If the Fed Stops Easing, Will Gold Start Wheezing?
The answer is in central bank charts of gold prices and stimulus initiatives since September 2011.

By Nico Isaac
5/13/2013 4:30:00 PM

Ask a mainstream economist about the relationship between central bank monetary policy and precious metals, and you'll hear something like: A hawkish Federal Reserve is to gold prices what kryptonite is to Superman. End the money printing and low interest rates, and you take the gravity-defying power out of gold.

Filed Under: central banks, Gold, quantitative easing, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

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Suburban Poverty Up Nearly 64%
If this is an economic recovery, what will the next contraction look like?

By Bob Stokes
3/25/2013 4:45:00 PM

New research shows that poverty has spread faster in the suburbs than the inner city. Many Americans still haven't recovered from the real estate bust. Unemployment and under-employment remain historically high. Robert Prechter writes, "The Fed is doing everything it can to try to keep the credit balloon inflated. But it’s failing, because the markets and the economy are certainly not zooming, despite all the QEs and 0% interest rates." In the new Elliott Wave Theorist, you'll find 11 charts. Six of them, accompanied by Prechter's unique commentary, show why Americans should brace themselves for a major change in the economy.

Filed Under: CNBC, debt, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, foreclosures, housing prices, Interest Rates, liquidity, personal finance, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, U.S. STOCK MARKET, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy

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Does More Monetary Stimulus Mean Higher Gold Prices? (Update)
Central bank charts of gold prices & stimulus initiatives since Sept. 2011 set the record straight

By Nico Isaac
2/7/2013 12:15:00 PM

I recently discussed the widespread belief that monetary stimulus from global central banks is to gold prices what doping is to Lance Armstrong's cycling speed. Stop the money printing and low interest rates, and you significantly slow down gold's gains. The mainstream notion was again alive and well on Feb. 7, the day of the European Central Banks' latest policy meeting. In the hours leading up to the event, the rumor meter tipped in favor of further vigilance and "opened the door to another rate cut." 

Filed Under: Bank of England, banks, central banks, european central bank, Gold, monetary policy, quantitative easing, stimulus package, Traders, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

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Does More Monetary Stimulus Mean Higher Gold Prices?
Central bank charts of gold prices & stimulus initiatives since Sept. 2011 set the record straight

By Nico Isaac
1/30/2013 5:45:00 PM

Ask any mainstream economist worth his or her salt about the relationship between central bank monetary policy and precious metals, and you'll probably hear something like: Stimulus is to gold prices what doping is to Lance Armstrong's cycling speed. Stop the money printing and low interest rates, and you significantly slow down gold's gains. Are they right? Is there a correlation between monetary easing and rising gold prices?

Filed Under: Bank of England, central banks, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, Interest Rates, monetary policy, quantitative easing, stimulus package, Traders, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

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The Silver Prices Playbook
Should silver bulls hang their hat on monetary stimulus and the safe-haven premium?

By Nico Isaac
1/22/2013 5:30:00 PM

Since the start of 2013, demand for silver bullion has reached such a fever pitch that by Jan. 17, the U.S. Mint temporarily sold out of 2013-dated American Silver Eagle coins -- the first white-metal run of its kind in four years. At the same time, silver futures have rallied 9% to a one-month high. Now, page one of the mainstream economic playbook reveals that there are two main factors contributing to silver's surge...

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, monetary policy, precious metals, safe haven, silver, silver futures, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

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Crude Oil: How to Achieve the Best Case Scenario
If you were a crude oil bear in July 2008, the ensuing sell off was NOT a "storm to be weathered"

By Nico Isaac
12/19/2012 2:15:00 PM

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Gold, natural gas, quantitative easing, stimulus package, Traders

Category: Energy

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Gold Bulls: Keep Your Eyes on Key Support, NOT on China
Get objective Elliott wave analysis to navigate the near-term turns in gold, with EWI's Metals Specialty Service

By Nico Isaac
10/9/2012 5:15:00 PM

Sept. 30 to Oct. 7 marked China's "Golden Week Holiday," the People's Republic's 7-day long national paid vacation. But as workers across the mainland were away from their desks enjoying R&R, the mainstream financial experts spent the entire "Golden Week" pushing one main news story through the usual media channels. Read the full story today.

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Gold, precious metals, silver, stimulus package, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver

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Crude Oil: How to Catch the Next Move Without Reading the News
If you know what to look for, the energy markets will often tip their hat before the news.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/21/2012 5:45:00 PM

On Sept. 21, crude gained almost $3. Predictably, the news attributed the rally to a "fundamental factor" -- namely, "central bank stimulus optimism" related to the European Central Bank's new bailout plan for Spain. Yes, the timing of the ECB announcement fit, but could you have seen the rally before the ECB had spoken? Yes -- here's how.

Filed Under: bailouts, central banks, commodities, crude oil, european central bank, futures trading, stimulus package

Category: Energy

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Crude Oil at 18-Month Low: Don't Wait to Take Advantage of Its Next Move
An example of how EWI's Energy Specialty Service uses Elliott analysis to cut in front of the "fundamental" line where most energy traders wait and wait for the "right" news or event

By Nico Isaac
6/21/2012 11:00:00 AM

On June 15, crude oil prices hoisted themselves up from an 8-month low to a 1-week high. And, according to the mainstream experts, the next big trend-moving event on the market's radar was the June 19-20 Federal Reserve policy meeting. But, as today's article reveals, that news-moves-market logic failed to deliver in the end.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, fundamental analysis, stimulus package, supply and demand, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Energy

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Gold Rises 8 Days in a Row: The Beginning of a Beautiful TRENDship?
Latest trend analysis inside EWI's Metals Specialty Service reveals whether after 8 days of rally, the objective Elliott wave picture continues to paint gold in a bullish light

By Nico Isaac
6/19/2012 1:15:00 PM

On June 18, gold prices saw their 8th straight UP day. According to the "fundamental" analysis experts, one main factor was fueling gold's rally: "Hopes the US Federal Reserve may launch more measures to stimulate the world's largest economy." Find out why this kind of fundamental logic doesn't work.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, fundamental analysis, Gold, monetary policy, precious metals, quantitative easing, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

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Have You Checked Your G.M. Stock Lately? (Yes, You're Still a Shareholder)
Will taxpayers see more losses on their GM investment?

By Bob Stokes
6/5/2012 4:45:00 PM

In 2012, we the people still own 500 million G.M. shares. And General Motors' share price needs to reach $51 just for us to break even. But...

Filed Under: bailouts, conquer the crash, debt crisis, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, gross domestic product (GDP), stimulus package, stock indexes, Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy

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With "35% of Assets in European Holdings," Is Your Money Market Fund Safe?
Bernanke says U.S. money markets "remain structurally vulnerable"

By Bob Stokes
5/4/2012 4:15:00 PM

Very rare exceptions aside, money markets have been safe. Learn why they now may be a lot less safe...

Filed Under: money markets, banks, central banks, credit crisis, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), mutual funds, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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European Union Agreement: Good or Bad for the Dow Industrials?
Do not look to the EU agreement for a clue about the U.S. stock market trend.

By Bob Stokes
12/12/2011 5:30:00 PM

Will the EU agreement prove bullish or bearish for world stock markets, including the Dow Industrials? Let's put it this way...

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Principle, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), Fannie Mae, stimulus package, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks

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What's Next for the Fed: Announce "QE-3"?
Inflation-engines are sputtering.

By Bob Stokes
12/6/2011 5:15:00 PM

Even though the economy remains weak, the Fed has not announced additional quantitative easing. Has the central bank reached its monetary and political limit?...

Filed Under: banks, central banks, deflation, inflation, monetary policy, monetization, quantitative easing, social mood, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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America's Biggest Banks: How Safe Are They?
"The Coming Worldwide Bank run"

By Bob Stokes
11/30/2011 4:30:00 PM

Fifteen major U.S. and European banks were just downgraded by Standard & Poor's. Please consider this insightful excerpt from a recent Elliott Wave Theorist titled, "The Coming Worldwide Bank run"...

Filed Under: bailouts, central banks, Club EWI, credit crisis, debt downgrade, european central bank, European debt crisis, liquidity, Robert Prechter, soverign debt crisis, stimulus package

Category: U.S. Economy

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The Federal Reserve: Is This "House Divided" Losing Credibility?
Signs that a rare economic trend is now underway

By Bob Stokes
11/16/2011 4:45:00 PM

Is this the point where Bernanke can no longer use Fed policy to "inflate at will"? Well, Robert Prechter says something "momentous" happened on September 21, 2011...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, deflation, inflation, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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The Wealthy Witch of Wall Street: Past and Present Penny-Pinching
Will the public sector be forced to become as "tight-fisted" as Hetty Green?

By Bob Stokes
10/28/2011 4:30:00 PM

Stories of her frugality are legendary: she traveled in an old carriage, bought broken cookies in bulk because they were less expensive, and reportedly spent half a night looking for a lost two cent stamp. But the most extreme example of her pathological stinginess relates to...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, Robert Prechter, central banks, deflation, history, monetary policy, stimulus package, Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), Wall Street

Category: U.S. Economy

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Faster "Economic Reversal" than 2008?
Signs that the economic downturn is speeding up

By Bob Stokes
9/9/2011 2:45:00 PM

There's yet another indicator that our economic deterioration might very well accelerate more rapidly than what happened in 2008. You can see this indicator for yourself...

Filed Under: consumer confidence, consumer spending, economic depression, gross domestic product (GDP), stimulus package

Category: U.S. Economy

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Judgment Day for Keynesian Economics: Headed To "The Ash Heap of History"?
Government Intervention in the Economy: Does the Evidence Say It Works?

By Bob Stokes
8/2/2011 5:45:00 PM

Filed Under: bailouts, central banks, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), gross domestic product (GDP), monetary policy, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package

Category: U.S. Economy

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Three Strikes for the Fed: What's Next for the Economy?
What to Expect from the New Economic Trend in the Years Ahead

By Bob Stokes
7/29/2011 5:00:00 PM

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Elliott Wave Theorist, housing prices, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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