Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

U.S. Stocks Are Hot. What Does That Mean for India and China?
Sometimes global markets move in tandem, and sometimes they don't.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/8/2013 4:30:00 PM

Think back to 2007 and early 2008, before the worst of the financial crisis. Perhaps you recall this major investment belief: Even if the West took a dive, emerging markets would save the day. But when the crisis hit, emerging markets crashed right along with the developed ones. Still, there were a few important nuances. For example...

Filed Under: central banks, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, fundamental analysis, Indian markets, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


BRIC Currencies: The Brazilian Real
Is the currency set to strengthen against the U.S. dollar?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/17/2013 8:30:00 PM

At Elliott Wave International, we apply Elliott wave analysis to more than 40 global markets. While the major ones usually steal the spotlight, the insights you gain by applying the method to the markets that don't normally make the headlines are worth seeing. Take the Brazilian real, for example...

Filed Under: BRIC, currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, forex, U.S. dollar

Category: Global Markets


Asian-Pacific Stocks: Take a BOLD Look Into 2013
Inside EWI's December 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/7/2012 5:45:00 PM

'Tis the season of year-end summaries and cautious next-year forecasts. We will join the crowd -- just this once! -- and do the same. Except, the forecasts you'll find in the latest, December Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast are anything but timid. Here are the highlights...

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, market forecasts, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: Great Expectations
Inside EWI's November 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/2/2012 5:15:00 PM

As November begins, the Asian-Pacific region stands at an interesting Elliott wave juncture. It offers a broad range of stock price patterns, thus a broad range of expectations. On the one hand, already-bullish trends in Southeast Asian should continue higher, well above their 2010 and 2011 highs. On the other hand, other regional markets are already at their 2010 and 2011 highs. Still others need further declines before they reach an intermediate-term low. Discover all the details in the November 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast.

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


"Are Emerging Markets the Way to Go Right Now?"
You'll find answers to this and many other questions in Prechter's new, 36-minute video Elliott Wave Theorist

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/24/2012 7:00:00 PM

At EWI's Message Board, we get great questions from readers every day. Here's one: Emerging markets are being touted as the next wave of opportunity. An Oct. 21 Wall Street Journal article, for example, has reported that Northern Trust Corp., which has $749b under management, says it's time to "lighten up on the U.S. and put more money into emerging-market stocks." The risks are higher, but so are the returns, goes the thinking. What do you make of this new trend?

Filed Under: diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment strategy, investor psychology, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Global Markets


5 Years After the Peak, Is China Set to Sink -- or SOAR?
What Elliott waves said about China's past -- and what they are saying NOW about its future.

By Nathaniel Williams
10/19/2012 6:15:00 PM

You may have noticed that when the U.S. Presidential candidates'aren't blasting each other, they hammer China. Both Mr. Obama and Mr. Romney want to "get tough" on China. The Obama administration recently backed up its rhetoric by blocking a Chinese company from building a wind farm near a Navy base.
 
But even beyond U.S. political mudslinging, China can't seem to catch a break.

Filed Under: BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment strategy, sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


Global Economies and World Financial Markets: How the Big Disconnect Will End
Find out what happens when the two meet

By Bob Stokes
9/5/2012 3:45:00 PM

Will the disconnect between global economies and financial markets continue? EWI believes the answer is "no." Overleveraged financial markets will suffer the fate of overleveraged global economies. Keep in mind: The next financial crisis may start outside of America, so more than ever you need to... 
 
 

Filed Under: all the same market theory, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, CAC40, DAX, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Elliott wave, emerging markets, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, european markets, financial forecast, Greek debt, Indian markets, market crash, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nikkei, S&P 500, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis, Taiwan index, U.S. STOCK MARKET, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: The Tale of "Two Asias"
Inside EWI's September 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/31/2012 8:15:00 PM

Most investors are conditioned to believe that global stocks move in unison. That's not the case. For example...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: On the Edge
South Africa and Peru: Our new, August Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast also gives you forecasts for these two emerging markets

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/30/2012 5:45:00 PM

"Australian and Japanese stocks have arrived at crucial junctures... Other Asian-Pacific stock markets have arrived at similar crossroads. What happens in the region’s markets in the next several weeks should determine the trend over the next several months and even beyond." That's the opening paragraph of our latest August Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast. And here are some specifics...

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index

Category: Asian Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: To Sell -- or Not To Sell?
That is the question... you may be asking yourself after the big selloff in May. We believe you'll find your answer here.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/1/2012 9:00:00 PM

Quick: Name the tallest skyscraper in the world. Yes: Burj Khalifa in Dubai. How about the world's tallest tower? The Eiffel Tower, you say? No. It's the new Skytree that's just opened in Tokyo. The Japanese aren't alone in their desire to reach for the sky. In Jakarta, the developers of the $2b Signature Tower “think that this is the right moment for building the tower,” too. Why would an investment newsletter like ours talk about tall towers, you ask? Because almost all of the world's tallest buildings have famously appeared only at a certain point in the stock market's Elliott wave pattern.

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment strategy, safe haven, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets


Asia-Pacific Stocks: DON'T "Sell in May and Go Away"?
The Asia-Pacific region broke this old rule more than once. What about 2012?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/4/2012 5:45:00 PM

At the 2nd annual Social Mood Conference in April, one speaker delivered an interesting insight: Every year, stock market returns in May-October average only about 50% of the returns in November-April. Important information, yes -- but did you realize that May-October in 2003, 2007 and 2009 were great periods to hold Asian-Pacific equities? What about 2012, you may wonder?

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment strategy, Nikkei, Shanghai Composite Index, stock indexes, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets


India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Indonesia: How Elliott Wave Analysis Turned BULLISH When Few Dared. Part I
EWI's Asian-Pacific stock market analyst explains the unique benefits of Elliott wave analysis for emerging market investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/26/2012 3:15:00 PM

Today, you truly have the world at your fingertips. It’s easier than ever for you to get exposure to global markets, especially given the explosion in ETFs. But how do you decide which market is most worthy of your attention? And how do you know if your forecasting source is qualified and objective? With that in mind, I sat down with EWI's Mark Galasiewski, a monthly contributor to the "Asian-Pacific Stocks Section" of our Global Market Perspective.

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, buy and hold, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment decisions, investment strategy, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, stock indexes, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Global Markets


April is Half-Way Over. What Will the 2nd Half Bring?
With more than 50 charts on 50 pages, Global Market Perspective is the most comprehensive source of independent, insightful global Elliott wave analysis you'll ever find

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2012 3:45:00 PM

At the start of April, few investors anticipated any trouble ahead. March ended strong, and the majority of financial pundits and investors we convinced that April would also not disappoint. That one-sided bullishness was one (of many) reason why on March 30, the April issue of our comprehensive Global Market Perspective issued these warnings to subscribers...

Filed Under: AEX, AIG, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, euro, eurozone, FTSE, Indian markets, investment decisions, investment strategy, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Swiss Market Index (SMI), Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Global Markets


Invest in Hong Kong, Australia, China? Then See Why Waves in Pakistani and Cambodian Stocks Matter to YOU
Inside EWI's April 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/30/2012 6:15:00 PM

It's been three years since March 2009, when our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast turned bullish on the Asian-Pacific region. Most emerging markets in Asia have since then continued to support that bullish view: Many regional stock indexes have advanced in the impulsive Elliott wave pattern we expected. Of course, markets do go through periods of regress. How soon should you expect one to begin -- if at all? The April 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast gives you a specific answer on page 1.

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, emerging markets, financial forecast, Indian markets, momentum, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis, volume

Category: Asian Markets


Brazilian Economist: "Brazil's Socionomics: From Basket-Case to Superstar"
Fresh interview with an April 14 Socionomics Summit presenter

By Jill Noble
3/29/2012 3:15:00 PM

Can you use socionomics to forecast emerging markets? Read this Q&A with hedge-fund macroeconomist out of Rio de Janiero to find out how he uses the approach.

Filed Under: emerging markets, social mood, socionomics, socionomics summit

Category: Socionomics


3 Market Tops in Asia: See Wave Analysis Work in Real Time
The Wave Principle gives you the how and the why behind Asian markets

By Nathaniel Williams
3/15/2012 5:45:00 PM

When Bangladesh's Dhaka General Index completed a five-wave impulsive advance from its 2009 low and then plunged below the uptrend line that had supported its advance from its 2009 low, EWI's analyst hypothesized that the event marked the start of another topping process in the region.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, emerging markets

Category: Asian Markets


Asian-Pacific Stocks: The Trend IS Your Friend -- But How Do You Know When the Trend Might END?
PLUS, Special Section: Apple, Inc. (AAPL), the Global Bellwether -- all inside EWI's March 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/4/2012 11:30:00 AM

Here's a question that any stock market investor wants answered: How do you know when a rally (or decline) may end? If you look to the economy for an answer, you'll likely be disappointed. Just think back to mid-2007, when the economy was strong -- but, out of the blue, the stock market began a decline that became a crash. Conversely, recall how bad the economy was in March 2009 -- right when stocks hit bottom and began a three-year rally. What's the alternative, then?

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, bull market, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, Indian Rupee, investment strategy, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Asian Markets


The Most Comprehensive Elliott Wave Tutorial, Yours Free
Club EWI's free introductory tutorial on Elliott wave analysis is your key to unlocking the mystery of market behavior

By Nico Isaac
2/21/2012 3:15:00 PM

Check out the following news items from February 21: First, Greek bailout news is "bullish": "US Stock Futures Rise On Back of Greece Bailout Deal." And then hours later, the same bailout news is "bearish": "Europe Stocks Decline After Greek Bailout Deal." The Elliott Wave Principle resets the stage from an entirely different starting point. Wave analysis asserts that while news can have a temporary near-term effect on market prices, the larger trend is governed by one consistent force: social mood, or collective investor psychology.

Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, emerging markets, europe, european markets, fundamental analysis, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Education


Asian-Pacific Stocks: Which Country Is a Bull for 2012, and Which Is a Bear?
Plus, updates on stocks in Turkey, Pakistan, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand -- and Colombia (yes, Colombia)

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/3/2012 6:45:00 PM

You may have noticed that many investors tend to think that "Stocks in the same region of the world move together." This assumption seems to make sense, because regions often do share trading ties, natural resources, labor pools, etc. And yet... it's not the reality.

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Asian Markets


U.S. Bonds: Loved By No One... But Outperforms Them All. Learn Why
Newsflash: U.S. bonds outperform U.S. stocks! Another investment theme EWI got right -- here's how

By Nico Isaac
1/12/2012 4:45:00 PM

On the financial playground, long-term bonds are generally the last picked for the winning team -- well behind equities, commodities, high-yield (junk) bonds, even the barely established emerging markets. The reason being: the amount of time it takes to actually reap the fruits of your return. BUT, as a January 5, 2012 CNBC articlereveals, the asset that supposedly nobody loves has outperformed them all.

Filed Under: conquer the crash, credit crisis, debt, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, emerging markets, hyperinflation, inflation, Interest Rates, liquidity, Robert Prechter, QE2, quantitative easing, social mood, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.