Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

An Epic Economic Trend Change is Underway
Persistent economic weakness sends a message.

By Bob Stokes
4/15/2013 6:15:00 PM

The earlier you spot a market trend, the more likely you can benefit from it. Is there an emerging economic trend in its early stages today? From the evidence, it appears so. Call it a seismic shift in the entire U.S. economy. Despite the evidence, most economic observers still do not expect what is about to swiftly unfold.

Filed Under: bloomberg, CNBC, conquer the crash, consumer confidence, consumer price index, consumer spending, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, gross domestic product (GDP), Interest Rates, recession, supply and demand, unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy

Corn: What to Make of the HUGE 14% Sell-Off?
On April 1, corn futures fell more than 6% in a single day, and it wasn't an April Fool's joke or a data glitch.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/2/2013 1:15:00 PM

Analysts blamed the plunge on "bigger-than-expected U.S. stockpiles and increased planting..." (Bloomberg) But as is often the case, Elliott waves tell a different story -- in fact, they sent the signal in advance. On March 27, the very day when the sell-off began, Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of our Daily Futures Junctures, offered this forecast...

Filed Under: commodities, corn futures, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, supply and demand, technical analysis

Category: Commodities

Is Peak Palladium Upon Us?
Plus what happened last time mainstream pundits said palladium was in short supply.

By Nico Isaac
3/27/2013 3:30:00 PM

When it comes to precious metals, palladium's volatility makes gold and silver look downright sleepy. The lesser-known silvery-white metal is 30-times more rare than gold. Two countries -- South Africa and Russia -- produce 80% of the world’s palladium. What's more, Russia considers its palladium reserve figures a state secret. (So if we tell you, we’ll have to – well – you get the point).  

Filed Under: Elliott wave, platinum futures, precious metals, supply and demand, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver

Don’t Blame Sugar’s Bear Market on a Glut in Supply
Monthly Futures Junctures used Elliott wave analysis instead of supply data to anticipate sugar's turn down from the February 2011 peak.

By Nico Isaac
3/26/2013 10:30:00 AM

According to conventional economic wisdom, the law of supply & demand applies to investor behavior in financial markets, meaning an excess in supply cause commodity prices to fall. Let’s take the recent price action in sugar. On March 25, sugar futures ended the day at their lowest level in two-and-a-half years. Point of fact, sugar futures have plummeted 50% since hitting a 30-plus year peak in February 2011.

Filed Under: commodities, Daily Futures Junctures, Elliott wave, Jeffrey Kennedy, long-term trend, sugar futures, supply and demand

Category: Commodities

This Isn't the First We've Heard of a Natural Gas Supply Glut
As natural gas prices fall, mainstream experts claim excess supply explains the downtrend

By Nico Isaac
2/19/2013 5:45:00 PM

Natural gas is a volatile commodity in more ways than one – including its price swings in the futures market. So, it goes without saying that energy traders and investors want analysis that helps navigate the sudden turns in natural gas prices. And, ever since the first fossil fuels were extracted from the earth, mainstream experts seem to know only one way to think about near-term price trends ...

Filed Under: commodities, crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, natural gas, supply and demand, Traders

Category: Energy

Why Do You Think Platinum Prices Have Been Rising?
What if we told you that platinum's recent rally was not the result of AmPlats restructuring?

By Nico Isaac
2/8/2013 6:45:00 PM

Forget gold for a minute. The real scene stealer in metals of late has been platinum. No, I'm not talking about the widespread controversy surrounding the proposed minting of a $1 Trillion platinum coin to avert another debt crisis. I'm talking about the powerful uptrend in platinum, which has taken prices to their highest level in 16 months.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, platinum futures, precious metals, supply and demand, Traders

Category: Gold and Silver

Are the Days of the Crude Oil Rally Numbered?
When it comes to objective analysis of crude oil's near-term trend, there is only one choice: Energy Specialty Service

By Nico Isaac
1/18/2013 6:15:00 PM

Sometimes it's great to have a boatload of choices at your disposal. I like nothing more than to be able to walk into my favorite pizza joint and order a no cheese, thin-crust pie with white sauce, half ham, half pineapple... and hold the basil. But when it comes to financial market analysis, having a multitude of price forecasts can put you at a serious disadvantage. Take, for instance, the recent news stories regarding crude oil. On Jan. 18, crude oil prices soared to their highest level in four months. That was the easy part.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, supply and demand, Traders

Category: Energy

How the Psychology of Deflation Becomes Entrenched
A lesson from Japan

By Bob Stokes
12/18/2012 5:00:00 PM

The economic slowdown in the United States has not been nearly as long as Japan's. Yet, Elliott Wave International contends that the U.S. is in the early stages of a deflationary trend. Deflationary psychology is already apparent.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, conquer the crash, consumer spending, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, history, Robert Prechter, supply and demand, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

Why Much Bigger Bargains May Be Ahead for Consumers
Consumer confidence is at a 4 1/2-year high

By Bob Stokes
11/29/2012 5:00:00 PM

A look at the past five years of consumer survey data reveals that the two most extreme readings came near financial turning points. Now consider that the latest consumer confidence index figure is at a 4 1/2-year high.

Filed Under: conquer the crash, consumer price index, consumer spending, debt, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Robert Prechter, sentiment, supply and demand

Category: U.S. Economy

Why Investors Love Stocks When They Are Over-Valued
How consuming differs from investing, and why it matters to your portfolio

By Bob Stokes
9/27/2012 5:00:00 PM

When stocks are "on sale," investors shun them. But when stock prices rise, investors embrace them -- in fact, the higher prices go the greater the demand. This is why the supply and demand model we all learned in Economics 101 does not work in financial markets. If the traditional economic model doesn't work in finance, what model does?
 

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, consumer spending, Elliott Wave Theorist, herding, investment decisions, sentiment, supply and demand, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Classic Prechter

Crude Oil: Headed Above $100 -- Or Back Below $90?
Elliott Wave International's Chief Energy Analyst talks about what's next for oil.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/17/2012 5:30:00 PM

On Friday, crude oil hit a high of $100.42 a barrel. Things looked fine Monday morning, too, as oil was trading just below $100 a barrel… fine, that is, until crude fell, fast and furious, to an intraday low of $94.65. That was a HUGE loss in a matter of minutes! To find out what's going on, I checked with our crude oil expert, Steven Craig, editor of our intensive Energy Specialty Service...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, supply and demand

Category: Energy

Crude Oil at 18-Month Low: Don't Wait to Take Advantage of Its Next Move
An example of how EWI's Energy Specialty Service uses Elliott analysis to cut in front of the "fundamental" line where most energy traders wait and wait for the "right" news or event

By Nico Isaac
6/21/2012 11:00:00 AM

On June 15, crude oil prices hoisted themselves up from an 8-month low to a 1-week high. And, according to the mainstream experts, the next big trend-moving event on the market's radar was the June 19-20 Federal Reserve policy meeting. But, as today's article reveals, that news-moves-market logic failed to deliver in the end.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, fundamental analysis, stimulus package, supply and demand, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Energy

[VIDEO] iPads or Apple Stock? How Do YOU Decide When to Buy?
Wayne Gorman shares insight on a common misunderstanding that many investors don't realize.

By Jill Noble
4/11/2012 1:45:00 PM

This 4-minute clip features EWI's senior tutorial instructor, Wayne Gorman -- who developed the successfully launched, one-day event: Introduction to the Elliott Wave Principle: LIVE Seminar.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Education, supply and demand, Traders

Category: Education

Kings of "Financial Safety": Who Will Be Crowned?
When Cash Will Reign in the Kingdom

By Bob Stokes
8/12/2011 3:45:00 PM

If businesses are already rewarding customers for using cash, imagine having cash if the economy crashes. You'll be in a great position. Alas, the opportunities for safely storing cash are vanishing. However, some opportunities remain...

Filed Under: conquer the crash, consumer spending, economic depression, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), market crash, risk management, supply and demand, U.S. dollar

Category: U.S. Economy

Crude Oil Prices: Higher or Lower?
Elliott wave patterns in oil turned bullish in early July

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/15/2011 6:00:00 PM

Gas prices across the U.S. quickly reflect changes in the price of crude, so the answer to "where is oil going next?" is important not only to crude oil futures traders, but also to every motorist who thinks that $3.50 a gallon is already too expensive. If you want an answer by pondering oil's "fundamentals," you will run into a dead end. But here is a better way...
 

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, supply and demand, trading lessons

Category: Energy

Crude Oil: From Above $100 Down to $91 in Ten Days
Was the latest sell-off in crude predictable? Yes -- here's how

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/20/2011 5:30:00 PM

Elliott wave analysis comes down to this: The ability to identify patterns in price charts. If you can do that, you can do Elliott. Sometimes it's easy, sometimes not so much -- but because there are only 13 known Elliott wave patterns, you can train yourself to find them fairly quickly in most situations. With that in mind, let's take a look at the recent price action in crude.

Filed Under: contracting triangle, crude oil, ethanol futures, market manipulation, options trading, supply and demand, technical analysis, trading lessons

Category: Energy

Crude Oil: Higher Prices on Low Supply? Seeing is UN-Believing
Today's charts expose a flaw in the notion that oil prices rise as oil supply falls

By Nico Isaac
6/6/2011 3:30:00 PM

Question: Does supply play a role in determining the direction of a commodity market's prices? Answer: Absolutely, but not in the way the mainstream financial media paints it out to. Case in point: crude oil. Over the past two years, oil prices have soared from a 4-year low in 2009 to a 2-year high in April 2011.Yet, all this time, crude stockpiles in the U.S. have been rising.

Filed Under: crude oil, fundamental analysis, supply and demand

Category: Commodities

Oil Back Above $112. Higher Highs Ahead?
Crude oil makes headlines again. Let's look at recent price action

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/21/2011 2:15:00 PM

You may have noticed that crude oil's recent rally has been rocky. Prices suffered a big setback in early March, when oil lost 10%. More losses came last week, when on April 11 and 12 crude fell from near $113 to $106 a barrel. Here's how some of the mainstream energy market analysts explained that recent decline...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, International Monetary Fund (IMF), supply and demand

Category: Energy

Oil Above $108 Is NOT What's Holding Back the Stock Market
Oil and stocks are inversely correlated? Don't fall for that argument

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/4/2011 4:30:00 PM

It's a subject we at EWI have written a lot about, but it's as relevant as ever: Fear that rising oil prices are bad for the stock market is a total myth. See this chart to understand why.

Filed Under: crude oil, food crisis, futures trading, inflation, market forecasts, Robert Prechter, supply and demand, technical analysis

Category: Energy

Robert Prechter: Does the Law of Supply and Demand Really Apply to Stocks?
Let EWI's founder and president give you the answer in this complimentary video

By Nathaniel Williams
2/17/2011 3:30:00 PM

This assumption is universally agreed upon: When the price of something goes down, more people want it. But does this foundational concept of economics apply to financial markets, where that "something" is an investment asset? Robert Prechter gives you the answer in this complimentary video...

Filed Under: Campaign for Independent Thinking, Robert Prechter, Robert Prechter, socionomics, supply and demand

Category: Socionomics

Get Your Free Email Newsletters

Simply pick what interests you and enter your email address:


Challenge the way you think about investing with The EWI Independent
Dig deeper into the world of Elliott wave trading via Trading the Waves
Get the week's can't-miss articles and free resources from The EWI Weekly Select
Get the latest from our sister organization, the Socionomics Institute
We respect your privacy. TRUSTe

Latest Articles
Categories and RSS
RSS: Stocks Stocks RSS: Stocks U.S. Economy
RSS: Stocks Interest Rates RSS: Stocks Asian Markets
RSS: Stocks Currencies RSS: Stocks Classic Prechter
RSS: Stocks Energy RSS: Stocks Cultural Trends
RSS: Stocks Commodities RSS: Stocks European Markets
RSS: Stocks Gold and Silver RSS: Stocks Socionomics
RSS: Stocks Global Markets RSS: Stocks Education
RSS: Stocks Trading Lessons    
Press Room
Browse Recent Media Articles that Mention EWI or Feature EWI Analysts
As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.

© 2013 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.