Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net
Home > U.S. Economy
The Day of American Austerity: What Will It Look Like?
In the United States, the belt-tightening has just begun
By Bob Stokes
Mon, 11 Jun 2012 13:15:00 ET
Add to Facebook Add to Twitter Email to a friend Printer Friendly Get the RSS feed Add to more social media services
Get investable insights sent to your inbox at least once a week – for free. Challenge the way you think about investing with The EWI Independent. Privacy

June 12, The Washington Post -- "Americans saw wealth plummet 40 percent from 2007 to 2010, Federal Reserve says. The recent recession wiped out nearly two decades of Americans’ wealth, according to government data released Monday, with middle-class families bearing the brunt of the decline."

Since the start of the European sovereign debt debacle, the word "austerity" has been bandied about a lot.
 
It wasn't an everyday word, and may send some people to the dictionary. Merriam-Webster defines "austerity" this way: enforced or extreme economy.
 
But even knowing this definition might leave one wondering how "austerity measures" relate to Europe's debt crisis. The Associated Press (5/13) provided this overview:
 
Austerity has been the main prescription across Europe for dealing with the continent's nearly 3-year-old debt crisis, brought on by too much government spending. But what does it mean for the average European? Imagine paying sales tax of 23 percent or more. Or having your wages cut by 15 percent. Austerity comes in many forms: higher taxes, fewer state benefits, more job cuts, working longer until retirement, you name it.
 
How about America? Will austerity measures be imposed on the world's largest economy? Well, a Marketwatch columnist says "America’s new Age of Austerity is already here...Yes, America is already in a depression." (5/29)
 
We agree. In fact, Robert Prechter said as much in the September 2011 Elliott Wave Theorist:
 
Bulls say the economy is in recovery, albeit a weak one. Bears are calling for a “double dip” recession, like the back-to-back recessions of 1980 and 1982. But, as is often the case, we disagree with both camps: The economic contraction of 2007-2009 was not a recession; the respite since then is not the start of a new economic expansion; and the economy is not going to have another “dip” into recession. The economy has been sliding into depression.
 
The signs of an American austerity are becoming widely visible. And nowhere is this belt-tightening more evident than in state and local governments. Recent years have seen a multitude of stories that describe reduced services. And in the overall economy, we're seeing a de-leveraging of debt. Unemployment remains relatively high. Here's a CNBC headline from May 30:
 
Sign of the Times: 20,000 Apply for 877 Auto Job Openings
 
This story about a new automobile plant in Montgomery, Alabama is one of many like it that feature jobless or under-employed individuals standing in line.
 
Above I showed the September 2011 quote from Robert Prechter. Yet he actually foretold much of what is financially happening today in his 2002 book Conquer the Crash.
 
That's right. Ten years ago, he described what this age of austerity would look like. Much of what he described looks just like what is going on today. But how about the rest of what's described in Conquer the Crash

Yes, there's more. You see, Prechter pointed out much more than what unfolded in the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Do yourself the biggest of favors and learn what he has to say. Be one of the few who are prepared vs. the majority who will be caught off-guard.

You can start reading our Financial Forecast Service in moments via a 30-day risk-free trial>>


 

 You'll get more insights, more useful charts and more timely analysis from EWI's Financial Forecast Service than any other financial publication. 

You get:
 
1) Prechter's new, 21-page Elliott Wave Theorist

2) Near-term outlook via our Short Term Update

3) Latest big-picture analysis in the just-published June 2012 Financial Forecast

   All this plus a June 6 Special Report from Elliott Wave Theorist and Financial Forecast>>

 

 

 

Tags: Bob Prechter, conquer the crash, credit crisis, debt crisis, deficit, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, soverign debt crisis
Rating: - based on [20 rating(s)]
Rate this content:
  
 
EWI's Event Calendar
July 10-13       

Freedom Fest Conference



FFS"The clarity of your thoughts is so powerful that I typically read an issue at least a half dozen times." - R.N., Financial Forecast subscriber

The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast is a rational voice in a volatile marketplace with an unrivaled record of providing tomorrow's news today.

It helps you take control of your investments and anticipate the larger trends that most investors don’t recognize until it's too late.

Preview the latest Financial Forecast now>>

Free 50-Page eBook


Learn to Think Independently

The Independent Investor eBook can help you to challenge conventional notions about investing and explain market behaviors that most people consider "inexplicable."
Download your free Independent Investor eBook


The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.