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Spotting Trend Reversals in Real Time: Here’s an Example of How We Do It
See how the Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast anticipated a market top in Bangladesh

By Nathaniel Williams
5/22/2013 5:00:00 PM

EWI's Asian-Pacific analyst saw that, in 2010, the Dhaka General Index had completed a five-wave impulse, a typical Elliott wave pattern that precedes a correction. Moreover, the index had also risen five waves from its 1999 high -- meaning that it had topped at two degrees of trend. The implications were clear: The Dhaka General was in for a sharp correction. What happened next?

Filed Under: emerging markets, market forecasts

Category: Asian Markets


See Intraday Market Trends from an Elliott Wave Perspective
Before you place another trade, learn about the U.S. Intraday Stocks Specialty Service

By Bob Stokes
5/21/2013 4:15:00 PM

If you're following the stock market's trend mostly between 9:30 a.m. and 4 p.m. eastern time, let Tom Prindaville be your guide. As EWI's Senior U.S. Equity Analyst, he provides subscribers with frequent intraday updates from an Elliott Wave perspective. No one can guarantee a specific outcome -- yet Tom often sees Elliott Wave patterns develop as they've been forecast. When he identifies an intraday impulsive wave, he alerts subscribers immediately. Tom does the Elliott analysis for you.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, market forecasts, technical analysis, trade targets, Traders, trendlines, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


Consumer Confidence Hits a 6-Year High: Bullish for Stocks?
Why, of course it is! But please read on to understand why it's a trick question.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/17/2013 4:15:00 PM

To decipher the meaning of economic reports like consumer confidence is the bread and butter of "fundamental" analysis. Inevitably, positive data are supposedly bullish for the stock market, while negative economic reports are bearish. But is this accurate? What a strange question, you may say -- of course it is! Stocks don't fall after good reports, or rise after bad ones...do they? Well, take a look at these financial news headlines and guess when they were published...

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, bull market, buy and hold, consumer confidence, consumer price index, consumer spending, Elliott wave, market forecasts, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Stocks


Forecasts for the Dow Industrials: Off the Charts and Then Some
If you thought Dow 60,000 was far-fetched

By Bob Stokes
5/15/2013 2:30:00 PM

The February Elliott Wave Theorist noted that "money managers are predicting a Dow as high as 60,000." If you think that is way too optimistic, look at this other forecast.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, investor psychology, market forecasts, Robert Prechter, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


The Most Efficient Path of the Stock Market Unfolds at Large Degree
Investors face a historical juncture in the price pattern.

By Bob Stokes
5/8/2013 12:45:00 PM

In the 1920s, R.N. Elliott was a successful author, consultant and accountant. But late in that decade he contracted a debilitating and near-fatal illness that left him bedridden. He chose to pass the time by studying the stock market's price patterns. His career had required meticulous attention to detail, and in turn he applied that rigor to his study of the market. Learn about his fascinating discovery and how it's relevant today.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave Theorist, Fibonacci, market forecasts, Ralph Nelson Elliott, Robert Prechter, stock indexes, technical analysis

Category: Stocks


Are Successful Forex Traders Just REALLY Lucky?
In 2004, the former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan compared successful currency traders to "winners of coin-tossing contests." Fair? No? You decide...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/17/2013 2:30:00 PM

In 2004, in a speech before the Economic Club of New York, the former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan compared successful currency traders to "winners of coin-tossing contests." Fair? No? You decide ...

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave trading, forex, forex trading, Greenspan, market forecasts, technical analysis, technical indicators, trading lessons, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies


Just Watch the Next Bear Market on Television
Better to be a spectator than a participant in this event

By Bob Stokes
4/8/2013 4:45:00 PM

When you consider what's on television, one wonders if human nature has changed very much since Romans packed the Colosseum for gruesome entertainment. One cable channel offers wall-to-wall coverage of a famous murder trial. The 2007-2009 financial crisis turned into a made-for-TV drama. The next bear market could turn out to be an even bigger television spectacle. The Wall Street classic, Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior, states that "human nature does not change."

Filed Under: Bear market, Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, herding, history, market forecasts, Robert Prechter, stock indexes, wisdom of crowds

Category: Stocks


What a Rooster and the Stock Market Have in Common
Both operate on internal clocks

By Bob Stokes
3/22/2013 5:30:00 PM

Like a tree, which grows according to its natural form regardless of the weather, the stock market's progress is also endogenously regulated. Its price pattern forms independently of external events. Japanese scientists have just discovered that another occurrence in nature is internally regulated.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Principle, market forecasts, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks


Bear Markets Are Inevitable
Are you prepared for the next one?

By Bob Stokes
3/18/2013 4:45:00 PM

Bear markets are a conspicuous part of American history. Yet several sentiment measures indicate that most of today's market participants are ignoring this obvious fact. And unless human behavior changes and history stops repeating itself, another bear market is inevitable. It's only a question of when. The Elliott wave model explores that question, and also looks at the extent of market price trends.

Filed Under: Bear market, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, history, investment strategy, long-term trend, market forecasts, S&P 500

Category: Stocks


It's True Love for the Dow Industrials
Will stock market bulls suffer a broken heart?

By Bob Stokes
3/14/2013 4:30:00 PM

Most stock market investors are head over heels for the Dow. Even though the market has already trended higher for four years, market participants believe prices have more room to climb. Some investors are prepared to embrace equities even if prices decline. Extreme market sentiment (bullish or bearish) usually indicates that the crowd has already acted. Yet, sentiment is just one of the three pillars of market forecasting.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Theorist, investor psychology, market forecasts, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, sentiment, short selling

Category: Stocks


As Home Equity Lines of Credit Surge, The Low-Interest Rate Trap is Set
Borrowers feel confident about the future

By Bob Stokes
3/12/2013 6:00:00 PM

Americans borrowed roughly $1-trillion against their homes in the decade leading up to the housing bubble burst. That dollar figure remains well above recent home equity loan levels, however, CNBC reports that home equity loans are expected to increase in 2013 as homeowners take advantage of low rates. Will a second wave of price declines in real estate come, just as most homeowners think the market has recovered from the first wave?

Filed Under: CNBC, commercial real estate, deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, foreclosures, home sales, housing prices, Interest Rates, market forecasts

Category: Interest Rates


As Dow Climbs to Record High, Money Managers Underperform
Most investors buy stocks "for the long run" at just the wrong time

By Bob Stokes
3/7/2013 5:30:00 PM

As the Dow Industrials climb to an all-time high, most professional money managers lag the broad indexes. This is an occurrence that's common to past bull runs. Also, private investors almost always underperform versus the main indexes. Learn what those who work in the back offices of brokerages know.

Filed Under: CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Theorist, herding, history, market forecasts, mutual funds, Robert Prechter

Category: Stocks


3 Sentiment Indicators Warn of a Punch to Stock Portfolios
Investors ignore Washington D.C.'s budget battle

By Bob Stokes
3/4/2013 6:00:00 PM

Money managers say there's no alternative to stocks, and even general-interest magazines scream "BUY!" One forecast is for Dow 60,000! Even after a 4-year rally, billionaire Warren Buffett still considers stocks a "good value." If it seems like market sentiment is virtually one-sided, that's because it is. It's time to look at the stock market from another angle.

Filed Under: bloomberg, CNBC, Elliott Wave Theorist, hedge funds, investment strategy, market forecasts, Robert Prechter, sentiment, stock indexes

Category: Stocks


Investors Look to Experts for Stock Market Signals
Discover the patterns of crowd behavior

By Bob Stokes
3/4/2013 10:30:00 AM

Stock market prices reflect the collective psychology of the people who buy and sell equity shares. Decades of observation show that this psychology unfolds in recognizable patterns. The Wave Principle helps to identify key junctures in those patterns. A special double-issue of the Elliott Wave Theorist elaborates on one such juncture – with an emphasis on "elaborates."

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Principle, Fibonacci, herding, , long-term trend, market forecasts, Robert Prechter, sentiment, technical indicators

Category: Stocks


A Harsh Real Estate Lesson Goes Unlearned
Will no money down buyers have to 'KISS' their home goodbye?

By Bob Stokes
2/25/2013 4:30:00 PM

You might think the harsh lesson from the 2007-2009 financial crisis has been thoroughly learned. Think again. Incredibly, no-money-down mortgages have returned. Find out why highly-leveraged real estate investors should be keenly interested in what's around the corner for stocks. The February Elliott Wave Theorist is 120% longer than the standard issue and elaborates on what's likely ahead for the U.S. stock market.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, Elliott Wave Theorist, home sales, housing prices, market forecasts, Robert Prechter, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: U.S. Economy


Formidable Resistance Remains for the NASDAQ
Why a NASDAQ price barrier may not be broken

By Bob Stokes
2/8/2013 5:15:00 PM

The NASDAQ Composite has barely advanced in the past 10 months, despite an extremely bullish sentiment. The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast called attention to the upper trendline of a parallel price channel in April 2012, and that upper trendline has remained a barrier to a NASDAQ Composite advance. The just-published February Financial Forecast provides insights into why the market now faces a historic juncture.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Fibonacci, financial forecast, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, sentiment, technical indicators, trendlines

Category: Stocks


Stock Market Lesson: "Institutional Investors Say a Crash Can't Happen"
Even professional investors can be radically wrong

By Bob Stokes
2/4/2013 4:45:00 PM

Even those who head large financial institutions can be way off the mark with financial assessments. That was the case around the 1929 stock market top and other historical market milestones. Market history may repeat as prominent Wall Street figures sing from the same songbook. Learn why it's an important time to be an independent-minded investor.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, CNBC, Elliott wave, financial forecast, herding, history, investor psychology, mania, market crash, market forecasts, mutual funds, risk management, sentiment, U.S. STOCK MARKET, Wall Street

Category: Stocks


Margin Debt is Fueling the Market Rally
Investors ignore the sign posts at their peril

By Bob Stokes
2/1/2013 3:00:00 PM

Margin debt is fueling the market rally, and the investors behind the wheel have no fear. Bob Prechter warns about this hazardous combination, and issues a bold stock market forecast for the next 3-1/2 years. Be aware that investors may face the most significant market juncture of the past three centuries.

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, CNBC, debt, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Theorist, herding, investor psychology, market forecasts, sentiment, VIX

Category: Stocks


A Coy Public Suddenly Gets Cozy with Stocks
The last burst of market optimism?

By Bob Stokes
1/30/2013 4:00:00 PM

The public is jumping into stocks after being reluctant to do so for most of the uptrend since March 2009. A bullish sign or a red flag? Well, consider that investors were also bullish on Oct. 9, 2007, just before the Dow's all-time closing high. Just days earlier (the third week of September 2007), equity fund inflows hit an all-time record of $23 billion. See the chart.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Elliott wave, long-term trend, market forecasts, sentiment, stock indexes

Category: Stocks


Ending Diagonal: A Pattern That Sends Shivers Down Investors' Spines
How a classic technical pattern played out in the stock market

By Bob Stokes
1/28/2013 5:15:00 PM

Classic chart formations include the head-and-shoulders pattern, double top or bottom, triple top or bottom, ascending or descending triangle and the list goes on. Also consider the Elliott wave pattern called the ending diagonal. Here's what Frost and Prechter say in the Elliott Wave Principle about how the ending diagonal got its name.

Filed Under: diagonal triangle, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, financial forecast, history, market forecasts, technical analysis, trendlines, volatility

Category: Stocks


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© 2013 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.