Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

U.S. Stocks Are Hot. What Does That Mean for India and China?
Sometimes global markets move in tandem, and sometimes they don't.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/8/2013 4:30:00 PM

Think back to 2007 and early 2008, before the worst of the financial crisis. Perhaps you recall this major investment belief: Even if the West took a dive, emerging markets would save the day. But when the crisis hit, emerging markets crashed right along with the developed ones. Still, there were a few important nuances. For example...

Filed Under: central banks, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, fundamental analysis, Indian markets, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets

Press Play to See Jeffrey Kennedy's Far-Reaching 2013 Commodity Outlook
Futures Junctures Service 3-part video series on long-term trends in key softs, grains, and livestock. Here are exclusive highlights from video 1.

By Nico Isaac
3/12/2013 6:00:00 PM

Spring hasn't even arrived officially, yet some of us are already feeling the three "izies" of the season: hazy, fuzzy and dizzy. Yet it's not my hay fever that has my teeth on edge, but the suffocating cloud of mainstream financial news regarding long-term commodity trends.

Filed Under: Chinese markets, cocoa futures, coffee futures, commodities, cotton futures, diagonal, Elliott wave, Jeffrey Kennedy, Orange Juice, sugar futures

Category: Commodities

China's Colossal Real Estate Boom is "Unprecedented in Human History"
Ghost cities are sprawled across the landscape

By Bob Stokes
3/6/2013 9:15:00 AM

China is the home of the biggest real estate bubble in human history. A financial analyst estimates the government is "building somewhere between 12 and 24 new cities every single year." Even China's middle class have poured their savings into real estate investments. Find out what EWI's Asian-Pacific Forecast Service sees ahead for China.

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Chinese markets, Indian markets, Japanese yen, Korean Won, Nikkei, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, yuan

Category: Asian Markets

Why China's Stock Market Defied the Fundamentals
See how the fundamentals failed -- while the Elliott waves prevailed -- in China

By Nathaniel Williams
3/5/2013 9:15:00 AM

If you follow fundamental analysis, then you may remember that financial, economic and geopolitical events -- along with pessimistic forecasts -- seemed deeply ominous for Chinese markets in late 2012. Yet in the midst of a near-unanimous chorus of bears, one voice went against the grain with a starkly different message...

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chinese markets, Chris Carolan

Category: Asian Markets

Why Did Chinese Stocks Soar 10%, Despite a Bearish Consensus?
The Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast goes against the grain for a spot-on forecast

By Nathaniel Williams
12/24/2012 2:15:00 PM

The outlook for China was as gloomy and negative as Scrooge before the three ghosts visit him in Charles Dickens' A Christmas Carol. Our analyst saw things differently, though, and his analysis will help you determine whether the recent spike in China's bear market  is a correction or the start of a new bull market.

Filed Under: Chinese markets

Category: Asian Markets

Crude Oil Falls to a 3-Month Low: Why Blaming "Soft Economy" Isn't the Answer
Despite today's less-than-stellar global economic environment, as recently as April, crude was trading well over $100 a barrel.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/23/2012 8:45:00 PM

After a 4-day losing streak, on October 23 crude oil futures fell as low as $85.69 a barrel -- the lowest price since July. Predictably, the mainstream energy market observers have blamed the drop on "global economic worries." Of course, on these pages, we have pointed out before how, on one recent occasion, oil fell in the face of positive economic expectations. And on another recent occasion, oil fell despite the absence of any real news, period. So, the mainstream analysts have to do better than "global economic worries" to explain the latest oil selloff...except that they can't.

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, fundamental analysis, futures trading, technical analysis

Category: Energy

5 Years After the Peak, Is China Set to Sink -- or SOAR?
What Elliott waves said about China's past -- and what they are saying NOW about its future.

By Nathaniel Williams
10/19/2012 6:15:00 PM

You may have noticed that when the U.S. Presidential candidates'aren't blasting each other, they hammer China. Both Mr. Obama and Mr. Romney want to "get tough" on China. The Obama administration recently backed up its rhetoric by blocking a Chinese company from building a wind farm near a Navy base.
 
But even beyond U.S. political mudslinging, China can't seem to catch a break.

Filed Under: BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment strategy, sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets

Gold Bulls: Keep Your Eyes on Key Support, NOT on China
Get objective Elliott wave analysis to navigate the near-term turns in gold, with EWI's Metals Specialty Service

By Nico Isaac
10/9/2012 5:15:00 PM

Sept. 30 to Oct. 7 marked China's "Golden Week Holiday," the People's Republic's 7-day long national paid vacation. But as workers across the mainland were away from their desks enjoying R&R, the mainstream financial experts spent the entire "Golden Week" pushing one main news story through the usual media channels. Read the full story today.

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Gold, precious metals, silver, stimulus package, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver

Asian-Pacific Stocks: The MANY Surprises Directly Ahead
Inside EWI's October 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/5/2012 5:45:00 PM

Anywhere you go, most investors are conditioned to believe that bad news -- be that bad economy, a threat of war, or any other turmoil -- are bad for the stock market. Conversely, the same investors believe that the absence of negative factors is bullish for stocks. That is exactly why so many investors will be surprised by the stock market trends in the Asian-Pacific region in the weeks ahead. See, from an Elliott wave perspective...

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Asian Markets

Guess Who’s Coming to China’s Stock Market: Bear, Bull -- or Gorilla?
EWI’s Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast’s special 5-page report on China reveals why now could be the beginning of a new chapter in China’s economic history

By Nico Isaac
9/14/2012 10:00:00 AM

China’s Shanghai Composite index is 5 years into the worst bear market of its 2-decade history. And this August, the exchange suffered its 4th straight month of declines for the longest losing streak since 2004. In a quest to answer the burning question of whether the SSE’s bearish rout is over, the mainstream financial experts are hard at work sifting through every current and potential future quantitative measure under the economic sun

Filed Under: Bear market, Chinese markets, history, S&P 500, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets

Stop the Presses: Why We Just Published a Special Report on China
EWI’s Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast’s 5-page report on China says it's likely that a multi-year move “lies directly ahead.”

By Nico Isaac
9/7/2012 3:00:00 PM

The earthquakes that shook southwest China on Friday, Sept. 7, killing more than 60 people and damaging 20,000 houses, sadly seem to mirror the string of financial temblors that have sent shockwaves through China’s economy over the past 5 years. Today, the mainstream financial experts are ready to call it. So, are they right?

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Elliott wave, momentum, Relative Strength Index (RSI), sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets

Everyone Has the Blues About China: Should You?
With China's Shanghai Composite off 65% from its high, the mainstream is uniformly bearish

By Nathaniel Williams
8/23/2012 3:00:00 PM

Many people have been singing the blues about China's economy. One foreign policy magazine ran a story headlined, "Five Signs of the Chinese Economic Apocalypse."  Our Asian analyst notes all these views and then turns to the tune sung by the Elliott wave patterns.

Filed Under: Chinese markets

Category: Asian Markets

Asia-Pacific Stocks: On the Edge
South Africa and Peru: Our new, August Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast also gives you forecasts for these two emerging markets

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/30/2012 5:45:00 PM

"Australian and Japanese stocks have arrived at crucial junctures... Other Asian-Pacific stock markets have arrived at similar crossroads. What happens in the region’s markets in the next several weeks should determine the trend over the next several months and even beyond." That's the opening paragraph of our latest August Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast. And here are some specifics...

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index

Category: Asian Markets

Wave Analysis vs. Fundamentals: Which Anticipated the 12% Plunge in China's Shanghai Composite?
Two views before the drop, but only one was right

By Nathaniel Williams
7/27/2012 10:15:00 AM

Think back to early May: China's Shanghai Composite was near its 2012 highs -- and at a critical crossroads. Where would it go next?

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chinese markets, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets

Asian-Pacific Stocks: Don't Get Too Comfortable
Egypt, Israel and Turkey: This month's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast also includes forecasts for those markets

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/29/2012 5:30:00 PM

It's always darkest before the dawn, goes the saying. Yet if that's true, then wouldn't the opposite be just as true? "Asian Stocks Head for Biggest Gain This Year on Europe Progress‎," reported the June 29 San Francisco Chronicle. How much longer will we see "sunny" headlines like this one? The latest, July issue of our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast shows you what no one else does...

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, buy and hold, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Indian markets, investment strategy, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index

Category: Asian Markets

Asia-Pacific Stocks: To Sell -- or Not To Sell?
That is the question... you may be asking yourself after the big selloff in May. We believe you'll find your answer here.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/1/2012 9:00:00 PM

Quick: Name the tallest skyscraper in the world. Yes: Burj Khalifa in Dubai. How about the world's tallest tower? The Eiffel Tower, you say? No. It's the new Skytree that's just opened in Tokyo. The Japanese aren't alone in their desire to reach for the sky. In Jakarta, the developers of the $2b Signature Tower “think that this is the right moment for building the tower,” too. Why would an investment newsletter like ours talk about tall towers, you ask? Because almost all of the world's tallest buildings have famously appeared only at a certain point in the stock market's Elliott wave pattern.

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment strategy, safe haven, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets

Asia-Pacific Stocks: DON'T "Sell in May and Go Away"?
The Asia-Pacific region broke this old rule more than once. What about 2012?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/4/2012 5:45:00 PM

At the 2nd annual Social Mood Conference in April, one speaker delivered an interesting insight: Every year, stock market returns in May-October average only about 50% of the returns in November-April. Important information, yes -- but did you realize that May-October in 2003, 2007 and 2009 were great periods to hold Asian-Pacific equities? What about 2012, you may wonder?

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment strategy, Nikkei, Shanghai Composite Index, stock indexes, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets

India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Indonesia: How Elliott Wave Analysis Turned BULLISH When Few Dared. Part I
EWI's Asian-Pacific stock market analyst explains the unique benefits of Elliott wave analysis for emerging market investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/26/2012 3:15:00 PM

Today, you truly have the world at your fingertips. It’s easier than ever for you to get exposure to global markets, especially given the explosion in ETFs. But how do you decide which market is most worthy of your attention? And how do you know if your forecasting source is qualified and objective? With that in mind, I sat down with EWI's Mark Galasiewski, a monthly contributor to the "Asian-Pacific Stocks Section" of our Global Market Perspective.

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, buy and hold, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment decisions, investment strategy, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, stock indexes, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Global Markets

April is Half-Way Over. What Will the 2nd Half Bring?
With more than 50 charts on 50 pages, Global Market Perspective is the most comprehensive source of independent, insightful global Elliott wave analysis you'll ever find

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2012 3:45:00 PM

At the start of April, few investors anticipated any trouble ahead. March ended strong, and the majority of financial pundits and investors we convinced that April would also not disappoint. That one-sided bullishness was one (of many) reason why on March 30, the April issue of our comprehensive Global Market Perspective issued these warnings to subscribers...

Filed Under: AEX, AIG, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, euro, eurozone, FTSE, Indian markets, investment decisions, investment strategy, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Swiss Market Index (SMI), Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Global Markets

Invest in Hong Kong, Australia, China? Then See Why Waves in Pakistani and Cambodian Stocks Matter to YOU
Inside EWI's April 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/30/2012 6:15:00 PM

It's been three years since March 2009, when our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast turned bullish on the Asian-Pacific region. Most emerging markets in Asia have since then continued to support that bullish view: Many regional stock indexes have advanced in the impulsive Elliott wave pattern we expected. Of course, markets do go through periods of regress. How soon should you expect one to begin -- if at all? The April 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast gives you a specific answer on page 1.

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, emerging markets, financial forecast, Indian markets, momentum, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis, volume

Category: Asian Markets

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.