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How to Protect Your Physical Safety in a Bad Economy
What you don't know can hurt you.

By Bob Stokes
4/9/2013 4:45:00 PM

In a time of economic turmoil, what you know can be as important as what you have. Your possessions can decline in value or be lost altogether, but your knowledge cannot be taken away. You can use what you know to protect what you have. Evidence suggests that many Americans fail to grasp this basic truth. Staying ahead of the crowd begins by reading. As for what to read, few topics are as important as protecting your finances and your physical safety -- and that's what can matter most during a severe economic downturn.

Filed Under: conquer the crash, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, safe haven, soverign debt crisis, stock indexes

Category: U.S. Economy


Why Even Federally Insured Bank Deposits Are At Risk
See the newly updated list of the safest U.S. banks

By Bob Stokes
3/19/2013 4:45:00 PM

Cyprus lawmakers voted against the European Union's proposed levy on personal bank accounts in Cyprus. Even so, bank runs in Cyprus may be unavoidable. Depositors in the U.S. can't help but wonder whether bank runs could happen here. It's true that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation guarantees U.S. bank accounts up to $250,000. Yet, during a time of severe bank stress, the FDIC's guarantee could actually make a bank crisis even worse. Learn why. Plus, find out how you can access a list of America's safest banks.

Filed Under: banks, Club EWI, conquer the crash, debt crisis, deflation, economic indicators, European debt crisis, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), media, personal finance, risk management, Robert Prechter, safe banks, safe haven

Category: U.S. Economy


Global Deflation: Protect Your Wealth from What the Majority Do Not Expect
Shield your wealth before trusted facilities close their doors

By Bob Stokes
2/15/2013 4:15:00 PM

Last month the economy of the United States unexpectedly shrank by 0.1% in the fourth quarter. Deflationary forces are affecting more than just the American markets. In fact, they're even stronger across the pond. The euro zone's accelerating economic contraction should serve as a warning sign to anyone who believes the global economy is on the road to recovery. Opportunities to protect your wealth will close shut once a deflationary trend is well underway. Learn how to access safe storage facilities for your assets.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, all the same market theory, currency, deflation, European debt crisis, eurozone, great depression, gross domestic product (GDP), history, Robert Prechter, safe haven, Sovereign Debt

Category: Global Markets


The Silver Prices Playbook
Should silver bulls hang their hat on monetary stimulus and the safe-haven premium?

By Nico Isaac
1/22/2013 5:30:00 PM

Since the start of 2013, demand for silver bullion has reached such a fever pitch that by Jan. 17, the U.S. Mint temporarily sold out of 2013-dated American Silver Eagle coins -- the first white-metal run of its kind in four years. At the same time, silver futures have rallied 9% to a one-month high. Now, page one of the mainstream economic playbook reveals that there are two main factors contributing to silver's surge...

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, monetary policy, precious metals, safe haven, silver, silver futures, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver


The Tortoise is About to Cross the Financial Finish Line
Slow and safe wins the race

By Bob Stokes
1/4/2013 5:00:00 PM

It's true that a Treasury-bill account yields next to nothing. But at this financial juncture, the well-known saying of humorist Will Rogers has never been more relevant: "I am more concerned with the return of my money than the return on my money." Learn why Bob Prechter says that embracing financial risk because interest rates are low can be a trap.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, Bear market, conquer the crash, derivatives, Elliott wave, history, Interest Rates, investment strategy, long-term trend, market forecasts, mutual funds, personal finance, risk management, Robert Prechter, safe haven, social mood, stock indexes, Treasury bills (T-bills), treasury yields

Category: Classic Prechter


Will 2013 Be the Year of Municipal Bonds?
A memory jog recalls what happened the last time the mainstream experts extolled munis for their immunity to default. Will history repeat itself now?

By Nico Isaac
12/31/2012 9:45:00 AM

The opening lyrics to the famous New Years Eve song "Auld Lang Syne" seem painfully relevant in light of the moral dilemma facing US investors as they stand at the cusp of 2013. To wit: Should they put the old markets of yore behind them? According to a Dec. 28 MarketWatch cover story, the answer is NO: "Muni bonds may be the money makers in 2013." Speaking of not forgetting, this isn't the first time we've seen the mainstream experts stand behind the idea that tax-exempt debt puts the -- well -- "muni" back in immunity.

Filed Under: credit crisis, debt, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, investment decisions, municipal bonds, pension funds, safe haven, U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


Gold Prices: Cold...Getting Warmer...Hot!
EWI's Metals Specialty Service uses objective Elliott wave analysis to navigate the next near-term move in gold.

By Nico Isaac
11/19/2012 6:30:00 PM

If you're hoping to "find" an objective and opportune method for navigating the near-term twists and turns in gold prices, you basically have three options. At different times, each one stands a certain distance from the ultimate goal. Right now, here's how they line up, from furthest to closest: Fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and Elliott wave analysis.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, Gold, precious metals, safe haven, technical analysis, technical indicators, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver


How to Protect Your Wealth If An Economic Winter Descends
An old fable for modern financial times

By Bob Stokes
10/25/2012 6:00:00 PM

An economic winter may be ahead, and the best prepared households will have set aside sufficient cash or cash equivalents. It's true that actual greenbacks yield no interest, and cash equivalents earn next to nothing. Yet consider that the value of cash...
 

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, cash, conquer the crash, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, great depression, Interest Rates, safe banks, safe haven, U.S. dollar

Category: U.S. Economy


Gold: Down $40 in 4 Days. Has the Downtrend Ended?
An example of how EWI's Metals Specialty Service used objective Elliott wave analysis to anticipate gold's selloff -- before it occurred.

By Nico Isaac
9/26/2012 5:45:00 PM

Over the past week, near-term gold bulls have had their hat handed to them. After hitting a new high for the year on Sept. 21 at $1790 per ounce, gold prices fell $40 in 4 days before rebounding off a 2-week low on Sept. 26. As for what caused the precious metal's slide, the mainstream experts had this theory to offer...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, europe, fundamental analysis, Gold, gold futures, precious metals, safe haven, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver


Gold: It's Show and Tell Time
EWI's Metals Specialty Service cuts through the muck of the "fundamentals" to reveal the near-term Elliott wave pattern underway in gold.

By Nico Isaac
8/10/2012 4:30:00 PM

Here is a simulated conversation between 2 gold traders regarding the recent mainstream debate over the precious metal's risk-on, or risk-off premium: One viewpoint says that bad economy is bullish for gold. The other one says bad economy is bearish for gold. So, how are you supposed to know which one to believe?

 

Filed Under: Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, Gold, precious metals, safe haven, silver

Category: Gold and Silver


Mining For Opportunity in the Largest Gold Miners ETF (GDX)
The latest Metals Specialty Service forecasts reveal how daily chart patterns place the GDX at an "important juncture."

By Nico Isaac
8/2/2012 5:00:00 PM

The lackluster performance of the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) over the entire last year has found no love lost whatsoever on the part of investors. In fact, just the opposite has occurred; the bigger the market's decline, the more show of investor support. So, the question remains: Will investors' faith in the GDX's ability to pull up from the back of the race and reclaim the "gold" medal of surefire safe-havens be rewarded?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, Gold, Relative Strength Index (RSI), safe haven, silver

Category: Gold and Silver


The European Economy: Game Over -- OR -- Play Till It Wins?
Inside our new, August 2012 European Financial Forecast

By Nico Isaac
7/27/2012 4:15:00 PM

Europe's 2-year long economic Whac-A-Mole game continues. Central banks across the Continent use their giant "mallets" of bond buybacks, rate cuts, and bailouts to hit ONE crisis over the head -- only to have another one savagely pop up in the opposite corner. So, will Europe's monetary authorities be able to "whack" all the reoccurring "moles" before their time runs out?

Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, euro, euro stoxx 50, european central bank, European debt crisis, FTSE, International Monetary Fund (IMF), quantitative easing, safe haven, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


Australian Dollar: "Still Surging" -- Why, Again?
This is a story we've seen repeated in the forex markets again and again.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/19/2012 6:30:00 PM

Picture this. It's late May. You're in Australia. You have an interest in the currency markets: Maybe you speculate in forex; maybe your business depends on the exchange rates. Every morning, you scan the headlines. This is what you see regarding the Australian dollar during the last week of May...

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, currency, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, forex, forex trading, Japanese yen, safe haven, Singapore Dollar, Swiss franc, technical analysis, technical indicators, trade targets, Traders, trading lessons, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy, yuan

Category: Currencies


World's 15 Biggest Banks Get Downgraded -- What This Means for "Safe Banks"
Another one of Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash forecasts comes true

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/28/2012 6:00:00 PM

This seems like a good moment for those "safe-haven" banks to toot their horn a little, as it might just get them more business -- just as this quote from Ch. 19 of Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash had predicted...

Filed Under: debt downgrade, deflation, diversification, Elliott wave, risk management, Robert Prechter, safe banks, safe haven

Category: Classic Prechter


Commodities: Hark the Safe Haven, Nevermore?
The supposed safe-haven premium of commodities has broken down. Why we're not surprised.

By Nico Isaac
6/26/2012 12:00:00 PM

They've been caught holding the bag one too many times. Their blind loyalty and faith have gone unrewarded for too long. And, as a June 21 CNBC news article writes, "The commodity bulls may have finally 'thrown in the towel.'" Hindsight is 20-20. But nothing beats the foresight of the January 2011 Elliott Wave Theorist -- which anticipated a reversal in commodities' fortunes.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, Bob Prechter, commodities, CRB index, Elliott Wave Theorist, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Robert Prechter, precious metals, safe haven, silver

Category: Commodities


The Most Advertised Financial Avalanche of All Time, Yet So Many are Whistling Past the Graveyard
America's banks and the soon to be administered test from across the Atlantic

By Bob Stokes
6/25/2012 5:00:00 PM

Previous summits have not stopped the sovereign debt crisis from escalating, and EWI doesn't see any reason why the next one will either. Meanwhile, demand deposits have been declining at...

Filed Under: banks, Club EWI, deflation, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, International Monetary Fund (IMF), safe haven, soverign debt crisis

Category: U.S. Economy


Debt and Deflation: The Economic Valley Looks Deep
Signs of financial conservatism

By Bob Stokes
6/14/2012 5:30:00 PM

In normal economic times, keeping money under the mattress makes you an oddball. You're supposed to trust financial institutions. The basic savings account has zero risk. But in today's economic climate...

Filed Under: cash, conquer the crash, debt, deflation, money markets, mutual funds, safe haven, sentiment, stock indexes

Category: U.S. Economy


If You Have Money in Bond Funds, Mutual Funds or Pension Funds, Please Read This Now
Bondholders: Protect and prepare your portfolio for a developing new trend

By Editorial Staff
6/14/2012 4:30:00 PM

When stocks crashed in 2008, investors found shelter in bonds. Most months of the financial crisis saw investors transfer billions from stock funds and into bond funds. Moreover, they did this against the advice of most high-profile experts and advisors, who have hated bonds for the past 10 years. Yet those betting against bonds have lost lots of money -- especially since 2009 -- even as investors holding bonds have gained.

All that is about to change, says Robert Prechter in a new urgent report for bondholders.

 

Filed Under: deflation, diversification, hyperinflation, inflation, Interest Rates, Robert Prechter, safe haven

Category: Interest Rates


Bonds and the Era of Deflation: A Safe Alternative to Stocks?
Special Report: A just-published 10-page urgent warning to bond investors

By Bob Stokes
6/7/2012 5:45:00 PM

The bull market in bonds has been going on for decades. The most recent bond investing craze merely heaped more icing on the cake. In fact, the interest rate on the Treasury's 10-year note has just fallen to the lowest level in U.S. history. Will bond investors continue to be rewarded?...

Filed Under: debt, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, junk bonds, market forecasts, municipal bonds, risk management, safe haven, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


Special Report from Prechter: 10 Pages on the Most Underreported Financial Story of 2012
It's time for the blunt language you'll read in this report

By Robert Folsom
6/7/2012 12:30:00 PM

But what is even MORE astonishing is how universally UNEXPECTED this crash in yields has been. Since 2008, the entire Wall Street-Economist-Media complex has predicted higher yields and inflation, based on two reasons...

Filed Under: credit rating, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, junk bonds, Robert Prechter, safe haven, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.