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Was Abenomics Behind Japan's Stock Market Rally or Not?
The answer depends not on who you ask -- but when

By Nathaniel Williams
6/7/2013 5:15:00 PM

Did Abenomics cause the Nikkei's seemingly inexplicable 70% rally, or did it have a negative impact? The answer depends not on who you ask -- but when.

Filed Under: Nikkei

Category: Asian Markets


The Nikkei's Massive Plunge: Get a More Satisfying Explanation
The Nikkei's price charts have been telling the whole story all along – if you could see it

By Nathaniel Williams
5/23/2013 6:00:00 PM

Here's what we said in early May: "The [Nikkei] has continued advancing on lower momentum and volume than seen earlier in the rally. In addition, sentiment as measured by the Nikkei 225 Daily Sentiment Index, remains near elevated levels that have coincided with significant tops in the past. Thus, our main indicators are signaling that the rally since late 2012 is near its end." So, what happened? On May 23, the Nikkei dropped more than 7%.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Elliott Wave Principle, Nikkei

Category: Asian Markets


Spotting Trend Reversals in Real Time: Here’s an Example of How We Do It
See how the Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast anticipated a market top in Bangladesh

By Nathaniel Williams
5/22/2013 5:00:00 PM

EWI's Asian-Pacific analyst saw that, in 2010, the Dhaka General Index had completed a five-wave impulse, a typical Elliott wave pattern that precedes a correction. Moreover, the index had also risen five waves from its 1999 high -- meaning that it had topped at two degrees of trend. The implications were clear: The Dhaka General was in for a sharp correction. What happened next?

Filed Under: emerging markets, market forecasts

Category: Asian Markets


U.S. Stocks Are Hot. What Does That Mean for India and China?
Sometimes global markets move in tandem, and sometimes they don't.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/8/2013 4:30:00 PM

Think back to 2007 and early 2008, before the worst of the financial crisis. Perhaps you recall this major investment belief: Even if the West took a dive, emerging markets would save the day. But when the crisis hit, emerging markets crashed right along with the developed ones. Still, there were a few important nuances. For example...

Filed Under: central banks, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, fundamental analysis, Indian markets, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


Australia's Banking Boom: Knock on Wood
How Elliott wave analysis -- not luck -- propelled the ASX 200's rally to five-year highs

By Nico Isaac
5/6/2013 6:00:00 PM

In April 2013, use of the 'b' word -- as in "bubble" showed up in a surprising region of the world: the Australian banking sector. Turns out that major Aussie lenders have enjoyed a powerful upswing since the start of the year. As a recent Wall Street Journal article wrote: "It's astonishing given the size of Australia, its population, economy and banking system, relative to other countries like the US, China, Japan and the UK."

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, banks, credit crisis, Elliott wave, financial forecast

Category: Asian Markets


Bears Continue to Take a Giant Bite Out of Apple
Our charts reveal why professional analysts never saw the 40% freefall in Apple shares coming.

By Nico Isaac
4/18/2013 5:30:00 PM

Last September, with Apple Inc. shares soaring into the outergalactic $700 region, the mainstream experts tightened their grip on the upside. But instead of going to the moon, AAPL crashed back to earth in a 40% selloff to the 16-month lows we see today. One question remains: How could the professional analysts have gotten it so wrong?

Filed Under: Bear market, Bob Prechter, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, herding, mutual funds, Robert Prechter

Category: Asian Markets


How News Corp. Stock Doubled – Despite the Phone-Hacking Scandal
See why News Corporation's meteoric rise is important right now

By Nathaniel Williams
4/2/2013 1:30:00 PM

While most stock watchers believed that News Corporation's phone-hacking scandal in 2011 would torpedo its stock price, EWI's analyst surveyed the chart and saw a different future for the intermediate term, which also supports his analysis of Australian markets in general.

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, social mood

Category: Asian Markets


Abenomics in Japan: Have They Fueled the Nikkei's Astounding Surge?
Nope, Japan's market action is a matter of pattern, not policy, says EWI analyst

By Nathaniel Williams
3/18/2013 6:00:00 PM

Case in point: The Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast did not attribute the Nikkei's surge to Japan Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's new economic policies -- because it had already anticipated the move a month before his election victory.

Filed Under: Japanese yen, Nikkei

Category: Asian Markets


China's Colossal Real Estate Boom is "Unprecedented in Human History"
Ghost cities are sprawled across the landscape

By Bob Stokes
3/6/2013 9:15:00 AM

China is the home of the biggest real estate bubble in human history. A financial analyst estimates the government is "building somewhere between 12 and 24 new cities every single year." Even China's middle class have poured their savings into real estate investments. Find out what EWI's Asian-Pacific Forecast Service sees ahead for China.

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Chinese markets, Indian markets, Japanese yen, Korean Won, Nikkei, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, yuan

Category: Asian Markets


Why China's Stock Market Defied the Fundamentals
See how the fundamentals failed -- while the Elliott waves prevailed -- in China

By Nathaniel Williams
3/5/2013 9:15:00 AM

If you follow fundamental analysis, then you may remember that financial, economic and geopolitical events -- along with pessimistic forecasts -- seemed deeply ominous for Chinese markets in late 2012. Yet in the midst of a near-unanimous chorus of bears, one voice went against the grain with a starkly different message...

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chinese markets, Chris Carolan

Category: Asian Markets


Japan: Here’s Why our Analyst Said the Nikkei Would ‘Surprise the World’
See how The Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast anticipated the Nikkei’s surge

By Nathaniel Williams
2/15/2013 5:00:00 PM

EWI's Asian-Pacific analyst used both wave analysis and a clear-eyed look at the Topix real estate index to suss out where the Nikkei was headed: "Real estate ... is approaching a resistance line drawn from its 2009 high. If it breaks out above the line, that would be bullish for Japanese stocks as a whole." 

 

 

Filed Under: Nikkei

Category: Asian Markets


See the 'Bearish Opportunity' Forecast that Preceded Malaysia's Recent 4 Percent Plunge
Here’s how The Asian-Pacific Short Term Update anticipated the drop

By Nathaniel Williams
1/24/2013 10:30:00 AM

When Malaysian stocks plummeted 4.4% in two days, mainstream financial analysts immediately cast about for an explanation. But before the plunge -- and before the media's after-the-fact blame game -- EWI's Asian-Pacific Short Term Update anticipated the developing storm. Here's how ...

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chris Carolan

Category: Asian Markets


Why Did Chinese Stocks Soar 10%, Despite a Bearish Consensus?
The Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast goes against the grain for a spot-on forecast

By Nathaniel Williams
12/24/2012 2:15:00 PM

The outlook for China was as gloomy and negative as Scrooge before the three ghosts visit him in Charles Dickens' A Christmas Carol. Our analyst saw things differently, though, and his analysis will help you determine whether the recent spike in China's bear market  is a correction or the start of a new bull market.

Filed Under: Chinese markets

Category: Asian Markets


Asian-Pacific Stocks: Take a BOLD Look Into 2013
Inside EWI's December 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/7/2012 5:45:00 PM

'Tis the season of year-end summaries and cautious next-year forecasts. We will join the crowd -- just this once! -- and do the same. Except, the forecasts you'll find in the latest, December Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast are anything but timid. Here are the highlights...

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, market forecasts, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: Great Expectations
Inside EWI's November 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/2/2012 5:15:00 PM

As November begins, the Asian-Pacific region stands at an interesting Elliott wave juncture. It offers a broad range of stock price patterns, thus a broad range of expectations. On the one hand, already-bullish trends in Southeast Asian should continue higher, well above their 2010 and 2011 highs. On the other hand, other regional markets are already at their 2010 and 2011 highs. Still others need further declines before they reach an intermediate-term low. Discover all the details in the November 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast.

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


5 Years After the Peak, Is China Set to Sink -- or SOAR?
What Elliott waves said about China's past -- and what they are saying NOW about its future.

By Nathaniel Williams
10/19/2012 6:15:00 PM

You may have noticed that when the U.S. Presidential candidates'aren't blasting each other, they hammer China. Both Mr. Obama and Mr. Romney want to "get tough" on China. The Obama administration recently backed up its rhetoric by blocking a Chinese company from building a wind farm near a Navy base.
 
But even beyond U.S. political mudslinging, China can't seem to catch a break.

Filed Under: BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment strategy, sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


Asian-Pacific Stocks: The MANY Surprises Directly Ahead
Inside EWI's October 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/5/2012 5:45:00 PM

Anywhere you go, most investors are conditioned to believe that bad news -- be that bad economy, a threat of war, or any other turmoil -- are bad for the stock market. Conversely, the same investors believe that the absence of negative factors is bullish for stocks. That is exactly why so many investors will be surprised by the stock market trends in the Asian-Pacific region in the weeks ahead. See, from an Elliott wave perspective...

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Asian Markets


Guess Who’s Coming to China’s Stock Market: Bear, Bull -- or Gorilla?
EWI’s Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast’s special 5-page report on China reveals why now could be the beginning of a new chapter in China’s economic history

By Nico Isaac
9/14/2012 10:00:00 AM

China’s Shanghai Composite index is 5 years into the worst bear market of its 2-decade history. And this August, the exchange suffered its 4th straight month of declines for the longest losing streak since 2004. In a quest to answer the burning question of whether the SSE’s bearish rout is over, the mainstream financial experts are hard at work sifting through every current and potential future quantitative measure under the economic sun

Filed Under: Bear market, Chinese markets, history, S&P 500, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


Stop the Presses: Why We Just Published a Special Report on China
EWI’s Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast’s 5-page report on China says it's likely that a multi-year move “lies directly ahead.”

By Nico Isaac
9/7/2012 3:00:00 PM

The earthquakes that shook southwest China on Friday, Sept. 7, killing more than 60 people and damaging 20,000 houses, sadly seem to mirror the string of financial temblors that have sent shockwaves through China’s economy over the past 5 years. Today, the mainstream financial experts are ready to call it. So, are they right?

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Elliott wave, momentum, Relative Strength Index (RSI), sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: The Tale of "Two Asias"
Inside EWI's September 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/31/2012 8:15:00 PM

Most investors are conditioned to believe that global stocks move in unison. That's not the case. For example...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.