Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Get in Front of the Live Cattle Herd
In November 2012, Monthly Futures Junctures anticipated the turn in live cattle

By Nico Isaac
5/23/2013 11:45:00 AM

In late 2012, live cattle prices were rallying to new contract highs. And, according to the mainstream pundits, the 'fundamentals' would keep prices moving due north. Rather than driving north, however, live cattle prices turned south in a precipitous slide to the recent contract lows...

Filed Under: commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, Jeffrey Kennedy, live cattle futures

Category: Commodities

Why a Triangle Marks the Spot of Opportunity in Cocoa
See how a contracting triangle preceded dramatic price moves in 2 major commodity markets

By Nico Isaac
5/16/2013 4:00:00 PM

School may be winding down for summer break, but the Elliott Wave class is still very much in session. And on the syllabus for today's lesson is the Elliott wave pattern known as the contracting triangle.  Here's where you'll want to start taking notes. First, there's the basic definition and diagram of the pattern.Then, there's two real-world examples of the contracting triangle signaling dramatic price moves in sugar and coffee.

Filed Under: cocoa futures, coffee futures, commodities, contracting triangle, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, Jeffrey Kennedy, sugar futures

Category: Commodities

Soybean Prices: Sticking Out Their Neck(line)
3 real-world examples of how the head-and-shoulders pattern anticipates dramatic price moves

By Nico Isaac
5/10/2013 6:00:00 PM

You've probably never heard the words "Mint Chocolate Chip" and "Head-and-Shoulders pattern" uttered in (nearly) the same breath. But for EWI's senior commodities analyst and Futures Junctures Service editor Jeffrey Kennedy, those apparently unrelated phrases do indeed have something in common -- namely, they are two of Jeffrey's favorite things in the whole wide world:

Filed Under: cotton futures, Daily Futures Junctures, Gold, head and shoulders pattern, Jeffrey Kennedy, soybean futures, soybean oil, technical analysis

Category: Commodities

Is Copper's Bear Market Over?
Why the answer is NOT about supply

By Nico Isaac
4/30/2013 5:00:00 PM

April 2013 has seen copper prices go from low to... lower still. In the week ending April 19, prices experienced their largest percentage decline in 16 months to land solidly in Grizzly Acres. See: "Copper Slides Into Bear Market" a recent blunt-truth headline in the Wall Street Journal.  

Filed Under: copper futures, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, Jeffrey Kennedy, trendlines

Category: Commodities

Fundamental analysis failed to anticipate the March-April selloff in cotton
The dangers of projecting present trends into the future

By Nico Isaac
4/17/2013 5:30:00 PM

In mid-March 2013, cotton prices had enjoyed a three-month, 18% rally to their highest level in a year. And according to the fundamental experts, the "externals" in the cotton market would continue to propel prices higher. Instead, cotton prices embarked on a sharp selloff to the one-month prices lows we see today.

Filed Under: commodities, cotton futures, Daily Futures Junctures, fundamental analysis, Jeffrey Kennedy

Category: Commodities

The ABCs of Identifying the Start of Orange Juice's Bear Market
The Elliott wave" zigzag" pattern anticipated the 2012 peak in OJ. That same pattern may help identify cocoa's next near-term move

By Nico Isaac
4/4/2013 5:30:00 PM

Can Elliott wave analysis identify meaningful price turns in commodity markets before they unfold? Yes -- if you have the patience and discipline to await the development of a familiar Elliott wave pattern on the price chart of the market(s) you follow. Of the 13 Elliott wave patterns, the zigzag is among the easiest to identify.

Filed Under: cocoa futures, commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, Jeffrey Kennedy, Orange Juice

Category: Commodities

Corn Prices Crash the Daily Exchange Limit
One day before corn’s free fall, DFJ delivered an evidence-based forecast for a sizable move to the downside

By Nico Isaac
3/28/2013 6:30:00 PM

In the March 27 Daily Futures Junctures, Jeffrey revealed a mountain of evidence suggesting that corn prices were set to experience a dramatic decline. One day later, on March 28, corn prices stunned the futures marketplace by plunging more than 5%. This exceeded the maximum daily limit allowed on the Chicago Board of Trade and marked corn’s biggest single-day slide in ten months.

 

Filed Under: commodities, corn futures, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Jeffrey Kennedy

Category: Commodities

Don’t Blame Sugar’s Bear Market on a Glut in Supply
Monthly Futures Junctures used Elliott wave analysis instead of supply data to anticipate sugar's turn down from the February 2011 peak.

By Nico Isaac
3/26/2013 10:30:00 AM

According to conventional economic wisdom, the law of supply & demand applies to investor behavior in financial markets, meaning an excess in supply cause commodity prices to fall. Let’s take the recent price action in sugar. On March 25, sugar futures ended the day at their lowest level in two-and-a-half years. Point of fact, sugar futures have plummeted 50% since hitting a 30-plus year peak in February 2011.

Filed Under: commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, Jeffrey Kennedy, long-term trend, sugar futures, supply and demand

Category: Commodities

Opportunities in Key Commodity Markets Are Not 2 Good 2 B True
Before-and-after charts of four major commodity markets show how Daily Futures Junctures anticipates near-term trend changes before they unfold

By Nico Isaac
2/15/2013 5:30:00 PM

The charts in today's column come courtesy of Elliott Wave International's sweet near-term commodity-based service Daily Futures Junctures. I've pulled from the bag of opportunities identified by Daily Futures Junctures editor Jeffrey Kennedy in recent months. And no, unlike the sugar-coated candy messages, the before-and-after charts below are not 2 Good 2 B True.

Filed Under: coffee futures, commodities, corn futures, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, feeder cattle futures, Jeffrey Kennedy, wheat futures

Category: Commodities

Sugar Bowl Monday: Keep the Objective Lights Turned On
The Jan. 30 Daily Futures Junctures identifies an Elliott wave expanded flat underway in sugar.

By Nico Isaac
2/4/2013 5:00:00 PM

When the Superdome lost half of its power as I watched the 47th Super Bowl this past Sunday, my mind drifted quickly to fundamental analysis of financial markets. The connection is obvious once you think about it: Using fundamentals to illuminate near-term trend changes of liquid markets is about as effective as playing football in a half-lit dome. One player can heave the ball (or market logic) into the air -- but nobody can see it well enough to make the catch.

Filed Under: cocoa futures, commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Jeffrey Kennedy, sugar futures

Category: Commodities

Upcoming Trade Set-Up in Cotton: How Contracting Triangles Precede Dramatic Thrusts in Price
A lesson in forecasting dramatic price reversals in real time using contracting triangles

By Nico Isaac
12/28/2012 4:00:00 PM

Schoolchildren may be out for the winter break, but class is always in session here at Elliott Wave International. On the syllabus for today is the Elliott wave pattern known as the contracting triangle – and a developing trade set-up in cotton. It goes without saying that, because contracting triangles precede the final wave of a sequence, they make for ideal trade set-ups to position for the powerful thrusts that follow. This reliable trait of triangles makes them a favorite among technical traders.

Filed Under: coffee futures, commodities, contracting triangle, cotton futures, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, Jeffrey Kennedy, sugar futures

Category: Commodities

Coffee Prices Have Followed their Elliott Wave Script: Now What?
Coffee prices have plummeted more than 20% since July: Elliott wave analysis explains why.

By Nico Isaac
12/14/2012 2:45:00 PM

Since hitting a multi-month high in late July, coffee prices have plummeted more than 20%, to land at the 2-year low we see today. And, according to several mainstream financial news sources, some "longs may have gotten their fingers caught in the door" by the bearish coffee trend...

Filed Under: coffee futures, commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, fundamental analysis, Jeffrey Kennedy

Category: Commodities

Soybeans Futures: Never Ask a Bald Man for Hair Styling Advice
Another fresh example of how Elliott wave analysis keeps you one step ahead -- in soybeans, this time around.

By Nico Isaac
12/11/2012 5:15:00 PM

The way I see it, using "fundamental" analysis for guidance into the trend changes in the financial markets is like asking a bald man for hair styling advice. Their perspective on the matter is very... how shall I say, limited. Take, for example, the situation in soybeans futures back in early September 2012. At the time, the mainstream experts saw a "perfect bullish storm" building in soybeans backdrop via these three "highly accommodative" events...

Filed Under: commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, Jeffrey Kennedy, soybean futures

Category: Commodities

3rd Waves: How We Love You! Let Us Count the Ways
EWI's Futures Junctures Service used objective Elliott wave analysis to anticipate the 2012 selloff in sugar

By Nico Isaac
11/20/2012 4:30:00 PM

The Elliott Wave Principle recognizes 13 distinct Elliott wave patterns that unfold in the price charts of financial markets. My personal favorite -- along with most Elliotticians -- is the third wave. The reason being: Imagine a giant, 400-pound gorilla. Now, imagine King Kong. That is the 3rd wave in comparison to most other Elliott wave patterns. See the "wonder" of this wave pattern in the real world price action of sugar.

Filed Under: commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, Jeffrey Kennedy, sugar futures

Category: Commodities

The Anatomy of a Wave Pattern
A real-world example of how EWI's Futures Junctures used objective Elliott wave analysis to anticipate the 2011 crash in cocoa

By Nico Isaac
11/16/2012 2:30:00 PM

Today I'm reaching into the hat of all 13 known Elliott wave patterns to discuss the often-exciting Ending Diagonal. For newbies, here's a brief rundown of its anatomy: An ending diagonal is a terminating pattern that signals exhaustion of the larger trend. Therefore, it can only occur in the final position of a wave sequence; most commonly wave 5 of an impulse, or wave C of an A-B-C correction. And today, we look at a real-world example of how an ending diagonal marked the beginning of the 2011 crash in cocoa prices.

Filed Under: cocoa futures, commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, diagonal, Elliott wave, Jeffrey Kennedy

Category: Commodities

Soybean Futures Sell-off: "Supply Shock" -- or Elliott Wave Script?
A real-life example of how the October 2012 Monthly Futures Junctures used Elliott wave analysis to stay one step ahead of the recent selloff in soybean prices

By Nico Isaac
11/13/2012 2:00:00 PM

On Nov. 12, soybean futures plummeted 3% to land at their lowest level in 5 months. AND, right on cue, the mainstream experts played the fundamental "black box" to determine what main factor caused the grain's nosedive. And, after listening to the entire tape forwards and backwards, ONE event was fingered as the ultimate source of sell off in beans: A "larger-than-expected" Nov. 9 US Department of Agriculture production and stockpile report.

Filed Under: commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, Jeffrey Kennedy, soybean futures

Category: Commodities

There's No Such Thing as Too Much Coverage of Crude Oil
EWI's Futures Junctures Service editor Jeffrey Kennedy shows you one way the Elliott Wave Principle helped navigate crude oil's 2008 decline.

By Nico Isaac
11/5/2012 4:30:00 PM

Staying ahead of the volatility in crude oil prices can often feel like walking a tightrope wire. BUT, when you look to events OUTSIDE the market to guide you, it's as if you're strapping banana peels to your feet. Think about it: According to the mainstream experts, 3 (give or take) main fundamental factors are allegedly "built-into" crude oil's backdrop: Weather patterns, economic data, and politics. But these events are constantly changing depending on which way the zwind of public response blows.

Filed Under: crude oil, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, fundamental analysis, Jeffrey Kennedy

Category: Energy

The "End" All, Be All of Elliott Wave Patterns
An interview with EWI's chief commodity analyst sheds light on why the Elliott wave ending diagonal pattern signals the start of opportunity

By Nico Isaac
10/8/2012 5:00:00 PM

On Monday Oct. 8 I sat down with Elliott Wave International's chief commodity analyst and Futures Junctures Service editor Jeffrey Kennedy to discuss his favorite wave pattern of all: the Elliott wave diagonal. Reason being: On the "hand" of opportunity, the diagonal lands not at the wrist, the palm, or even the knuckles; but at the fingertips!

Filed Under: commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, diagonal, Elliott wave, Jeffrey Kennedy

Category: Commodities

Soybean Oil Prices Fall to 3-Month Low: Elliott Waves In Motion
A real-life example of how EWI's Daily Futures Junctures used objective Elliott wave analysis to stay ahead of soy oil's Sept. 2012 sell off.

By Nico Isaac
10/3/2012 5:15:00 PM

In mid-September 2012, soybean oil prices stood at a multi-year high. And, according to the mainstream experts, a slew of bullish fundamentals -- i.e., a new all-time record high in soybean prices, tight supplies, steady demand, and the Fed's Sept. 13 pro-QE 3 policy -- would continue to fuel the bullish fire. Yet, since then, soy oil has taken to the DOWNSIDE.

Filed Under: commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, fundamental analysis, Jeffrey Kennedy, soybean oil

Category: Commodities

Corn: The Next 3 Days Could Determine the Next 3 Months
See for yourself how Daily Futures Junctures uses Elliott wave analysis to anticipate a major commodity turn

By Nico Isaac
9/28/2012 5:00:00 PM

Corn prices rocketed up 40 cents per bushel (6%) on Friday, Sept. 28, and hit the daily up limit on the Chicago Board of Trade. In turn, the mainstream financial press claimed that one single event lit the grain's bullish wick: the early-morning Department of Agriculture report which said the US surplus corn stocks fell to an 8-year low at the end of the 2011/12 season.

Filed Under: commodities, corn futures, Daily Futures Junctures, fundamental analysis, Jeffrey Kennedy

Category: Commodities

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.