Learn what helped us track the ups and downs of oil since before its 2014 peak through today -- plus what you can expect next.

Are You Puzzled by Gold's Price Action?

The story goes like this: First, gold prices soar as global stock markets crash. Then, gold prices plunge as global stock markets... crash? It's time for a different version of events...

Commodities: Long & Short-Term Forecasts

Get Jeffrey Kennedy's new commodity forecasts -- and a preview of the best commodity opportunities he sees in the markets right now.

Forex: New Insights on EURUSD, Japanese Yen and More

Jim Martens, editor of our Currency Pro Service, has been using Elliott wave analysis since the mid-1980s -- on forex markets, for most of that time.

July 5: (Financial) Independence Day

It's been a summer of discontent for Europe's stock markets, as the upside seems lined with banana peels; or rather, Bre-nana peels! Say many, the fuel for Europe's sell-off is Brexit. But our records show otherwise: the makings of the downtrend were in place months before the U.K. decided to leave the European Union. 

Stocks: What a "3rd Wave" Looks Like

Bear markets are faster than bull markets. Why? Because bear markets are driven by fear. Greed is a "slower" emotion. That's why it took the DJIA less than a week to erase the entire rally that took two years. But wait...

Asia-Pacific: 6 Markets to Watch Right Now

Our global opportunities expert, Chris Carolan, tells you about the markets that he's excited about as we look towards the end of 2015 and into 2016.

Flexibility of the Wave Principle

Are you curious about our analysts and their background?  Our Senior Currency Strategist, Jim Martens, started following markets in the 1980s.  In this new interview, you'll learn how he got his start in markets, and how the flexibility of the Wave Principle enhances your market analysis.

Sunday's French Election "Makes Sense Socionomically"

Brian Whitmer tells you what he's watching as France is headed into its historic election. Brian explains how mixed social mood translates into the tight race at the polls.

French Election: Socialism, Bull Markets, Bear Markets -- and Social Mood

Brian Whitmer discusses sentiment and social mood across Europe as French voters head to the polls on Sunday to elect France's new president.

Chinese Yuan: How One Forecasting Tool Nailed the Rally

In this new interview, Chris Carolan, our Global Opportunities Expert and editor of Asian-Pacific and European Short Term Updates, shows you what helped him forecast the recent strength of the Chinese yuan against the U.S. dollar.

Analyst Spotlight: Senior Tutorial Instructor Wayne Gorman (Part 2 of 2)

In part 2 of this in-depth interview with Wayne Gorman, he tells you why he approaches the Elliott Wave Principle as a science -- and why that makes analyzing and forecasting the markets more exciting.

Why Do Stocks Rise and Fall? (Hint: It’s NOT the News!)

The financial media regularly rationalizes fluctuations in the markets by attributing them to various news and events. "A causes B." We take a different view.

Stocks: There's a Strong Chance for Another Exciting Turn Ahead

Pete Kendall and his colleague Steve Hochberg have co-edited our flagship monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast since 1999. In this interview, Pete draws from his extensive experience to show you where the markets are at right now -- and why he thinks there could be a turn in the markets very soon.

7 Classic Elliott Wave Trade Setups You'll See Again and Again

The best thing about Elliott wave patterns? Easy: They repeat -- on all timeframes, across markets. Once you know what to look for, you see familiar patterns in most charts. And that means countless new opportunities.

Markets: Understand the Present to Forecast the Future (Part 1)

Steve Hochberg, our Chief Market Analyst, sits down with ElliottWaveTV to talk about his background, how he discovered the Wave Principle, and why "it's applicable to all markets."

U.S. Stocks: End of the Complacent Era?

Financial markets tend to turn when most investors least expect it. Deep complacency toward stocks suggests that more triple-digit Dow declines may be just ahead.

Why the Fed's Rate Decisions Are Irrelevant

Millions of investors analyze the Fed's every word. But do central banks control financial markets? It's time to take a close look at the data.

Seeing Fractal Patterns: From the Microscope to the Telescope to the Naked Eye

The Golden Ratio is found everywhere, from nature to human behavior to financial markets. Episode 3 of the Elliott Wave Pillars Series explains this amazing natural phenomenon in greater detail.

Here's What Makes Elliott Waves a Useful Forex Tool

What gives Elliott waves the ability to warn you about trend changes before the news? The answer begins with a conversation about what the markets’ true driver is. 

Commodities' "Black Friday" Sends a Much Bigger Message

Back in 2008, the consensus strongly agreed that crude oil and the CRB index of commodities would keep rising. Instead, both markets came crashing down. Here's why.

EURUSD: Pop Goes the Weasel

Here's a classic example of Elliott wave forecasting in forex markets. It's a trade set-up you'll see again and again.

EURUSD: Critical Time Between Now And End of the Year

Jim Martens, our Senior Currency Strategist, talks about how he's stayed a step ahead of recent moves in EURUSD -- and why now is a critical time for the currency markets.

2015 Commodities Forecast: Why Bulls Might Get a Surprise

Our Chief Commodity Analyst gives you a preview of what to expect in the commodity markets in 2015. Listen to the interview to get Jeffrey Kennedy's latest take on cocoa, corn, soybeans, wheat and more.

Learn Why 2015 Was a Key Transition Year for Stocks

Our Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg talks to Moe Ansari on Market Wrap Radio. You'll hear his take on what we've seen in the markets so far in 2016 -- and why Steve thinks 2015 was a "transitional" year.

Volatility Spikes in Energy Markets: Here’s What’s Going On

In this new interview recorded on November 1, our Chief Energy Analyst Steve Craig talks about the recent volatility across the energy markets.

The Olympic-Size Problem of Network Television

Network television viewership is dropping, and so is interest in the Olympics. What does this have to do with bull and bear markets? Plenty.

Deutsche Bank: A Slow Moving Train Wreck

Our European markets expert explains why it's "too late" for Deutsche Bank and how this has now evolved into a problem across the EU.

How Bull Markets Puncture the Heavens

We are in the era of skyscrapers on steroids. The race to construct the world's tallest building is on. How does this relate to financial markets? Find out.

British Pound: 2 Years of History in 1 Chart

2016 was the year of political surprises. First was the shocking Brexit vote in June. Then, the surprise Donald Trump victory in November. Both moments saw a lot of volatility in the financial markets. Yet, while it’s tempting to say “of course” and blame volatility on the news, the reality is not so black-and-white. Case in point: the British pound.

British Pound Falls… Why This Goes Deeper Than the UK Election Shocker

When calculating the odds of a political victory, accounting for voters' mood may be more important than adding up all the rational pros and cons. Financial markets are also governed by traders' collective mood to a much larger degree than the mainstream finance has been willing to consider.

Puerto Rico: One Piece of a Giant Debt-Fueled House of Cards

Brian Whitmer, one of our emerging markets experts, talks about the Puerto Rican debt crisis and explains why the country's recent default "was not a surprise" to him and others at EWI.

Europe: "Shocks and Headwinds" Ahead

Brian Whitmer, our European Financial Forecast editor, explains the mixed picture he sees in Europe -- and what it implies for the future.

Learn the Basics of Corrective Waves

Learn to spot Elliott wave patterns -- in Cliffs Natural Resources Inc (CLF), iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM) and Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) -- with this classic 5-minute clip from one of our Trader's Classroom video lessons.

"Why I Like a Practical Approach to Trading"

European Financial Forecast editor, Brian Whitmer, tells you why financial bubbles occur so regularly -- and what he means by a "practical approach to trading."

The "Personality" of Stock Market Waves

Elliott waves don't merely reflect prices plotted over time. Each wave has its own "personality." Watch this video to learn more about the psychology behind the waves -- and how it affects your investment decisions.

Our Forex Strategist: "I'm Always Looking for 'Analytical Colleagues'"

Jim Martens explains why his "ideal subscriber" is a forex trader who thinks for himself and only uses Jim's analysis as a "sounding board" for spotting high-confidence trade setups.

Gold: Why You Should Pay Attention to "Extreme Opinions"

Gold has been hailed as "the biggest story of this year" lately. And to think that just in December, pundits were saying that gold had "lost its luster"! How did the mainstream miss this sleeper opportunity? This video gives you an answer.

Energy Volatility: What to Expect Next

Steve Craig, the Editor of our Energy Pro Service, explains that when looking across the energy complex, 2017 is playing out according to his Elliott wave script.

Spotting Opportunities in Emerging Markets with Bad Fundamentals

With the help of the Wave Principle, you can spot investment opportunities when the fundamentals are at their worst. Emerging markets are a good example. Review this chart and commentary from our Global Market Perspective.

Energy: EWI's Chief Oil Analyst Reveals When Elliott Is at Its Best (Part 2)

In part 2 of our in-depth conversation with Steve Craig, Elliot Wave International's Chief Energy Analyst, he reveals why the volatility in crude oil and natural gas keeps him excited about the markets he covers.

U.S. Treasuries: What Happened on October 15?

Let's face it, bonds are boring. Bonds are the beige minivan of the markets. People don't turn to bonds for excitement. They are valued for their safety and stability. That's why it was all the more surprising when...

China's Yuan Devaluation: Why It Was "Expected"

China's economy is slowing. Its stock market began to crash back in July. And, the volatility rocking financial markets has been widely linked to the recent yuan devaluations by China's central bank. Speaking of that...

See a True Picture of the So-Called Real Estate Recovery

Home values have recently surged in some real estate markets, which bolsters the sentiment about a housing recovery. But one chart puts this housing recovery into context. Homeowners will likely experience more real estate pricing whiplash.

Gold Jumps 2% -- and Probably Has More to Go

On Feb. 8, U.S. and global stocks had a rough day. And what, says the conventional wisdom, "reliably" goes up when markets are "uncertain"? That's right: gold. But here's something you should know...

China Drops the Yuan "Bomb" -- But the Euro Fails to "Notice"

On Aug. 11 China shocked global markets by devaluing its currency, the renminbi, by almost 2%. Yet, if you looked at your forex screens Tuesday morning, after the initial devaluation, you could hardly tell that anything had happened. Why?

The Rise of Women in Bear Markets

Many view bear markets as simply a downturn in stock prices. But societal changes also tend to accompany trend changes in the stock market. Will the "gender barrier" be shattered in the months ahead?

Can the Fed Drop Interest Rates Below 0%?

For the financial markets, the biggest event of the week starts tomorrow: On Wednesday and Thursday (Feb. 10-11) Fed chair Janet Yellen will appear before Congress to deliver her semi-annual Monetary Policy Report.

MSCI Emerging Markets Reemerge from the Ashes

At the start of 2016, the mainstream outlook for emerging markets was "ugly," "scary," and "tough." And yet, the sector spent the first 10 months of the year soaring to one-year highs. The reason why that happened might surprise you.

China: Only ONE Way for the Shanghai Composite to Find a Low

Investor psychology steamrolls government intervention in the stock market. See how the Wave Principle helped us identify a turn in the Shanghai Composite before the dramatic decline began.

Big Tobacco Sugar

Governments tax it; schools ban it. Across the US, efforts to remove sugary drinks have de-fizzed sugar-sweetened beverages sales.

Do You See a Pattern You Recognize? If Not, Move On

In this video, our senior instructor Jeffrey Kennedy reminds us why trying to force a price chart into a wave pattern is a bad idea.

Money Managers in Gold: Love 'Em Here, Hate 'Em There

chart of the day | We follow a lot of financial markets, yet the sentiment we see at work in gold continues to be compelling. Here, you see two charts of gold sentiment: from December 21 and January 4.

Crude Oil and Economy: Why the Mainstream Needs to Re-think Its Correlation Models

"If you want to know where the global economy is headed, check the oil markets," says one economist. Let's see if this theory holds as we look at a couple of crude oil charts.

"Is Europe going higher? -- Yes. For now."

EWI's European Intraday Stocks Analyst, Murat Yilmaz, gives you an overview of where European markets find themselves today. In particular, Murat gives you his thoughts on the SMI and FTSE 100.

Using Elliott Waves: As Simple As A-B-C

Recognizable patterns unfold in the financial markets. Using Elliott waves, you can learn to identify these patterns and use them to anticipate where prices will go next. Get started with a basic understanding of the Wave Principle.

The Rich are Acting Like They Did Right Before the Last Financial Crisis

Financial optimism was on full display in 1999 and 2006. The rich were splurging as the stock market zoomed higher. Bear markets soon followed. Now, as we kick off 2016, the affluent are partying like it's 1999 and 2006. 

Euro Stocks and EU Economy: Extreme Optimism Returns

According to the mainstream pundits, the long-awaited "Easter-egg hunt" of recovery in Europe's economy and stock markets is over! Optimism is off the charts. But it's what's ON our charts that warns caution.

Populist Politics: What's in Store for Europe?

Brian Whitmer discusses the social mood landscape across Europe and explains how social mood will impact the upcoming European elections.

The Timing of the British Pound's Slump Is No Accident

When on October 4th the British pound fell to a new low for the year -- and a new 31-year low -- the explanation was simple: Brexit. But if the timing of the slump seems almost accidental, from an Elliott wave standpoint, it was no accident at all.

Are the World's Rich and Powerful Right About Emerging Markets?

Global political leaders and CEOs of major companies have a privileged perspective on the world. But even they can steer investors in the wrong direction. Right now, emerging markets appear ripe with opportunity, contrary to the "experts'" forecasts. Take a look at these two charts.

Why Most Investors Eventually Lose Their Shirts

Most investors are too embarrassed to tell the truth: They consistently lose money in financial markets. Even during a bull market, the median household saw their retirement wealth decline by 13%. The observations of a stock broker more than 100 years ago are revealing.

2016 Presidential Cam-PAIN Trail: Why Now?

"Unprecedented," "nuts," and "inexplicable" are just a few of the words people use to describe the 2016 US presidential campaign. How did radical politicians such as Trump and Sanders get as far as they did?

Legal Pot: How 80% "NO" Became 60% "YES"

When it comes to cannabis legalization, lots of people assume that they've seen & heard all there is to see & hear. But -- hang with us for the next four minutes, and maybe we can offer a different perspective...

India's Banks: Can Bad News Be Bullish?

Albert Einstein's observation that opportunity lies within every difficulty often applies to financial markets. When the fundamentals are at their worst, most investors flee. But they run away from the beginnings of potentially rewarding trends. See what the Wave Principle reveals about an important emerging market sector.

European Stocks: The Real Reason for the "Santa Claus" Rally

On December 8, Germany's DAX Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 broke out of long-enduring holding patterns, embarking on a synchronized uptrend to new 2016 highs. According to the experts, the main catalyst for the markets' breakout was the ECB's pledge to keep the QE tap open. But there's a very big problem with this logic.

Tension Growing in South China Sea

China's aggressive behavior in the South China Sea has antagonized a growing number of countries. US leaders say that in the near future, China will be able to project substantial military power in the region. In the April 2016 issue of The Socionomist, Chuck Thompson takes a look at China's actions and at the potential for conflict with its neighbors as well as the US.

This Straightforward Approach Will Help You Navigate an Erratic EURUSD

Last week, the financial world had its eyes fixed on the Fed chair Janet Yellen's speech in Jackson Hole, as traders considered how her words would impact the markets. Dozens of articles later, one perspective was still missing almost entirely from the mainstream discussions...

War or Peace? Addressing the Prospects

The evidence is compelling: The stock market's price action is a reliable indicator of war and peace. Even the U.S. Revolutionary War began at the bottom of a long bear market. On the other hand, bull markets correlate with peace. What about today?

Technology Can Be Perilous When Markets Move Fast

Computers are a double-edged sword in financial markets. They help ensure that small and institutional investors are on a "level playing field." On the other hand, don't be surprised if the next major glitch occurs during a fast-moving bear market.

A Record Collapse of Corporate Mergers: Get Ready for What's Next

Financial history shows that peaks in corporate mergers generally occur prior to major bear markets. With that in mind, consider that 2015 saw a record amount of money spent on mergers. But, since then, a shift has occurred. Is financial history set to repeat?

British Pound Rally: Why Brexit News is Just a Smokescreen

Why would the British pound rise on the news that Brexit needs approval from the British parliament? Well, you could argue that the markets, unsure of Brexit's ultimate economic impact, showed their approval for a delay in the process. Yet, here is another explanation...

The Right and Wrong Way to Analyze the Markets

Bond market commentators are saying that President-elect Donald Trump's proposed programs are swaying the bond market. But a close examination reveals otherwise. We posit that there's a "wrong way" and a "right way" to analyze financial markets. Here's what we mean.

Euro vs. Dollar: "The moment we've all been waiting for"

Here's what we know from three-plus decades of observing markets: When prices move in a sideways, choppy fashion -- it’s a corrective pattern. That is to say, the market is making a “pause” within the larger trend; the actual trend should soon resume.

Japan: Down the Rabbit Hole of Negative Rates

The results are in: Two- plus months of negative interest rates has had no positive impact on Japan's economy. "It's like being Alice in Wonderland," observes one strategist. But, in our opinion, there's nothing "curiouser" about the futility of free money to revive Japan's credit markets.

3 Must-See Charts: Learn What's Next for Europe

Brian Whitmer, our Senior European Analyst, highlights the precarious position of European stock markets.

Gold: When Safe Havens Feel Unsafe

On July 22, gold prices soared 3%-plus to go above $1300 per ounce in their largest percentage gain since June 29, 2012. The fact is, the July 22 rally in gold makes absolutely no sense in terms of fundamental analysis of financial markets. It is, however, easy to understand in the context of objective Elliott wave analysis. Let's look back on EWI's Metals Specialty Service for support.

If Your Nest Egg Breaks, Will You Still Want the Nest?

It's been less than a decade since the housing bubble burst, yet home prices in the UK and US today hover near new highs. Even so, socionomist Alan Hall foresees a darker future for real estate. He warns that once again, housing data suggests that the real estate market is beginning to wilt. 

Declining German Mood Besets DAX and Incumbents

The consequences of a negative social mood are far-reaching. One example is that the political party in power often faces a backlash from voters. Another is the emergence of an "us vs. them" sentiment. Both are at play in Germany. Keep an eye on the DAX index.

Our Top Metals Analyst Pins Down the Latest Big Move in Platinum

On September 21, a perfect bullish storm brewed in the fundamental backdrop of platinum. And yet, on September 23, platinum turned down in a vicious sell-off to six-month lows. Let us offer you an explanation you won’t read in the mainstream.

Why Trump, Why Now? The Violent Death of Political Correctness

The conventional narrative on 2016 US presidential candidate Donald Trump is that he has succeeded despite his rejection of political correctness. Here, Robert Folsom explains that Trump has in large part succeeded because of it. Trump gives voice to the political discontent that flows from negative social mood.

Learn Why It’s Important to Trade with The Trend

Our U.S. equity analyst, Tom Prindaville, shares his background and analytical approach to the markets in this spotlight video.

Why So Complacent? April Global Markets in Charts & Pictures

Going into April, too many world financial markets look too complacent. See the charts & pictures for yourself.

The D-Word: Deflation

Brian Whitmer, our European Markets Expert, discusses deflation and its effect on European economies, as well as deflation in world-wide economies.

Does the Federal Reserve Drive the Stock Market Trend?

Millions of investors analyze the Fed's every word. But do central banks control financial markets? It's time to take a close look at the data.

New GMP Preview: 3 Killer Charts, 2 Fast Looks at Politics

Global Market Perspective (GMP) delivers monthly analysis and forecasts for the world's major financial markets, straight to your computer. Watch this preview of our December issue.

Currencies: Here's What We're Watching

Michael Madden explains the outlook for the British pound and currency markets in general and whether they have been affected by the UK's call for a snap election.

Copper, Gold and More: A Fresh Look at Industrial and Precious Metals

Tom Denham outlines the Elliott wave patterns he's looking at in copper, aluminum and gold and discusses what these patterns imply for the future of these markets.

Debt, Politics, and Russia: A "Spike" Dead Ahead?

Charts like this one show that markets can anticipate huge shifts in broad psychology: Another dangerous spike may be just around the bend.

See the Top Forex Markets that are Poised to Move -- Right Now

Jim Martens, the editor of our Currency Pro Service, gives an overview of the currency markets he follows and talks about a couple opportunities he's keeping his eye on.

Here's Why Trendlines Are Your New Best Friend

Could a simple trendline help you identify price breakout points, manage risk, and identify critical resistance levels in the markets you follow? You betcha! Watch and learn from EWI's Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy.

The Fed: "Utterly Irrelevant"?

Many investors believe that the Federal Reserve holds sway over markets and the economy. But a former chairman of the U.S. central bank says monetary policy cannot solve everything. See a chart that shows what central bankers are up against.

Moving Averages Can Identify a Trade

If you trade with Elliott, you may use supporting indicators in your analysis of the markets. Here's a brief lesson that shows you three ways that moving averages can help you determine the market trend.

Chinese Stocks: The Outlook is Clearly Negative

Our Global Opportunities Expert, Chris Carolan, discusses Monday's sharp declines in China's Shanghai Composite and Germany's DAX, and then he shares his outlook for the global markets based on the regional currencies.

Alan Hall: Political Fragmentation: Why Now? Part One

Check out the political landscape. Why is PC on its way out and anger and separatism on their way in? What, if anything, does this say about the markets?

Bond Traders Telegraph a Message About 30-Year Treasuries

Financial markets have a way of turning just when the majority of investors are convinced that the established trend will continue. But make sure a market's chart pattern also supports a turn. This market appears ripe with opportunity.

Fed Week: One and Done?

Whenever the Fed makes its scheduled interest rates announcement, it's almost always an exciting moment in the markets. But, for an objective guidance on future Fed actions, keep calm ... and follow market rates.

EURUSD: Getting a Handle on December Volatility

Love or hate December's infamous volatility, if you choose to trade this month, you have to deal with it. And this December has certainly been volatile. Take EURUSD, the world's biggest forex market...

"It's So Practical!"

Beginning May 11, our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy will present his 5-session online course, "4 Critical Elements of High-Confidence Trading." We spoke with Randy H., a student who took Jeffrey's first "Critical Elements" course, to learn what he thought of it.

Markets: Understand the Present to Forecast the Future (Part 2)

In part 2 of our in-depth interview with Steve Hochberg, Steve explains what else makes Elliott wave analysis so useful and practical.

GDP Does Not Drive the Stock Market Trend

"The economy leads, and the stock market follows." This common assumption is easy to check -- all you have to do is look at the data.

The Economy Follows the Stock Market

The evidence is clear. The stock market leads the economy contrary to popular belief. Episode 2 of the Elliott Wave Pillars series walks you through the overwhelming evidence that proves this point without a doubt.

Zika: What Socionomics Tells Us About Timing of This Outbreak.

Alan Hall, Senior Analyst at the Socionomics Institute, talks about the recent outbreak of the Zika virus. Alan explains that negative social mood created social conditions in which the Zika virus was able to spread. (You can watch the interview or read the transcript.)

Silver: When the Market Doesn't Quite Cooperate

Picture this. You are a looking at a price chart, and you see a wave pattern you recognize. Based on the pattern, you think the market should fall. Instead, it rises. How do you adjust your analysis? Let's look at a real-life example: silver futures.

Gold & Syria: Not So Simple

The recent nerve gas attack in Syria has brought the United States and other nations to the point of taking military action. The threat of a larger involvement in war is usually thought to affect the price of gold, as if it were a fundamental divining rod for gold prices.

Higher Interest Rates: "Good" for the U.S. Dollar?

Financial news networks spend untold hours debating with their guests as to whether interest rates will rise or fall -- and the effect that will have on the currency. But what if they argued ... over nothing? See this chart and analysis from Murray Gunn and decide for yourself.

Bear Markets + World Trade = Bad Outcomes?

We've all read about, heard about and watched the many negative political headlines from across the planet. If you're an investor, you have to wonder: What does it all mean for world trade and global markets? That question is too broad to answer with one graph or visual, but: We do have a chart to start the conversation.

Getting a Handle on Volatility in British Pound

Whether you look at other markets, politics or something else to explain a market move, you’re explaining a move that’s already happened. And for a trader, the real question is, "What will the market do tomorrow?" Let's look at how Elliott wave analysis handles it.

Peter Kendall on Why His Walk Down Wall Street Will Be Powerful

"New York City has a history of progressing very dramatically along the lines of bull and bear markets." So says Peter Kendall, who is leading a socionomic walking tour of Wall Street and Lower Manhattan on September 8. Watch as Peter explains more.

Social Mood, Stock Markets and Epidemics

Senior researcher Alan Hall presented to the National Defense University during a two-day conference. Alan's research links negative social mood with stock markets, public health, and epidemics. Learn more about the danger for global disease outbreaks in the interview below.

EURUSD: What Do You Do When FX Markets "Break a Rule"?

Elliott wave analysis has only three rules. Beyond those, there are many guidelines for wave formation. But a guideline is just that -- a guideline, while a rule is... well, something you cannot violate. Or can you?

Two Bull-Market Institutions Reach a High Plateau

Two bull market institutions are showing patterns of five-waves up. Elliott-minded investors know that this means the next trend points downward. See two charts that you will likely not find anywhere else.

An Eye-Brow Raising Survey on Bull's 8th Anniversary

On March 9, 2017, the bull market marks its eighth anniversary. At the same time, one group of market participants are more bullish than they've been in decades. Are they right? The Wave Principle is helping our subscribers anticipate the next major trend change.

Junk Bond Selloff: The Stress Gets MORE Stressful

chart of the day | Here we have the Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Spread. It's one of those indicators you don't see enough of in the financial media, even though it's a lot more predictive and relevant to investors, versus all of this week's hoopla about the Federal Reserve.

Gold: "Sharp Move Ahead"

Here's a weekly chart of gold, covering the past five years: You can see that, from the peak high in 2011, gold's price trend has moved in a series of waves lower, recently down to levels last seen in 2010 ... So, what's up with those green arrows?

When Bearish News is... Bullish

In February, professional investors were record net short futures and options contracts on oil. Yet, we took the opposite stance. On June 8, crude closed at a new 2016 high. Take a look at this chart.

Risk On? Risk Off? Find Out Where Your Money Lies

It's almost Christmas, "the hap-happiest season of all." Yet, here's a sobering fact for U.S. investors: As this chart shows, the S&P 500 stocks are actually lower now than at the end of last year.

Why Weaker Euro Has Little to Do with "Negative Inflation"

Blaming the euro weakness on "negative inflation" -- or, deflation, if you call a spade a spade -- is a logical choice. After all, the euro did get weaker after the report. However, if you look at these EURUSD charts, you'll see that this weakness started days ago.

How Crude Oil Fooled (Almost) Everyone

Not one economist surveyed by The Wall Street Journal at the start of 2015 anticipated that crude oil would be trading under $40 a barrel. Most of them don't consider investor psychology, the true driver of big trends. And that's precisely what Elliott wave analysis helps you do. Take a look at this chart.

Fed Day: How the Nikkei Fell... and Rose to the [Same] Occasion

On December 16, the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. Yet -- even though the rate hike was a foregone conclusion, the Nikkei's reaction to said hike was apparently all over the map.

Is Russia About to Attack … Everyone?

Alan Hall, Senior Analyst for The Socionomist, explains that after nine years of negative mood, Russia looks a lot more threatening than it once did.

Expect the "Backlash Against Bankers" to Intensify

The financial sector has been part of the so-called Trump Bump. A well-known hedge fund manager sees a golden age for banks. Our view is radically different. We expect that the most aggressive exploiters of the long bull market will face harsh future consequences.

There's More to India's Rising Stocks than a Falling U.S. Dollar

At the start of 2016, India’s S&P Nifty Index was circling the drain of a 21-month while India’s rupee clung to an all-time-ever low against the U.S. dollar. But then the unexpected happened -- both the Nifty and the rupee hit bottom. Yet -- while the one continues to soar in a bull market rally, the other one sputters...

Why You Should Consider This $5-Trillion-a-Day Market

As of 2013, the daily trading volume in foreign exchange was more than $5 TRILLION a day. EWI's currencies expert, Jim Martens, discusses the pros and cons of trading forex vs. trading stocks.

Alibaba: Headed for a $1-Trillion Market Capitalization?

"Open Sesame" is the phrase that opens the door to treasure. A Chinese entrepreneur was inspired by the story of Ali Baba and the Forty Thieves and named a company that has yielded vast riches. One of our Global Market Perspective editors provides analysis of Alibaba Group.

Deflationary Forces Stymie the Fed's Economic Rescue Efforts

The Federal Reserve's assets have soared since its quantitative easing programs started in 2008. One chart shows why so many investors are positioned for inflation. Learn why they will probably be caught off guard.

Happy (Financial) Independence Day

How could the debt crisis in Puerto Rico affect you? Where is the next housing bubble set to burst? How do money managers signal major gold turns? Get the answers, today!

Crude Oil: How to Catch a 77% Rally

Now that crude oil rose about 20% in April alone, it's getting hard to remember that this winter, WTI fell to just $26.05 a barrel. Harder still is to remember the sentiment towards oil at that time. These headlines from major news sources are a good reminder...

Crude Oil Prices: A 7% Rally in 3 Days

Supply and demand factors do influence crude oil prices -- as with any physical commodity, for that matter. However, crude oil futures are also a financial market. Here's what that implies.

EURUSD: When "Fundamentals" and Technicals Agree

Wow, how far we've come. A year ago, saying that the euro and U.S. dollar would soon reach parity would have been laughed at. At the time, the euro-dollar exchange rate was trading near $1.40. By March of this year, it fell about four cents away from parity. Will it get there?

EURJPY: Come on Doooowwwwn! The Price Trend is Right

In early April, all fundamental signs pointed DOWN for the euro/yen currency exchange rate. But instead of falling, the euro went against the bearish current and soared against the Japanese yen. It’s time you knew the reason why. 

Glitter Bombs, Bill Gross, and the Public Whipping of German Bonds

When it comes to anticipating the record-shattering rout in German bonds, the final score is: Technical analysis: 1 Fundamental analysis: 0

Why Are Stocks Rising? (A Not-So-Silly Question.)

Stocks are up. In fact, the DJIA added almost 700 points this week. And why not? Unemployment is down. Square and Match/OKCupid/Tinder's IPOs are doing well. Good news all around. That's why stocks are up. Right? Well, only if you read happy news stories...

Gold Dives 2%: Why The "Gangbuster" U.S. Jobs Report Is NOT To Blame

On Feb. 6, gold prices plunged 2%. The mainstream experts blamed the fall on a "gangbuster" jobs report. The real answer to what caused it, though, is right in front of you. 

Indonesia Stocks and the Legend of Big Foot

On June 16, the Jakarta Composite Index plunged to its lowest level in 13 months. Now, we "hunt down" the real reason behind the powerful sell-off...

10 Popular Investment Myths Shattered

You may remember that in 2008-2009, as the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression was ravaging stocks, real estate, commodities and other "can't-lose" asset classes, many called into question traditional economic models, as well as the Fed's "omnipotence."

Why We're Bullish on Japan -- and Abe's Stimulus Package Has Nothing to Do with It

In late July, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced a massive, $267 billion stimulus package -- the largest of the prior 23 years, if you don’t count the one during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. While most investors are wondering whether the stimulus this time will be effective, our analysis gives you a completely different perspective on the announcement.

Why You Should Take a Close Look at India Now

India is often ignored in the U.S. financial media. But investors should pay close attention. Indian equities have outperformed U.S. stocks over the years. And, now, opportunity appears to beckon again.

Q&A: Nerissa Brown Studies the Herd on the Street

University of Delaware professor and 2016 Social Mood Conference speaker Nerissa Brown explains how her research on herding overlaps with the study of social mood.

Forex FreeWeek Preview: "Dollar is at an inflection point"

In this interview, our Senior Currency Strategist and editor of the forex-focused Currency Pro Service tells you what to expect during the Forex FreeWeek (Oct. 19-23).

Why We Can't Stop Showing Subscribers SILVER

Silver stands at a rare juncture. See for yourself how our forecasts kept subscribers one step ahead -- plus, our recent labeled silver chart.

Practice, Practice, Practice Makes Perfect Elliott Wave Analysis

Our Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy tells you about the four key principles that'll help improve your Elliott wave skills.

Q&A: Matt Lampert on Socionomics: "The Light Bulb Lit Up"

Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert explains how he first encountered socionomics and how the field has grown over the years.

How to Find Trading Opportunities Using Fibonacci Analysis

Jeffrey Kennedy demonstrates how Fibonacci ratios help you determine price targets and turning points. The most common Fibonacci ratios are .382 and .618, but there are others...

Robert Prechter Talks About Elliott Waves and Socionomics

Avi Gilburt of conducted a thoughtful interview with Bob Prechter recently. We thought you'd like to see it.

Money Velocity: What the Latest Numbers Tell You

Despite the Fed's stimulus efforts, inflation remains subdued. The trend in money velocity -- the rate at which money changes hands in the economy -- is not what one might expect during a bull market. One bond manager points to high-debt levels.

Forex: The Most Liquid Financial Market on The Planet

The EURCAD's recent nosedive to a one-month low shows you how Elliott wave analysis has a very real place in the world of forex trading. Plus, a special "Black Friday" (Nov. 21) deal awaits you. 

Does Inflation Really Make Gold and Silver Go Up?

This idea of gold as inflation hedge is practically gospel. This chart shows a major flaw in this theory.

Gold Prices and the "F" Word: Who's Really In Charge of the Trend?

Question: Why did gold prices rally to a two-week high on September 18? Hint: The answer does NOT include one specific "F" word; namely, the "Federal" Reserve's recent "no" vote to raise rates.

EURUSD: Summertime, and Trading Is... Not Easy

Every forex trader knows that some trading days, you and the market just "click" somehow. And then there are days when just about every trading decision turns against you. Have you ever wondered why those "good" vs. "bad" days happen to begin with?

Platinum: See the Real Reason for Its Recent Retreat to a 6-Year Low

When platinum prices plunged to a 6.5 year low on July 17, the mainstream experts blamed the Fed's anticipated rate hike. But that kind of logic is nowhere near inside the right orbit.

Investors Furiously Flee U.S. Stocks

The investor stampede out of stocks has produced some of the most furious selling since the 2007-2008 financial crisis. Learn why ill-prepared money managers are contributing to the stunning downtrend.

Great Scott! Will Crude Oil Prices Ever Rise Again?

Today, we step into our "time machine" and go back to July 11, 2008 -- the day of crude oil's all-time high. There, you'll also see how prepared the mainstream financial experts were for crude's ensuing crash.

Malaise for Malaysia's Stock Market: Just the Beginning?

On May 5, Malaysia's Kuala Lumpur Composite Index slipped to a two-month low. The mainstream experts cited negative economic data in China as the root cause for the rout. Sounds perfectly logical... at first read.  

British Pound Gets Pounded: Why Brexit's NOT to Blame?

On June 24, the British pound plummeted to a 31-year low on the back of its steepest single-day fall ever! What caused cable to crash, you ask? Well, according to some experts, the Brexit vote is to blame. We, however, have a different explanation.

Crude Oil Bulls Go Back to School

 Here's the what: Oil prices have just enjoyed their strongest 3-day rally since Iraq's 1990 invasion of Kuwait. Now, read why OPEC is not to thank for the upsurge...

An Uncommon Pattern is Being Traced Out in U.S. Stocks

The co-editor of the U.S. section of our Global Market Perspective sat down to explain why this uncommon pattern in the Dow fits with the overall long-term picture in the stock market.

Crude Oil's 24% Sell-Off: This Wasn't Supposed to Happen

At a 10-month high in early June, all "fundamental" signs pointed UP for crude oil's future. And yet -- on August 1, crude oil prices plunged below the $40 per barrel level for the first time in more than three months AND slipped into its third bear market in two years. See the story from a totally unique perspective.

"The Waves of War"

Could you look at the stock market of a country in South Asia and trace any connection -- and maybe even make a forecast -- for military conflicts in the same region? Turns out, yes.

Crude Oil: Put Volatility on Your Side

All eyes were on the much-anticipated OPEC oil production freeze this week. And yet, somehow, crude oil prices themselves had two very different reactions to news of the output halt? Read on!

How to Get a Firm Handle on Gold's Ups and Downs

Bearish hedge fund managers were woefully caught off guard in December 2015 when gold launched a 31% rally into July of this year. By contrast, we told subscribers that a sharp rally was imminent right at the low. Now, gold's price appears to face another key juncture.

Trump’s “Honeymoon Phase”: Why Low Approval Ratings Matter

Robert Folsom explains that a real honeymoon means a "happy couple" -- and so far, Donald Trump hasn't made his "bride" -- namely, the public -- happy.

Chinese Yuan and Elliott Waves

Chris Carolan, who edits our Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, explains how the Elliott Wave Principle helped him anticipate the recent move in the Chinese yuan.

With Wall Street Leaving Commodities, Should YOU Be Showing Up?

The mass "exodus" of financial institutions from commodities continues. Could this be a sign that the 6-year long commodity bear market has bottomed?

Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Conclusion)

Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market. Here's the conclusion of our 10-part series.

How to Use Sentiment to Identify Market Extremes and Looming Reversals

In this new clip from Steve Hochberg's presentation at the 2016 San Francisco MoneyShow, you'll see how the extreme sentiment surrounding gold helped him anticipate its looming reversal.

UK Stock Market: 17 Years Later... and 400 Points LOWER?

Without question, over the past five years U.K. shares have been among the strongest equity performers, with the FTSE 100 recently rocketing above the 7000-point mark for the first ever in April 2015. But the "great bull market" isn't actually as great as it seems.

China's Yuan: A Stunning Multi-Year Forecast

Chris Carolan outlines his forecasts for the Chinese yuan and shows you how he stayed one step ahead of China's currency devaluation steps.

Commodities: New Year's Promises Vs. Elliott Wave Patterns

In 2011 and 2014, mainstream finance resolved that commodities would make a major comeback. In 2016, those same experts predicted the sector was doomed. The end result: 0 for 3. But someone got the story right.

Do Interest Rates follow the Federal Reserve, Or, Do Interest Rates Lead & the Fed follows?

What comes first? See the evidence on these three charts for yourself in Episode 4 of the Elliott Wave Pillars Series.

Where Have All the Dollar Bulls Gone?

This Chart of the Day gives you our latest Elliott wave count for the dollar, and reveals an extreme in sentiment that most traders don’t even look at. What it says right now is crucial to all USD traders.

EURUSD: An Ending Diagonal Triangle in Action

Remember how during the time of the Greek bailout a couple of weeks ago, the euro didn't seem to "know" which way to go next? There is a reason for that, says The Wall Street Journal: carry trade.

From "We" to "They": How Deglobalization is Shifting Friends to Enemies

Alan Hall, senior analyst at the Socionomics Institute, explains how 16 years of negative social mood is driving globalization's unpopularity. Learn more in this new interview.

Making Heads or Tails of This Market

We're only two trading days into 2016 -- yet, so far, the new year isn't looking too promising. Right now, you may be scrambling to make sense of the DJIA's huge tumble on Monday. This excerpt from our December Elliott Wave Financial Forecast may help.

Can Stock Values Simply "Disappear"? Yes.

Stocks rallied on Thursday (Jan. 14) -- but tanked again on Friday (Jan. 15), probably making the previously reported $3.2-trillion loss in the value of global stocks even bigger. But how can that be? Doesn't money simply move from one asset class to another?

Pete Kendall: U.S. Economy is Struggling -- But Not Why You Think

Pete Kendall tells you that although stocks recently hit new all-time highs, there is a great slackening in the economy -- but not for the reasons you commonly hear about in the news. To watch the interview or read the transcript, click on the link below.

The 5 Fatal Flaws of Trading

EWI's own Jeffrey Kennedy has identified five fundamental flaws that, in his opinion, stop most traders from being consistently successful.

Crude Oil: How Elliott Waves Prepare You for Trend Changes

"The trend is your friend," goes the old trading adage -- but what if the trend is about to end as you're "befriending" it? Elliott wave analysis is uniquely positioned to give you ample warning when that happens -- watch.

Crude Oil: How Low Will Prices Go?

U.S. crude has recently slipped below $40, and the mainstream media is blaming a supply glut. But is that the real reason for oil's slide? Take a look at an oil chart that goes back over 150 years.

EURUSD: Sharp Sell-Off Gets Reversed

On Monday (June 29), the world woke up to the ever-more-real possibility of a Greek default. The U.S. dollar gained, and EURUSD fell on the news. But then, just as abruptly, the euro sell-off reversed and completely erased all dollar gains. What happened? 

Here's the Real Reason the Fed is Raising Rates

Financial commentators parse every word the Fed utters, hoping to catch a clue about the central bank's next policy decision. But who really determines the direction of rates?

Deflation: First Japan, Now Europe: Is the United States Next?

A famous hedge fund manager recently said that deflation "is less likely than an asteroid hitting the earth." Yet, Europe already faces very low inflation and outright deflation, and Japan just suffered a stunning economic setback.

Infinity Lights vs. The Stock Market

Applying the laws of consumer economics to the stock market is a big mistake. See an illustration that shows how they differ.

Crude Oil: A Better Way to Explain the Sharp Dip

Crude oil prices fell sharply on April 5. Analysts blamed the dip on a surprise jump in U.S. crude inventories. But take a look at this chart before you accept that explanation.

Peace Is Always Bullish for Stocks: Yes or No?

"Peace lets companies innovate and compete, helping the economy." True -- and yet, stocks will go where they go.

Legal Marijuana: Why NOW

Twenty-three states (and D.C.) have now legalized marijuana in some form. Have you ever asked yourself why marijuana laws got more lax now? Why not 20 years ago? Why not 10 years from now? Is it "today's loose morals"? There is a better explanation.

How to Build Consistent Trading Success

Why do some traders jump in too early and take positions when an Elliott wave pattern demonstrates only one or two of the necessary traits? Find the answer -- and the solution -- with a quick lesson from our Trader's Classroom editor, Jeffrey Kennedy.

Dollar-Yen In a Freefall: 5-min Video Shows You Why

The sell-off in dollar-yen, or USDJPY, has been in the news a lot. "USDJPY Takes Out Stops, Plunges Under 101: Drags Stocks To New Lows," said a Zero Hedge headline yesterday. (Japan's Nikkei fell another 4.2% today.)

The Topping Process Is Steaming Along

Pete Kendall, co-editor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, discusses important trends that he'll be watching in the coming weeks and months ahead.

"Early Warning" Indicator for Crude Oil

Steve Craig, EWI's Chief Energy Analyst, explains what's really driving crude prices. Watch this new interview to find out what he's paying attention to.

Emotional Markets Serve Elliott Wave Investors

Pete Kendall, the editor of our Financial Forecast, tells you why Elliott wave analysis is particularly suited for emotional trading environments -- like the one we're in now.

Learn How The Wave Principle Spots Changes In Trend

Are you curious about spotting market turns? Our metals analyst uses the Wave Principle throughout every trading day to help his subscribers spot important changes in trend.

A Disturbing Global Shift Toward Financial Conservatism

The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast has been tracking a steady global shift to greater financial conservatism over the last several months.

"The One Commodity I'm Most Excited About"

Watch this new interview with Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of our Commodity Junctures market-forecasting service, to learn about the one commodity [Jeff] is most excited about.

Use Social Mood To Forecast Social Behavior

The trend -- in any market, fad, fashion, or social phenomenon -- is most likely to reverse course exactly when it seems like it's "here to stay." Learn how socionomics alerts you to the opportunities that trend reversals present.

Learn Why It's Important to Have Alternate Wave Counts

We sat down with Tom Prindaville, the editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service, to learn how he approaches market volatility -- and why it's important to have alternate wave counts.

U.S. Debt Dilemma: "Worsened Dramatically"

Never before has the world piled up so much debt. A day of reckoning is at hand. The U.S. Congressional Budget Office just said that "the long-term outlook for the federal budget has worsened dramatically."

Alibaba Stock: BABA Boom to Bust

Alibaba's stock market debut -- BABA -- was supposed to be the can't-lose, golden IPO of 2015. But then, the stock plunged 30% and stands near its initial offer price. While it's easy to blame China's contracting economy for the BABA bust, that wouldn't be true.

Gene Stanley is The Puzzle Solver

This essay describes the work and research of the legendary econophysicist Dr. H. Eugene Stanley, keynote speaker of the 2016 Social Mood Conference. An extended form of this essay appeared in the February 2016 issue of The Socionomist. 

Gold Investors: It's Time You Knew the Truth About the Fed

June 14: Fed Day! It's supposedly the one day gold investors can clearly predict the precious metal's next move based on the Fed's hawkish or dovish tone. But history shows gold prices are NOT being led by the Fed at all.

Here's What Precedes Every Recession by 10 Months

Many recent survey respondents see clear skies ahead for the U.S. economy. But there's an important historic insight that investors need to know about today's economic optimism.

Why Your Bank Deposits May Be at Risk

Big banks remain more fragile than most people realize. Many financial institutions never really recovered from the 2007-2009 financial crisis. A new report opens your eyes to the secret new government tax.

How to Identify and Trade an Ending Diagonal

Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy shows you how to identify and trade an ending diagonal in the chart of Union Pacific (UNP)

Why You Should Pay Attention to Stock Market's Bull/Bear Ratio

chart of the day | European stocks, just like stocks in the U.S., enjoyed a rebound over the past few weeks. You may have heard different reasons for the rally in Europe, but here's one most analysts overlook -- and in our opinion, it's one of the most important reasons.

Cash Still Trash... But Not For Long

See how this single market indicator warned of reversals in stocks in 2000 and 2007.

Ch-Ch-Ch-Changes: See Tomorrow's Turns Today

The on-demand video of the 2016 Social Mood Conference introduces you to the world's leading socionomists. You'll hear their groundbreaking foresights into the radical sea changes in store for the entire human landscape. 

European Banks: Defaults Are Inevitable

Brian Whitmer explains why the elevated state of investor optimism will ultimately lead many European banks to default.

Nat Gas: Get Our New Forecast

Natural Gas recently hit a 17-year low. See our analysis and the surprising forecast.

What If Donald Trump Were the Incumbent in the 2016 Race?

Yes, this is a thought experiment. But it draws on 250-plus years of American history -- namely the stock market from 1760 to 2012.

Forex Markets: Ain't Misbehavin'

On March 24, the Aussie dollar slipped to its lowest level in two weeks. But, according  to some mainstream experts, there was no reason for the currency’s fall. From an Elliott wave perspective, however, the reason was plain as day.

Successful Investors: "Avoid the Fruit, Embrace the Spear"

Financial optimism has reached a new extreme. The impulse to herd is ever present, but there is a way to set yourself apart from the crowd.

U.S. Household Debt: A New, Alarming Milestone

U.S. debt is on the rise and could reach a milestone level sometime in 2017. Student debt has risen for 18 consecutive years, and subprime loans are a growing worry in another sector. See these charts to understand the threat.

This Sentiment Measure Nearly Matches October 2007

The DJIA has been on a winning streak with one all-time closing high after another. "Traders are convinced that market volatility will remain nonexistent." Our subscribers know better.

The "Trump Bump" Was in the Cards LONG Before Trump

Market bears have suffered a severe shellacking as stocks embarked on a record-breaking run. But a classic Elliott wave price pattern gave investors a heads-up a year ago. See for yourself.

Gold: A Perspective on the Extreme Pessimism

Many speculators believe that the price of gold is headed down. See a chart that shows what happened with gold during other times when sentiment was extremely negative. Another chart addresses the widespread belief that rising interest rates are bearish for gold.

Company Buybacks: A Big Warning for the Stock Market

The sentiment surrounding company stock buybacks goes from cheers to jeers. Also, a splintering is taking place in M&A deals. Are these signs of a historic trend shift in stocks?

"Sell those euros. Sell'em."

Two days before the New Year’s Eve, I got an insistent email from a colleague. Jim Martens, our Senior Currency Strategist, sent me a message with only a subject line: “Sell those euros. Sell'em.”

See the Gold Forecast Many Have Missed

On Dec. 16, gold traders were more bearish on a longer-term basis than they were in July 1999, when the precious metal was at $252.15. That day, our Short Term Update said, "It's tough to lean against the crowd ... but that's exactly what our analysis suggests is proper at the current juncture." On Jan. 17, gold hit a 2-month high.

Do Earnings Really Drive Stock Prices?

"If you knew earnings would rise for next 6 quarters, would you buy stocks?" Yes, it's a trick question.

Gold Prices: Why the Fed Matters Less Than You May Think

On September 17, gold traders and investors were sure of one thing: IF the Fed kept interest rates near 0% for a "considerable time," gold prices would rise. The Fed did just that -- YET, gold prices dropped 1% that day. What gives?

Understanding Gold's Long-Term and Near-Term Trends

From the start of 2013 to late June, gold prices took a 20% nosedive to their lowest level in three years. But if you think an improving economy took the wind out of gold's sails, the last six decades of history might surprise you.

Crude Oil: Down 8% in ONE Day

Most analysts blamed "market fundamentals" for the stunning sell-off in crude on July 5. Yet, note that neither "the fallout from Greek turmoil," nor the "potential Iranian nuclear deal" have happened yet. Well, here's an Elliott wave perspective.

Why Investors Should Beware of This Low-Volatility Stock Market

Big volatility has been conspicuously absent from the stock market. We view this as a warning sign instead of a reason for complacency. Market history backs up our view. Take a look at this chart.

The U.S. Dollar Index Hits 100

There was no shortage of U.S. dollar bears during the 2007-2009 financial crisis. But the greenback defied the negative sentiment and now trades near 100. See what could have helped you anticipate that sharp bounce.

Gold Prices: Led by the Fed?

On October 27, one day before the latest Fed meeting wrapped up, gold prices flexed their bullish muscle, soaring to $1180 per ounce. Many experts did not see the Fed's coming decision as a threat for the rally. And then this happened.

Oil's Slippery Slope: How Far Will Prices Fall?

The price of crude oil just hit a six-year low. Market forecasters offer different views on what's next. We conclude with what the July Elliott Wave Theorist has to say.

Gold Prices Rise: "Fear Play" or Elliott Wave Pattern?

On January 6, gold prices rallied to a 2-month high. But before you say "North Korea," know this: Elliott wave analysis foresaw gold's uptrend before the "H-bomb" went off.

Is the Fed Lost in a Keynesian Puzzle Palace?

Does the Fed's interest rate policy determine the direction of stocks and the economy? Many Fed watchers believe so. Perhaps they have not seen these two charts.

324-Day Cycle Points to Spike in Gold Volatility

In the past month, gold saw a big spike in volatility. Commentators pointed to the U.S. presidential election as the cause. But Elliott wave analysts made a forecast for volatility in gold when the CBOE Gold ETF VIX index had been trending lower, and made no mention of the election. Here's what we saw.

Has the Pickup in Wall Street Volatility Only Just Begun?

Periods of low stock market volatility are usually followed by high volatility. On March 18, volatility was non-existent. Since then, volatility has jumped. Prepare now for "head spinning stock market moves."

EURUSD: Two Months of "Zero Progress" End with a Bang

For the past two months, EURUSD, the world's most-traded forex market, has made almost zero net progress -- until now. This chart shows you the long sideways trading range stretching back all the way to December.

Woe-Mart: The Retail Giant Walmart Has Faltered

Over the last year, Walmart has gone from retail victor to re-FAIL victim of falling sales growth, store closures, layoffs, and on. Who's to blame for Walmart's reversal of fortune? Hint: It's not the strong dollar. It's deflation. 

When Equity Culture Gives Way to Financial Conservatism

How much longer will investors remain enamored with risk-assets like stocks? The evidence suggests that a major shift toward financial conservatism is underway. See the evidence and decide for yourself.

What's Scarier Than DE-flation?

At last count, EIGHT European nations are now in outright deflation. It's the "Titanic" shipwreck scenario "no one saw coming." Well, not exactly no one.

Would a Terrorist Attack Crash the Stock Market?

As bad news goes, terrorism is at the top of the list. Why then do stocks ignore these terrible events so often?

Are Wheat Bears Set to Meet their Maker?

In 2012, all fundamental signs in wheat's backdrop pointed UP. But instead, wheat prices entered a four-year long, 50%-plus deep bear market to the decade lows we see today. The grain went off its fundamental script. But it stayed true to its Elliott wave one.

FAQ: Is it possible that today's widespread computerized trading including HFT might cause the market to stray from the Wave Principle?

We often get asked about computerized trading "causing the market to stray from the Wave Principle." EWI founder Robert Prechter asked that very question in this excerpt from Prechter's Perspective.

A Thanksgiving Pummeling of Precious Metals

It was supposed to be a "quiet" Thanksgiving holiday in precious metals. But thanks to a 7%-plus sell-off in silver, it's been anything but.

So You Want to Learn Elliott Wave Analysis?

Learning how to apply Elliott wave analysis in your own investing or trading? Hear these tips from a Wall Street veteran who's been personally using Elliott waves since the 1980s.

Political Prisoners That Even Positive Mood Could Not Set Free

What happens when you speak against your country's decision to go to war? Nothing good, most of the time. The new episode of our Pop Trends, Price Culture podcast tells a true tale of dissenters who were (so to speak) jailed by negative mood.

U.S. Vs. China: Has the Trade War Only Begun?

The U.S. has just imposed a new tariff on steel imports from China. Trade wars between nations are the result of a defensive psychology. Prepare now for a trend toward protectionism.

Are You Properly Positioned to Conquer the Crash?

The stock market moves with lightning speed when fear grips the minds of investors. On June 24, the Dow saw its eighth-largest point loss ever. Is the wave of financial optimism that started in 2009 over? A "must read" book tells you how to get financially safe.

How Brexit Shocked the World -- and What it Means to You

On Friday, June 24, the world awoke to an apparent new wind blowing out of Europe: The citizens of Great Britain voted to leave the European Union.

Crude Volatility

Our Chief Energy Analyst weighs in on recent volatility in the energy complex and offers you a preview of what he's looking for in 2017.

Natural Gas: A 20% Percent Decline In Less Than A Month

This is a weekly chart of the natural gas market. It posted on October 2, in our monthly Global Market Perspective publication. A lot has happened since then, but, on Oct. 2, this chart showed the five-year high...

Autumn Volatility: Why Our Top US Intraday Stocks Analyst Says "Rotation" is Key

Tom Prindaville, the editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service, tells you why he's looking for increased volatility heading into the month of October.

This Commodity Has Perked Up its Investors' Portfolios

In mid-2015, sugar futures were mired in a multi-year bear market, with prices plunging to an 8-year low. All fundamental signs pointed D-O-W-N. But instead, sugar prices turned up, in a powerful 90% rally! Know the real reason why, today. 

Why Investors Embrace Stocks When They Are Over-Valued

Investors shun stocks when they're cheap, but love them when they're over-valued. Financial herding occurs across all groups of investors, even among those who regularly advise against it. It's time to adopt another way of looking at the market.

Give Thanks for a... Truly Objective Commodity Forecast

In 2012, all the "fundamental" lines added up in corn's bullish favor. And yet, corn prices embarked on a multi-year bear market that persists today. Lend your "ear" to the full story...

Why the Glowing Jobs Number Was No Surprise

In February, the U.S. jobless rate fell to 4.7% as the economy added 235,000 non-farm payrolls. Some people attribute the economic improvement to the new president. Here's why the added jobs were anticipated well before the U.S. election.

"Rising Oil Prices Are Bearish for Stocks": True or False?

"Rising oil prices reduce corporate and consumer spending, impacting stocks and the economy." Right? Wrong.

Learn Why Rising Trade Deficit Is NOT a Bearish Factor for Stocks

"U.S. trade deficit seems to be a reasonable thing to worry about." This chart shows you why it's really not.

Learn Why GDP Is a Poor Predictor of Stock Trends

"GDP reflects corporate success. So do stock prices. So how could GDP not impact stocks?" -- Solid logic, and yet...

Are Wars Bullish or Bearish for Stocks?

"Some economists say wars stimulate the economy; others say war hurts it."  These 4 charts negate both cases.

Is the U.S. Economy Headed for the "Good" Kind of Deflation?

In case you haven't heard, "good deflation" will actually benefit the U.S. economy. The pro-deflation defense comes down to THREE main arguments... 

The Leaning Tower of Europe's Economy

In 2008, Europe's economy came crashing down. Ever since, the EU's monetary engineers have been trying to stabilize the sinking consumer foundation and sliding banking sector. Yet, take a look at these two charts.

Ben Bernanke Doesn't Understand Gold

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke made this startling confession before a Senate Banking Committee on July 18, 2013: "Nobody really understands gold prices, and I don't pretend to understand them either." For some perspective, that's kind of like boarding an airplane only to have the pilot get on the PA system and say, "Does anyone know what this flashing red button means?"

Which American City Will Be the Next Detroit?

The historically low default rate of municipal bonds is a lure that will trap millions of unsuspecting investors. The list of American cities facing severe budget shortfalls and huge pension liabilities is long. Which city will be the next Detroit?

"Interest Rates Drive Stocks"? See 4 Charts That Tell You the Truth

On Sept. 16-17, the Federal Reserve meets to decide whether or not to raise interest rates. It's been described as "the most important Fed meeting of the decade" -- and a pivotal moment for stocks. Yet, these four charts show you why it may not be.

Gold Bulls Play "The Fed Loves Me. The Fed Loves Me Not"

Mainstream economists say gold's trend is in the eye of the Fed holder. Rate hikes are bearish, while low rates are bullish. See why this love story isn't everything it seems.

Why Gold Prices Crashed: Trading Ploy or Elliott Wave Pattern?

The what: On July 20, gold prices plunged below $1100 an ounce for the first time in five years. As for the WHY -- well, the real reason might surprise you.

Who Are Copper Prices Taking Their Cues From?

On June 16, copper prices plunged to a 3-month low. There are 3 main fundamental explanations for the sell-off. But there's only 1 right one -- the Elliott wave explanation.

A Reliable Indicator Portends a 2015 Stock Market Decline

In December 2014, we discussed an indicator that appeared to carry "the same message as it did in 2007." The Dow Industrials topped just five months later. Now, the stress level is even more intense.

EURUSD: Why Did the Euro Reverse So Abruptly?

Last Friday (Oct. 2) at 9:06 AM, the editor of our Currency Pro Service, Jim Martens, emailed me with a three-letter subject line: "EUR."

USDJPY: Why the BOJ Doesn't Control Every Move

In mid-2015, the Japanese yen stood at a near 13-year low against the U.S dollar. And, according to mainstream wisdom, the yen's downside fate was sealed by the B.O.J's ongoing commitment toward monetary easing. And yet -- the yen rallied?

So Which Is It -- Is the Donald Good or Bad for Stocks?

Is Donald Trump good or bad for stocks? The financial press says both! Such blatant contradictions appear regularly in the media. Keep an eye on the market itself. The Dow's price pattern pointed to a new all-time high months before the election, and anticipates what's next.

EURUSD: Lower Now, But What Happens Next?

The dust settled after last week's Fed meeting, the focus has shifted to their next meeting in October, the interest rate hike option is still on the table -- and so, the U.S. dollar is stronger... but what happens next?

U.S. Jobs Market: A Picture of [Ailing] Health

The April 1 U.S. Department of Labor report showed a 5% unemployment rate. The mainstream experts hailed this as a sign of "robust" growth. We, on the other hand, call April Fool's! 

Q&A: Alan Hall on Epidemics, Donald Trump, Wealth Inequality and More

In this interview, senior analyst and 2016 Social Mood Conference speaker Alan Hall explains how a study in The Socionomist comes to fruition and shares some thoughts on how Donald Trumps fits into the authoritarian narrative. 

Energy: EWI's Chief Oil Analyst Reveals When Elliott Is at Its Best (Part 1)

Energy Pro Service editor Steve Craig has established himself as one of the world's most accurate forecasters of oil prices. In this short chat with ETV, Steve reveals how he came to EWI and, importantly, how he uses the Wave Principle to keep his subscribers ahead of the massive moves in crude and nat gas (5:01).

Greek Crisis: The End, or the Beginning?

As Greece teeters on the brink of another default, the question is: Will this end the Eurozone crisis, or will it begin an even bigger one? From an Elliott wave viewpoint, the mainstream answer to this question misses a hugely important piece of the puzzle...

Euro vs. Dollar: How to Know the Trend Before the News

Much like a cardiogram can show a doctor how the patient's heart is doing, Elliott wave patterns on a price chart can show you which way the market's collective psychology is about to take prices -- before the news, or without any news, period.

79% in 14 Months: Calling the Turns in the ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index

How does catching a 79% move in 14 months sound to you? Any investor would be thrilled. Our Global Market Perspective subscribers were alerted to just such an opportunity in this Australian index -- see how.

U.S. Election: What Does It Mean to the Markets and What Do the Markets Mean to It?

Pete Kendall, the co-editor of our monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, tells you more about the just-published Financial Forecast's special Election section.

Amid Stock Market Turmoil, Investors Cling to Hope. Why?

August was the worst month for the Dow in five years, yet many investors remain optimistic about stocks. If a bear market has started, history shows that many of these investors will hold all the way down. Take a look at a chart that is most revealing.

When Markets Go Nuts, "Emotions Are Not Your Friend"

Read this interview with Tom Prindaville, editor of our U.S. Stocks Intraday Pro Service, to get his take on the latest price action -- and new key price levels he's looking at.

Japan's Nikkei: Learn Why We've Been Anticipating the Decline

Chris Carolan discusses Tuesday's near 1000-point decline in Japan's Nikkei.

Why Crude Oil at $46 Is Not a Surprise

On April 27, the World Bank Group upwardly revised its annual forecast for crude oil prices -- after oil had risen 77% from this winter's lows. As for seeing oil's rally in advance -- well, that's a different story. One worth reading now...

The Euro vs. the Fed: What We Think Really Happened

Elliott waves allow you to see before the news which way the collective psychology of market participants is leaning. If traders feel bullish… 

You Asked. We Answered. (New Video "Mailbag" Episode.)

In our latest "Video Mailbag," three of our global analysts sit down to answer questions submitted by viewers like you.

China's Stock Market Dives 6%: "No Obvious Catalyst"?

When on August 18 the Shanghai Composite Index plunged more than 6%, the mainstream experts could find "no obvious catalyst" for the drop. Turns out, they weren't looking in the right place.

Case Study: Successfully Forecasting Crude Oil from 2014 to Today

The facts and evidence are clear: When emotions run high, Elliott waves are at their best. Case in point: Crude oil from 2014 to today. See Prechter's mind-boggling chart and forecast for yourself.

EWI's Top Energy Analyst: Crude's Post-OPEC Rally "Bears Watching" But "Natural Gas is the More Interesting Market at this Juncture"

Elliott Wave International's Steve Craig offers you his latest insight on price trends in crude oil and natural gas.

What Makes for a "Good" Elliott Wave Opportunity?

In this new Q&A with Murat Yilmaz, our European Stocks Intraday Analyst, you'll learn how the Wave Principle helps you see new trade opportunities, what he considers a "good" opportunity, the importance of risk management and more.

How to View the Huge 2016 Commodities Comeback

Five months ago, by almost every fundamental measure, commodity prices were dead in the water. And yet, as of June 6, the commodity sector as a whole went from doom to BOOM! So, what changed? The answer might surprise you.

Forex: "The Markets Are Getting Exciting!"

Jim Martens, the editor of our Currency Pro Service, gives you a preview of what's going on in the FX world post-Brexit.

Do Interest Rates REALLY Drive the Stock Market?

Most investors believe that higher interest rates are bearish. These four charts show you the truth.

Oh No! Is the World Running Out of Chocolate ... Again?

In 2010, a historic supply deficit was widely expected to keep the bullish wind in cocoa's sails. But instead, cocoa prices crashed in a 45% sell-off to 3-year lows. Now, a similar supply/demand picture is developing.

Yen Falls on GDP Data. Yen Rises on GDP Data. Confused Yet?

On November 16, GDP data confirmed Japan had fallen back into a recession. No two-ways about it. Yet, the Japanese yen had more than two ways to react to the news...

The Bear Market Meter Is Running

What do NYC taxicab medallions and stock market shares have in common? Well, let's just say, borrowing money to buy into either asset with the hopes of ever-rising values doesn't end well

Junk Bond Bust: The "Fling" Is Over

Over the last year, investors' appetite for risk has gone from red hot to lukewarm, culminating in the recent junk bond bust. Get the real story of the reversal here...

Europe's ETFs: The Real Reason for the Late 2016 Rally

In early December, two popular European exchange-traded funds, France's EWQ and Germany's EWG, had one thing in common: a bullish Elliott wave pattern called "ending diagonal" on their price charts. This is what happened next.

Elliott Wave Analysis: Where the RUBBER Meets the Road

On January 26, rubber prices soared to their highest level in four years. And, according to many sources, torrential rainfall in southern Thailand is the main driver of the market’s rally. Except, rubber prices started bouncing before the floods. 

Where Is Gold Headed? The Answer Doesn't Lie in Greece

On July 7, gold prices turned down in a $20/oz. intraday tumble. As for what caused gold to lose its luster -- see why Greece's debt crisis is NOT the reason.

Australia's Housing Statistics are Alarming

Investors can get badly hurt when a financial bubble implodes.  But, if you're positioned properly, downtrends can be your friend. One of our Global Market Perspective analysts examines a sector in Australia that may be on the cusp of a significant move. See the chart and read the commentary.

GPS vs. Road Map: Which Works Best? (Part 2)

In part two of this essay, our Currency Pro Service editor, Jim Martens, explains how to think of the Elliott Wave Principle as your road map to the market -- and your investment idea as a trip.

See a European Stock Market Top at Five Degrees of Trend

The stock market's price history consists of recognizable patterns at all degrees of trend. The chart of one European bourse shows a bull market has ended at five degrees of trend. It now appears that Minor wave 3 is unfolding.

Germany's DAX Index: Will Prices Stay Below a Key Trendline?

Germany served as an anchor of stability during Europe's sovereign debt crisis. The nation is the Continent's largest economy. Even so, Germany's stock market now looks poised for increased volatility. Also, take a look at this downtrending stock chart of the country's largest steel maker.  

How "Sheer Lunacy" Took Over Europe's Bond Market

Welcome to the world of half-century loans at 1% and a 100-year note at a yield of 2.35%. One of our Global Market Perspective analysts says the European bond market has entered a realm of "sheer lunacy." These two charts help to explain.

Retirees: Time to Decide What You Can Do Without

Relying on government to financially secure your retirement might be a big mistake. Social Security is a wealth-transfer program that's headed for a major crisis. State and local government pensions are also in trouble. Are you prepared for what the book Conquer the Crash warns about?

Commodities: The Kite of Opportunity is Flying High

At the start of 2017, the cards of "market fundamentals" were stacked in sugar's bullish favor. But instead of reclaiming the upside, prices soured in a 20% selloff to a one-year low in late April. Find out the unconventional reason why.

Just What, Exactly, Is Wrong with "Random Walk" Theory?

Here's a close look at the popular -- yet deeply flawed -- "random walk" theory, a popular view of market behavior held by many investors. We offer a carefully thought-out solution of our own... see if you agree.

Conservatism Grips the U.S. Economy Like Squirrels Hoarding Nuts for Winter

The transition from risk-taking to risk-aversion started off gradually in 2007. Then it suddenly accelerated. Our analysts see evidence that a similar pattern is repeating itself. Look at these two charts.

Why Dow Theory is Still Relevant

Meet the predecessor of the Elliott Wave Principle: Dow Theory has been around for over a century and boasts a consistent record of performance. Yet some analysts are dismissive. Learn why you should pay attention to the Dow Theory -- along with the Elliott Wave Principle.

Soybean Futures: How to Ride the Elliott Waves of Opportunity

For commodity investors and traders, it's easy to fall victim to information overload.

How 91 Percent of Oil Traders Missed the Trend

Many observers now blame the dramatic decline in crude oil on "oversupply." But U.S. oil production was increasing before the price of oil took a sharp turn south. See what we said about oil's approaching decline.

Gold and Silver: The "Cone" of Elliott Wave Analysis

On March 14, fundamental analysis experts in precious metals had their sights pinned on two main factors, both with bullish near-term implications. And yet, gold and silver prices are down hard! Here is our take on the situation.

"Third Triple Extreme" -- the Biggest in 150 Years

Even as the market forms the biggest triple extreme in 150 years, market fear is historically low. See a chart that shows just how far above the trend the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 Composite has risen.

China: What Deflation Looks Like

The Shanghai Composite fell 8% on July 8, for a total of 32% since the June 12 peak. Trading was halted by the authorities. Using the word "crash" is becoming appropriate. But, strangely, stocks are not the only asset class crashing in China right now.

A Near-Term Forecast for Gold to Go Higher

Gold's near-to-intermediate price trend is one thing, while the metal's long-term trend is another.  When a countertrend rally concludes, the turn can be swift and dramatic.

This U.S. Stock Indicator Just Broke Its 2000 and 2007 Extremes

Many private companies want to go public during a bull market trend. Even companies that are losing money get listed on major stock exchanges when optimism reaches an extreme. See a chart that tells a story that investors need to know now.

China's Stock Market: The Price Pattern Anticipates a Plunge

China's main stock index just plunged nearly 8.5%. That would be like the Dow diving nearly 1480 in a single session. The Shanghai Composite's violent downward move may be a part of a larger trend that you need to know about.

Euro vs. U.S. Dollar: What Will the "Big News Week" Bring?

This week promises to be big on economic news. Meanwhile, EURUSD, the world's biggest forex market, has been trading lower and lower over the past few days, as the U.S. dollar got stronger. How might the upcoming events impact this trend?

Shanghai Stock Shock: Warnings of a Major Slide

Just one week before the Shanghai Composite's June 12 high, our Elliott Wave Financial Forecast said, "China's stock market is definitely in a mania ... the rush into shares will end badly for investors." Now, we're preparing subscribers for further global financial turmoil.

Top 3 Technical Tools Part 2: Relative Strength Index (RSI)

This video lesson gives you tips on how to use a simple and effective trend-change indicator: the Relative Strength Index (RSI). You'll also see an example of this technical analysis tool in action: Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL).

The Pace of Commodity Price Declines Says "Deflation"

Commodity prices are in the claws of a bearish trend. One index recently fell to an 11-year low and commodity price declines have recently accelerated. This downtrend points to a rare economic trend.

Bond Traders Chase Rally to the Bitter End

About three months ago, hedge fund managers were the most bullish on bonds they've been in 10 years. Yet, our July Elliott Wave Financial Forecast warned a "trend reversal is nigh." Just four trading days later, on July 8, bond futures made their closing high. Take a look at these two charts.

Why Are Crude Oil Prices Up 33% in One Week?

Most analysts say the same thing: Oil is higher in reaction to the news. Sounds reasonable... but what if someone told you there was a way to forecast this rally before the news -- or even without any news?

Crude Oil: What to Make of the Bearish Sentiment

Steve Craig, editor of our Energy Pro Service, tells you what to make of the current sentiment picture in oil -- and what he's looking for down the road in crude, natural gas and more.

U.S. Public Pensions: Funding Gap Widens Dramatically

U.S. public pension fund returns have been hurt by a long stretch of low interest rates. Today, the funding gap stands at an astounding $3.4 trillion. Our research and others' suggests the bankruptcies of Detroit and San Bernardino may be only previews of what's to come for at least five other major cities on the brink of insolvency.

U.S. Dollar: a Brexit Safe Haven?

The U.S. dollar surged in the wake of Britain's decision to leave the European Union. But the greenback's upward trend started several weeks before the June 23 vote. See how the Wave Principle can help you spot trend turns, even when professional speculators are betting the other way.

How This Indicator Anticipated Important Financial Turns

Investors tend to extrapolate present trends into the future. When that trend also catches fire with the general public, watch out. A turn might be nigh. Learn about an indicator that has a strong record of marking major turns of fortune.

Stock Market Forecasts: Why You Should Consider Technical Analysis

Should investors base market decisions on fundamental or technical analysis? A new study sheds light on this important question. Learn how the Elliott wave model helped prepare our subscribers for the recently ramped up market volatility.

Is the Stock Market Random and Unpredictable?

Many stock market observers believe that prices are random and unpredictable. But we've observed that repetitive patterns show up in market charts at all degrees of trend. Find out how Elliott wave analysis helped our subscribers prepare for a high-confidence juncture in the stock market.

Oil Prices and the Next Gulf of Mexico Hurricane

Like 2005's Katrina, a major Gulf of Mexico hurricane can deal a heavy blow to crude oil production. Most financial and economic pundits would then conclude that such a supply disruption would send oil prices skyrocketing with demand. Yet this chart defies their Econ 101 logic.

How the "Peak Oil" Story Crashed with its Price

In the mid-2000s, the world feared it was running out of oil. Speculators, in turn, became feverishly bullish on oil's price. A 78% crash soon followed. Today, almost no one talks about "Peak Oil."

The Real Reason Obamacare is Coming Unglued

The days of $20 doctor house calls and affordable hospital stays for the uninsured are long gone. Chalk it up to government involvement in healthcare. Now we learn that "Obamacare" premiums will sharply rise in 2017. Prepare for what's next.

You Asked. We Answered. (New Video "Mailbag" Episode.)

In our new ElliottwaveTV episode that we call "Video Mailbag," you'll hear from two of our global analysts: Global Opportunities Expert Chris Carolan and Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy.

China's Internet Stocks: Going the Route of the Late 1990s' "Internet Bubble"?

Investment manias reach soaring heights. We've made an important observation about the market's action following a mania. Read about it, and see a chart of two similar-looking price forms that will help you to prepare for the months ahead.

Look Who's Leading the Way on Interest Rates (It's NOT the Fed)

The mainstream financial press analyzes every word of the Fed's discussions about interest rates. But it's a myth that the U.S. central bank determines the direction of rates. These two charts are revealing.

Germany's Stock Market & the French Election

On April 24, Germany's DAX Index soared to a new, all-time high. Mainstream pundits say the April 23 outcome of the French Presidential Election lit the market's bullish fire. Here's our take on the rally.

3 Ways to Identify Support and Resistance -- 5 Chart Examples

Use this free lesson to brush up on methods and indicators that can help you improve your confidence in your own market analysis.

6 Lessons to Help You Find Trading Opportunities in Any Market

One of the most common requests we get from traders is: Can you teach me how to look at a chart and find opportunities for myself?

The Two Faces of Stock Market Volatility

For most of this summer, the U.S. stock market was about as volatile as a yoga retreat. Now, it's a model of turbulence. Yet somehow, the mainstream experts have insisted that both volatility scenarios are bullish! Keep reading...

Analyst Spotlight: Senior Tutorial Instructor Wayne Gorman (Part 1 of 2)

In part 1 of this in-depth interview with Wayne Gorman, he tells you how he discovered the Wave Principle and explains why "the learning never stops."

What's Up Doc? Why Are Crude Oil Prices Falling?

In early June, crude oil prices took a flying leap from 10-month highs, tumbling 15% to a three-month low on July 27. As for seeing oil's reversal coming in advance -- the "parachute" of fundamental analysis didn't "open" in time ...

Waning Enthusiasm for Share Buybacks Signal Major Market Reversal

In the May 2008 issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, we cited a sudden loss of enthusiasm for company buybacks as another component of a major market reversal.

Euro vs. Dollar: The Excitement is Yet to Come

EWI's Chief Currency Strategist discusses the EURUSD 1,200-pip "roundtrip."

Euro vs. Dollar: The Excitement is Yet to Come

EWI's Chief Currency Strategist discusses the EURUSD 1,200-pip "roundtrip."

The Disruptive New Science that Shatters Today's Investing Paradigm

Watch this video of Robert Prechter explaining social mood from an outside observer's point of view.

Australia: Fast-Growing Internet Companies Seek New Rally Highs

Our Global Market Perspective editors have spotted two compelling investment ideas in Australia. We first show you Australia's big stock market picture. Then we focus on the charts of two Internet companies.

Negative Social Mood Drives Combatants in the Syrian Conflict

Syria is at the top of any serious list of today's "biggest problems." Not just because of Syria's nearly five-year war. Not just for being the bloodiest example of how "The Arab Spring" became "The Arab Winter"... 

India Stocks: Does This Price Pattern Mean Opportunity?

Sentiment has turned negative in India. Yet a classic price formation has been taking shape in the chart of one of India's stock indexes. Could this mean opportunity for investors? Take a look at the chart.

Japan: How the Unlikeliest of Bull Markets Came to Be

By 2012’s end, Japan’s stock market seemed to be locked in a bearish fundamentally-sound death-spiral with nowhere to go but down. And yet, prices embarked on a spectacular four-year long bull run to their highest level in 18 years. What gives?

Bob Prechter's Big 5 Warnings for Gold and Silver Investors

Successful market analysis is rooted in irony and paradox. Our gold and silver analysis at the peak two years ago relied heavily on five arguments directly opposed to those offered everywhere else we look.

Rising Oil Prices: The "Syria Effect"? Not Really.

On October 6, crude oil prices surged to a one-month high. And, according to the mainstream experts, oil prices are rising as Russian airstrikes in Syria intensify. There's a lot more to this story, however, than meets the eye.

China: Another Rate Cut. Another Market... Rout?

China's Shanghai Composite Index just suffered its worst 2-day rout since the 2007 financial crisis. Now, say the usual pundits, it's up to monetary officials to stem the tide. Are they right?

Time to Question U.S. Treasuries as a "Safe-Haven"?

China is dumping U.S. Treasuries. So is Russia and Brazil. Are interest rates set to soar? Learn why now may be the time to question the safe-haven status of U.S. government bonds.

Conjoined Metal Rally Twins: Lead and Zinc Soar to Multi-Month Highs

Here's the what: On October 9, zinc and lead stole the metals show by staging powerful rallies from five-year lows to multi-month highs. As for the why -- well, there's two sides to that story...

The Fed's Impotence is No Laughing Matter

The September 20-21 FOMC meeting is over, and the word-parsing has begun. But while many see the Fed as the final word on the future of the U.S. economy and stock market, the real impotence of the world’s largest central bank might surprise you. 

Bulls vs. Bears: A War Rages in Real Estate

A battle between bull and bear market forces is being fought in the U.S. housing market. On the one hand, millennials are living with their parents longer. On the other, one Connecticut estate aims to become the most expensive residential property in the nation. A victor between bull and bear impulses will eventually emerge.

Why Nervous Pensioners Are Running for the Exit

Many public pension funds appear on the brink of full-blown crisis. The financial numbers are alarming, even as the stock market trades near a record high. Police and firefighters in one big city are "quitting in droves" because they fear their promised pensions are in jeopardy.

FTSE 100: A Look at a "Head and Shoulders" Pattern

A classic "head and shoulders" pattern is showing up in the FTSE 100. If prices slice through the neckline, how far can investors expect the FTSE 100 to fall? Learn about the head and shoulders measuring formula.

Will U.S. Government Reclassify Marijuana?

Will the Drug Enforcement Agency remove marijuana from the same drug classification as heroin and LSD? Socionomics Institute Director Matt Lampert weighs in. Watch this interview or read transcript now.

Oil Prices Rise on Alberta Wildfire... Oil Prices FALL on Alberta Wildfire?

On May 9, crude oil prices rose 2% in the morning, only to turn down and plunge 3% in the afternoon. The reason for BOTH moves, said the experts, was Canada's wildfires. The lesson here is one you'll never want to forget.

How to Win Against the Dangerous “Herding Impulse”

We all love a bargain... except when it comes to stocks. The reason boils down to uncertainty. Learn how our mind works in decisions that involve certainty vs. uncertainty – and learn one way to deal with it.

When Does a Forecast Become a Trade?

Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of our popular Trader's Classroom educational service, weighs in on how you know when it's time to enter a trade.

What Investors Need to Know About the Robot Revolution

The era of the industrial robot has arrived, and our Global Market Perspective pinpoints opportunities. The share price of Fanuc Corp. tripled after our analyst identified the early stages of a fifth-wave thrust. More recently, the robot revolution has taken a breather. Expand your investment horizon now.  

A Word About Today's Money Masters

Most investors herd. Hence, most investors lose, including the smartest. The May Elliott Wave Theorist says, "To win, you have to do the opposite of what's natural."

Getting Precarious: The S&P European Leveraged Loan Index

Despite recent volatility, European stock investors are using large doses of leverage. More than that, the head of the world's largest sovereign wealth fund is embracing risk assets. Our analysis suggests that a day of reckoning is at hand.

Gold's 2016 Rally Defies Fundamental Logic

In December 2015, the fundamental experts gave gold's future two, enthusiastic thumbs-down. And yet, from a six-year low, gold prices turned up, rallying 20% to a 22-month high this June. Turns out, there's more to this market than meets the fundamental eye.

And the Medal for Best-Performing Metal of 2016 Goes to...

Which precious metal has outperformed all others in 2016? You might think gold or silver. But the real answer is... palladium. Turns out, this metal underdog has one factor to thank for its incredible bull run… See for yourself.

Why the Search for Stock Market "Catalysts" is Futile

Financial reporters seek a "cause and effect" to explain the stock market's action on a given day. For example, Aug. 5 headlines said the strong jobs report triggered the session's rally. Seems logical, but on May 6, stocks also rallied when the jobs number disappointed. The Wave Principle offers a valuable alternative to looking for market "catalysts."

Two Driverless Car Investments Show Bullish Price Patterns

Your next car might drive itself. Advanced computer chips, software and sensors make this possible. These two driverless companies flash bullish wave patterns. Our analyst says hop on board now.

The Key to Copper Prices: Supply, Demand... or Something Else?

On April 11, copper prices took step one of a powerful rally that launched the red metal to one-month highs -- despite a raft of bearish data that pointed the market in the opposite direction. Makes you think something else is at work!

Falling Crude Oil Prices: More Than Meets the Eye?

On Thursday (Nov. 19), crude oil again fell below $40. From our perspective, there are other factors impacting oil prices than what meets the eye. We are talking about Elliott wave patterns, of course.

Stocks and Economy: What to Look for in 2015

Can the bull market continue without a stronger economy? Many people would say, no -- but when you dig a little deeper, you quickly discover that it's not supported by the facts.

High-Risk Stock Market: "Few Will Escape Unscathed"

The stock market's long-term trend appears to be at a historic juncture. A legendary hedge fund manager has raised a red flag, saying "Few, if any, will escape unscathed."

What is the Reverse Fibonacci Method?

Enhance your analysis with a technique that has "stood the test of time by consistently providing high-probability objectives for developing waves..."

EURUSD: How to Know the Next Move WITHOUT the News

EURUSD fell to a new low for the month today, below $1.07. You can read a variety of explanations about why that happened. Yet none tell you what should happen next. Elliott waves, on the other hand, do.

Crystal-Clear Wave Pattern in Indian Stocks

On January 21, editor of our monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, Mark Galasiewski, gave a new interview to CNBC TV18 in India -- to discuss an imminent opportunity that may be ripe for their picking. Learn what it is now.

No Thaw for the Housing Market's Ice Age

Are you ready for an even bigger cool down in the housing market? Recent data suggests that real estate's ice age, which started in 2006, is far from over. Get the details now.

Why the U.S. Dollar Index's 13.5-Year High Was Expected

On May 3, the U.S. Dollar Index spiked down to a low of 91.919. But, just three days later, as the bears were licking their chops, we anticipated a turn higher. Our wave analysis has served subscribers well. The index just hit a 13.5-year high.

The Perils of "Buying the Dip" in U.S. Stocks

A well-known financial publication suggests that now is the time to invest for the long-term. Such an approach might be hazardous to your portfolio. See a chart that shows a dip-buyer's nightmare.

What to Make of the Stubbornly Sluggish U.S. Economy

Have you ever wondered why the U.S. economy remains weak even after unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus? The reason boils down to just two words: deflationary psychology. Now is the time to prepare for what we see ahead.

A Lopsided Art Market Gets Weirder and Weirder

Ever heard of Three Urinals? It's a sculpture that sold for $3.2 million in November 2014. That same month, Andy Warhol's silk screen featuring Elvis Presley was unloaded for $82 million. But, today's art world has seen a shift in prices, and in some cases, it's been dramatic.

Gold Rally Defies Bearish Money Managers

Professional investors made a huge bet against gold in December. We took the opposite stance. Money managers are now licking their wounds. The price of the yellow metal has climbed north of 22%. Position your portfolio for gold's next big move.

New Year, New Way to Find Solid Trade Set-Ups

At the start of July 2016, cocoa prices were orbiting multi-year highs. And, according to mainstream fundamental analysis, the commodity’s uptrend was in the bag. So, why did cocoa prices then reverse in a gut-wrenching decline to three-year lows? The answer might surprise you

Shanghai Composite: Time for an "Intervention"

With the Shanghai Composite index 30% below its June 12 peak, China's government has a clear, two-part damage control plan for future losses. Will it work?

See the Signs Which Led to This Top

At times like this, many people say: "Well, of course stocks are down -- after a six-year bull market without much of a correction." Yet, even if it feels like the decline was "only natural," in reality very few market experts said so on the record. In fact...

Tips for Trading Options with Elliott Waves

In this new interview, Wayne Gorman, the head of our Educational Resources Department, offers tips and strategies for options traders.

Commodity Investors: The Line Between Opportunity & Regret

Since last August, cocoa prices have been in a “meltdown” (CNBC). But imagine having a clear “line” in the sand which, if crossed, would signal such a sell-off -- before it occurred. Well, you don’t have to imagine.

The REAL Reason Why the Euro Crushed the U.S. Dollar

Days before the ECB announcement, EURUSD charts began to show a high-confidence Elliott wave pattern called an "ending diagonal." It almost always introduces fast trend reversals -- up, in this case. You can see this price pattern here...

Deflation: Welcome to "Discount City"

The stock of an economic bellwether has been taking it on the chin. This, along with other signs, could portend an extended period of deflation. Take a look at these two charts.

How Bond Investors Were Fooled Twice

Most investors extrapolate financial trends into the future. So, they are usually unprepared when the trend changes. Making matters worse, they also usually miss significant countertrend moves. Let's take a look at the bond market.

Why the Fed's Rate Hike Means Nothing to the Stock Market

The Fed just announced a 0.25% hike of its benchmark rate -- the second such move in the past three months. A long-held Wall Street belief is that higher rates mean a downturn in stock market prices. Let's put that belief to a test.

EURUSD: When Price Pattern Trumps Other "Reasons"

On March 1, the U.S. dollar did something it hadn't done in almost two months: It got stronger. Two reasons were behind the move, said analysts: The Fed's imminent rate hike, and, President Trump's widely-covered address to Congress. But here's one reason many have overlooked.

The Latest "Mystery Move" in the Euro Explained

Elliott waves and sentiment extremes often anticipate financial market moves that baffle mainstream market observers. For example, a recent surge higher in the euro was called a "mystery move." Here's what we called it.

A Day of Reckoning for U.S. Commercial Real Estate

Even today, there are repercussions from the real estate lending boom that ended with the subprime mortgage crisis. In 2017, commercial mortgages are maturing, and some landlords face delinquency. Here's what that means for some bondholders.

Are You Prepared for a Rare Economic Deflation?

In 2002, Conquer the Crash was virtually alone in warning about deflation. Now, European government officials acknowledge that the Continent faces deflation. More than that, the financial press is now raising concern about the prospects of a U.S. deflation. Are you prepared?

Gold: Navigating the Uncertainty

"Nobody really understands gold prices, and I don't pretend to understand them either," the former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke once said. Well, if all you do is look at gold's "fundamentals," he's right -- the difficulty is obvious. 

Wartime: Bullish or Bearish for Stocks?

Decades of research reveals that events outside the market do not govern the market's main trend, not even war. See these four charts and decide for yourself.

IPO'bsession: The Lengths Investors Go to for Love

According to our research, investors are hopelessly devoted to the U.S. IPO market, even though the relationship has become dangerously one-sided.

Investors Bet on Housing Again (Just in Time for Another Implosion?)

U.S. housing prices remain far below their 2005 highs. Even so, we see signs that investors have re-kindled the old real estate mania. Their timing may prove financially disastrous.

U.S. Stocks: Volume, Volatility -- and What Should Come Next

Something unprecedented has just occurred in the stock market. A researcher calls this market action "unheard of" and we believe you should prepare for more of the same. Two charts are instructive.

The U.S. Dollar's 2014-2015 Rally: Wave 3 in Action

There are many ways to describe the 2014-2015 rally in the U.S. dollar to 12-year highs. One of those ways happens to be an Elliott third wave in action... 

Bond Fund Manager: How Investors Should Prepare for a "Systemic Event"

We have often said that holding cash is a smart way for investors to protect themselves against a major economic downturn. Now, the manager of one of Britain’s biggest bond funds says likewise.

"One of the Most Useful Reports About Markets You Will Ever Read"

Many investors monitor the news for hints on how to position their portfolios. Learn why this is a BIG mistake.

Oil Prices: Living on a Prayer?

After hitting a 6-year low in mid-March, crude oil prices embarked on a powerful rally to 5-month highs on May 5. See how the rise was an act of Elliott wave intervention.

U.S. Stocks: Will the Volatility Continue?

What should you make of the recent big sell-off, a rally -- and now, another sell-off in U.S. stocks? Here are some tips from Tom Prindaville, editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service.

Mergers & Acquisitions Go to Manic Levels

Corporate boardroom confidence has rarely been stronger. Mergers-and-acquisitions volume in 2015 is on pace to be the second highest on record. See a chart that shows just how dramatically the trend can change.

Europe's Financial Bubble: Ready to Burst?

An exponential rise in a financial market usually ends badly. Investors typically buy at the worst possible time. See the chart of a European sector that is poised to plunge.

A Closer Look at All Those New U.S. Jobs

Many pundits are celebrating the 271,000 jobs that were added in the U.S. (October). New research reveals the caliber of many of the new jobs created during the economic "recovery." See the five-wave form of the rise in mean U.S. income.

Kondratieff: Is Japan's Wicked Winter Almost Over?

Deflation has dogged Japan for the better part of 25 years. Enter Elliott wave analysis and the Kondratieff economic cycle. Is a major shift afoot? Two charts tell the tale.

Improving Economy is Bullish for Stocks. Right?

Positive economic reports are said to be bullish for the stock market, while negative data are bearish. But is this accurate? What a strange question, you may say -- but please take a look at this chart...

S&P 500 Reverses Sharply in Intraday Trading

Here is a classic example of an Elliott wave pattern warning you of a sharp market reversal BEFORE a news event that was later said to be responsible for the turn. Market: S&P 500. Event: former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's congressional testimony.

Crude Oil & the Forecasting Road Less Travelled

On May 5, crude oil prices soared above $60 a barrel for the first time in five months. Now, see why the May 4 Libyan oil port protest is not the bullish catalyst.

U.S. Real Estate: Boom and Bust

Homeowners were using their homes as ATMs around the time of the 2006 peak in housing prices. Today, many people are again borrowing against their homes. Learn why the housing market is prone to "boom and bust."

Top 3 Technical Tools Part 3: MACD

Enhance your trading confidence with this short lesson on how to combine Moving Average Convergence Divergence with other technical tools.

Look What's Beating Stocks and Bonds So Far in 2015

Conservative investors have been punished with exceptionally low interest rates. But at least they haven't lost money. Learn about a good way to defend your portfolio against rising rates.

Here's What a Time-Tested Economic Indicator is Telling Us Now

This economic indicator has stood the test of time -- and it's sending an ominous message. A 3 1/2-year shelf of support has recently been broken. See two charts that tell you what you need to know now.

Top 3 Technical Tools Part 1: Japanese Candlesticks

Learn how Japanese candlestick analysis can help support your technical trading decisions.

Stock Market: Risk-On or Risk-Off?

The mood of investors gradually transitions from risk-on to risk-off. But once fear takes full control, the rush to the exit is like a stampede. In some ways, today is like 2007. See what we see.

The Mighty Steep Price of Runaway Government Spending

Prolonged profligate spending has landed Greece, Puerto Rico and many U.S. municipalities in financial hot water. The water is about to boil over and almost everyone will be scalded. Learn what Alan Greenspan just called "extremely dangerous."

The REALLY Big Myth About Earnings

Every new earnings season analysts discuss their impact on the broad stock market. Yet, the idea of earnings driving the broad trend is a GIANT myth -- and this chart proves it.

Let's Talk About the Price Juncture of Gold

Gold's price had been turned back by a line of resistance on several occasions since May. But something significant happened on October 9 that every gold investor should know about.

Deflation Threat for World's Three Biggest Economies

What is more likely: an asteroid hitting the earth or deflation? A famous hedge fund manager gives his opinion. You can review the evidence for yourself.

U.S. Food Prices See Longest Stretch of Deflation in 50 Years

We warned about deflation when others scoffed at the idea. Now, deflation has taken a foothold around the globe, and U.S. farmers and grocery store operators are feeling the pain. Food prices have tumbled as a result of deepening deflationary forces. Prepare now for the next phase when no one will doubt this developing trend.

This Chart Shows a Dangerous Divergence in U.S. Stocks

Small investors have grown apathetic toward the stock market. On the other hand, institutional investors like hedge funds are extremely bullish. There's a parallel in market history.

How Today's Housing Market Psychology Resembles 2005

The housing market appears to be on the verge of another big shift. We see an eerie similarity between 2005 and 2016. Just like 11 years ago, almost no one is worried about a bubble. Plan now for what we see ahead.

Evidence: "The American Economy Has Slowed to a Crawl"

This measure shows you the growth in Real Per Capita GDP -- it adjusts for population, and it adjusts for inflation. It's all built into one trend line. That's a far more revealing picture of the economy. And, it's especially telling regarding the future -- specifically, the future of incomes...

NYSE Glitch Offers Hint of Coming Trading Environment

On May 18, NYSE trades were disrupted due to a technical issue. During the next market downturn, many investors will blame collapsing prices on such glitches. But the cause will actually be increased investor pessimism. Even so, structural risks exist. High emotions will exacerbate those risks.

Investors Are Sent a Furry Hint

John Jacob Astor has been called "America's first multi-millionaire," and he made a brilliant financial move that may interest investors. Today's luxury market appears to be in trouble. Take a look at this chart.

Why the Political Party in the White House Is Irrelevant to the Stock Market

Wall Street pundits have called the 2016 presidential election the most important of their lifetimes. Yet our data shows the party in control of the White House makes no discernible difference to the stock market's trend. So what gives? Take a look at a revealing chart from our research about political parties and the stock market.

Should You Leave Stock Picking to the Pros?

Actively managed mutual funds generally charge higher fees than passive index funds. Shareholders pay for the fund manager's supposed stock-picking skills. Find out why many investors are often disappointed, and especially so through the first half of 2016.

Why Stock Market Investors Should Expect the Unexpected

Many investors are baffled when the stock market declines after what appears to be good news or rallies after an external shock. But events do not govern the market's trend. Find out how the Wave Principle helps you to anticipate the unexpected.

The 3 Dirtiest Words in the Restaurant Industry: "Honey, Dinner's Ready"

Eating out is a bull market phenomenon. When people are in an upbeat mood, they tend to splurge at restaurants on food and drinks. But a shift appears underway. One analyst sees similarities to the first half of 2007, just before a major financial downturn.

Every Financial Crash Has Had This Setup

Every financial crash has been preceded by the same setup: an unsustainable build-up of credit. Rising rates will mean corporations will have a difficult time servicing their debt. An inevitable day of reckoning will follow. This chart serves as a warning.

Gold and Silver Shine in Today's Upside Down Financial World

Fed up with earning next to nothing on your bank deposits? It could be worse. Some depositors are actually paying for the privilege. Here's an idea for protecting your hard-earned money.

Behind the Happy-Face Mask of the U.S. Jobless Rate

The Federal Reserve is troubled by the jobs market, and for good reason. The central bank's own Labor Market Conditions Index is at its lowest level in seven years. Also, a record 95 million Americans are not in the labor force. Now is the time to prepare for what we see ahead.

Ask Puerto Ricans Why Government Debt Matters

Many people view government debt as a problem that is far removed from their daily lives. When debt becomes overwhelming, the lives of citizens are directly affected in many critical ways. Consider Puerto Rico, which now faces another debt default.

The Jobs Jolt That Reverberates on Both Main and Wall Streets

"Bad, bad, bad" is how a global forecaster describes the May U.S. jobs report, the single worst for jobs growth in almost six years. Also, for the first time since the financial crisis, Wall Street pay has turned lower across almost all lines of business. Here's our forecast for Wall Street employment.

Another Credit Bubble: Car Loans Top $1 Trillion for First Time

The delinquency rate among subprime auto loans is rising, even as total auto loan liabilities exceed $1 trillion. The CEO of the nation's largest bank raises a red flag. The Wall Street Journal calls it a "subprime flashback." Prepare now for what we see ahead.

The Fed Wages a Losing Battle Against Savers

Even with historically low interest rates, the U.S. savings rate as a percentage of disposable income has been rising. This indicates a deflationary psychology is taking hold, while the Fed grapples with weak inflation long after the end of the Great Recession. Prepare now for what's next.

A Legendary Analyst's Observation Speaks Volumes about This Market

As of Nov. 25, the Russell 2000 closed higher for 15 straight trading sessions. The late Paul Montgomery, a renowned observer of market behavior, made an observation about consecutive closing streaks that should be of high interest to every investor.

"Made in America": A Relic of the Past?

An important sector of the U.S. economy has contracted for the second month in a row. Deflation is a rare condition that's occurred only twice in U.S. history. Has the third episode already started?

Boomerang Babies: Why Millennials Ask, "What Economic Recovery?"

Millennials financially struggle long after the Great Recession officially ended. More than half of those who move out "boomerang" back to Mom and Dad. How much do millennials earn? Take a look at this graphic.

These 2 Debt Instruments Pose Peril to Millions of Investors

In a throwback to the last credit mania, bond buyers are once again embracing high risk in their search for yield. Beware of these two debt instruments.

This is What Happens After Home Sales Decline

Despite historically low mortgage rates, U.S. homes sales have faltered. One North American city has seen a dramatic plunge in sales. As we anticipated, price declines have followed. See how government embraced a real estate trend just when it reached maturity.

U.S. Student Loans: A Coming Disaster for Taxpayers

The federal government is good at lending taxpayer money to borrowers who are unable or unwilling to pay it back. It happened during the housing bust, and now, some seven million people are in default on their student loans. Find out why we anticipate that the number will rise dramatically.

The U.S. Economy Falters: What History Says About the Months Ahead

The U.S. economy grew at a snail's pace in Q2. The preliminary GDP annual growth rate of 1.2% took polled economists by surprise. They expected an increase more than twice that high. Find out how we anticipate economic trend changes.

Before Airbus Soared, it Crashed: Time to Check the Horizon Again 

Times are turbulent for the world's largest passenger airliner, the Airbus A380. Orders for the superjumbo jet are drying up. Airbus's share price has a history of outpacing declines in the broader market. Read this analysis from our Global Market Perspective. 

Stocks and Oil: No Longer "A Couple"?

It's a bit like watching Old Faithful fail to erupt when it should: To see a market "correlation" become disconnected can be unsettling. For weeks the media has looked at oil prices to forecast stocks. But Tuesday morning (Feb. 9) a CNBC headline said this...

Oil Prices vs. Production: An Obvious Connection Everyone Ignores

Elliott wave analysts made 10 terrific crude oil calls in a row -- simply by observing the market's pattern -- while their mainstream counterparts routinely fell on the wrong side of the trend. Why? It starts with an obvious data discrepancy they always seem to ignore.

Easy Money?

House flipping was wildly popular during the mid-00s.The market crashed, and so did the flippers, just as we warned. Many were ruined. Now, flipping is making a big comeback. How safe is it?

Oil Industry Sees No Life Jacket in Sight

Since 2008, crude oil investors have become bullish at each top and bearish at each bottom. Recently, even oil industry insiders have expressed extreme bearishness. Yet, on Feb. 22, U.S. crude soared nearly 7%. Get our perspective.

This "Pop and Drop" Forecast for the Dow was Spot-On

You can make high-confidence market forecasts based on the Wave Principle. Using the Wave Principle, our Short Term Update made a specific market call on Aug. 22, and the market fulfilled our expectation, serving our subscribers well as a result. High volatility may be ahead. The calm before the storm is the time to prepare.

The Latest Shot Fired in the War on Cash

Some financial authorities want to take away your cash. Now is the time to find a safe place to store your greenbacks. See a chart that shows how "deflation is winning."

Why Hardly Anyone Talks About the Cost of Living Anymore

The next big monetary event is approaching fast. No, it's not inflation. The evidence is mounting that deflation already has a foothold and is gaining ground. These two charts reveal a disturbing trend for anyone who's unprepared.

Why You Should Pay Attention to Gold's Price Pattern Right Now

In December, most money managers hated gold. But the Wave Principle said gold was going higher. On Feb. 11, the yellow metal hit a one-year high. Now is the time to position your portfolio for gold's next big move.

Housing: At the Edge of Another Huge Cliff?

Real estate agents say that today's near-record low mortgage rates means it's a good time to buy a house. But is it? See a chart that debunks a common belief about housing prices, and learn about warning signs that are reminders of the 2006 housing bubble.

Violent Bond Selloff: An Eye-Opening Perspective

In the face of historic optimism, which attended the July high in 30-year Treasury bonds, our June Elliott Wave Theorist said, "Bonds are on their last leg." In November, global bond investors lost $1.7 trillion. Sentiment has shifted to deep pessimism toward bonds but keep an eye on the wave count.

How Fibonacci Ratios Govern the Stock Market

The Fibonacci sequence provides the mathematical basis of the Wave Principle. The stock market's price pattern builds fractally into similar patterns of increasing size. Familiarity with these patterns can prove highly useful to investors.

Check Out this Explosive Setup in U.S. Treasury Bonds

The selloff in global bonds has been blamed on speculation that central banks will raise rates. Some observers point to economic data. Yet, we saw the handwriting on the wall four months ago. See how a combination of Elliott waves and sentiment measures can be highly useful to investors.

U.S. Housing Market: Should You Rent or Buy?

Housing market analysts expect prices to climb again in 2016. But one EWI subscriber expresses caution. Learn what he just told The New York Times.

Pensions Axed: Are Your Retirement Funds Next?

A big percentage of pension benefits go poof! Workers protest to no avail. The government's Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation is broke. Take the steps to secure your retirement now.

U.S. Tech Startups: A Storm Is Brewing

Even as the Dow hovers in record-high territory, some sectors have slipped into a bear market. Venture capital for U.S. business startups is drying up. For many technology firms, "the game is already over."

Aluminum "Foils" Market Fundamentals En Route to New Highs

At the start of 2017, China and the U.S. were engaged in a bitter “Aluminum War” – one widely expected to keep the metal’s price under pressure. And yet, since early January, aluminum prices have rallied to a 2-year high. Our take on why might surprise you.  

EURGBP: A Picture of Elliott Wave Precision

One minute, strong UK economic data “causes” the British pound to surge against the euro. And then the next, that same data… is futile against a pound selloff. Any questions? The real story behind the EURGBP leaves no room for doubt!

Crude Oil Opportunity: Cut to the Front of the Line

Dear crude oil traders, the key to the market's next big move isn't in the next inventory report, or OPEC supply cut, or (fill in the blank). It's on the market's price chart, right now!

When You Trade and Invest, Why Use the Wave Principle?

"Most investors follow the actions of others, whether they are on the right side of the market or not. The result is that prices move according to investors' optimism and pessimism. Investors use the news to rationalize their emotional decisions -- and most people lose money." How can you avoid that?

How to "Cheat" the Forex System (Well, Sort Of) & Not Get Caught

From its May peak, the EURUSD has fallen 10% to a 2-year low. Many forex traders may feel "cheated" by the dramatic decline, especially if they never saw it coming.

Will 2015 Be a Happy New Year for Commodities?

In the last four years, the popular pundits twice resolved that commodities would make a comeback. And twice the sector failed to fulfill their bullish New Year's "resolutions."

Crude Oil's Trend: Are You "Bathed in Confusion," Too?

"Crude oil prices up" on fall in supply. "Crude slips" on supply glut -- any questions? Today, we get to the bottom of what really drives crude oil's trend changes.

Germany's DAX & the ECB: See Who's REALLY Pulling the Strings

In March 2015, the European Central Bank launched its unprecedented QE program in hopes of jump-starting the eurozone economy and reigniting stock prices. Instead, Europe’s no.1 market, Germany’s DAX index plummeted into a 10-month long bear market. That’s just the tip of this story... 

How Elliott Waves Save You from Trading Mistakes

Wave analysis works by helping you track the market's psychology. Of course, not every Elliott wave forecast works out. Yet, even then Elliott waves give you the exact price points to watch; if the price breaks any of them, you'll know it may be time to get out. "Cut your losses short," remember? Elliott waves help you do just that. Let's look at a fresh example.

Copper's Near-Term Outlook: Identity Crisis Averted

Lately, copper's identity has been swinging back and forth from "precious" metal to "industrial" metal and back again. It's enough to make investors feel crazy! But in our opinion, there's a very clear method to copper's seeming "madness" -- one seen through the eyes of Elliott wave analysis.

Why Can't the Fed "Move" Commodities?

According to mainstream wisdom, commodity prices revolve around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. But historical evidence proves there's a much larger force at the center of the commodity universe.

A Banking Fiasco is Brewing in Italy

Big Italian banks are weighed down by hundreds of billions of dollars of non-performing loans. There's fear of a systemic financial crisis. Depositors may find themselves on the hook. Now is the time to prepare for a deflation that will likely extend far beyond Italy.

The Yen's Fate is NOT in the Hands of the Bank of Japan

In June 2015, the Japanese yen stood at a 13-year low against the U.S. dollar. And, with no shortage of fiscal stimulus in the works by the Bank of Japan, the yen's downward fate seemed sealed... key word being "seemed." We make sense of what happened next.

China: Why Currency Devaluation is Doomed to Fail

Rather than revive demand for Chinese exports, the August 11, 2015 devaluation of China's currency has fueled a capital flight by China's own citizens and businesses. The practice is called "smurfing," and here's why...

Pot Sales Are Smoking!

How could anyone have foreseen 10-15 years ago that marijuana would become the fuel for a legitimate and legal cannabis capitalism movement in the United States? Answer: Socionomics

Worst Plunge in 26 Years: This Bear is GLOBAL

During November 2016, this global index fell four percent. For investment grade debt, that's all but unheard of -- the deepest in twenty-six years (the history of the index).

OPEC Is NOT Driving Crude Oil's "Sleigh"

On December 12, crude oil prices soared to their highest level in 17 months. According to the experts, one factor is to blame for the rise: Agreements by OPEC and non-OPEC countries to cut production. But that’s not the ho, ho, whole story!

India's Stock Market: Nothing "Random" About It

Mainstream economic wisdom claims market trends move at random, with no clear structure or system in place to illuminate future price action. Well, if that were true, then how do you explain the last eight years in India’s Sensex?

Fasten Your Seatbelts: As Goes Daimler, So Goes Europe

Many of you have heard the expression "As goes GM, so goes America." Well, what about the European counterpart -- "As goes Daimler AG, so goes Europe?" The correlation dates back to 1999; and it paints a very interesting picture of the financial road ahead.

Brazil's Stock Market Flips "Market Fundamentals" on Their Head

Mainstream financial wisdom tells you that negative news events and economic data cause stock prices to fall. But if that were true, then 2016 should've seen Brazil's stock market crash. Instead, it soared to a five-year high. There's only one explanation that makes sense.

Socionomics Explained

Robert Prechter discusses the socionomic insight and explains how he developed the theory in this engaging interview.

Gold's Fate is NOT in the Hands of the Federal Reserve

According to mainstream financial wisdom, the Federal Reserve is to gold prices what Gepetto is to Pinocchio: If the Fed raises rates, gold prices fall. But one look at recent events proves the “nose” on this story is getting longer and longer!

The 3 Phases of a Trader's Education

Most aspiring traders start by picking a trading method. The reality is that they would be better off picking the trading method last. It only sounds counterintuitive -- here's why.

Devaluation Doobie: Getting High on Falling Currencies

A new day has dawned as the world's largest economies adopt a pro-currency devaluation stance -- led by China. So, what really happened to change their minds?

JGB Yields: From ALL Time Low to 1-Year High

Back in July 2016, Japanese government bond (JGB) yields stood at their lowest levels ever amidst a supposed runaway "negative feedback loop." So, why then did the yields start rising to hit a one-year high in late January 2017? The answer might shock you.

Stocks and Oil: From Hot to Cold, And Back Again

Now that the stock market has recovered from its mid-December slump, it's a good time to talk about the one culprit that almost everyone said was behind the Dow's big slide: namely, crude oil.

DJIA Falls 700-plus Points: What Caused the Worst Weekly Loss in 3 Years?

The week ending Dec. 12 was the Dow's worst loser in three years. The mainstream experts say "plunging oil prices" are to blame for the rout. We couldn't disagree more!

Japan: Is the Longest Bear Market in Modern History Finally Over?

On February 12, Japan's Nikkei 225 index soared to a 7-year high, begging the question: Is Japan's 23-year long bear market finally over?

The Swiss Central Bank Shocks the World

On January 15, 2015, the Swiss National Bank abruptly ended its three-year-long exchange rate target for the Swiss franc of 1.20 against the euro. However, the news wasn't a shock for everyone -- here's why.

When Does a Trade Setup Become an Actionable Trade?

EWI's Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy is one of our most popular trading instructors. In this series, Jeffrey shows you ways to spot trading opportunities using wave analysis and other technical analysis methods. Today he addresses the important question: "When does a wave count become a trade?"

Crude Oil: Who Would've Thought?

America is drowning in its own oil. So much drilling has happened in recent years that we are now running out of places to store oil in this country. And to think that a decade ago, the public's biggest fear was "peak oil" and other panicky "we're-gonna-run-out-soon" theories!

Yellen: "We Expect Inflation to Move Back to 2%." (Don't Hold Your Breath.)

The Fed's 2% inflation target remains elusive even after a prolonged period of near-zero interest rates. We see evidence of a rare economic trend that the Fed will be powerless against. See two charts that help to explain.

Inching Closer to "The Great Pension Bust"

Public and private pensions now rely on how well hedge funds perform. This strategy may prove lethal. Hedge funds are highly leveraged. Huge losses are likely in the next bear market.

8 Unprecedented Extremes Indicate a Stock Market Bubble in Trouble

It is amazing to read assertions from the Fed and others that the stock market is nowhere near being in a bubble. Several aspects of the financial environment are actually so extreme as to be unprecedented. Here are 8 indicators we are watching closely.

If the Fed Stops Easing, Will Gold Start Wheezing?

Ask a mainstream economist about the relationship between central bank monetary policy and precious metals, and you'll hear something like: A hawkish Federal Reserve is to gold prices what kryptonite is to Superman. End the money printing and low interest rates, and you take the gravity-defying power out of gold.

European Stocks: How 4,500 Investors Can Be Wrong

Near-term stock market trends may move against the trend of the next larger degree. Consider European equities. On October 1, a small-degree fifth wave down appeared to be approaching completion. Now get insights into the more significant larger trend.

U.S. Stocks Surge DESPITE Earnings Facade

On August 31, Wall Street officially bid adieu to the fiscal Q2 2016. And, according to the experts, “better-than-estimated earnings” lifted U.S. stocks to record highs. The problem is, that’s just one side of the story. The other side you don’t want to miss.

Social Mood, Epidemics -- and the Threat to 2016 Olympics

This excerpt gives you a unique perspective on the rapid spread of the dangerous Zika virus. See the surprising connection between social mood, the stock market -- and public health.

USDJPY: "Diving" For Opportunity

For any investor or trader who uses technical market indicators to stay in the "safe" zone of price action, the most critical component of market analysis is protective stops. Without them, it's like going scuba-diving without an air-pressure gauge...

These Big Banks are at Big Risk, and Your Small Bank Could be Next

The world's financial system appears to again be at risk. Big trouble is brewing at big banks. Hedge funds are pulling billions of dollars from a financial giant the IMF calls the world's riskiest bank. Get financially safe now.

EURUSD: The Fed is NOT Your Friend

On May 3, the EURUSD turned down (i.e. falling euro, rising U.S. dollar) in a powerful reversal to two-month lows on May 20. Turns out, the euro's sell-off was not in the popular, Fed-led script handed out by mainstream analysts. It was, however, in the Elliott wave one.

One Elliott Wave Pattern That's Truly Worth the Wait

Sometimes it's hard to get excited about sideways movement on a market's price chart. Like, say, the four-month long sideways crawl in sugar prices from October 2015 to January 2016. But from an Elliott wave standpoint, this kind of "holding pattern" is often cause for the greatest excitement.

High Ho Silver! Prices Surge to 2-Year High

From June 23 to July 4, silver prices exploded upwards, soaring 16% to a two-year high. According to the mainstream experts, the Brexit vote was a main catalyst for the white metal's winning streak. But there's much more to this story that they aren't saying.

Xenophobia Rising: Why Everyone is So Darn Afraid of Strangers These Days

Exclusionism is on the rise in Europe, and social upheaval could arise in the United States next. Learn how you can prepare for what we see just around the corner.

Gold's Near-Term Trend: "X" Marks the Spot

On March 10, gold prices turned down from a 13-month high to embark on the 11-session sell-off we see today. The problem is, the metal's downtrend fits nowhere into the mainstream picture. It does, however, fit into the Elliott wave one. 

Strike While the Iron Ore Opportunity Is Hot

On March 7, iron ore prices rocketed a staggering 19% in is largest, single-day rally ever. According to the experts, ore's surge was a sign the market had gone "berzerk." Yet --from an Elliott wave perspective, the move is right on schedule.

Soybean Prices and the Giant "Gorilla Experiment"

Back in 2012, all the fundamental signs pointed UP in soybeans. But instead, bean prices turned down, plummeting 50%-plus in the multi-year bear market we see today. Here are some signs to help you spot the next big trend change.

Municipal Bonds: What is the Next Shoe to Drop?

Many investors continue to pour money into municipal bond funds even after Puerto Rico's municipal bond default. We believe debt-market complacency will soon be met with regret. Cities and states face severe financial struggles even as the stock market remains elevated. Imagine what the next downturn will bring.

Huge Gains for this Grain Were "Unimaginable"

Holy Soy! Between March 1 and June 1, soybean prices went from an 8-year low, to being the #1 performer among all 22 listed futures on the Bloomberg Commodity Index. Oddly enough, there was no fundamental reason for bean's bullish comeback. There was, however, an Elliott wave one!

Dems vs. Reps: Who's Better For Stocks? Finally a Definitive Answer

Should stock market bulls worry if a Democrat takes the White House in 2016? Or, should they celebrate if a Republican wins? We answer both questions with a chart that might surprise you.

This Chart Reveals a Dangerous Callback to the Last Housing Bust

Almost no one expected a dramatic decline in housing prices in January 2006. At the time, 43% of first-time home buyers were putting no money down. Six months later, housing prices topped. Today, owners of entry-level homes are once again highly leveraged.

Euro Price Action Post-Election: “We Expected That”

Jim Martens, editor of our Currency Pro Service, discusses his long-term view of the U.S. dollar and euro.

How Deflation is Winning in 2016

It's been over 80 years since the world plunged into a devastating deflation. Now, an entire lifetime later, the evidence for this rare event is appearing again. Look at these two charts.

Gold Prices: Summer Doldrums Ahead?

On May 4, we were right alongside the mainstream experts with a bullish outlook on gold -- save for one "critical" difference. Our analysis identified a critical support level that, if breached, would tilt the odds in favor of a major decline. And that has made all the difference.

Elliott Waves Point to Market Probabilities

The Elliott Wave Principle can help you assess probabilities regarding future market movement. Our wave analysis has kept our subscribers ahead of recent market turns. Here's a free tutorial to help you learn what you need to know about the Elliott Wave Principle.

Stocks: Why Following the Crowd is Usually a Big Mistake

What do governments, overseas buyers of U.S. stocks, corporations and even millionaires have in common? Answer: All of them have shown lousy stock market timing. Our independent analysis keeps you ahead of market turns.

A Jaw-Dropping (Price-Soaring) Day for the Nikkei

On Sept. 9, Japan's Nikkei stock index skyrocketed 7.7% for its sharpest single-day rally since 2008. The same day, a major Abenomics tax cut was announced. Cause -- or coincidence?

Symptoms Mount for a Break in Technology Fever

Most people are in love with technology. Tesla Motors and its leader Elon Musk have been prime symbols of this adoration. We take a broad view of technology and find a repetition that should interest every investor.

Sentiment in Asia: Seemingly One-Sided

Mark Galasiewski talks about the increasing negative sentiment in the Asian-Pacific region and explains why all of the resulting events have great significance for financial trends in the region.

Gold Rose 28% This Year. What Are You Reading About It NOW?

For the year, the DJIA is up about 7%. Gold prices rose 28% between January and July. How did gold become one of this year's best performers? For answers, take a look at this chart.

We Nailed the Year's Biggest Move

What’s the biggest commodity mover of the year so far? If you guessed gold or oil, you’re wrong. Click here to see what it was. And yeah, Jeff Kennedy nailed it for his subs.  

Here's Why Investors Should Ignore Earnings Season

The bedrock belief that earnings drive stock prices permeates Wall Street. About a third of S&P companies report this week, and investors are watching. But have they bothered to investigate the evidence about earnings and stocks? We have.

Crude Oil Prices: "Random"? Hardly.

This week's shocking spike in crude oil prices is +12% and counting. Media stories blame one culprit: the November 30 OPEC agreement to cut production. The weeks leading up to the meeting were filled with anticipation and emotion. Oil prices went all over the place -- down 4% one day, 3% the next. Yet, those fluctuations weren't random.

Wait: Wasn't British Pound Supposed to be Crashing Right Now?

On December 1, the British pound soared to a three-month high against the euro. Some investors may find the move shocking, considering the British unit was supposed to be strangled by the Brexit albatross. There's only one way to explain it.

Crude Oil: Warmer... Warmer... Hot!

On April 18, crude oil took step one of a powerful rally that rocketed prices to new highs for 2016 -- despite one of the most bearish fundamental news events in oil's recent history. What gives?

Crude Oil: The "Upshot" of Missile Strikes and Tight Supply Data

In the aftermath of the April 7 missile strike on Syria in retaliation of President Bashar al-Assad's chemical weapons attack, the mainstream financial experts agreed: "The geopolitical premium [for oil] is on the rise." And yet, oil prices have faltered since, plunging 4% on April 19. What gives?

EURUSD: How to "Peek" Around 2 "Corners" at Once

As is often the case before a big news event, EURUSD went mostly sideways into the June 14 Fed meeting. Traders were waiting to see what the Fed does and says. But here's what Elliott wave forex traders saw...

Crude Oil Sinks 20%: Why "Oversupply" Isn't the Half of It

On January 1, OPEC and Co. sealed a deal to slash crude oil supplies and by proxy, keep prices afloat. And yet, on June 20, crude raked in its worst first-half of a year since 1997. We think there's a simple reason why.

Gold Prices: Change Happens in the "Blink" of an Eye

Malcolm Gladwell's best-seller Blink shows how our first impressions are unconsciously manipulated by forces outside our control. Now, hedge fund and other money managers -- they aren't unconsciously swayed by the masses, right? Don't be so sure.

Basic Tenets of the Elliott Wave Principle

In 1934, Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that social, or crowd, behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns. From this discovery, he developed a rational system of market analysis called the Wave Principle. Here's a quick introduction to the Elliott Wave Principle.

Is Germany's Stock Market Bull Faking Its Own Death?

Here's a question: Has the bull market in German stocks faked its own death in order to force investors "home" for a major buying opportunity? Turns out, this idea isn't as crazy as it sounds...

The Chinese Yuan: All Signs Pointed Down... Except One

As 2017 began, all fundamental signs pointed DOWN for China’s ever-depreciating yuan. Three weeks into the year, and the yuan is on a very different course; namely, up! Look no further for an explanation.

What Can Stock Markets Tell You About Politics?

While the mainstream analysts weigh macro-economic and sociological factors to make forecasts for the busy European election season next year, this model shows you an entirely different approach.

A Great Model to Understand Gold's Price Swings

On October 31, gold prices touched their lowest level since July 2010. You're going to hear a lot about how gold's decline had much ado about the Fed's end of QE. Don't believe it!

Germany's Stock Market: From Raging Bull to Rabid Bear

In late August, Germany's DAX index entered bear market territory, having plummeted 22% from its all-time record high in April 2015. But before you blame China for the rout, look closely...

"Volatility Got a Bad Rap"

Tom Prindaville, EWI's U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service editor, tells you why you shouldn't be afraid of volatility and why it's important to maintain more than one Elliott wave count -- especially in challenging and volatile market environments.

The "Oil-Price-Tax-Cut" that Never Was

In 2015, the mainstream experts said falling oil prices would help jump-start the economy. It goes without saying, this forecast did not come to pass as planned. The full story might surprise you.

The Apple Inc. Bull Goes on Holiday

Since hitting an all-time high in early 2015, AAPL stock has plunged a whopping 26%. Clearly, AAPL falling from its bullish branch was not part of the mainstream plan. It was, however, part of the Elliott wave one.

Natural Gas: Harness the Volatility

The three-month long roller-coaster ride in natural gas has been epic: First, prices plunged to a 17-year low in late December, then less than one month later, they soared 50% into early January before turning back down. Now it's time to harness that volatility.

Did U.S. Treasury Bonds Just Get Stumped by Trump?

On November 9, U.S. bond investors realized there's something worse than the uncertainty leading up to the 2016 presidential election; namely, the uncertainty following it! Is there a way to gain insight into the market's trend? Absolutely.

Chinese Companies: From Delisting to Relisting... to Rethinking the Whole Enchilada

In mid-2015, Chinese stocks listed on U.S. exchanges were chomping at the bit to get back home and relist on the red-hot Chinese market. But then, China's stock market crashed and the doors to overseas-listings slammed shut. See how Elliot wave analysis anticipated both events.

The People’s Bank of China Didn’t Cause the Yuan’s Recent Slump; It Simply Followed It

Back in 2014, our analysis saw the Chinese yuan’s 8-year long rally coming to an end despite the People’s Bank’s accommodative policies.

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