S&P 500 Reverses Sharply in Intraday Trading
From the May 22 intraday high of 1686.73, the S&P 500 fell 36 points.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/22/2013 7:15:00 PM

On May 22, U.S. stocks rose at the open but then reversed sharply lower. The move coincided with congressional testimony by the Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. "Coincided," because the market's mood, visible via Elliott wave patterns, was suggesting a reversal even before Mr. Bernanke's comments. See for yourself...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, quantitative easing, S&P 500, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks

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Gold ETFs Are Forced to Sell
ETFs dispose of 600,000 pounds of the yellow precious metal

By Bob Stokes
5/22/2013 4:15:00 PM

ETF gold holdings peaked in December 2012 and have since contracted. The editor of ETF Trends calls the disposal of over 600,000 pounds of gold so far in 2013 "amazing,' and "incredible." Learn how to get a FREE copy of EWI's Special Gold & Silver Report.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, commodities, Elliott wave, Gold, gold futures, quantitative easing, silver, silver futures

Category: Gold and Silver

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If the Fed Stops Easing, Will Gold Start Wheezing?
The answer is in central bank charts of gold prices and stimulus initiatives since September 2011.

By Nico Isaac
5/13/2013 4:30:00 PM

Ask a mainstream economist about the relationship between central bank monetary policy and precious metals, and you'll hear something like: A hawkish Federal Reserve is to gold prices what kryptonite is to Superman. End the money printing and low interest rates, and you take the gravity-defying power out of gold.

Filed Under: central banks, Gold, quantitative easing, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

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EURUSD: The First Shoe Drops
The Fed statement on Wednesday disappointed some, but Elliott waves have stayed a step ahead.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/1/2013 4:45:00 PM

Gotta love "the Fed talk" -- as in, the central bank's statement on Wednesday afternoon: "The committee is prepared to increase or reduce the pace of its (bond) purchases to maintain appropriate policy accommodation as the outlook for the labor market or inflation changes." Let's translate that...

 

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), forex, forex trading, quantitative easing, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies

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Did a Divided Fed Cause Gold's Decline?
The answer is in central bank charts of gold prices and stimulus initiatives since September 2011.

By Nico Isaac
4/10/2013 7:00:00 PM

Ask a mainstream economist about the relationship between central bank monetary policy and precious metals, and you'll probably hear something like: Stimulus is to gold prices what doping is to Lance Armstrong's cycling speed. Stop the money printing and low interest rates, and you slow down gold's gains.

Filed Under: banks, central banks, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, inflation, precious metals, quantitative easing, Traders, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

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The Housing Recovery Rests on an Unstable Foundation
Yale's Robert Shiller says the recent rebound in home prices is "artificial"

By Bob Stokes
3/28/2013 5:30:00 PM

The housing market has gone from financial rubble to what some analysts describe as another bubble. It's true that home prices are still nearly 30% below their mid-2000s peak. Yet the recent surge has Robert Shiller of the Case-Shiller Home Price Index concerned. Learn why.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, all the same market theory, CNBC, commercial real estate, economic indicators, Elliott Wave Theorist, foreclosures, great depression, history, home sales, housing prices, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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Every Big Economic Collapse Has a First Domino
When will the dominoes begin to tumble, or has it already begun?

By Bob Stokes
3/26/2013 4:45:00 PM

Financial history shows that every major credit boom is followed by a credit bust. The latest round of financial headlines remind us that unsustainable debt is crippling Europe. In the U.S., heavy debt burdens have put local and state governments in deep financial trouble. Federal debt rapidly approaches $17 trillion. What will be the first financial domino to fall?

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, banks, Ben Bernanke, bloomberg, central banks, debt, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, gross domestic product (GDP), Interest Rates, monetary policy, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, soverign debt crisis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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Suburban Poverty Up Nearly 64%
If this is an economic recovery, what will the next contraction look like?

By Bob Stokes
3/25/2013 4:45:00 PM

New research shows that poverty has spread faster in the suburbs than the inner city. Many Americans still haven't recovered from the real estate bust. Unemployment and under-employment remain historically high. Robert Prechter writes, "The Fed is doing everything it can to try to keep the credit balloon inflated. But it’s failing, because the markets and the economy are certainly not zooming, despite all the QEs and 0% interest rates." In the new Elliott Wave Theorist, you'll find 11 charts. Six of them, accompanied by Prechter's unique commentary, show why Americans should brace themselves for a major change in the economy.

Filed Under: CNBC, debt, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, foreclosures, housing prices, Interest Rates, liquidity, personal finance, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, U.S. STOCK MARKET, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy

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Gold Bulls Cry Inflation, Again
Here's what the evidence says about gold as an 'inflation hedge'

By Nico Isaac
3/15/2013 6:15:00 PM

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, gold futures, inflation, monetary policy, precious metals, quantitative easing, silver, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver

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Does More Monetary Stimulus Mean Higher Gold Prices? (Update)
Central bank charts of gold prices & stimulus initiatives since Sept. 2011 set the record straight

By Nico Isaac
2/7/2013 12:15:00 PM

I recently discussed the widespread belief that monetary stimulus from global central banks is to gold prices what doping is to Lance Armstrong's cycling speed. Stop the money printing and low interest rates, and you significantly slow down gold's gains. The mainstream notion was again alive and well on Feb. 7, the day of the European Central Banks' latest policy meeting. In the hours leading up to the event, the rumor meter tipped in favor of further vigilance and "opened the door to another rate cut." 

Filed Under: Bank of England, banks, central banks, european central bank, Gold, monetary policy, quantitative easing, stimulus package, Traders, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

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Does More Monetary Stimulus Mean Higher Gold Prices?
Central bank charts of gold prices & stimulus initiatives since Sept. 2011 set the record straight

By Nico Isaac
1/30/2013 5:45:00 PM

Ask any mainstream economist worth his or her salt about the relationship between central bank monetary policy and precious metals, and you'll probably hear something like: Stimulus is to gold prices what doping is to Lance Armstrong's cycling speed. Stop the money printing and low interest rates, and you significantly slow down gold's gains. Are they right? Is there a correlation between monetary easing and rising gold prices?

Filed Under: Bank of England, central banks, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, Interest Rates, monetary policy, quantitative easing, stimulus package, Traders, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

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Crude Oil: How to Achieve the Best Case Scenario
If you were a crude oil bear in July 2008, the ensuing sell off was NOT a "storm to be weathered"

By Nico Isaac
12/19/2012 2:15:00 PM

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Gold, natural gas, quantitative easing, stimulus package, Traders

Category: Energy

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Two Signs That Deflation is Far From Over
A key economic index turns south

By Bob Stokes
12/14/2012 4:00:00 PM

The Producer Price Index decline is happening in tandem with a notable reversal in consumer sentiment. The Federal Reserve's machinations -- which includes the Dec. 12 announcement of $45-billion in monthly Treasury bond purchases -- will not stave off a developing deflationary trend. How much farther does the economic cycle have to go before it reaches the bottom?

Filed Under: conquer the crash, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, liquidity, monetary policy, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, sentiment, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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Extra, Extra, WATCH All About It: A New Video on Gold & Silver
A special video reveals a "key, near-term juncture" in both gold and silver

By Nico Isaac
12/12/2012 5:30:00 PM

On Dec. 12, gold investors waited with baited breath for the release of the minutes from the Fed's Open Market Committee meeting. "Fed May Hold the Key to Gold's Riddle," read one Financial Times headline. The key issue? Whether the Fed would keep its finger on the shiny, green monetary "stimulus" button. If only the reality was that cut and dry.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, silver, Traders, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

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How the Federal Reserve is Showing Financial Fear
Have you heard about the Fed's 180 degree turn?

By Bob Stokes
11/1/2012 5:00:00 PM

The central bank has thrown everything in its arsenal at the economy, but most key economic metrics have barely budged. In the epic struggle, the Fed's policy has been turned upside down. In the latest Elliott Wave Theorist, Bob Prechter noted...
 

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, central banks, Interest Rates, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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"Are Emerging Markets the Way to Go Right Now?"
You'll find answers to this and many other questions in Prechter's new, 36-minute video Elliott Wave Theorist

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/24/2012 7:00:00 PM

At EWI's Message Board, we get great questions from readers every day. Here's one: Emerging markets are being touted as the next wave of opportunity. An Oct. 21 Wall Street Journal article, for example, has reported that Northern Trust Corp., which has $749b under management, says it's time to "lighten up on the U.S. and put more money into emerging-market stocks." The risks are higher, but so are the returns, goes the thinking. What do you make of this new trend?

Filed Under: diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment strategy, investor psychology, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Global Markets

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Gold: Are Prices Set to Bottom, OR Accelerate Lower?
EWI's Metals Specialty Service brings you objective Elliott wave analysis to help you navigate the near-term turns in gold.

By Nico Isaac
10/19/2012 4:30:00 PM

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, quantitative easing, Traders, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

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U.S. Markets: The Flow of Excessive Liquidity Cannot Be Endless
Prices of risk assets correspond to liquidity flow

By Bob Stokes
10/8/2012 6:00:00 PM

Loose money has flowed into financial assets. Prices have risen as institutional investors employ leverage of 30x and higher. The flow of excessive liquidity cannot be endless. So what happens to risk-asset prices when that flow starts to dry up? Take a look at two charts.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, diversification, Elliott wave, hedge funds, liquidity, market forecasts, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, volume

Category: Stocks

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Applying "Logic" to Crude Oil's September 2012 Sell Off
An example of how objective Elliott wave analysis keeps traders ahead of the crude oil near-term fold

By Nico Isaac
10/4/2012 2:30:00 PM

An Oct. 3 Forbes article comes right out and asks the question many crude oil traders have secretly been thinking for the past month: "Why have prices fallen dramatically since QE3?" Bottom line: the fundamental facts do not add up. The Elliott wave ones, however, do.

Filed Under: commodities, crude oil, Elliott wave, quantitative easing, Traders, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Energy

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The Financial Tsunami Headed To Shore Has Been Building for 80 Years
The size of the wave will surprise most everyone

By Bob Stokes
9/24/2012 4:45:00 PM

When forecasters warn "Move to higher ground!" it's not wise to think, "Until I see the tsunami, I won't believe it's coming." Once it's visible, it's probably too late. It's equally unwise to ignore signs of a financial tsunami...
 

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Ben Bernanke, conquer the crash, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, history, market crash, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), world central banks

Category: U.S. Economy

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