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The Growing Case for Global Deflation
Prepare for a major worldwide economic contraction.

By Bob Stokes
4/24/2013 4:30:00 PM

The evidence for global deflation continues to build. Consider the recent plunge in the prices of commodities and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). Plus, the International Monetary Fund recently warned that ...

Filed Under: commodities, crude oil, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Gold, inflation, International Monetary Fund (IMF), silver, stock indexes, Treasury bonds

Category: Global Markets

Why Are Crude Oil Prices Dropping? Not Why Many People Think
If you follow the logic of the "fundamentals," chances are you'll be fundamentally lost

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2013 10:30:00 PM

Gold wasn't the only market that fell out of bed Monday morning (April 15). Crude oil also fell -- as low as $86.06 a barrel over the past couple of trading days. If you've read opinions as to why oil is getting cheaper, a common reason cited by the pundits is that oil reflects the state of the global economy. Interesting. If that is true, then what you see in these charts must be false.

Filed Under: crude oil, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, inflation, technical analysis

Category: Energy

Did a Divided Fed Cause Gold's Decline?
The answer is in central bank charts of gold prices and stimulus initiatives since September 2011.

By Nico Isaac
4/10/2013 7:00:00 PM

Ask a mainstream economist about the relationship between central bank monetary policy and precious metals, and you'll probably hear something like: Stimulus is to gold prices what doping is to Lance Armstrong's cycling speed. Stop the money printing and low interest rates, and you slow down gold's gains.

Filed Under: banks, central banks, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, inflation, precious metals, quantitative easing, Traders, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

Gold Bulls Cry Inflation, Again
Here's what the evidence says about gold as an 'inflation hedge'

By Nico Isaac
3/15/2013 6:15:00 PM

Conventional economic wisdom says that inflation is to gold prices what rabbit is to a dog on a leash. In other words: The one causes the other to break loose and run wild. This notion was all-too apparent on March 15. That day, a Labor Department report revealed a .7% rise in US consumer prices in February, the sharpest increase in four years. When gold prices shot higher at the open, the usual experts put two and two together...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, gold futures, inflation, monetary policy, precious metals, quantitative easing, silver, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver

A Real-Time Montage of a Developing Global Deflation
Is the global economy headed for the German economic experience of 1928-1932?

By Bob Stokes
3/1/2013 5:45:00 PM

There's mounting evidence that deflationary forces are at work in the global economy. However, many financial observers remain focused on elevated equity prices and inflation. EWI's Global Market Perspective points to Germany's 1929-1932 economic experience as an example of what global economies could soon face. Get the full real-time economic story as it unfolds in the Asian-Pacific, Europe and the United States.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, CNBC, conquer the crash, deflation, economic indicators, eurozone, inflation, recession, Walmart

Category: Global Markets

The Secret Word: Deflation – And the Next Five Years of Financial Turmoil
From EWI's new report, The State of the Global Markets – 2013 Edition

By Robert Prechter, Jr., CMT
1/18/2013 2:30:00 PM

In the first five months of 2012, there were 20 times as many Google searches on “inflation” as there were on “deflation.” This is down from a ratio of 50 times in June 2008. If any theme has been overdone over the past six years, it is the theme of inevitable inflation if not hyperinflation.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, hyperinflation, inflation, Robert Prechter

Category: Classic Prechter

A Surprising Look Inside America's Pay Envelopes
A downward trend in real U.S. average hourly earnings has just started

By Bob Stokes
12/20/2012 5:30:00 PM

Bob Prechter wrote a book on how to prepare for the unfolding deflationary trend. Conquer the Crash is now in its second edition, and is even more applicable now than when it was first published. In the months ahead, millions of workers will likely see shrinking wages. Many will not even receive a paycheck. Read what Prechter wrote.
 

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, conquer the crash, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, great depression, inflation, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy

EUR/USD: Why Did the U.S. Dollar Fall on Friday?
Looking at the day's economic reports, you could argue that the U.S. dollar should have gained: After all, the numbers were "positive"...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/14/2012 5:00:00 PM

Friday morning (December 14) saw sleepy trading in EUR/USD, the euro-U.S. dollar exchange rate and the world's most-traded forex pair. To be exact, EUR/USD had gone nowhere but sideways since about noon the day before. But then, around 9:30 a.m. on Friday, EUR/USD shot straight up...

Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, inflation, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies

Wanna Know Where Gold Prices Are Headed? Ask the Market
EWI's Metals Specialty Service shows you how "the final authority" on the gold's next near-term move is...gold itself

By Nico Isaac
11/30/2012 4:45:00 PM

Okay. So you could spend the next 48 hours poring over the Olympic-sized swimming pool of "fundamental" gold market data for clues as to near-term future price action. Or, you could spend the next 4 minutes reading Elliott Wave International's Metals Specialty Service daily analysis of gold.

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott Wave trading, Gold, inflation, precious metals, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver

Conquer the Crash: A Book You Can "Judge By Its Cover"
Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression

By Bob Stokes
10/31/2012 5:45:00 PM

In 2007-09, the world saw how quickly financial conditions can reverse. Even so, most economists remained dismissive of deflation. Yet, be aware of what Robert Prechter wrote in the July 2012 Elliott Wave Theorist, "Only one word allows you to make sense of what’s going on in the world, and inflation is not it." Learn what else Prechter had to say.
 

Filed Under: conquer the crash, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott Wave Theorist, inflation, Robert Prechter

Category: Classic Prechter

The Consequences of an Overdose on Financial Amphetamines
Prepare for what few other people expect

By Bob Stokes
10/1/2012 4:45:00 PM

In the decades since WWII, inflation has arguably been the main economic worry. That's a long time to beat the same economic drum. No wonder it's hard for people to think about...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, conquer the crash, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

If You Think Bonds Are a Conservative Investment, Think Again
Bond investors beware of deflation's impact on yields

By Bob Stokes
8/29/2012 4:45:00 PM

Elliott Wave International believes that economic contraction is set to accelerate. What does deflation mean for bond yields in the months ahead?...
 

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, inflation, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates

Prechter's Elections Paper Climbs SSRN Rankings
Socionomics is gaining more attention

By Clifford Smith
8/21/2012 4:00:00 PM

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, gross domestic product (GDP), history, inflation, social mood, socionomics, U.S. STOCK MARKET, unemployment

Category: Socionomics

Bonds' Long Decline: Will Yields Continue To Fall?
A recap of how EWI's analysis foresaw the 2011-12 reversal in the 30-year T-bond yield

By Nico Isaac
7/19/2012 5:00:00 PM

Ask yourself this: Were you prepared in early 2011 for the powerful reversal in 30-year T-bond yields? To be exact: From their Febrary 2011 peak, 30-year yields plunged 40%-plus to the historic lows we see today. One thing's for sure: Most of the mainstream analysts were NOT.

Filed Under: Bear market, fundamental analysis, inflation, social mood, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy

Will Europe's Economic Wildfire Finally Be Contained?
Inside our new, July 2012 European Financial Forecast...

By Nico Isaac
6/29/2012 6:00:00 PM

The raging inferno of soaring bond yields and plunging stock markets has been spreading across Europe, jumping from Greece to Portugal to Spain to Italy. But according to the mainstream experts, there is one way to snuff out the flames: fly rescue planes over the blaze and dump emergency lending, low interest rates, and monetary policy from the skies above. And from the ashes, new growth will emerge. So, are they right?

 

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, central banks, DAX, debt crisis, debt downgrade, diversification, Elliott wave, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, inflation, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets

If You Have Money in Bond Funds, Mutual Funds or Pension Funds, Please Read This Now
Bondholders: Protect and prepare your portfolio for a developing new trend

By Editorial Staff
6/14/2012 4:30:00 PM

When stocks crashed in 2008, investors found shelter in bonds. Most months of the financial crisis saw investors transfer billions from stock funds and into bond funds. Moreover, they did this against the advice of most high-profile experts and advisors, who have hated bonds for the past 10 years. Yet those betting against bonds have lost lots of money -- especially since 2009 -- even as investors holding bonds have gained.

All that is about to change, says Robert Prechter in a new urgent report for bondholders.

 

Filed Under: deflation, diversification, hyperinflation, inflation, Interest Rates, Robert Prechter, safe haven

Category: Interest Rates

Double Trouble for the Economy
How the low-government era morphed into the big-government era

By Bob Stokes
4/19/2012 4:00:00 PM

Two acts of Congress in 1913 turned out to be double trouble for the economy, even to this day. Robert Prechter says the "...results of big government are on the brink of getting much worse"...

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, central banks, debt, deflation, gross domestic product (GDP), history, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

London Prices Falling Down, Falling Down: What Inflation?
EWI's European Financial Forecast has a mountain of evidence proving that the looming threat in Europe is not inflation.

By Nico Isaac
4/17/2012 3:15:00 PM

Despite what you may have heard about ever-higher prices on High Street -- London's equivalent of the shopping nexus Rodeo Drive -- the real numbers do NOT lie: Since topping in late 2011, both Britain's Retail Price Index and Consumer Price Index have fallen to multi-year lows. Today, we present a "mountain of evidence" against the growing legion of Europe's die-hard inflationists.

Filed Under: Bank of England, central banks, europe, european markets, inflation, Interest Rates, monetary policy

Category: European Markets

European Stocks: Heading For a Long-Term Recovery, Or Relapse?
Inside the new, April 2012 European Financial Forecast...

By Nico Isaac
3/30/2012 6:30:00 PM

Let's hear it for European equities. The major stock markets across the pond saw their best first-quarter winning streak since 2006. And while many experts are waiting to see how the markets deal with Europe's austerity measures -- the April 2012 European Financial Forecast lets the cat out the bag: "European Stocks Have Already Signaled" their next move. Take note, because this is what it feels like to watch history in the making.

Filed Under: AEX, banks, CAC40, DAX, debt, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, inflation, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets

Inflation vs. Deflation: See the Chart That Settles the Debate
Inflation has been decelerating for over three decades.

By Bob Stokes
2/8/2012 5:15:00 PM

See the chart that addresses the inflation vs. deflation debate. Then, read the analysis... 

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, inflation, rate of change

Category: U.S. Economy

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