Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Australia's Banking Boom: Knock on Wood
How Elliott wave analysis -- not luck -- propelled the ASX 200's rally to five-year highs

By Nico Isaac
5/6/2013 6:00:00 PM

In April 2013, use of the 'b' word -- as in "bubble" showed up in a surprising region of the world: the Australian banking sector. Turns out that major Aussie lenders have enjoyed a powerful upswing since the start of the year. As a recent Wall Street Journal article wrote: "It's astonishing given the size of Australia, its population, economy and banking system, relative to other countries like the US, China, Japan and the UK."

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, banks, credit crisis, Elliott wave, financial forecast

Category: Asian Markets


The UK Avoids Recession. Proof Positive of Recovery?
And why taking the experts at their word may not be the safest decision.

By Nico Isaac
4/25/2013 5:00:00 PM

In the morning hours of April 25, the UK financial community was a picture of Hunger Games-like angst. Huddled masses stood around the Office for National Statistics, waiting nervously to hear whether the name -- Britain -- would be drawn to participate in a highly dreaded recession.  

Filed Under: credit crisis, europe, european markets, financial forecast, FTSE, great depression, recession, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: European Markets


Will 2013 Be the Year of Municipal Bonds?
A memory jog recalls what happened the last time the mainstream experts extolled munis for their immunity to default. Will history repeat itself now?

By Nico Isaac
12/31/2012 9:45:00 AM

The opening lyrics to the famous New Years Eve song "Auld Lang Syne" seem painfully relevant in light of the moral dilemma facing US investors as they stand at the cusp of 2013. To wit: Should they put the old markets of yore behind them? According to a Dec. 28 MarketWatch cover story, the answer is NO: "Muni bonds may be the money makers in 2013." Speaking of not forgetting, this isn't the first time we've seen the mainstream experts stand behind the idea that tax-exempt debt puts the -- well -- "muni" back in immunity.

Filed Under: credit crisis, debt, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, investment decisions, municipal bonds, pension funds, safe haven, U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


How to Protect Your Wealth from a Monetary Crisis
"The highest level of safety on the planet."

By Bob Stokes
9/21/2012 3:30:00 PM

In the second edition of Conquer the Crash, Robert Prechter wrote: "[The SafeWealth Group] has researched banks, insurance companies and debt issuers and isolated those that it believes have the highest level of safety on the planet. It has also identified wealth managers who focus primarily on protecting and preserving capital ..." Learn more about how to keep your assets safe...

Filed Under: conquer the crash, credit crisis, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, monetary policy, risk management, safe banks, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Bernanke's Bigger Bubble: QE-3 and the Coming Economic Crash
Why monetarist theory is flawed

By Bob Stokes
9/14/2012 5:30:00 PM

We've all heard the definition of insanity: doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. Why should we think QE-3 will work when the previous two failed? (Don't think they failed? Then ask yourself why we need a third one.) Monetary policy cannot make the global credit bubble simply vanish. Only a deflationary crash can do that. The chart below reveals why...
 

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Ben Bernanke, central banks, conquer the crash, credit crisis, credit rating, debt, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, liquidity, monetary policy, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


Pro Football Plays Defense Against Deflation
Downside pressure on prices has only begun

By Bob Stokes
9/11/2012 5:00:00 PM

A weak economy leading to lower football game attendance leading to lower ticket prices is a "domino effect" -- and it says plenty about how deflation works in the larger economy. The evidence of a major economic contraction is starting to become unmistakable. Learn more about the warning signs of deflation by...

Filed Under: credit crisis, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave

Category: U.S. Economy


The Federal Reserve Has No Cure for What Ails the Economy
Learn why the credit crisis will inevitably conclude in a deflationary depression

By Bob Stokes
7/18/2012 3:30:00 PM

The Federal Reserve will not be able to prevent a global credit collapse. EWI's Financial Forecast Service offers ideas on how to position yourself. These are ideas you can put to work right away. The unprecedented build-up of credit in the past 80 years means the economic collapse could be swift. It's best to prepare now...

Filed Under: banks, Ben Bernanke, central banks, credit crisis, credit rating, debt, deficit, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Greenspan, liquidity, M3 money supply, monetary policy, monetization, QE2, quantitative easing, Sovereign Debt, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy


What to Expect During the Coming Debt Collapse
Entire nations will likely default, learn what to do now

By Bob Stokes
7/10/2012 3:30:00 PM

Most of us can grasp how individuals, companies and even municipalities can go bankrupt. It's less easy to conceive how a nation can default on its obligations. But history proves that nation's can default on their debt. Learn what Elliott Wave International expects next...     

Filed Under: conquer the crash, credit crisis, debt crisis, debt downgrade, deficit, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott Wave Theorist, great depression, Greek debt, history, junk bonds, municipal bonds, soverign debt crisis, U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


Strike a Blow for Independence with EWI's Forecasts
Do YOU hear the beat of a different drummer?

By Susan C. Walker
7/3/2012 2:15:00 PM

Do you think you hear the beat of a different drummer? On this Independence Day, declare your own independence from the usual bullish financial analysis. Come have a look at what Elliott wave analysis has to say.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, credit crisis, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), europe, financial forecast, real Dow, unemployment

Category: Stocks


United States Debt: A Stack of $100 Bills 10,712 Miles High
Evidence that the very high stack is crashing back to earth

By Bob Stokes
6/29/2012 5:00:00 PM

The national debt clock shows that the United States debt stands near $15,820,142,000,000 – as in almost $16 trillion. U.S. total debt is much higher: $56,922,000,000,000. That much debt is unsustainable. And, as Elliott Wave International sees it, there's only one way out...

Filed Under: credit crisis, debt crisis, debt downgrade, deflation, Elliott wave, Sovereign Debt

Category: U.S. Economy


The British Economy is Falling Down: "Depressed by Extreme Uncertainty"
Consumer prices falling down, falling down...

By Bob Stokes
6/21/2012 2:00:00 PM

Recession is the official economic label. However, depression is the word that best describes the state of the British economy. In a June 14 speech, Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said...

Filed Under: Bank of England, central banks, credit crisis, deflation, economic depression, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, FTSE, quantitative easing

Category: Global Markets


American Breadwinners vs. American Bread Lines: What To Expect for the U.S. Economy
Butcher, baker and computer maker: Who will bring home the bacon?

By Bob Stokes
6/20/2012 2:15:00 PM

The news reports about the job market and the unemployment trend do not surprise the analysts at Elliott Wave International. In fact, EWI expects to see more such stories as the economy continues to deteriorate. The question is, how close is the U.S. economy to the bottom? Here's where to look for a reliable clue...

Filed Under: conquer the crash, credit crisis, debt crisis, deflation, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, financial forecast, great depression, S&P 500, social mood

Category: U.S. Economy


The Day of American Austerity: What Will It Look Like?
In the United States, the belt-tightening has just begun

By Bob Stokes
6/11/2012 1:15:00 PM

Ten years ago, Bob Prechter described what this age of austerity would look like. Much of what he described looks just like what is going on today. But how about the rest of what's described in Conquer the Crash? Yes, there's more. You see, Prechter pointed out much more than what unfolded in the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Do yourself the biggest of favors and learn what he has to say...

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, conquer the crash, credit crisis, debt crisis, deficit, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, soverign debt crisis

Category: U.S. Economy


Europe's Financial Fiasco: Migrating to the United States?
History may repeat itself

By Bob Stokes
5/29/2012 4:00:00 PM

About a year before the October 1929 crash, net capital inflows fell in several European countries. In other words: European economies began to deteriorate before the Great Depression began in the U.S. Is history repeating itself?...

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, bloomberg, credit crisis, credit default swaps, debt ceiling, debt downgrade, deflation, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, great depression, Greek debt, housing prices, recession, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis

Category: Global Markets


With "35% of Assets in European Holdings," Is Your Money Market Fund Safe?
Bernanke says U.S. money markets "remain structurally vulnerable"

By Bob Stokes
5/4/2012 4:15:00 PM

Very rare exceptions aside, money markets have been safe. Learn why they now may be a lot less safe...

Filed Under: money markets, banks, central banks, credit crisis, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), mutual funds, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


European Central Bank: “Great White Fear” Takes A Bite Out of Recovery
EWI’s Global Market Perspective foresaw the shift in European banks from lenders to savers via one remarkable chart

By Nico Isaac
4/20/2012 5:30:00 PM

It’s been over two years since the European Central Bank began its open-heart surgery of the eurozone's anemic economy. So far, the procedure has included an unprecedented $3 trillion-plus in bailouts, monetary transfusions, AND toxic debt transplants. Yet, according to a recent slew of discomforting news reports, the economies across the pond would still flatline in seconds without constant life support.

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, central banks, Club EWI, credit crisis, debt, debt crisis, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, eurozone, monetary policy

Category: European Markets


U.S. Financial System: Is It Finally Stable?
Bernanke comments raise questions about banks

By Bob Stokes
4/20/2012 4:45:00 PM

Four years after we brushed up against "financial Armageddon," it appears our financial system is still not as stable as it needs to be. We believe that you should plan ahead for a run on bank deposits. Here's why...

Filed Under: banks, Ben Bernanke, cash, Club EWI, conquer the crash, credit crisis, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), Robert Prechter, safe banks, safe haven, subprime lending, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


The Biggest Bubble of All: This One Has Yet to Deflate (Are You Ready?)
More Threatening Than Any Single Economic Sector

By Bob Stokes
4/13/2012 5:15:00 PM

As bubbles balloon in individual sectors of the economy, the psychology of the pre-financial crisis days have returned. That's why it's important to remember that hardly anyone was concerned about the real estate market in 2006. Then the whole house of cards fell in. Now consider the entire global debt market: the biggest bubble of all time...

Filed Under: commercial real estate, credit crisis, debt crisis, deflation, history, home sales, housing prices, Robert Prechter

Category: U.S. Economy


"The Big Bad Actors" & Today's Stock Market
How much "over-indebtedness" remains?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/29/2012 3:30:00 PM

Today, almost everyone agrees that the root of the 2007-2009 global financial crisis was too much debt. With that in mind, please read this quote.

Filed Under: credit crisis, debt crisis, Robert Prechter

Category: Stocks


Learn Where to Keep Your Assets Safe (Besides a Safe Deposit Box)
The latest Theorist tells you about safe storage facilities in the U.S. and Overseas

By Bob Stokes
3/29/2012 2:45:00 PM

Robert Prechter's emphasis on financial safety served subscribers well in the 2007-2009 financial crisis. We anticipate that a financial safety plan will be of greater benefit during a time of economic chaos ahead. But where can you keep your assets safe? Learn more...

Filed Under: conquer the crash, credit crisis, credit rating, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, Elliott Wave Theorist, liquidity, monetary policy, risk management, Robert Prechter, safe haven, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.