America's Economic Engine Heads for an Overhaul
The economy continues to sputter.

By Bob Stokes
4/26/2013 4:45:00 PM

Nothing short of a complete overhaul will get the U.S. economic engine purring again. The financial mechanics have been trying to get that engine firing on all cylinders for five years now. They've used every tool at their disposal. Yet the engine continues to sputter. There appears to be only one fix.

Filed Under: bloomberg, conquer the crash, consumer confidence, consumer price index, consumer spending, debt, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, monetary policy, monetization, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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Why Are Crude Oil Prices Dropping? Not Why Many People Think
If you follow the logic of the "fundamentals," chances are you'll be fundamentally lost

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2013 10:30:00 PM

Gold wasn't the only market that fell out of bed Monday morning (April 15). Crude oil also fell -- as low as $86.06 a barrel over the past couple of trading days. If you've read opinions as to why oil is getting cheaper, a common reason cited by the pundits is that oil reflects the state of the global economy. Interesting. If that is true, then what you see in these charts must be false.

Filed Under: crude oil, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, inflation, technical analysis

Category: Energy

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An Epic Economic Trend Change is Underway
Persistent economic weakness sends a message.

By Bob Stokes
4/15/2013 6:15:00 PM

The earlier you spot a market trend, the more likely you can benefit from it. Is there an emerging economic trend in its early stages today? From the evidence, it appears so. Call it a seismic shift in the entire U.S. economy. Despite the evidence, most economic observers still do not expect what is about to swiftly unfold.

Filed Under: bloomberg, CNBC, conquer the crash, consumer confidence, consumer price index, consumer spending, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, gross domestic product (GDP), Interest Rates, recession, supply and demand, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy

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How to Protect Your Physical Safety in a Bad Economy
What you don't know can hurt you.

By Bob Stokes
4/9/2013 4:45:00 PM

In a time of economic turmoil, what you know can be as important as what you have. Your possessions can decline in value or be lost altogether, but your knowledge cannot be taken away. You can use what you know to protect what you have. Evidence suggests that many Americans fail to grasp this basic truth. Staying ahead of the crowd begins by reading. As for what to read, few topics are as important as protecting your finances and your physical safety -- and that's what can matter most during a severe economic downturn.

Filed Under: conquer the crash, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, safe haven, soverign debt crisis, stock indexes

Category: U.S. Economy

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Bear Markets Are Inevitable
Are you prepared for the next one?

By Bob Stokes
3/18/2013 4:45:00 PM

Bear markets are a conspicuous part of American history. Yet several sentiment measures indicate that most of today's market participants are ignoring this obvious fact. And unless human behavior changes and history stops repeating itself, another bear market is inevitable. It's only a question of when. The Elliott wave model explores that question, and also looks at the extent of market price trends.

Filed Under: Bear market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, history, investment strategy, long-term trend, market forecasts, S&P 500

Category: Stocks

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Europe: The Epicenter of a Global Economic Earthquake
Will economic optimism be dashed once again?

By Bob Stokes
2/22/2013 4:45:00 PM

A big economic story can go underreported for only so long. Eventually it will show up in mainstream news headlines – a likely case in point is the euro zone's developing deflationary trend. The evidence suggests that Europe could be the epicenter of the next global economic earthquake.

Filed Under: bailouts, brian whitmer, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, Robert Prechter, world central banks

Category: Global Markets

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Cutbacks in Government Services Only to Get Worse
USPS cutbacks now, but what next? Be prepared for more government cutbacks in the event of an economic crash.

By Bob Stokes
2/12/2013 6:00:00 PM

Huge financial losses have prompted the US Postal Service to end of a 150-year-old postal tradition: Saturday service. However, the proposed USPS cutbacks are only the start of a major trend toward government belt-tightening. Learn what steps you can take now to prepare.

Filed Under: conquer the crash, debt, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, history, Robert Prechter

Category: U.S. Economy

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The Key Factor That Leads Directly to an Economic Depression
Stock market action leads the economy

By Bob Stokes
2/7/2013 4:15:00 PM

Some argue that trends like mounting debt and an ever-widening deficit will trigger a depression. Others say it can happen if the Federal Reserve aggressively raises rates. Then again, the culprit might be chronically high unemployment or plunging home prices. In truth, however, the correct answer is ...

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, CNBC, deficit, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, great depression, Interest Rates, recession, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy

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Does Germany Have the Power to Save Europe's Economy?
A walk down memory lane reveals the last two times Europe hitched its recovery wagon to Germany's rising star.

By Nico Isaac
1/11/2013 5:30:00 PM

Filed Under: DAX, economic depression, Elliott wave, europe, european markets, financial forecast, great depression

Category: European Markets

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Higher Education: A New Bubble Chapter in the History Books
The education deflation has just started

By Bob Stokes
1/11/2013 3:30:00 PM

Today's higher-education bubble started when attending college became the rule instead of the exception. These days it's common to see magazine cover headlines like "The 25 Best Universities" or other types of university rankings. All the while, tuition costs have soared, and so has the availability of federal student loans. Now there's evidence that a remarkable sea change may be underway.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, financial forecast, history, long-term trend, mania, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy

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Think Lower U.S. Trade Deficit Is Bullish for Stock Market?
The latest figures show that the U.S. trade gap has narrowed, and many see that as a bullish sign

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/2/2013 2:00:00 PM

Before you join the crowd in thinking that shrinking trade gap is good for the U.S. economy and the stock market, see this eye-opening chart. 

Filed Under: bull market, buy and hold, Club EWI, deficit, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), QE2, S&P 500

Category: U.S. Economy

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6 Government "Fixes" That Came Too Late to Matter
Government, the ultimate crowd, is powerless to fix what's already occurred – but they always try.

By Bob Stokes
12/27/2012 12:30:00 PM

Robert Prechter says a huge price will be paid for excessive borrowing and spending. And that price is summed up in one word: deflation. Read what EWI subscribers are reading now about what could turn out to be the most severe economic contraction in American history and why the government is powerless to stop it.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, conquer the crash, debt, deficit, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott Wave Theorist, history, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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How the Psychology of Deflation Becomes Entrenched
A lesson from Japan

By Bob Stokes
12/18/2012 5:00:00 PM

The economic slowdown in the United States has not been nearly as long as Japan's. Yet, Elliott Wave International contends that the U.S. is in the early stages of a deflationary trend. Deflationary psychology is already apparent.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, conquer the crash, consumer spending, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, history, Robert Prechter, supply and demand, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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Economy on the Brink: Why Mitt Romney May Eventually Be Glad He Lost
Romney won't have to be the next Herbert Hoover

By Bob Stokes
11/9/2012 5:45:00 PM

In discussing the years ahead, Prechter said that whoever is President will turn into "an outsized version of Herbert Hoover." If the economic trend unfolds in a way that EWI expects, Romney may eventually win, so to speak, by losing.
 

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, conquer the crash, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, great depression, Robert Prechter

Category: U.S. Economy

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How to Protect Your Wealth If An Economic Winter Descends
An old fable for modern financial times

By Bob Stokes
10/25/2012 6:00:00 PM

An economic winter may be ahead, and the best prepared households will have set aside sufficient cash or cash equivalents. It's true that actual greenbacks yield no interest, and cash equivalents earn next to nothing. Yet consider that the value of cash...
 

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, cash, conquer the crash, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, great depression, Interest Rates, safe banks, safe haven, U.S. dollar

Category: U.S. Economy

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In 1929, Deflation Started in Europe Before Overtaking the U.S.
What Happens in Europe Will Not Stay in Europe

By Bob Stokes
10/9/2012 5:45:00 PM

An economic downturn in one major area of the globe is likely to affect another. In fact, even during the Great Depression (long before the phrase "global economy"), Europe was exporting to America. But one historic export was not the kind that the U.S. welcomed.
 

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, debt, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), history, soverign debt crisis, world central banks

Category: U.S. Economy

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The Consequences of an Overdose on Financial Amphetamines
Prepare for what few other people expect

By Bob Stokes
10/1/2012 4:45:00 PM

In the decades since WWII, inflation has arguably been the main economic worry. That's a long time to beat the same economic drum. No wonder it's hard for people to think about...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, conquer the crash, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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The Financial Tsunami Headed To Shore Has Been Building for 80 Years
The size of the wave will surprise most everyone

By Bob Stokes
9/24/2012 4:45:00 PM

When forecasters warn "Move to higher ground!" it's not wise to think, "Until I see the tsunami, I won't believe it's coming." Once it's visible, it's probably too late. It's equally unwise to ignore signs of a financial tsunami...
 

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Ben Bernanke, conquer the crash, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, history, market crash, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), world central banks

Category: U.S. Economy

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How to Protect Your Wealth from a Monetary Crisis
"The highest level of safety on the planet."

By Bob Stokes
9/21/2012 3:30:00 PM

In the second edition of Conquer the Crash, Robert Prechter wrote: "[The SafeWealth Group] has researched banks, insurance companies and debt issuers and isolated those that it believes have the highest level of safety on the planet. It has also identified wealth managers who focus primarily on protecting and preserving capital ..." Learn more about how to keep your assets safe...

Filed Under: conquer the crash, credit crisis, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, monetary policy, risk management, safe banks, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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Economic Gloom or Recovery? 5 Signs That One is Ahead
The economy has never really recovered since the 2007-2009 financial crisis

By Bob Stokes
9/19/2012 4:45:00 PM

The "Great Recession" never ended. A more accurate way of describing the state of the economy is the onset of "depression." You can learn the exact year that EWI believes the economy will bottom...

Filed Under: deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, housing prices, recession, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy

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