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Hailing Opportunities in 15 Commodity Markets
Free Club EWI video package reveals where the world's key softs, meats, grains will be trending in the coming months and years.

By Nico Isaac
4/23/2013 5:30:00 PM

Seizing opportunities in key commodity markets can feel as frustrating as trying to hail a cab on a Saturday evening in New York City's Time Square. So now imagine this: Having your own personal driver. An experienced navigator who arrives ahead of time and takes you door-to-door to the biggest trend changes in the world's key markets.

Filed Under: cocoa futures, coffee futures, commodities, Elliott wave, futures trading, Jeffrey Kennedy, sugar futures, video

Category: Education


Sugar Futures Fall, and Elliott Waves Are There to "Catch" Them
How exactly does Elliott wave analysis work?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/18/2013 9:00:00 PM

If you come to our website often, you have seen many examples of the waves' ability to forecast the markets. But what makes that possible?

Filed Under: commodities, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, investor psychology, Jeffrey Kennedy, sugar futures

Category: Commodities


Why Are Crude Oil Prices Dropping? Not Why Many People Think
If you follow the logic of the "fundamentals," chances are you'll be fundamentally lost

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2013 10:30:00 PM

Gold wasn't the only market that fell out of bed Monday morning (April 15). Crude oil also fell -- as low as $86.06 a barrel over the past couple of trading days. If you've read opinions as to why oil is getting cheaper, a common reason cited by the pundits is that oil reflects the state of the global economy. Interesting. If that is true, then what you see in these charts must be false.

Filed Under: crude oil, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, inflation, technical analysis

Category: Energy


Gold: Will Crash-Like Conditions Continue?
"Take a step back. We've broken support. We're well below it. It's a key shelf. Unless you rally and close back above this 1520-1535 zone, you've got to be bearish looking for lower prices."

By Nico Isaac
4/15/2013 5:15:00 PM

"Crash-like conditions," "panic selling" – those are just two phrases used to describe the massive sell-off underway in gold since Friday, April 12. On Monday, April 15, gold prices plummeted 10% in their biggest single-day decline in three decades.

Filed Under: copper futures, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Gold, gold futures, platinum futures, precious metals, silver, technical analysis, trade targets, volatility

Category: Gold and Silver


S&P 500 Follows the Elliott Wave Script
See why our April 2 forecast called for a sharp drop in the S&P 500.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/5/2013 3:15:00 PM

Tuesday evening (Apr. 2), with the S&P 500 just 3 points from its intraday high that day of 1573.66, Steve Hochberg posted an urgent, unscheduled issue of The Short Term Update. Steve showed subscribers this chart, and said...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, S&P 500, technical analysis, volatility

Category: Stocks


New Market Insight: S&P 500
Has the S&P 500 completed its presumed ending diagonal Elliott wave pattern?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/2/2013 6:00:00 PM

While the market's ups and downs may look random to someone unfamiliar with Elliott wave analysis, an Elliottician sees patterns. Once you identify the wave pattern the market is currently in, you can make a reasonable forecast as to what should come next. This chart gives you a glimpse of our latest thinking on the S&P 500...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, S&P 500, technical analysis

Category: Stocks


Corn: What to Make of the HUGE 14% Sell-Off?
On April 1, corn futures fell more than 6% in a single day, and it wasn't an April Fool's joke or a data glitch.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/2/2013 1:15:00 PM

Analysts blamed the plunge on "bigger-than-expected U.S. stockpiles and increased planting..." (Bloomberg) But as is often the case, Elliott waves tell a different story -- in fact, they sent the signal in advance. On March 27, the very day when the sell-off began, Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of our Daily Futures Junctures, offered this forecast...

Filed Under: commodities, corn futures, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, supply and demand, technical analysis

Category: Commodities


Corn Prices Crash the Daily Exchange Limit
One day before corn’s free fall, DFJ delivered an evidence-based forecast for a sizable move to the downside

By Nico Isaac
3/28/2013 6:30:00 PM

In the March 27 Daily Futures Junctures, Jeffrey revealed a mountain of evidence suggesting that corn prices were set to experience a dramatic decline. One day later, on March 28, corn prices stunned the futures marketplace by plunging more than 5%. This exceeded the maximum daily limit allowed on the Chicago Board of Trade and marked corn’s biggest single-day slide in ten months.

 

Filed Under: commodities, corn futures, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Jeffrey Kennedy

Category: Commodities


Market Insight: Crude Rises, But Other Members of Energy Complex Fall
Such "dissention in the ranks" is worth noting

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/27/2013 6:30:00 PM

"West Texas Intermediate oil rose in New York as U.S. durable goods and housing data exceeded forecasts, signs an economic rebound may spur fuel demand," said a February 27 news headline. Technically, yes, WTI oil did close higher for the day: up 13 cents. But for a market that can move $3-$4 a day...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, technical analysis

Category: Energy


The Next Chapter in the Commodities Story Is Just Beginning
Brand-new, all digital Monthly Futures Junctures video forecasts the next big moves in 10 key futures markets.

By Nico Isaac
2/22/2013 6:00:00 PM

On Feb. 6, the World Bank released its Global Economic Prospects' Commodity Market Outlook. The 26-page document is a great read if you've got an afternoon to spare (or want to cure insomnia). But for the rest of us, this short version should do: Commodities across the board should "ease marginally" in 2013 so long as a boatload of factors play out as expected. Multiple plotlines is fun when you're kid. But when it comes to futures markets, the goal is to narrow, not expand the scope of probable outcomes.

Filed Under: coffee futures, commodities, corn futures, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Jeffrey Kennedy, Relative Strength Index (RSI), stochastics, technical indicators, Traders

Category: Commodities


Crude Oil: What's Behind February 15 Sell-Off?
An Elliott wave insight into the latest price action in oil.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/15/2013 5:00:00 PM

Saying that crude oil fell on February 5 "after U.S. industrial production unexpectedly shrank" is a perfectly logical explanation for the reason behind crude's February 15 sell-off. However, Elliott wave patterns in oil charts warned of the decline the day before.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, technical analysis

Category: Energy


Sugar Bowl Monday: Keep the Objective Lights Turned On
The Jan. 30 Daily Futures Junctures identifies an Elliott wave expanded flat underway in sugar.

By Nico Isaac
2/4/2013 5:00:00 PM

When the Superdome lost half of its power as I watched the 47th Super Bowl this past Sunday, my mind drifted quickly to fundamental analysis of financial markets. The connection is obvious once you think about it: Using fundamentals to illuminate near-term trend changes of liquid markets is about as effective as playing football in a half-lit dome. One player can heave the ball (or market logic) into the air -- but nobody can see it well enough to make the catch.

Filed Under: cocoa futures, commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Jeffrey Kennedy, sugar futures

Category: Commodities


S&P 500: January to Remember, But What's Next?
Rather than waiting for Friday's U.S. unemployment report, you can get a hint at the market's future action right now.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/31/2013 6:15:00 PM

On a percentage basis the DJIA has had its best January since 1989, the S&P since 1997. Yet mainstream analysts seem to think that fears about Friday's (February 1) jobs report made the markets very nervous on the last trading day of January. But rather than waiting until 8:30 a.m. on Friday, you can get a hint at the market's future action from Elliott wave patterns in the charts of the Dow and S&P 500 right now.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, Nasdaq Composite, nonfarm payrolls, S&P 500, technical analysis

Category: Stocks


Market Insight: Crude Oil Futures Experience Possible "Failed 5th Wave"
Applying basic Elliott wave analysis to crude oil prices

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/28/2013 7:15:00 PM

On January 28, crude oil futures popped to an intraday high of $96.81 a barrel. Then, just as quickly, the price fell to an intraday low of $95.47. The fast rally/decline sequence could have been a possible "truncated fifth [wave] following a triangle." Here's what that is...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, futures trading, technical analysis

Category: Energy


Will the Long & Winding Commodities Road Lead Back to a Bull Market?
A brand-new, all digital Monthly Futures Junctures presents video analysis of the next big moves in 10 key futures markets -- plus two ETF's and the S&P 500.

By Nico Isaac
1/25/2013 5:15:00 PM

If the year 2012 had a theme song for key commodity markets, it could be the Beatles' "Long and Winding Road" -- emphasis on the word "winding." And, according to a recent Bloomberg News article, the disjointed efforts among futures put a major crimp in the idea that the trend is your friend. But for EWI's chief commodity analyst and Futures Junctures Service editor Jeffrey Kennedy, there is no such thing as a "lack of a trend."

Filed Under: coffee futures, commodities, cotton futures, diagonal, Elliott wave, futures trading, Jeffrey Kennedy, live cattle futures, S&P 500, soybean futures, sugar futures, wheat futures

Category: Commodities


A Clear Trend In Commodities For the Next 20 Years
EWI chief commodity analyst Jeffrey Kennedy's "Unedited: Forecasting" video presents a "very, very big picture view" of commodities for the next two decades

By Nico Isaac
1/17/2013 2:45:00 PM

EWI's Chief Commodity Analyst and Futures Junctures Service Editor Jeffrey Kennedy shows you that the stage for commodities is set for one of the most dramatic performances in recent memory.

Filed Under: commodities, CRB index, currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Jeffrey Kennedy, U.S. dollar

Category: Commodities


S&P 500: Market Insight

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/16/2013 4:30:00 PM

President Obama was sworn into his first term on January 20, 2009. When the stock market opened the next day, the S&P 500 stock index fell 5.3%, "its worst Inauguration Day performance in the post-World War II period." (ABC) This Sunday, January 20, will mark the president's second inauguration. Will the stock market's performance on Monday repeat the day after in 2009?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, S&P 500, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Stocks


The Next Move in Lean Hogs Demands Instant Gratification
A perfect bullish storm rolled into hog futures in December. So why did prices turn down?

By Nico Isaac
1/15/2013 5:45:00 PM

Since hovering near an all-time record high in mid-December 2012, lean hog futures have officially gone from hog wild to hog mild. Prices have turned down in a steady sell-off to 3-month lows. Here's a reasonable question: Why? The usual suspects say the answer is classic supply & demand economics. Find out why that argument doesn't make the cut in today's story.

Filed Under: commodities, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Jeffrey Kennedy, lean hog futures

Category: Commodities


Are Commodity Prices Facing a Food Price Cliff?
The current wave of fear of runaway food prices has a familiar ring to it.

By Nico Isaac
1/7/2013 5:45:00 PM

Before you could even say Hallelujah about the US government meeting its Jan. 1 fiscal cliff deadline, the mainstream financial media put us on the edge again, this time, with the food price cliff. Here's how the usual experts explain this next looming economic escarpment: Increasing inflation has combined with rising global demand, emerging market growth, and supply shortages to create a perfect storm for runaway prices of natural resources and commodities.

Filed Under: commodities, crude oil, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Jeffrey Kennedy

Category: Commodities


(Video) Alcoa Stock and Aluminum: Exciting Time for Both!
Alcoa (NYSE:AA) and aluminum prices have "come into critical price areas."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/29/2012 6:45:00 PM

The editor of EWI's trader-focused Metals Specialty Service, Mike Drakulich, has just recorded a new 4-minute video forecast, "Aluminum and Alcoa: Exciting Juncture (Nov. 29, 2012.)"

Filed Under: aluminum, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, technical indicators, video

Category: Gold and Silver


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© 2013 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.